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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · May 199319922001200920182026
48 results for dynamic predictive

POSL predicts dynamic convection volumes in hemodiafiltration patients.

problem Continuous, personalised predictions in personalised medicine.
method Adapted POSL to dynamically predict convection volumes using combinations of parametric regressions and machine learning.
result POSL outperformed candidate learners in predicting convection volumes with lower errors and better calibration.

Develops LSTM for predicting neuronal dynamics over long time-horizons.

problem Understanding and controlling complex brain behaviors.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network architecture for multi-time step predictions.
result LSTM improves short time-horizon prediction accuracy and multi-time step predictions of neuronal dynamics.

ASI allows models to skip unnecessary time intervals for sequential predictions.

problem The need for precise time intervals in sequential predictions.
method Adaptive Skip Intervals (ASI) approach to dynamically adjust prediction intervals.
result Improvement in both computational efficiency and prediction accuracy.

DArtNet predicts time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.

problem Predicting time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.
method DArtNet learns static and dynamic embeddings for graph nodes and encodes history information using RNN for joint link and attribute prediction.
result Improved time series prediction accuracy on five datasets.

Model learns Lagrangian dynamics from images for better prediction and control.

problem Lack of interpretability and applicability to high-dimensional data like images.
method Unsupervised neural network model that learns Lagrangian dynamics from images using a coordinate-aware VAE.
result Model infers interpretable Lagrangian dynamics, enabling long-term prediction and synthesis of controllers.

Super Learner combines dynamic predictions from various models to improve survival estimates.

problem Challenges in obtaining optimal survival estimates for liver failure risk.
method Super Learner framework combining machine learning and statistical procedures.
result Super Learner outperformed individual models in primary biliary cholangitis application.

MagNet uses neural networks to predict multi-agent dynamics from observations.

problem Predicting the evolution of complex multi-agent systems.
method Formulated a coupled non-linear network with ODE-based state evolution, trained a neural network to discover dynamics from observations.
result Orders of magnitude improvement in prediction accuracy over traditional models.

Predicting unobserved bifurcations in time series with unsupervised parameter extraction.

problem Predicting system behavior with unknown parameters from time series data.
method Reservoir computing framework for unsupervised extraction of slowly varying system parameters.
result Model predicts unknown bifurcations not present in training data.

Proposes a method to predict both time and mark of next event in marked temporal dynamics.

problem Predicting both time and mark of the next event in marked temporal dynamics.
method Uses a mark-specific intensity function to model the dependency between time and mark.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting marked temporal dynamics.

Bayesian neural networks improve cancer dynamics prediction.

problem Predicting cancer dynamics under treatment due to heterogeneity and sparse data.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model using baseline covariates and Bayesian neural networks for nonlinear interactions.
result Bayesian neural networks outperform linear models in predicting cancer dynamics with interactions.

Neural networks improve predictions of complex network dynamics.

problem Improving neural network predictions for complex network dynamics.
method Extended neural network models to complex systems, ensuring they conform to dynamical model assumptions and using a statistical significance test.
result Achieved advanced generalization of neural network predictions for complex systems.

MDGNN predicts stock prices by capturing multifaceted relations over time.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to dynamic and intricate relations.
method MDGNN uses a discrete dynamic graph and Transformer structure to capture multifaceted relations and temporal evolution.
result MDGNN achieves the best performance in public datasets compared to SOTA methods.

Study improves dynamic PT fleet optimization under noisy demand predictions.

problem Accurately predicting dynamic public transport demand for effective fleet management.
method Experimental case study in Copenhagen, using linear programming to optimize fleets.
result Optimized fleet performance is mainly affected by noise distribution skew and large errors.

Develops a new model for multi-scale nonlinear dynamics.

problem Interpretable descriptions vs. accurate predictions in modeling nonlinear systems.
method Tree-structured recurrent switching linear dynamical system with Bayesian inference.
result Models offer both interpretability and accuracy in predicting complex dynamics.

DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.

problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.

EvoNet predicts the evolution of dynamic graphs using a graph neural network and recurrent architecture.

problem Predicting the evolution of dynamic graphs is challenging and underexplored.
method EvoNet uses a graph neural network and recurrent architecture to predict the evolution of dynamic graphs.
result EvoNet effectively predicts the evolution of dynamic graphs on both artificial and real-world datasets.

DyRep learns dynamic graph node embeddings efficiently.

problem Efficiently encoding evolving information over dynamic graphs into low-dimensional representations.
method Inductive deep representation learning framework using time-scale dependent multivariate point process model.
result Significantly outperforms baselines on real-world datasets for dynamic link and event time prediction.

Study risk-controlling prediction sets for single trajectory data from dynamical systems.

problem Performance guarantees for risk-controlling prediction sets in single trajectory data from unknown stochastic dynamical systems.
method Used blocking and decoupling techniques to analyze performance guarantees under different data generating processes.
result Performance guarantees similar to iid setting when data is stationary and contractive, with graceful degradation otherwise.

Extremely accurate prediction of dynamical system bifurcations using control inputs.

problem Predicting complex bifurcation structures in dynamical systems.
method Extending extreme learning machines with control inputs to model system dynamics.
result The model can nearly reproduce the entire structure of bifurcations using only a few parameter values.

The paper addresses GP dynamics by improving simulation and prediction accuracy.

problem GP dynamics often underestimate prediction uncertainty, leading to safety issues.
method The paper introduces sampling-based and linearization-based techniques to account for the correlation between successive function evaluations.
result The proposed methods provide more accurate trajectory distributions and prediction uncertainties.

Study on fluctuations in neural network kernels and predictions, focusing on finite width effects.

problem Characterizing fluctuations in finite width neural networks.
method Dynamical mean field theory analysis of wide but finite feature learning neural networks.
result Fluctuations in kernels and predictions are dynamically coupled, leading to reduced variance in feature learning regimes.

Study estimates and predicts dynamic traffic OD flows for improved DTA models.

problem Estimating and predicting time-varying OD trip tables for dynamic traffic assignment.
method Bi-level optimisation for OD flow estimation and time series prediction for OD demand.
result High capability of proposed OD demand estimation method to reduce DTA model error.

Robot predicts future frames for navigating dynamic environments using LSTM autoencoder.

problem Predicting movement of objects in dynamic environments with moving obstacles.
method Multi-layer LSTM autoencoder network that reconstructs future frames conditioned on the agent's action.
result The proposed network generates future frames that can be used by reinforcement learning for navigation.

Universal online optimization for dynamic environments using uniclass prediction.

problem Online optimization in changing environments with dynamic regret.
method Reduces dynamic online optimization to uniclass prediction problem, allowing control over dynamic regret bounds.
result First paper with state-of-the-art dynamic regret guarantees for general convex cost functions.

Enhanced AI analysis predicts S&P 500 stock dynamics using various financial metrics.

problem Predicting S&P 500 stock performance with complex interplay of factors.
method Advanced financial metrics, machine learning, and integration of traditional and modern analytics.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy in market behavior and investment strategies.

Develops a neural framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems using trajectory-oriented approaches.
method D2D neural probabilistic forecasting framework using kernel mean embeddings and mixture density networks.
result The D2D model captures distributional evolution in chaotic systems and produces skillful probabilistic forecasts.

Modular method predicts motion in crowded scenes using learned environment models.

problem Predicting motion in dynamic, crowded environments.
method Modular model of spatial and dynamic aspects, unsupervised adaptation to new tasks.
result Comparable performance to state-of-the-art, transferable across tasks.

Proposes a recursive MPC scheme with probabilistic safety guarantees for uncertain dynamic systems.

problem Probabilistic safety guarantees for MPC in dynamic environments with unknown stochastic agents.
method Uses conformal prediction to derive high-confidence prediction regions and gradually relax safety constraints online.
result Ensures recursive feasibility of MPC schemes by relaxing safety constraints over time.

Predicting car sales using maximum entropy principle and proportional growth dynamics.

problem Predicting the sales of new cars over time.
method Analyzing 10 years of Spanish car sales data, applying Gibrat's law, and using the Maximum Entropy Principle.
result Car sales distribution follows predictions from the Maximum Entropy Principle for proportional growth systems.

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.

COLoKe adapts Koopman embeddings online, reducing overfitting and improving long-term predictions.

problem Online adaptation of Koopman embeddings to avoid overfitting and maintain long-term predictive accuracy.
method Combines deep feature learning with multistep prediction consistency in a lifted space, using a conformal-style mechanism for selective updates.
result Empirically effective in reducing overfitting and maintaining long-term predictive accuracy.