Proposes TPIS for early and low-cost TB vs. pneumonia diagnosis.
problem Challenges in differentiating TB from pneumonia.
method Two-step decision support system with stacked ensemble classifiers.
result TPIS outperforms other methods in early and final diagnosis.
ELECTS model predicts crop type early from satellite data.
problem Early decision-making in crop type mapping.
method End-to-end deep learning model with modular design.
result ELECTS reduces data requirements for accurate early predictions.
System predicts respiratory failure up to 8 hours early.
problem Early detection of respiratory failure in ICU patients.
method Machine learning on ICU patient monitoring data.
result System outperforms traditional clinical decision-making.
Optimal early liquidation strategy reduces financial losses during crises.
problem Substantial losses from simultaneous asset liquidation at depressed prices.
method Developed a worst-case approach for optimal early liquidation, considering uncertainty of other banks' decisions.
result Proposed robust optimal strategy maximizes liquid assets' value at clearing, even with uncertainty.
ScoreStop uses gradient tests to stop gradient boosting early.
problem Overfitting in gradient boosted decision trees.
method ScoreStop uses a functional score test based on gradients to stop boosting.
result ScoreStop is competitive with loss-based early stopping methods.
Detecting depression early from social media texts.
problem Early diagnosis and prevention of depression.
method Topic analysis and learned confidence scores.
result Achieved good results compared to state of the art.
Early classification improves satellite-based crop type identification.
problem Accurate early identification of crop types from satellite imagery.
method End-to-end trainable recurrent neural network with an additional stopping probability based on previously seen data.
result The model can distinguish crop types before the end of the vegetative period.
New method estimates variable importance for large models efficiently.
problem Estimating variable importance for large, opaque models is computationally challenging.
method Combining early stopping and warm-start techniques for scalable variable importance estimation.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates improved accuracy and computational efficiency.
TEASER improves early time series classification accuracy and speed.
problem Early and accurate classification of time series data.
method TEASER models eTSC as a two-tier classification problem, using a first-tier classifier to assess class probabilities and a second-tier to decide reliability.
result TEASER is two to three times faster at predictions than competitors while maintaining or improving accuracy.
AI system predicts acute critical illness from EHRs with explainability.
problem Lack of clinical interpretability in AI predictions for acute critical illness.
method Developed an explainable AI early warning score (xAI-EWS) system.
result System provides clinicians with insights into EHR data explaining predictions.
The paper studies early stopping methods in linear contextual bandits.
problem Minimizing in-experiment regret and conducting robust post-experiment inferences in contextual bandits.
method The study proposes early stopping rules based on the Opportunity Cost and Threshold Method, using variances of estimators to quantify upper regret bounds.
result The proposed method provides a systematic approach to minimize in-experiment regret and conduct robust post-experiment inferences.
Study builds an EWS for early detection of stock market turbulence.
problem Early detection of stock market turbulence.
method SWARCH filtering probabilities, two-peak method, LSTM network.
result 96.6% test-set accuracy and 2.4 days of forewarned period.
We present the Parallel, Forward-Backward with Pruning (PFBP) algorithm for feature selection (FS) in Big Data settings (high dimensionality and/or sample size). To tackle the challenges of Big Data FS PFBP partitions the data matrix both in terms of rows (samples, training examples) as well as columns (features). By e…
Using a fast numerical technique, we investigate a large database of investor suboptimal non-exercise of short maturity American call options on dividend-paying stocks listed on the Dow Jones. The correct modelling of the discrete dividend is essential for a correct calculation of the early exercise boundary as confirm…
A contextual care protocol is used by a medical practitioner for patient healthcare, given the context or situation that the specified patient is in. This paper proposes a method to build an automated self-adapting protocol which can help make relevant, early decisions for effective healthcare delivery. The hybrid mode…
This paper introduces a Decision Tree Learner as an early warning system for classification of the non-life insurance companies according to their financial solid as strong, moderate, weak, or insolvency. In this study, we ran several experiments to show that the proposed model can achieve a good result using standard …
New algorithm finds optimal decision trees for binary variables.
problem Greedy decision tree algorithms often produce suboptimal models.
method Analytical bounds and modern systems techniques co-designed for efficient search space reduction.
result First practical algorithm for optimal decision trees for binary variables.
Natural language processing predicts ICU readmissions with 74.8% accuracy.
problem Early detection of ICU readmissions to improve patient outcomes and reduce costs.
method Natural language processing of discharge summaries, machine learning classifiers, UMLS standardization.
result Best configuration achieved an AUC of 0.748 for predicting ICU readmissions.
The study clusters neighborhoods based on childhood vulnerability data and program retention rates.
problem Improving childhood outcomes and decision-making in early childhood development.
method Data-driven approaches combining public and private sources to visualize children's experiences and analyze program retention rates.
result Neighborhoods can be clustered based on childhood vulnerability, and certain programs have higher retention rates.
Deep learning uses ROC cost functions to improve virtual screening accuracy.
problem Challenges in training deep learning models for virtual screening, especially class imbalance and lack of ground truth labels.
method Proposes using ROC cost functions to optimize deep learning models for virtual screening, introduces new training schemes and cost functions.
result Demonstrates improved performance of ROC-based approaches on PubChem datasets.
Early detection of cyber-attacks is crucial for a safe and reliable operation of the smart grid. In the literature, outlier detection schemes making sample-by-sample decisions and online detection schemes requiring perfect attack models have been proposed. In this paper, we formulate the online attack/anomaly detection…
Machine learning detects regime shifts in online game-experiments with high accuracy.
problem Detecting regime shifts in online social systems.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees with memory-retaining features.
result Significantly outperforms standard early warning indicators.
New method controls false discoveries in online testing with deadlines.
problem Controlling false discoveries in online hypothesis testing with decision deadlines.
method Benjamini-Hochberg-type procedure over a moving window of hypotheses with adaptive threshold parameters.
result Controls false discovery rate at every stage and adaptively chosen stopping times.
Timber targets decision trees, outperforming existing attacks.
problem Poisoning decision trees to manipulate model predictions.
method Greedy attack strategy using sub-tree retraining for efficiency.
result Timber outperforms existing attacks in effectiveness and efficiency.
Chronological Causal Bandits (CCB) tackles dynamic causal decision-making.
problem Dynamic causal decision-making in a system where rewards depend on past interventions.
method Introduces a new MAB problem (Chronological Causal Bandit) where rewards are influenced by a dynamic causal model.
result Early findings show the CCB can transfer information between sequential MABs.
Aircraft engine manufacturers collect large amount of engine related data during flights. These data are used to detect anomalies in the engines in order to help companies optimize their maintenance costs. This article introduces and studies a generic methodology that allows one to build automatic early signs of anomal…
Improves classifier performance in multi-stage selection processes.
problem Difficulty in training classifiers in multi-stage selection processes due to varying sample sizes and information.
method Multi-Stage Transfer Learning (MSGTL) approach that uses knowledge from simpler classifiers trained in early stages to improve later stages.
result MSGTL outperforms other transfer learning methods in real-world selection process data.
There is a large literature explaining why AdaBoost is a successful classifier. The literature on AdaBoost focuses on classifier margins and boosting's interpretation as the optimization of an exponential likelihood function. These existing explanations, however, have been pointed out to be incomplete. A random forest …
Novel loss functions improve decision tree learning from noisy data.
problem Training decision trees with noisy labels.
method Introducing distribution losses and a new negative exponential loss.
result The negative exponential loss leads to efficient and robust decision tree learning.
Machine learning algorithms can be fooled by small well-designed adversarial perturbations. This is reminiscent of cellular decision-making where ligands (called antagonists) prevent correct signalling, like in early immune recognition. We draw a formal analogy between neural networks used in machine learning and model…
Novel ECG classification method using deep time-frequency representation and progressive decision fusion.
problem Challenges in classifying abnormal ECG rhythms due to broad taxonomy, noises, and lack of annotated data.
method Transform ECG signal into time-frequency domain, train scale-specific deep CNNs, and fuse decisions progressively.
result Effective and efficient ECG classification method validated on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Early hospital mortality prediction is critical as intensivists strive to make efficient medical decisions about the severely ill patients staying in intensive care units. As a result, various methods have been developed to address this problem based on clinical records. However, some of the laboratory test results are…
MNN improves American call option pricing accuracy.
problem Inaccurate valuation of American call options.
method Modular Neural Network (MNN) model.
result MNN model outperforms traditional models and FNN.
Model predicts option movements using residual transactions for better market timing.
problem Predicting option movements using standard metrics like open interest and trading volume.
method Analyzes residual transactions, integrates machine learning and regression techniques.
result Identifies early indicators of market trends for better option price forecasting.
Paper proposes a statistical approach for predicting lane changes in highway scenarios.
problem Early recognition of lane changes for automated driving.
method Prototype trajectories generated from real data using Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering. Maneuver prediction via Boosted Decision Trees and mixture model.
result Improved performance for lane change and trajectory prediction compared to a reference approach.
Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.
problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.
Adaptive AI delegation framework for dynamic decision authority allocation.
problem Dynamic allocation of decision authority to AI-generated recommendations under evolving evidence quality and uncertainty.
method Formulated as a Governance-Aware POMDP, using Bayesian inference for informational state estimation and sequential optimization for authority allocation.
result Sequential Bayesian governance provides the strongest general-purpose policy across AI-quality regimes, adapting to evolving evidence.
The well-known Ising model used in statistical physics was adapted to a social dynamics context to simulate the adoption of a technological innovation. The model explicitly combines (a) an individual's perception of the advantages of an innovation and (b) social influence from members of the decision-maker's social net…
Meta-MDP approach optimizes exploration for lifelong reinforcement learning.
problem Improving reinforcement learning performance across multiple tasks.
method Formulates exploration strategy as a reinforcement learning problem, leveraging patterns from related tasks.
result Optimized exploration strategy improves performance on new tasks.
Gradient-flow optimization is reinterpreted as a statistical inference problem.
problem Optimizing training duration and assessing model performance in deep learning.
method Develops a statistical framework for gradient-flow training, treating it as a random-effects model.
result Establishes asymptotic optimality for prediction and reduces reliance on validation splits.
This study improves AKI prediction precision using CNN on EHR data.
problem Improving early prediction of AKI in ICU patients.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) on EHR data.
result Best AUROC up to 0.988 on MIMIC-III and 0.936 on eICU data sets.
Big data analytics improves healthcare through early detection and quality life.
problem Limited access to healthcare data hinders evidence-based decision-making.
method Analysis of healthcare data using various tools and techniques.
result Big data analytics enhances healthcare quality and patient outcomes.
CoRAS adapts image acquisition rates for accurate reconstruction.
problem Determining when enough measurements are collected for accurate image reconstruction.
method Adaptive acquisition rate selection based on reconstruction error probability.
result CoRAS achieves target stopping-time coverage with fewer measurements.
This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the future disappointment from the realisation. The choice of over-optimism or over…
Framework for deferring decisions to experts in sequential medical settings.
problem Myopic and non-adaptive decision-making by ML models in sequential medical contexts.
method Sequential Learning-to-Defer (SLTD) framework using model-based reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive deferral policy improves trade-off between long-term outcomes and deferral frequency.
Early stopping improves logistic regression's calibration and consistency in high dimensions.
problem Improving the statistical performance of gradient descent in overparameterized logistic regression.
method Investigates the effects of early stopping on gradient descent in logistic regression.
result Early-stopped gradient descent is well-calibrated and statistically consistent, while asymptotic gradient descent is not.
The standard approach to supervised classification involves the minimization of a log-loss as an upper bound to the classification error. While this is a tight bound early on in the optimization, it overemphasizes the influence of incorrectly classified examples far from the decision boundary. Updating the upper bound …
Machine learning aids in diagnosing Parkinson's disease with higher accuracy.
problem Subjectivity in traditional PD diagnosis methods and missed early symptoms.
method Machine learning applied to various data modalities for PD and control group classification.
result Machine learning methods show high potential for improving PD diagnosis.