A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New eco-systemic prudential policies aim to finance green companies, reducing systemic financial risk.
Smart Close-out Netting aims to automate close-out netting processes.
Optimizes retirement income with MBGs and neural networks for longevity risk.
Inspired by the importance of diversity in biological system, we built an heterogeneous system that could achieve this goal. Our architecture could be summarized in two basic steps. First, we generate a diverse set of classification hypothesis using both Convolutional Neural Networks, currently the state-of-the-art tec…
In order to adapt to the liberalization of the financial sphere started in the Eighties, marked in particular by the end of the framing of credit, the disappearance of the various forms of protection of the State whose profited the banks, and the privatization of the near total of the establishments in Europe, the bank…
Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB (Exposed-Distressed-Bankrupted) model for the dynamics of liquidity shocks reverberation be…
We propose a new model of the liquidity driven banking system focusing on overnight interbank loans. This significant branch of the interbank market is commonly neglected in the banking system modeling and systemic risk analysis. We construct a model where banks are allowed to use both the interbank and the securities …
We take a closer look at the life and legacy of Micheal Milken. We discuss why Michael Milken, also know as the Junk Bond King, was not just any other King or run-of-the-mill Junk Dealer, but "The Junk Dealer". We find parallels between the three parts to any magic act and what Micheal Milken did, showing that his acco…
Novel method for multiclass ROC curves using multidimensional Gini index.
Unified framework maps financial market dynamics using TE and KM, revealing directional information flow.
Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.
GPflux simplifies deep Gaussian processes for Python.
For credit risk management purposes in general, and for allocation of regulatory capital by banks in particular (Basel II), numerical assessments of the credit-worthiness of borrowers are indispensable. These assessments are expressed in terms of probabilities of default (PD) that should incorporate a certain degree of…
The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk implements an asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model. Measurements from the ASRF model of the prevailing state of Australia's economy and the level of capitalisation of its banking sector find general agreement with macroeconomic…
Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a determining factor in measuring their health. Current models of company financial healt…
The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk plays an important role in protecting the Australian banking sector against insolvency. We outline the mathematical foundations of regulatory capital for credit risk, and extend the model specification of the IRB approach to a more g…
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
Measurement and management of credit concentration risk is critical for banks and relevant for micro-prudential requirements. While several methods exist for measuring credit concentration risk within institutions, the systemic effect of different institutions' exposures to the same counterparties has been less explore…
This paper reviews the economic and theoretical foundations of insolvency risk measurement and capital adequacy rules. The proposed new measure of insolvency risk is constructed by disentangling assets, debt and equity at the micro-prudential firm level. This new risk index is the Firm Insolvency Risk Index (FIRI) whic…
Study how firm liquidation regimes affect shareholder value and stability.
SwiGAN generates drought scenarios for climate risk management.
Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.
The study provides a practical strategy for pricing and hedging equity-release mortgages guarantees.
IDA makes DFMM's asset tradeable, enhancing cross-chain finance efficiency.
The theory of multilayer networks is in its early stages, and its development provides vital methods for understanding complex systems. Multilayer networks, in their multiplex form, have been introduced within the last three years to analysing the structure of financial systems, and existing studies have modelled and e…
Adapts GRPO for off-policy RL, improving reward.
Paper tackles efficient evaluation of natural stochastic policies in offline RL.
New framework studies policy learning problems under data scarcity.
New algorithms improve policy evaluation in reinforcement learning.
We study the problem of off-policy policy optimization in Markov decision processes, and develop a novel off-policy policy gradient method. Prior off-policy policy gradient approaches have generally ignored the mismatch between the distribution of states visited under the behavior policy used to collect data, and what …
Stabilizes policy optimization with off-policy data using divergence augmentation.
We consider the problem of off-policy evaluation in Markov decision processes. Off-policy evaluation is the task of evaluating the expected return of one policy with data generated by a different, behavior policy. Importance sampling is a technique for off-policy evaluation that re-weights off-policy returns to account…
New methods estimate policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.
Study designs logging policies to minimize off-policy evaluation error.
DSPI connects natural policy gradient to policy iteration, proving global convergence.
POTEC tackles off-policy learning in large action spaces, improving effectiveness.
Monotonic policy improvement and off-policy learning are two main desirable properties for reinforcement learning algorithms. In this paper, by lower bounding the performance difference of two policies, we show that the monotonic policy improvement is guaranteed from on- and off-policy mixture samples. An optimization …
Memory-efficient algorithm reduces variance in off-policy RL.
In this work, we consider the problem of estimating a behaviour policy for use in Off-Policy Policy Evaluation (OPE) when the true behaviour policy is unknown. Via a series of empirical studies, we demonstrate how accurate OPE is strongly dependent on the calibration of estimated behaviour policy models: how precisely …
Extends OPE to evaluate policies using diverse logging data.
PS framework selects best policy from library for CSO problems.
Entropy regularization improves policy optimization in reinforcement learning.
New method optimizes treatment policies to avoid winner's curse.
PBVFs generalize across policies using learned value functions.
Optimizes Thompson sampling policies using policy gradient methods.
Study optimizes portfolio allocation policies using off-policy data and constraints.
This paper extends off-policy reinforcement learning to the multi-agent case in which a set of networked agents communicating with their neighbors according to a time-varying graph collaboratively evaluates and improves a target policy while following a distinct behavior policy. To this end, the paper develops a multi-…
The paper interprets policy-gradient algorithms using continuation theory.