Capsules learn from expert neurons using dynamic routing.
problem Training complex multidimensional neural networks.
method Formulated capsule networks as a product of expert neurons with dynamic routing.
result Capsule networks can generate realistic images.
A new method uses a product of experts with Dirichlet variables to approximate complex distributions.
problem Approximating complex distributions with tractable models.
method A product of experts with auxiliary Dirichlet variables, using a Feynman identity to sample and optimize.
result The method efficiently approximates complex distributions using a product of experts and Dirichlet variables.
New method calibrates Gaussian product experts for better predictions.
problem Erratic predictions and uncalibrated uncertainty in Gaussian product experts.
method Calibration via tempered softmax and Wasserstein barycenter for predictions.
result Improved predictions with better mean and uncertainty quantification.
The paper reduces BO evaluations using LF data to improve optimization efficiency.
problem High cost of evaluating BOF limits BO applicability.
method Posterior regularization with LF-GP model and DW-POE fusion.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art BO methods.
We present a new approach for learning compact and intuitive distributed representations with binary encoding. Rather than summing up expert votes as in products of experts, we employ for each variable the opinion of the most reliable expert. Data points are hence explained through a partitioning of the variables into …
uMoE trains NNs with uncertain data by embedding uncertainty into training.
problem Managing aleatoric uncertainty in NN-based predictive models.
method Divide and Conquer strategy, Expert components, Gating Unit.
result uMoE outperforms baseline methods in uncertainty management.
We investigate online classification with paid stochastic experts. Here, before making their prediction, each expert must be paid. The amount that we pay each expert directly influences the accuracy of their prediction through some unknown Lipschitz "productivity" function. In each round, the learner must decide how mu…
New method for disaggregate electricity demand forecasting at household level.
problem Challenges in forecasting electricity demand at individual household level.
method Additive stacking method for probabilistic disaggregate electricity demand forecasting.
result Improved accuracy in disaggregate electricity demand forecasting.
MM-DREX adapts LLM experts for financial trading via dynamic routing.
problem Challenges of non-stationary financial markets and static expert designs.
method MM-DREX uses a VLM-powered dynamic router to allocate expert weights and designs heterogeneous trading experts.
result Significantly outperforms 15 baselines across key metrics.
An unsupervised learning algorithm trains capsule networks for generating realistic images.
problem Training capsule networks for generating realistic images without labeled data.
method Developed an unsupervised learning algorithm using dynamic routing and an energy function for capsule networks.
result The algorithm successfully generates realistic looking images from a learned distribution.
N-BEATS-MOE improves time series forecasting by adapting to series characteristics.
problem Forecasting heterogeneous time series with varying characteristics.
method Mixture-of-Experts layer with dynamic block weighting.
result Consistent improvements across 12 benchmark datasets, especially for heterogeneous series.
Study improves stock price prediction using adaptive Mixture of Experts framework.
problem Tackles diverse volatility regimes in stock price prediction.
method Combines RNN for high-volatility stocks and linear regression for stable stocks with a gating mechanism.
result Achieves up to 33% improvement in MSE for volatile assets and 28% for stable assets.
Proposes a Varying-Coefficient MoE model for analyzing dynamic data.
problem Inadequate constant coefficients in MoE models for dynamic settings.
method Varying-Coefficient Mixture of Experts (VCMoE) model with varying coefficients in gating and expert models.
result Established identifiability and consistency of the VCMoE model.
PCGS-TF uses a Transformer to adaptively control expert switching in non-stationary environments.
problem Static regret is insufficient for strictly online prediction in non-stationary settings.
method Policy-Controlled Generalized Share (PCGS) with a Transformer as an update controller.
result PCGS-TF achieves the lowest dynamic regret in non-stationary families and expert pools.
New algorithm reduces expert prediction regret for two experts.
problem Efficient prediction with two experts under fixed time constraints.
method Optimal algorithm based on stochastic calculus techniques.
result Achieves optimal regret of sqrt(T/2π) + O(1) with O(1) per-turn processing time.
NAMEx merges experts using Nash bargaining for improved performance.
problem Sparse Mixture of Experts merging strategies lack a principled weighting mechanism.
method Reinterpreting expert merging through game theory, introducing Nash Merging and complex momentum.
result NAMEx consistently outperforms competing methods across various tasks and system sizes.
New method combines FMEA and Bayesian Network for root cause analysis in lithium-ion battery production.
problem Complex cause-effect relationships in lithium-ion battery production.
method Combining FMEA with Bayesian Network to detect and resolve inconsistencies.
result Holistic method builds large-scale cross-process Bayesian Failure Network for root cause analysis.
Optimal policies identified for learning systems with a malicious expert.
problem Adversarial attacks on learning systems combining expert advice.
method Analysis of offline and online settings, dynamic programming for online setting.
result Greedy policy is asymptotically optimal with approximation ratio for offline setting.
Study compares MoE and RNN models for stock price prediction across volatility profiles.
problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy across different volatility levels.
method Dynamic Mixture of Experts model combining RNN and linear models, adjusting weights through a gating network.
result MoE model outperforms individual models in reducing prediction errors.
The article improves prediction by aggregating Kalman recursions online.
problem Improving expert aggregation in prediction models.
method Using exponential weights and state-space models to aggregate Kalman recursions.
result New algorithms outperform existing methods in Kalman recursion expert aggregation.
Algorithm learns data structure in real-time with outliers and change points.
problem Sequential online prediction in the presence of outliers and change points.
method INTEL algorithm using WGPs and POE model for real-time structure learning.
result Significantly better performance than benchmarks in real datasets.
CoE modularizes LLMs for scalable, cost-effective AI systems.
problem Challenges in scalability, cost, and customization of monolithic LLMs.
method Composition of Experts (CoE) leverages multiple expert LLMs with a router for dynamic selection.
result CoE achieves superior performance with reduced computational overhead and cost.
Adversarial MoE learns category-specific models for product search.
problem Variations in product features and importance across categories.
method Mixture of Experts with adversarial regularization and soft gating constraints.
result Improved clustering of gate output vectors and shared experts among similar categories.
The paper analyzes convergence rates of softmax gating in MoE models.
problem The effectiveness and scalability of machine learning models using MoE.
method Convergence analysis of parameter and expert estimation under MoE with softmax gating and its variants.
result Theoretical results show polynomially many data points are needed for strong identifiability conditions, while exponential points are required for linear experts.
Unified approach to aggregating models and preferences.
problem Consistent aggregation of models and preferences.
method Formal definition and weighted averaging of models and preferences.
result All rational aggregation rules are weighted averages of highest-ranked models/experts.
Develops hedging algorithm for online expert weight allocation with delayed feedback.
problem Adaptive hedging strategies for online expert weight allocation with delayed feedback.
method General Hedging algorithm G \mathcal{G} G based on exponential reweighing of experts' losses. result Proves adversarial loss bounds for the General Hedging algorithm G \mathcal{G} G in the delayed feedback setting. In this paper, we derive a novel probabilistic model of boosting as a Product of Experts. We re-derive the boosting algorithm as a greedy incremental model selection procedure which ensures that addition of new experts to the ensemble does not decrease the likelihood of the data. These learning rules lead to a generic …
In this work, we propose a generalized product of experts (gPoE) framework for combining the predictions of multiple probabilistic models. We identify four desirable properties that are important for scalability, expressiveness and robustness, when learning and inferring with a combination of multiple models. Through a…
Algorithm learns expert weights to minimize regret in adversarial setting.
problem Learning to aggregate expert forecasts with no-regret guarantee in adversarial conditions.
method Online mirror descent algorithm for logarithmic pooling of expert forecasts.
result Achieves O ( T log T ) O(\sqrt{T} \log T) O ( T log T ) expected regret compared to best weights. Product models of low dimensional experts are a powerful way to avoid the curse of dimensionality. We present the ``under-complete product of experts' (UPoE), where each expert models a one dimensional projection of the data. The UPoE is fully tractable and may be interpreted as a parametric probabilistic model for pro…
Combines expert knowledge and data for efficient probability distribution inference.
problem Inferring discrete probability distributions using limited data and expert knowledge.
method A novel estimator that weights expert knowledge and empirical data.
result The proposed estimator is always more efficient than either expert or data alone.
Expert augmentation improves hybrid model generalization.
problem Limited generalization of hybrid models outside training distribution.
method Introducing expert augmentation to improve hybrid model performance.
result Expert augmentation improves generalization of hybrid models.
Framework for handling long-tailed multi-modal data.
problem Class imbalance and long-tailed distributions in multi-modal data.
method Multi-expert architecture with modality-specific networks and dynamic fusion weights.
result Framework outperforms existing methods in long-tailed, class-imbalanced scenarios.
ContextWIN uses neural networks and reinforcement learning to optimize decisions in dynamic environments.
problem Optimizing decisions in dynamic, context-aware environments like recommendation systems.
method Integrates a mixture of experts within a reinforcement learning framework to compute context-specific weights for decision-making.
result Enhanced efficiency and accuracy in Whittle index computation for each arm in RMABs.
Improved algorithm reduces regret in corrupted expert advice setting.
problem Prediction with expert advice in the presence of adversarial corruption.
method Multiplicative Weights algorithm with decreasing step sizes.
result Achieves constant regret and optimal performance in various environments.
With the increasing volume of data in the world, the best approach for learning from this data is to exploit an online learning algorithm. Online ensemble methods are online algorithms which take advantage of an ensemble of classifiers to predict labels of data. Prediction with expert advice is a well-studied problem i…
Reinforcement learning improves online matching by combining expert policies.
problem Efficient decision-making in complex systems like cloud services and marketplaces.
method Combines reinforcement learning with expert policies, using advantage-based weight updates.
result The orchestrated policy converges faster and yields higher efficiency than individual experts and conventional RL.
Personalized model improves ADAS-Cog13 cognitive score forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting cognitive changes in Alzheimer's Disease.
method Meta-Weighted Gaussian Process Experts (pGPE) model for personalized forecasting.
result Meta-weighting of expert models leads to significant improvements in forecasting accuracy.
We introduce a framework for analyzing transductive combination of Gaussian process (GP) experts, where independently trained GP experts are combined in a way that depends on test point location, in order to scale GPs to big data. The framework provides some theoretical justification for the generalized product of GP e…
A new method for sparse Gaussian process regression using correlated experts.
problem Sparse Gaussian process regression for large datasets with cubic computational complexity.
method Aggregating predictions from correlated experts to improve scalability and accuracy.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods for synthetic and real-world datasets.
Sharp bounds found on expert error in binary advice aggregation.
problem Aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts.
method Sharp upper and lower bounds on optimal error probability in asymmetric case.
result Sharp bounds recover and sharpen known results in symmetric case.
New algorithms reduce label collection for online prediction with expert advice.
problem Efficiently predicting binary sequences with expert advice using fewer labels.
method Adaptive selective sampling for exponentially weighted forecasters.
result Label complexity scales roughly as the square root of the number of rounds for a scenario with a strictly better expert.
Near-logarithmic regret per switch achieved for mixable/exp-concave losses.
problem Online optimization of mixable loss functions with dynamic environments.
method Online mixture framework using static solvers and hyper-expert creations.
result Near-logarithmic regret per switch with sub-polynomial complexity.
Enhances early-exit neural networks for anytime classification.
problem Lack of guaranteed prediction quality improvement with longer computation time.
method Post-hoc modification based on Product-of-Experts to enforce conditional monotonicity.
result Achieves conditional monotonicity in prediction quality, enabling anytime classification.
A new method for ILO with transition model disparity using an intermediary policy.
problem Learning tasks from expert observations with different transition dynamics.
method Training an intermediary policy to match the state transitions of the expert dataset.
result Our method outperforms existing ILO approaches with transition model mismatch.
We consider a variation on the problem of prediction with expert advice, where new forecasters that were unknown until then may appear at each round. As often in prediction with expert advice, designing an algorithm that achieves near-optimal regret guarantees is straightforward, using aggregation of experts. However, …
We revisit the classical decision-theoretic problem of weighted expert voting from a statistical learning perspective. In particular, we examine the consistency (both asymptotic and finitary) of the optimal Nitzan-Paroush weighted majority and related rules. In the case of known expert competence levels, we give sharp …
New state-only IL algorithm tackles MDP transition mismatch.
problem Transition dynamics mismatch between expert and imitator MDPs.
method Adversarial state-only IL with two subproblems solved iteratively.
result Effective performance improvement in transition dynamics mismatch scenarios.