Unified Growth Theory disproved by lack of economic takeoffs.
problem The absence of economic takeoffs from stagnation to growth.
method Analysis of historical economic growth data.
result Takeoffs from stagnation to growth never occurred.
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Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic distributions. Parameters describing hyperbolic distributions have been determined. A search …
Unified Growth Theory contradicted by Latin American economic data.
problem Unified Growth Theory fails to explain Latin American economic growth.
method Analysis of historical economic growth data from Maddison.
result Unified Growth Theory is inconsistent with Latin American data.
Historical economic growth in Asia (excluding Japan) is analysed. It is shown that Unified Growth Theory is contradicted by the data, which were used (but not analysed) during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of economic growth. It explains the mechanism of Malthusian…
Unified Growth Theory debunked: economic growth is insecure and unsustainable.
problem The mystery of the great divergence in income per capita.
method Analysis of economic data to show that growth trajectories are increasing vertically over time.
result Unified Growth Theory is incorrect and promotes misleading concepts.
Mathematical properties of the historical GDP/cap distributions are discussed and explained. These distributions are frequently incorrectly interpreted and the Unified Growth Theory is an outstanding example of such common misconceptions. It is shown here that the fundamental postulates of this theory are contradicted …
The article develops a model for predicting aircraft motion in terminal airspace.
problem Predicting aircraft motion for collision avoidance and safety analysis.
method Fits a probabilistic generative model to historical position data of aircraft landings and takeoffs.
result The model generates realistic trajectories, provides accurate predictions, and captures statistical properties of aircraft trajectories.
This paper extends stock trading results to include stop-loss orders.
problem Generalizing stock trading results with stop-loss orders.
method Geometric Brownian motion model, affine feedback controller, closed-form expression for cumulative distribution function.
result Affine feedback controller with stop-loss order generalizes results without stop-loss orders.
Current economic theories miss most of economic dynamics.
problem Accuracy of economic theories and policies depend on economic variables and processes.
method Identify and analyze overlooked economic variables and processes.
result Many economic variables and processes not accounted for in current theories.
New control strategy mitigates stock trading drawdowns.
problem Mitigating drawdowns in stock trading.
method Drawdown-modulated feedback control using control theory.
result Optimal investment strategy that maximizes logarithmic growth.
Measurement of Economic Growth, Development and Under Development: New Model and Applicationq-fin.GN
Paper presents a model to measure economic growth and development.
problem Measuring relative economic growth of different systems.
method S-Shaped model with linear representation to indicate growth, development, or underdevelopment.
result Model accurately measures economic growth and development of regions and macro regions.
Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.
problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.
Essay combines thermodynamics, economics, and geobiodynamics to model complex systems.
problem Understanding complex evolutionary systems in economics and geobiodynamics.
method Defines Roegenian Economy, links thermodynamics and economics, analyzes phase equilibrium, and discusses economic black holes.
result Roegenian economic systems are described as Carnot groups with phase equilibrium analysis.
'Ergodicity economics' is criticized as pseudoscience.
problem Flawed conceptual basis of mainstream economic theory.
method Claims 'ergodicity economics' is more parsimonious and clearer.
result Peters' approach has not produced falsifiable implications.
Economic Cycles of Carnot Typeq-fin.GN
Paper introduces economic Carnot cycles in Roegenian economics.
problem Economic efficiency limits in Roegenian systems.
method Uses Carnot cycle principles to model economic systems.
result Validates economic Carnot cycles in Roegenian economics.
Complexity, economic science and possible economic benefits of climate change mitigation policyphysics.soc-ph
Conventional economic analysis of stringent climate change mitigation policy generally concludes various levels of economic slowdown as a result of substantial spending on low carbon technology. Equilibrium economics however could not explain or predict the current economic crisis, which is of financial nature. Meanwhi…
Economic Policy Taxonomyq-fin.GN
Proposes a taxonomy for economic policies.
problem Lack of a standardized list of economic policies.
method Develops a tree taxonomy to categorize economic policies.
result Constructs an exhaustive list of economic policies.
The Effects of Taxes on Wealth Inequality in Artificial Chemistry Models of Economic Activityq-fin.GN
Study examines how taxes affect wealth inequality in economic models.
problem Reducing economic inequality in models of economic activity.
method Examined Artificial Chemistry models and various tax measures.
result Effective tax measures can reduce economic inequality.
The study applies Dimensional Analysis to the neoclassical economic growth model.
problem Inconsistency in the neoclassical economic growth model.
method Dimensional Analysis was used to evaluate and adjust the model.
result An adjustment to the neoclassical economic growth model is required to satisfy the principle of dimensional homogeneity.
Phase diagram illustrates key points in Roegenian economics.
problem Understanding the nature of Roegenian economic systems.
method Recalled similarities between Thermodynamics and Roegenian Economics.
result Identified triple and critical points in Roegenian economic system.
From positions, attained by modern theoretical physics in understanding of the universe bases, the methodological and philosophical analysis of fundamental physical concepts and their formal and informal connections with the real economic measurings is carried out. Procedures for heterogeneous economic time determinati…
The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the network of correlations to reveal the changing relationships among the financial,…
Paper classifies economic states and optimizes portfolios for stagflationary environments.
problem Economic uncertainty and stagflationary conditions.
method Mathematical techniques for analyzing multivariate time series, economic driver analysis, self-similarity identification, and portfolio optimization.
result Constructs economic state classifications and computes economic state integrals.
Surveying machine learning methods for economic forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of economic forecasts using machine learning.
method Nowcasting, textual data, panel and tensor data, high-dimensional Granger causality tests, time series cross-validation, classification with economic losses.
result Recent advances in machine learning methods enhance economic forecasting accuracy.
Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.
problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.
Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from Chinaq-fin.GN
China's infrastructure investments fail to deliver economic growth, leading to fragility.
problem The myth that infrastructure investment leads to economic growth is debunked.
method Analysis of the largest dataset of infrastructure investment data in China.
result Infrastructure investments in China do not provide a positive risk-adjusted return.
Economics debated as a natural science.
problem Whether Economics should be considered a natural science.
method Discussion of the debate in a special issue of Euro. Phys. J. Special Topic.
result Economics remains a social science, not a natural science.
Thermodynamics of marketsq-fin.GN
The thermodynamics of markets is analyzed, revealing parallels with thermodynamic laws.
problem Understanding economic systems through thermodynamic principles.
method Derivation and analysis of thermodynamic laws applied to economic systems.
result Deep analogy between thermodynamic and economic parameters established.
Networks as Proxies: a relational approach towards economic complexity in the Roman periodphysics.soc-ph
Networks help map Roman economic complexity.
problem Mapping economic complexity in the Roman period.
method Using network models to visualize and quantify interactions.
result Network analysis reveals the complexity of Roman economic systems.
The study analyzes social and economic systems using bosonic and fermionic statistics.
problem Analyzing hierarchical social and economic systems.
method Intermediate Gentile statistics and derivation of thermodynamic laws.
result Introduces concepts like temperature and pressure for economic systems.
The seriousness of the current crisis urgently demands new economic thinking that breaks the austerity vs. deficit spending circle in economic policy. The core tenet of the paper is that the most important problems that natural and social science are facing today are inverse problems, and that a new approach that goes …
New interpretation reconciles country and product complexity.
problem Difficulty in interpreting Economic and Product Complexity Indices.
method Spectral clustering algorithm to separately group similar countries and products.
result Indices identify two co-clusters of similar countries and products.
Estimating the drivers of urban economic complexity and their connection to economic performancephysics.soc-ph
Model estimates urban capabilities driving economic performance.
problem Estimating the drivers of urban economic complexity and their connection to performance.
method Derived a model to infer capabilities from employment data, statistically superior to alternatives.
result The derived model explains known urban scaling and economic complexity results and correlates with economic performance.
Mean Field Games applied to finance and economics.
problem Modeling large populations in financial and economic systems.
method Mean Field Game theory applied to specific financial and economic scenarios.
result New applications in bitcoin mining, energy markets, and macro-economics.
A simpler measure of economic complexity derived from product diversity.
problem Economic growth theory's reliance on GDP as the sole indicator of a country's capabilities.
method Log Product Diversity (LPD) derived from a combinatorial model of production.
result LPD better predicts economic growth than conventional variables like GDP and human capital.
The algebra of transactions as fundamental measurements is constructed on the basis of the analysis of their properties and represents an expansion of the Boolean algebra. The notion of the generalized economic measurements of the economic quantity and quality of objects of transactions is introduced. It has been shown…
Paper explores econophysics applications to monetary economics.
problem Unequal distribution of money due to entropy increase.
method Statistical physics applied to economic agents.
result Highly unequal money distribution due to entropy.
Study uses Perelman and Ricci flow methods to analyze economic inequality.
problem Impact of socio-economic challenges and technological progress on economic inequality.
method Perelman model and Ricci flow methods.
result Technological innovations and social protection programs reduce inequality.
Economics does not need a scientific revolution. Economics needs accurate measurements according to high standards of natural sciences and meticulous work on revealing empirical relationships between measured variables.
Model predicts real-time job applicant numbers for regional economic analysis.
problem Real-time economic analysis using alternative data.
method Mixed-Frequency Aggregate Learning (MF-AGL) model.
result Model accurately predicts regional labor market conditions and economic status changes.
DRL enhances economic modeling with deep learning methods.
problem Complex dynamic business environments in economics.
method Comprehensive review of DL, RL, and deep RL methods applied to economics.
result DRL provides better performance and higher accuracy in economic applications.
New framework for interpretable firm characteristics factors.
problem Creating statistically efficient and economically interpretable factors from firm characteristics.
method Grouping related characteristics and deriving one factor per group, combining economic intuition with data-driven clustering.
result Parsimonious, transparent factors outperform benchmarks in out-of-sample tests.
Money as a Tensorq-fin.GN
Money analyzed as a multidimensional tensor for better economic policy.
problem Economic complexity and policy responsiveness.
method Tensor analysis of money dynamics.
result Enhanced economic policy design and resilience.
In this editorial guide for the special issue on econophysics, we give a unique review of this young but quickly growing discipline. A suggestive taxonomy of the development is proposed by making a distinction between classical econophysics and modern econophysics. For each of these two stages of development, we identi…
Our study shows that many firms would accumulate at zero output level (namely, Bankruptcy status) if a perfectly competitive market reaches full employment (namely, those people who should obtain employment have obtained employment). As a result, appearance of economic crisis is determined by two points; that is, (a). …
Examines financial risks' impact on EU-15 economic growth.
problem The impact of financial risks on economic growth in EU-15.
method Panel estimated generalized least squares method with additional control variables.
result Financial risks significantly impact economic growth in EU-15.
This paper explores how AI systems can learn moral behavior from economic entities.
problem Achieving moral behavior in AI systems.
method Analyses the analogy between machine learning and economic entities.
result Implicit specifications may work better than explicit ones for AI problems.
Developing an AI economist agent using RAG, knowledge graphs, and LLMs for economic scenario analysis.
problem Economic scenario analysis using large language models and knowledge graphs.
method Proposing an RAG-based AI economist framework that utilizes knowledge graphs and LLMs.
result Improves economic coherence and traceability in generated reports.