A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method evaluates personalized treatment in critical care, robust to death.
In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, where is a standard Brownian motion. Truncated variation differs from regular variation by neglect…
New numerical method for non-linear asset price model with CEV volatility.
Truncated SGD with heavy-tailed noise eliminates sharp local minima.
We study how the presence of correlations in physical variables contributes to the form of probability distributions. We investigate a process with correlations in the variance generated by (i) a Gaussian or (ii) a truncated Lévy distribution. For both (i) and (ii), we find that due to the correlations in the variance,…
We give a microscopic representation of the stock-market in which the microscopic agents are the individual traders and their capital. Their basic dynamics consists in the auto-catalysis of the individual capital and in the global competition/cooperation between the agents mediated by the total wealth invested in the s…
Derives equations for deep learning biases and weights, showing data complexity reduction.
In recent studies the truncated Levy process (TLP) has been shown to be very promising for the modeling of financial dynamics. In contrast to the Levy process, the TLP has finite moments and can account for both the previously observed excess kurtosis at short timescales, along with the slow convergence to Gaussian at …
Combines ML and DA to infer unresolved scale parametrisation from noisy data.
UDN adapts depth to data complexity, outperforming standard neural networks.
Paper introduces TrufLL for language model training without labeled data.
We consider free and proper cotangent-lifted symmetries of Hamiltonian systems. For the special case of G = SO(3), we construct symplectic slice coordinates around an arbitrary point. We thus obtain a parametrisation of the phase space suitable for the study of dynamics near relative equilibria, in particular for the B…
TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.
The problem of an arbitrary truncated Levy flight description using the method of cumulant approach has been solved. The set of cumulants of the truncated Levy distribution given the assumption of arbitrary truncation has been found. The influence of truncation shape on the truncated Levy flight properties in the Gauss…
Deep learning has shown that learned functions can dramatically outperform hand-designed functions on perceptual tasks. Analogously, this suggests that learned optimizers may similarly outperform current hand-designed optimizers, especially for specific problems. However, learned optimizers are notoriously difficult to…
Efficiently estimate Boolean product distribution parameters from truncated samples.
Optimal algorithm learns Gaussian under halfspace truncation with minimal samples.
We introduce a dynamic credit portfolio framework where optimal investment strategies are robust against misspecifications of the reference credit model. The risk-averse investor models his fear of credit risk misspecification by considering a set of plausible alternatives whose expected log likelihood ratios are penal…
New method for constructing truncated vine copulas.
Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) minimizes the Euclidean distance between the data matrix and its low rank approximation, and it fails when applied to corrupted data because the loss function is sensitive to outliers. In this paper, we propose a Truncated CauchyNMF loss that handle outliers by truncating large e…
We compare our results on empirical analysis of financial data with simulations of two stochastic models of the dynamics of stock market prices. The two models are (i) the truncated Lévy flight recently introduced by us and (ii) the ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) processes. We find that the TLF well describes the scaling and i…
Paper proposes approximate Stein classes for efficient truncated density estimation.
Paper defines new risk measures for elliptical distributions.
Derivation of reduced order representations of dynamical systems requires the modeling of the truncated dynamics on the retained dynamics. In its most general form, this so-called closure model has to account for memory effects. In this work, we present a framework of operator inference to extract the governing dynamic…
Study develops smart contract framework for procurement under demand variability.
Improved neural likelihood estimation for SSMs with truncated-SNL.
Motivated by a recent result of Daskalakis et al. 2018, we analyze the population version of Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the case of \textit{truncated} mixtures of two Gaussians. Truncated samples from a -dimensional mixture of two Gaussians $\frac{1}{2} \mathcal{N}(\vecμ, \vecΣ)+ \frac{1}{2} \mathca…
New DP framework using data truncation for efficient estimation.
GER learns particle dynamics from unpaired snapshots using physics-informed GANs.
Variance-Calibrated Modulation (VCM) addresses the likelihood trap in LLMs by reshaping the probability distribution before truncation.
Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (VAR) process. Our Bayesian nonparametric approach utilizes a hiera…
Unified framework for mean testing under truncation bias.
New method scales inference for deep discrete models to thousands of states.
Score matching method improves density estimation for truncated data on manifolds.
New algorithms for stochastic linear bandits with heavy-tailed payoffs achieve nearly optimal regret.
Truncated backpropagation through time (TBPTT) is a popular method for learning in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) that saves computation and memory at the cost of bias by truncating backpropagation after a fixed number of lags. In practice, choosing the optimal truncation length is difficult: TBPTT will not converge …
Truncated densities are probability density functions defined on truncated domains. They share the same parametric form with their non-truncated counterparts up to a normalizing constant. Since the computation of their normalizing constants is usually infeasible, Maximum Likelihood Estimation cannot be easily applied t…
The method approximates stationary distributions of Markov models by truncating irrelevant states.
Paper tackles overestimation bias in continuous control, improving performance by 25%.
We consider an appoximation of a catenoid constructed from "odd" truncated cones that maintains minimality in a certain sense. Thorough this procedure, we obtain a discrete curve approximating a catenary by exploiting the fact that it is the function that generates a catenoid. In this investigation, the theory of the G…
Estimates domain truncation error for option pricing PDEs.
The discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection formulation, a representative of general dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection problems, does not satisfy time consistency in efficiency (TCIE) in general, i.e., a truncated pre-committed efficient policy may become inefficient when considering the corresponding trunc…
Choppy optimizes ranked list truncation using Transformer architecture.
In a previous analysis the problem of "zero-inflated" time data (caused by high frequency trading in the electronic order book) was handled by left-truncating the inter-arrival times. We demonstrated, using rigorous statistical methods, that the Weibull distribution describes the corresponding stochastic dynamics for a…
New COS method formula improves option pricing accuracy.
The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically d…
Lower bound shows super-polynomial gap for estimating truncated Gaussian means.
As in standard linear regression, in truncated linear regression, we are given access to observations whose dependent variable equals , where is some fixed unknown vector of interest and is independent noise; except we are only given an observation if its dep…