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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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82165247329 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dynamic shifts

HySRL improves RL sample efficiency with shifted-dynamics data.

problem Leveraging historical data with shifted dynamics to improve sample efficiency in RL.
method HySRL, a hybrid transfer RL algorithm that uses prior information on dynamics shift to achieve better sample complexity.
result HySRL achieves problem-dependent sample complexity and outperforms pure online RL.

STAD adapts models to evolving time-based data shifts.

problem Gradual distribution shifts over time challenge existing test-time adaptation methods.
method Bayesian filtering method that learns time-varying dynamics in hidden features.
result STAD excels in handling small batch sizes and label shift on real-world data.

New pricing algorithm learns demand curves and optimizes prices in dynamic markets.

problem Dynamic pricing in markets with incomplete demand information and shifting conditions.
method Actor-Critic Information-Directed Pricing (ACIDP) using IDS algorithms and auditing procedures.
result ACIDP outperforms UCB and TS in market environment shifts.

Framework LiLY recovers latent causal variables from time-series data under distribution shifts.

problem Learning and correcting models under unknown distribution shifts in time-series data.
method LiLY framework that recovers latent causal variables and identifies their relations from temporal data under different distribution shifts.
result The framework reliably identifies time-delayed latent causal influences from observed variables under different distribution changes.

Paper tackles dynamic label shift in online learning, achieving optimal performance.

problem Adapting to changing class marginals in online supervised and unsupervised learning.
method Develops novel algorithms reducing adaptation to online regression, achieving optimal dynamic regret.
result Achieves superior performance in various online label shift scenarios.

Discrete-time systems can be characterized by simple flat coordinates and their shifts.

problem Characterizing flatness of discrete-time systems.
method Developed a map from flat coordinates and their shifts to system state and input, fulfilling system equations identically.
result Derived necessary conditions for a system to be flat, without requiring differential geometry methods.

Dynamic memory prevents forgetting in continuous learning of medical images.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models over time due to domain shifts.
method Dynamic memory to store and replay diverse training data subsets.
result Dynamic memory mitigates forgetting without knowing when shifts occur.

High frequency limit for most of wave phenomena is known as quasiclassical limit or ray optics limit. Propagation of waves in this limit is described in terms of wave fronts and rays. Wave front is a surface of constant phase whose points are moving along rays. As it appears, their motion can be described by Hamilton e…

2001-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Workplace communications became more siloed during the pandemic, reducing stability within communities.

problem Understanding changes in intra-organizational communication networks during the pandemic.
method Analyzed aggregated email metadata from 4,361 organizations worldwide over 24 months.
result Organizations became more siloed in 2020, with decreased stability within silos.

Bayesian framework estimates label shift for improved classifier performance.

problem Label shift in supervised learning leading to degraded classifier performance.
method Bayesian framework with dynamic Dirichlet priors and online EM algorithms.
result Significant improvements in classifier accuracy over state-of-the-art methods.

Study on tracking preference shifts in dueling bandits problems.

problem Tracking significant preference shifts in dueling bandits problems.
method Analysis of dueling bandits with distribution shifts, focusing on significant shifts (Suk and Kpotufe, 2022).
result Design of adaptive algorithms with O(KildeLT)O(\sqrt{K ilde{L}T}) dynamic regret for certain preference distribution classes.

Proposes real-time risk monitoring for machine learning systems under unknown shifts.

problem Dynamic distribution shifts challenge real-world machine learning systems' risk assurances.
method Sequential hypothesis testing with 'testing by betting' to detect risk violations.
result Effective real-time risk monitoring under various unknown shifts.

EvoMSN tackles time series forecasting under distribution shifts by evolving multi-scale normalization.

problem Accurate long-term time series forecasting under complex distribution shifts.
method EvoMSN framework with multi-scale statistics prediction and adaptive ensembling for collaborative updating.
result Improves forecasting performance of five mainstream methods on benchmark datasets.

SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift, similar to a parametric oscillator.

problem SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift.
method Approximated learning system as a time-varying system of ODEs and characterized divergence/convergence modes.
result SGDm with fixed step-size can diverge under covariate shift, similar to resonance in oscillators.

This paper examines how adversarial perturbations affect model performance and equilibrium learning.

problem Adversarial perturbations and covariate shifts impact model performance and equilibrium learning.
method Characterizes the extrapolation region in regression and classification, analyzes dynamics of adversarial learning games.
result Establishes two directional convergence results: a blessing in regression and a curse in classification.

Theory of Newtonian dynamical systems admitting normal shift of hypersurfaces was first developed for the case of Riemannian manifolds. Recently it was generalized for manifolds geometric equipment of which is given by some regular Lagrangian or, equivalently, by some regular Hamiltonian dynamical system. In present pa…

2002-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a pair of invariants for actions of finite groups on shifts of finite type, the left-reduced and right-reduced shifts. The left-reduced shift was first constructed by U. Fiebig, who showed that its zeta function is an invariant, and in fact equal to the zeta function of the quotient dynamical system. We als…

2005-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning detects tipping points in complex systems.

problem Detecting abrupt shifts in complex dynamical systems.
method Equilibrium-informed neural networks (EINNs) trained on candidate equilibrium states.
result EINNs can identify critical thresholds in nonlinear systems.

A new method for deep learning under distribution shift by iteratively refining importance weighting.

problem Handling distribution shift in deep learning models when training and test data distributions differ.
method Dynamic Importance Weighting (dynamic IW) that iterates between weight estimation and weighted classification, using a pre-trained feature extractor and stochastic optimization.
result Dynamic IW outperforms state-of-the-art methods in experiments with various types of distribution shift on multiple datasets.

Paper tackles online adaptation to changing label distributions.

problem Adapting machine learning models to changing label distributions in real-world settings.
method Leverages novel analysis to show estimation of expected test loss is possible without true labels. Proposes adaptation algorithms inspired by classical online learning techniques.
result Empirically verified that OGD is particularly effective and robust to various label shift scenarios.

RAVEN improves weak-to-strong generalization under distribution shifts.

problem Weak models fail to supervise strong models effectively under distribution shifts.
method RAVEN dynamically learns optimal combinations of weak models and strong model parameters.
result RAVEN outperforms existing methods by over 30% on out-of-distribution tasks.

Method analyzes large-scale network data to detect communication pattern shifts.

problem Analyzing large-scale time-series network data is challenging.
method Temporal encoder embedding method using ground-truth or estimated vertex labels.
result Detects communication pattern shifts across all levels of network structure.

New method tracks significant shifts in nonparametric bandits.

problem Tracking significant changes in nonparametric contextual bandits.
method Proposed a notion of 'experienced significant shifts' to adapt to minimax rate without knowledge of change parameters.
result Experienced significant shifts count fewer changes than traditional metrics, leading to an adaptive algorithm.

We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.

problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.

Method improves simulation accuracy by mitigating distribution shift in hybrid systems.

problem Mitigating distribution shift in machine-learning augmented hybrid simulation.
method Tangent-space regularized estimator to control distribution shift.
result Marked improvements in simulation accuracy, especially for systems with high distribution shift.

ShapShift explains shifts in model predictions due to data distribution changes.

problem Prediction shifts caused by changes in input distribution.
method Subgroup Conditional Shapley Values applied to decision trees and ensembles.
result Simple, faithful, and near-complete explanations of prediction shifts across model classes.

RACER optimizes LLM-as-judge accuracy with dynamic reasoning selection.

problem Balancing reasoning accuracy with computational cost in LLM-as-judge settings.
method Formulates routing as a constrained distributionally robust optimization problem, accounting for distribution shift via KL-divergence uncertainty set.
result RACER achieves superior accuracy-cost trade-offs under distribution shift.

New framework for robust reinforcement learning policies in uncertain environments.

problem Robust reinforcement learning policies in environments with distributional shifts.
method Comprehensive modeling framework centered around robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs).
result Existence and conditions for the dynamic programming principle (DPP) in RMDPs.

Study proposes adaptive RL for dynamic portfolio optimization.

problem Traditional portfolio optimization models fail to adapt to regime shifts.
method Regime-aware reinforcement learning framework with hybrid observations and constrained reward functions.
result Transformer PPO achieves highest risk-adjusted returns, while LSTM variants offer a good balance.