In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results to static analysis using HMMs trained on sequences of opcodes, and show that dyn…
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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “dynamical analysis”
D2PCCA integrates deep learning and probabilistic modeling for nonlinear dynamical systems.
problem Analyzing nonlinear dynamical systems with probabilistic understanding.
method Combines deep learning and probabilistic modeling, using KL annealing and normalizing flows.
result Captures latent dynamics in sequential datasets with improved convergence and flexibility.
Proposes neural dynamic mode decomposition for end-to-end modeling of nonlinear dynamics.
problem Understanding and modeling nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Trains neural networks to minimize forecast error based on spectral decomposition in the lifted space.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in eigenvalue estimation and forecast performance.
Analyzes Indian commercial dynamism using time series data.
problem Understanding commercial dynamism in India.
method Time series analysis of various economic indicators.
result Detailed insights into growth rate, trade balance, etc.
Precise Dynamics of Diagonal Linear Networks: A Unifying Analysis by Dynamical Mean-Field Theorystat.ML
Unified analysis of DLNs using DMFT reveals dynamics of loss convergence and generalization trade-offs.
problem Understanding the overall dynamics of diagonal linear networks (DLNs) in neural network training.
method Dynamical Mean-Field Theory (DMFT) applied to DLNs.
result Derives low-dimensional effective process capturing high-dimensional gradient flow dynamics.
Proposes a Koopman operator method for time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear systems.
problem Challenges in time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Koopman operator approach for transforming nonlinear systems into linear ones, combined with deep learning for intrinsic coordinates.
result Robust and generalizable approach for time-dependent reliability analysis, superior to purely data-driven methods.
Wavelet analysis reveals non-linear dynamics in cryptocurrency prices.
problem Understanding non-linear dynamics in high-frequency cryptocurrency prices.
method Wavelet analysis of frequency and time variables.
result Cyclical persistence at different frequencies in cryptocurrency prices.
Improved dynamic regret analysis for strongly convex and smooth functions.
problem Analyzing dynamic regret for online learning algorithms.
method Improved analysis of the Online Multiple Gradient Descent (OMGD) algorithm.
result Achieved a best-of-three-worlds guarantee for dynamic regret.
Dynamic factor analysis reveals insights into Philippine stock market dynamics.
problem Understanding complex stock market dynamics.
method Dynamic factor model using Kalman method and maximum likelihood estimation.
result Common factors extracted from the model represent market trends and volatility.
We present a solution to an optimal stopping problem for a process with a wide-class of novel dynamics. The dynamics model the support/resistance line concept from financial technical analysis.
Deep learning improves chaotic dynamics filtering without ensemble.
problem Discovering efficient DA schemes for chaotic dynamics.
method Residual Convolutional Neural Network for the analysis step.
result Deep learning achieves ensemble filtering accuracy without an ensemble.
This study uses persistent homology to analyze complex transitional networks from time series data.
problem Lack of effective tools to summarize complex topology in transitional networks.
method Persistent homology from topological data analysis applied to coarse-grained state-space networks (CGSSN).
result CGSSN improves dynamic state detection and noise robustness compared to other methods.
Topological data analysis quantifies structural dynamics using persistent homology.
problem Analyzing the shape and topology of structural dynamics data.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) with persistent homology to quantify shape over scales.
result Persistent homology reveals significant changes in manifold shape due to damage, not temperature.
Enhanced AI analysis predicts S&P 500 stock dynamics using various financial metrics.
problem Predicting S&P 500 stock performance with complex interplay of factors.
method Advanced financial metrics, machine learning, and integration of traditional and modern analytics.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy in market behavior and investment strategies.
Study on liquidity dynamics in Uniswap v3 pools using statistical methods.
problem Characterize liquidity in Uniswap v3 pools.
method Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) and dynamic factor methods.
result Liquidity dynamics in Uniswap v3 pools are well-captured by a low-order Legendre polynomial basis.
Dynamical analysis of financial stocks network: improving forecasting using network propertiesq-fin.ST
Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.
problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.
Transformers learn rich in-context dependencies efficiently.
problem Understanding how transformers learn long-range dependencies efficiently.
method Approximation and dynamics analysis of induction head mechanisms.
result Abrupt transition from lazy to rich mechanisms during training.
Geometric analysis of nonlinear dynamics applied to financial time series.
problem Understanding dynamic properties of financial time series.
method Nonparametric filtering method to estimate vector fields and their derivatives from nonlinear oscillation models.
result Vector fields and their derivatives provide insights into the dynamic properties of financial time series.
Spectral decomposition of the Koopman operator is attracting attention as a tool for the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems. Dynamic mode decomposition is a popular numerical algorithm for Koopman spectral analysis; however, we often need to prepare nonlinear observables manually according to the underlying dynami…
Quantum dynamics reveals hidden geometric structure in data.
problem Understanding complex, high-dimensional datasets through geometric structure.
method Introducing semiclassical and microlocal analysis to data analysis.
result First tractable algorithm for approximating wave dynamics and geodesics on data manifolds.
This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.
problem Identifying latent variables in sequential data models.
method Proved identifiability of Markov Switching Models and established conditions for Switching Dynamical Systems.
result Identifiability of latent variables and non-linear mappings in Switching Dynamical Systems up to affine transformations.
We consider the dynamics of a smart grid system characterized by widespread distributed generation and storage devices. We assume that agents are free to trade electric energy over the network and we focus on the emerging market dynamics. We consider three different models for the market dynamics for which we present a…
Riemannian geometry improves protein dynamics analysis.
problem Efficient analysis of protein dynamics data in non-linear spaces.
method Developed a local approximation technique for geodesics and a smooth manifold of protein conformations.
result Geodesics approximate molecular dynamics trajectories and provide realistic summary statistics.
DeepONet accelerates reliability analysis of stochastic nonlinear systems.
problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with stochastic forcing.
method DeepONet, a novel operator network, learns function-to-function mappings.
result DeepONet efficiently and accurately predicts system responses.
The paper explores states of financial markets using correlation matrices and their dynamics.
problem Understanding the states of financial markets based on correlations.
method Revisits previous work and introduces recent developments in practical applications.
result Analysis of trajectories and symbolic dynamics in correlation matrix space.
Study analyzes stock market dynamics using recurrence measures and transitions.
problem Understanding transitions in stock market dynamics during crises.
method Recurrence plots and networks from nonstationary stock market data.
result Recurrence measures capture transitions in stock market dynamics.
We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution which characterizes the behavior of dynamical systems in certain situations, we…
Paper analyzes convergence of dynamic policy gradient for MDPs, improving performance in finite-time problems.
problem Optimal policies in finite-time MDPs are not stationary and require epoch-specific training.
method Introduces dynamic policy gradient combining dynamic programming and policy gradient, analyzes convergence for softmax parametrisation.
result Dynamic policy gradient training exploits finite-time structure, leading to better convergence bounds.
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
problem Lack of precise individual level prediction in conventional models.
method Developed counterfactual dynamic survival model (CDSM).
result Inflection point of estimated survival curves predicts patient failure time.
This work examines the stability of GD and SGD near minima, revealing nonlinear dynamics that differ from linear analysis.
problem The stability of optimization algorithms like GD and SGD near minima is not well understood.
method The authors derive an exact criterion for stable oscillations of GD near minima in the multivariate setting, considering high-order derivatives.
result Nonlinear dynamics can diverge in expectation even if a single batch is unstable, challenging linear analysis.
A new model explains relative spreads between economies using dynamic Nelson-Siegel and functional regression.
problem Analyzing and predicting relative spreads between economies in fixed income markets.
method State-space functional regression model incorporating dynamic Nelson-Siegel model and kernel PCA.
result The new model outperforms the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model in explaining relative spreads.
TOLD++ improves convergence of diffusion models by critically damping the forward transition matrix.
problem Improving the convergence of Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models.
method Critically damping the Third-Order Langevin Dynamics (TOLD) forward transition matrix using eigen-analysis.
result TOLD++ converges faster than TOLD, verified on toy and real datasets.
This research develops a dynamic risk management system for industrial companies.
problem Risk assessment and management in industrial enterprises.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis, systematic risk classification, dynamic system development.
result Effective risk management strategies formed through dynamic risk management system and risk assessment methods.
Study enhances cryptocurrency sentiment analysis using TikTok and Twitter data.
problem Lack of comprehensive sentiment analysis in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multimodal analysis of TikTok and Twitter data using large language models.
result TikTok's video sentiment influences speculative assets and short-term trends.
Optimal Dimensionality Reduction of Complex Dynamics: The Chess Game as Diffusion on a Free Energy Landscapephysics.data-an
Dimensionality reduction is ubiquitous in analysis of complex dynamics. The conventional dimensionality reduction techniques, however, focus on reproducing the underlying configuration space, rather than the dynamics itself. The constructed low-dimensional space does not provide complete and accurate description of the…
Neural signals are characterized by rich temporal and spatiotemporal dynamics that reflect the organization of cortical networks. Theoretical research has shown how neural networks can operate at different dynamic ranges that correspond to specific types of information processing. Here we present a data analysis framew…
Dynamic functional time-series methods improve forecast accuracy for foreign exchange implied volatility surfaces.
problem Forecasting implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets.
method Dynamic functional principal component analysis and multivariate functional time-series methods.
result Dynamic univariate functional time-series method shows the greatest improvement in forecast accuracy.
TV-SurvCaus improves causal inference for dynamic treatments in survival analysis.
problem Estimating causal effects of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes.
method Representation balancing techniques extended to time-varying treatment regimes with survival outcomes.
result TV-SurvCaus outperforms existing methods in estimating individualized treatment effects with time-varying covariates and treatments.
Algorithm identifies bilinear dynamical systems from noisy data.
problem Learning a realization of a partially observed bilinear dynamical system.
method Regression of outputs to highly correlated covariates for Markov-like parameters.
result High probability error bounds on identification algorithm under uniform stability assumption.
A framework for multi-label sentiment analysis in 100 languages with dynamic weighting.
problem Cross-lingual sentiment analysis in multi-label settings with label imbalance.
method Dynamic weighting method, focal loss adaptation, optimal class-specific thresholds.
result State-of-the-art performance in 7 out of 9 metrics across 3 languages.
Neuroscience is experiencing a data revolution in which many hundreds or thousands of neurons are recorded simultaneously. Currently, there is little consensus on how such data should be analyzed. Here we introduce LFADS (Latent Factor Analysis via Dynamical Systems), a method to infer latent dynamics from simultaneous…
Study cryptocurrency price dynamics using adaptive EMD and spectral analysis.
problem Analyze the time-varying volatility of cryptocurrency prices.
method Adaptive complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (ACE-EMD) and Hilbert spectral analysis.
result Reveal the properties of various timescales in cryptocurrency price dynamics.
Identifies most probable flows for Kunita SDEs in fluid dynamics.
problem Modeling stochastic processes with Eulerian noise and deterministic drifts.
method Equipping the domain with a Riemannian metric from the noise, solving the resulting PDEs.
result Most probable flows differ from deterministic flows, especially under noise.
A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time as the shape parameters of those at time , which are linked …
New method for analyzing brain dynamics using HMMs and graph models.
problem Limited ability of current brain models to explain spontaneous dynamic state changes.
method Hidden Markov Graph Models (HMGMs) and spatiotemporal random walks.
result Identification of important brain community structures.
We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical stability as well as transitions between different stable states are found. This comb…
KL annealing helps VAEs avoid posterior collapse and overfitting.
problem Posterior collapse and overfitting in VAEs.
method Theoretical analysis of learning dynamics with KL annealing.
result Posterior collapse is inevitable when exceeds a threshold.
New model analyzes dynamic correlations in stock returns.
problem Analyzing time-varying correlations in high-dimensional data.
method Dynamic factor correlation model with novel parametrization.
result Model accurately captures heterogeneous heavy-tailed distributions and dependent shocks.