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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for early detection

Framework detects fake news using weak social signals from multiple sources.

problem Lack of annotated data for early fake news detection.
method Jointly uses weak social signals and clean data to train deep neural networks in a meta-learning framework.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art baselines for early fake news detection.

This paper improves neural network predictions with early stopping using conformal calibration.

problem Lack of precise statistical guarantees for neural networks trained with early stopping.
method Conformalized early stopping that combines early stopping with conformal calibration.
result Models provide both accuracy and precise inferences without additional data splits.

Paper proposes a hierarchical approach for early anomaly detection in time series data for critical health events.

problem Early detection of critical health events in intensive care units.
method A layered learning architecture that breaks the problem into pre-conditional and event layers.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches for critical health episode prediction.

Many online platforms have deployed anti-fraud systems to detect and prevent fraudulent activities. However, there is usually a gap between the time that a user commits a fraudulent action and the time that the user is suspended by the platform. How to detect fraudsters in time is a challenging problem. Most of the exi…

2018-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning to detect early COVID-19 from CT images.

problem Early detection of COVID-19 from CT images.
method Machine learning methods applied to patches of CT images, feature extraction (GLCM, LDP, GLRLM, GLSZM, DWT), SVM classification.
result Best classification accuracy of 99.68% with 10-fold cross-validation and GLSZM feature extraction.

EagerNet detects network attacks quickly with less resources.

problem Efficiently detecting network attacks with minimal resources.
method Proposes a new architecture that trades prediction speed for accuracy, evaluating only a subset of layers.
result Comparable accuracies to simple FCNNs achieved with early predictions, saving energy and computational efforts.

SRR detects early signs of financial crises using multi-layer graphs.

problem Predicting systemic financial transitions from evolving market interactions.
method Systemic Risk Radar (SRR) models financial markets as multi-layer graphs.
result Graph-derived features provide useful early-warning signals compared to feature-based models.

Machine learning monitors detect motor overheating, adapting to concept drift.

problem Early detection of motor overheating in ships' propulsion systems.
method Machine learning and statistical methods using historical data to adapt to concept drift.
result The proposed monitors provide early detection of overheating during and after concept drifts.

We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data, accounting for both the non-iid nature of the data and the fact that detecting subtle p…

2017-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a method to predict the latent deterioration phase in limit order books before stress is observed.

problem Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, making it difficult to detect the latent deterioration phase.
method The paper formalizes a three-regime causal data-generating process and proposes a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding.
result The proposed method achieves mean lead-time of +18.6 timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines.

Study uses DNM theory to detect early warning signals of market instability.

problem Detecting early warning signals of financial market instability.
method Applying Dynamical Network Marker (DNM) theory to trading data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
result Early warning signals of large price movements can be detected on a daily time scale.

Crowdsourced data helps detect incidents faster, balancing accuracy and practicality.

problem Detecting incidents from crowdsourced data is challenging due to noise and uncertainty.
method CROME (Crowdsourced Multi-objective Event Detection) uses CNN and Pareto optimization.
result The approach outperforms existing methods in incident detection and practicality.

Machine learning detects subtle glucose changes for early diabetes diagnosis.

problem Challenging early-stage diabetes diagnosis due to subtle glucose changes.
method Applied machine learning to synthetic glucose profiles generated by a biophysical model.
result High accuracy (above 85%) in detecting insulin resistance using various neural networks.

New method detects bearing faults using multivariate statistical process control.

problem Early detection of bearing faults in rotating machinery.
method Multivariate statistical process control charts applied to Fourier transform features of fixed-time batches.
result Effectiveness in detecting bearing faults across different conditions.

HyPV-LEAD detects cryptocurrency anomalies proactively, improving financial security.

problem Cryptocurrency anomalies like mixing, fraud, and pump-and-dump operations are hard to detect due to class imbalance and temporal volatility.
method HyPV-LEAD integrates lead time into anomaly detection through window-horizon modeling, Peak-Valley sampling, and hyperbolic embedding.
result HyPV-LEAD achieves a PR-AUC of 0.9624 on Bitcoin transaction data, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Random matrix theory explains transient signal detectability in early-stopped gradient flow.

problem Transient signal detectability in early-stopped gradient flow.
method Random matrix theory applied to gradient flow in a linear teacher-student setting.
result Transient Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition in learning dynamics due to anisotropy and noise.

A new control chart detects shifts in binary data streams quickly and reliably.

problem Early detection of small shifts in multiple binary data streams.
method Cumulative Standardized Binomial EWMA (CSB-EWMA) chart with exact variance derivation.
result Adaptive control limits ensure robust detection across different data distributions.

QC-SPHARM detects Alzheimer's Disease early using hippocampal surface geometry.

problem Early detection of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) using hippocampal surface geometry.
method Spherical harmonics registration, conformality and curvature distortions quantification, t-test feature selection, SVM classification.
result 85.2% testing accuracy on ADNI data, 81.2% on aMCI progression data.

Novel framework detects CKD in diabetic patients using sparse EHR representations.

problem Early detection of CKD in diabetic patients.
method Sparse longitudinal representations of EHR data.
result Proposed model achieves higher predictive performance than baselines.

Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.

problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.

Diabetic retinopathy is one of the most threatening complications of diabetes that leads to permanent blindness if left untreated. One of the essential challenges is early detection, which is very important for treatment success. Unfortunately, the exact identification of the diabetic retinopathy stage is notoriously t…

2020-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we seek methods to effectively detect urban micro-events. Urban micro-events are events which occur in cities, have limited geographical coverage and typically affect only a small group of citizens. Because of their scale these are difficult to identify in most data sources. However, by using citizen sens…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗