A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study of volume dynamics at market spread in Bitcoin/USD.
Survey of spectral theory and dynamics for infinite volume hyperbolic manifolds.
POSL predicts dynamic convection volumes in hemodiafiltration patients.
We study the variation of a smooth volume form along extremals of a variational problem with nonholonomic constraints and an action-like Lagrangian. We introduce a new invariant describing the interaction of the volume with the dynamics and we study its basic properties. We then show how this invariant, together with c…
This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture, physically connected to superstatiscs, which is intimately related with the current nonex…
Study circles to understand dynamics and rigidity in homogeneous spaces.
The volumes of strata of Abelian or quadratic differentials play an important role in the study of dynamics on flat surfaces, related to dynamics in polygonal billiards. This article reviews all known ways to compute volumes in the quadratic case and provides explicit values of volumes of the strata of meromorphic quad…
The paper explores the connection between Poisson-Lie structures and invariant volume forms in Hamiltonian dynamics.
We consider a stochastic model for the dynamics of the two-sided limit order book (LOB). Our model is flexible enough to allow for a dependence of the price dynamics on volumes. For the joint dynamics of best bid and ask prices and the standing buy and sell volume densities, we derive a functional limit theorem, which …
A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time , an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time to its own trading volume at its last trade. The price return is determined by the volume imbalance and number of trades. The …
The paper defines unimodularity for coisotropic Poisson spaces and discusses invariant volume forms.
Study reveals failure of uniqueness in dynamical invariants for 3D volume-preserving diffeomorphisms.
Efficiently simulates Langevin dynamics on manifold using diffusion maps and finite volume schemes.
The paper uncovers two key laws of market impact influenced by volume and participation rate.
Study the exponential map on surfaces using fluid dynamics.
We make several improvements to the mean-variance framework for optimal pre-trade algorithmic execution, by working with volume measures and generic price dynamics. Volume measures are the continuum analogies for discrete volume profiles commonly implemented in the execution industry. Execution then becomes an absolute…
The study reveals traders' risk aversion and a new risk premium from market volumes.
Motivated by empirical data, we develop a statistical description of the queue dynamics for large tick assets based on a two-dimensional Fokker-Planck (diffusion) equation, that explicitly includes state dependence, i.e. the fact that the drift and diffusion depends on the volume present on both sides of the spread. "J…
Proposes a Structural Matrix Autoregressive model for joint analysis of asset returns, realized volatility, and trading volume.
Using high-frequency time series of stock prices and share volumes sizes from January 2002-May 2009, this paper investigates whether the effects of the onset of high-frequency trading, most prominent since 2005, are apparent in the dynamics of the dollar traded volume. Indeed it is found in almost all of 14 heavily tra…
The low velocity dynamic of a doubly periodic monopole, also called a monopole wall or monowall for short, is described by geodesic motion on its moduli space. This moduli space is hyperkaehler and non-compact. We establish a relation between the Kaehler potential of this moduli space and the volume of a region in Eucl…
This paper studies a limit order book (LOB) model, in which the order dynamics depend on both, the current best available prices and the current volume density functions. For the joint dynamics of the best bid price, the best ask price, and the standing volume densities on both sides of the LOB we derive a weak law of …
Study dynamics of -multipliers on harmonic manifolds with exponential volume growth.
New method optimizes prediction set volume in conformal prediction.
Study finds meme stocks have unique price and social media dynamics.
In this paper we derive a scaling limit for an infinite dimensional limit order book model driven by Hawkes random measures. The dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator. With our choice of scaling the dynamics converges to a coupled SDE-ODE s…
Dynamic VWAP execution improves by 10-15% in liquid markets.
In this paper we study the high frequency dynamic of financial volumes of traded stocks by using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday logarithmic change of volume is described by a weighted-indexed semi-Markov chain model. Based on this assumptions we show that this model is able to reprod…
We study the dynamics of order flows around large intraday price changes using ultra-high-frequency data from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. We find a significant reversal of price for both intraday price decreases and increases with a permanent price impact. The volatility, the volume of different types of orders, the b…
We provide a variational description of any Liouville (i.e. volume preserving) autonomous vector fields on a smooth manifold. This is obtained via a ``maximal degree'' variational principle; critical sections for this are integral manifolds for the Liouville vector field. We work in coordinates and provide explicit for…
Reinforcement learning is explored as a candidate machine learning technique to enhance existing analytical solutions for optimal trade execution with elements from the market microstructure. Given a volume-to-trade, fixed time horizon and discrete trading periods, the aim is to adapt a given volume trajectory such tha…
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and find that it is closely related to trading volume as observed in real markets. Th…
The study examines stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics using Ricci flow.
The paper proposes a new order slicing strategy to reduce market impact in large-volume trading.
The signed volume function for polyhedra can be generalized to a mean volume function for volume elements by averaging over the triangulations of the underlying polyhedron. If we consider these up to translation and scaling, the resulting quotient space is diffeomorphic to a sphere. The mean volume function restricted …
Equity auctions show linear price impact up to a large volume, then non-linear.
Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and volume interact, particularly when the levels of both are high. We find that the…
The paper introduces a new price model based on entropy that better fits high-frequency market data.
The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We show that isochronic (constant trading time) MI is slightly convex, and isochoric (constant trading volume) MI is…
New framework uses trading volume instead of volatility for stock pricing.
Study on stability of mean curvature flow in hyperbolic space.
In this article we analyse linear correlation and non-linear dependence of traded volume, , of the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average at different value scales. Specifically, we have raised to some real value or , which introduces a bias for small () or large () values. Our r…
Chaos and nonlinear economic dynamics are addressed for a quantum coupled map lattice model of an artificial economy, with quantized supply and demand equilibrium conditions. The measure theoretic properties and the patterns that emerge in both the economic business volume dynamics' diagrams as well as in the quantum m…
In the seminal paper on optimal execution of portfolio transactions, Almgren and Chriss (2001) define the optimal trading strategy to liquidate a fixed volume of a single security under price uncertainty. Yet there exist situations, such as in the power market, in which the volume to be traded can only be estimated and…
We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science, statistical physics and sociometry provide insights on a wide range of discipli…
We show that a steady-state stock-flow consistent macro-economic model can be represented as a Constraint Satisfaction Problem (CSP).The set of solutions is a polytope, which volume depends on the constraintsapplied and reveals the potential fragility of the economic circuit,with no need to study the dynamics. Several …
Bi-contact surgery operations can be applied to Anosov flows.