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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for economic semantics

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on Loughran McDonald Master Dictionary. The sampling included the words with high frequen…

2017-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper forecasts commodity price spikes using AI and economic news.

problem Accurate forecasting of commodity price spikes for economic stability.
method Hybrid framework combining historical data and semantic signals from economic news.
result Model achieves high AUC and accuracy in detecting price shocks.

Proposes a GAN-based model for semi-supervised text regression.

problem Predicting social and economic outcomes from unbalanced textual data.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for semi-supervised learning.
result End-to-end framework for predictions without high-level representation selection.

Hybrid method uses LLM to filter lead-lag relationships in prediction markets.

problem Challenges in discovering robust lead-lag relationships in prediction markets due to spurious correlations.
method Two-stage approach: statistical Granger causality followed by LLM semantic re-ranking.
result LLM-based method outperforms statistical baseline, increasing win rate and reducing average loss magnitude.

The semantic map calibrates uncertainty from language model probabilities.

problem Uncertainty in language model probabilities for professional decisions.
method Prespecified semantic map linking probabilities of verbal responses to probabilities of declared states.
result Language-derived probabilities outperform printed numerical probabilities and recover valid uncertainty coverage.

Alpha-R1 uses LLMs to reason about economic factors and news for better alpha screening.

problem Challenges in data-driven investment strategies due to signal decay and regime shifts.
method Reinforcement learning trained on 8B parameters to evaluate alpha relevance under changing market conditions.
result Empirically outperforms benchmark strategies and shows improved robustness to alpha decay.

New smart contract mechanisms evade traditional AML systems by decoupling transaction roles.

problem Current AML systems fail to track economic value migration in composable smart contracts.
method Introduce PEB separation and state-mediated value migration to demonstrate how traditional tracing fails.
result Transfer-layer observation is incomplete and causally ambiguous in composable smart contracts.

Semantic TrueLearn uses semantic graphs to improve educational recommendation systems.

problem Challenges in handling semantic and hierarchical structure in knowledge areas.
method Introduces a novel learner model that exploits semantic relatedness between knowledge components using a Wikipedia link graph.
result Achieves statistically significant improvements in predictive performance for educational engagement.

A new method measures heterogeneity without needing categorical partitioning or distance measurement.

problem Measuring heterogeneity in non-categorical data requires categorical partitioning and distance measurement, limiting applicability.
method Representational Rényi heterogeneity (RRH) transforms data into a latent space where heterogeneity can be measured without these requirements.
result RRH can generalize existing indices and better responds to changes in mixture component separation and weighting.

IdBench benchmarks semantic representations of identifiers, revealing strengths and weaknesses.

problem Evaluating semantic representations of identifiers in source code.
method Created a benchmark using developer ratings, evaluated natural language and source code embeddings, and compared lexical string distance functions.
result No single technique provides a satisfactory representation of semantic similarities, but ensemble models can improve performance.

LEAPS uses semantic models to improve reinforcement learning in diverse environments.

problem Generalizing and adapting to unseen environments in reinforcement learning.
method Hybrid model-based and model-free approach with a multi-target sub-policy and a Bayesian semantic model.
result LEAPS outperforms baselines in visual navigation tasks using diverse indoor scenes.

The paper shows how integrating categorical semantics can enhance unsupervised domain translation.

problem Improving unsupervised domain translation between perceptually different domains.
method Learning invariant categorical semantic features in an unsupervised manner and conditioning them on the style encoder.
result Conditioning the style encoder on learned categorical semantics improves translation and stylization.

Proposes a method to generate semantically meaningful adversarial examples.

problem Challenges in creating semantically meaningful adversarial examples.
method Captures semantics via manifold learning, perturbs using Gram-Schmidt process, and imposes adversarial constraints.
result Effectively generates adversarial examples that evade existing defenses.

This work provides uncertainty intervals for semantic latent variables in disentangled latent spaces.

problem Challenges in providing meaningful uncertainty quantification for semantic information in disentangled latent spaces.
method Uses quantile regression to output heuristic uncertainty intervals, calibrates these intervals to contain true latent values, and propagates them through the generator.
result Reliably communicates semantically meaningful, principled, and instance-adaptive uncertainty in image super-resolution and image completion.

Semantify-NN verifies neural network robustness against semantic perturbations.

problem Verifying robustness of neural networks against semantic adversarial attacks.
method Inserting semantic perturbation layers (SP-layers) into neural networks to verify robustness.
result Semantify-NN significantly improves robustness verification performance over p\ell_p-norm-based methods.

New diffusion models improve counterfactual image generation with semantic control.

problem Challenges in preserving identity, maintaining quality, and ensuring causal model faithfulness in counterfactual image generation.
method Integrates semantic representations into diffusion models through Pearlian causality, introducing spatial, semantic, and dynamic abduction.
result Demonstrates high-level semantic identity preservation and principled trade-offs between faithful causal control and identity preservation.

New approach uses SPG for semantic communication without a known channel model.

problem Designing efficient semantic communication systems without a known channel model.
method Applying Stochastic Policy Gradient (SPG) for reinforcement learning.
result Achieves comparable performance to model-aware approaches with a decreased convergence rate.

Service robots learn new tasks more efficiently with ISI, improving query performance and reducing training time.

problem Incremental learning of semantic concepts in multi-relational embeddings for service robots.
method Incremental Semantic Initialization (ISI) that allows new semantic concepts to be initialized in relation to previously learned embeddings.
result ISI improves immediate query performance by 41.4% and reduces the number of epochs to approach model convergence by 78.2%.

Unsupervised scheme ranks sentences in text documents based on semantic importance.

problem Ranking sentences in text documents without labeled data.
method Extracts essential words and phrases, constructs semantic phrase and sentence graphs, applies PageRank, combines scores, and optimizes for topic diversity.
result SSR outperforms individual judges and compares favorably with combined rankings on benchmarks.

SPAT improves adversarial robustness by preserving semantics in adversarial training.

problem Adversarial examples often have different semantics than original data, introducing unintended biases.
method Semantics-preserving adversarial training (SPAT) that encourages pixel perturbation shared among all classes.
result SPAT improves adversarial robustness and achieves state-of-the-art results in CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100.

Proposes CSG model to separate semantic and variation factors for OOD prediction.

problem Out-of-distribution examples cause conventional models to mix semantic and variation factors, leading to poor performance.
method Causal Semantic Generative model (CSG) based on causal reasoning, using variational Bayes for efficient learning and prediction.
result CSG can identify semantic factor and improve OOD prediction performance.

The paper uses differentiable rendering to generate semantic counterexamples for improving neural network robustness.

problem Neural networks' brittleness to semantic transformations.
method Differentiable rendering for generating realistic images that model semantic changes, combined with adversarial machine learning attacks.
result Semantic counterexamples improve generalization, robustness, and transferability of neural networks.

New framework detects near vs. far out-of-distribution samples for AI safety.

problem Binary OOD detection fails to distinguish between semantically close and distant unknown risks.
method Ternary classification based on Low-Entropy Semantic Manifolds and Semantic Surprise Vector.
result Framework achieves state-of-the-art performance on ternary OOD detection task.

Unsupervised segmentation learns features without labels, improving accuracy.

problem Discover and localize semantically meaningful categories in images without annotations.
method Separates feature learning from cluster compactification; distills unsupervised features into discrete semantic labels using a contrastive loss function.
result Significant improvement over prior state of the art on semantic segmentation challenges.

In iterative supervised learning algorithms it is common to reach a point in the search where no further induction seems to be possible with the available data. If the search is continued beyond this point, the risk of overfitting increases significantly. Following the recent developments in inductive semantic stochast…

2017-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

DCoM uses deep neural networks to detect semantic data types from raw column values.

problem Detecting semantic data types from dirty and unseen data.
method DCoM employs multi-input NLP-based deep neural networks trained on 686,765 data columns.
result DCoM outperforms existing methods significantly on 78 different semantic data types.

New algorithms improve semantic similarity in mobile datasets by incorporating context.

problem Traditional models fail to capture external context in mobile datasets.
method Developed new algorithms to integrate external features into sentence embeddings and semantic similarity scores.
result Applying PCA with eight components and appending multimodal features improves semantic understanding in tweets.