The investment economy is a main characteristic of prosperous society. The investment portfolio management is a main financial problem, which has to be solved by the investment, commercial and central banks with the application of modern portfolio theory in the investment economy. We use the learning analytics together…
The paper examines insurance market dynamics and optimal regulation.
problem Equilibrium outcomes in dynamic insurance markets.
method Analyzes three equilibrium outcomes: positive, zero, and market failure.
result Insurers may accept underwriting losses by investing profits, especially with negative correlations.
Dynamic rule-based investment strategies outperform static ones in pension schemes.
problem Managing retirement income with dynamic investment strategies.
method Rule-based investment strategies compared to dynamic programming.
result Rule-based strategies achieve higher probability of meeting retirement income targets.
Optimizes dynamic investment portfolios with correlated jumps.
problem Maximizing expected terminal wealth in a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps.
method Approximating CVaR with comonotonic bounds and maximizing expected terminal wealth.
result Improved optimization of dynamic investment portfolios.
Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.
problem Optimizing investment strategies over multiple periods with risk and return considerations.
method Developed a Bellman principle for discrete time multi-period mean-variance models, leading to dynamic optimal strategies and efficient frontiers.
result Dynamic optimal strategies can achieve higher returns with lower risk compared to the 1/n strategy.
Study optimal investment and reinsurance for insurance companies in a dynamic market model.
problem Optimal investment and reinsurance strategies for insurance companies in a regime-switching market model.
method Forward dynamic exponential utility, value function construction, proportional reinsurance optimization.
result Characterization of optimal investment strategy and proportional reinsurance level.
Study uses RL to optimize dynamic portfolios, addressing non-stationarity and constraints.
problem Non-stationarity and investment constraints in dynamic portfolio optimization.
method Reinforcement learning with regime change variables and practical constraints integration.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy through incorporation of regime change variables.
This paper optimizes DC pension plan investments using O-U process and loan.
problem Optimizing investment strategy for DC pension plans under specific market conditions.
method Dynamic programming and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation to derive optimal investment strategy.
result Explicit expression for optimal investment strategy derived.
Study optimizes investment strategies in volatile markets using machine learning and Bayesian techniques.
problem Enhancing portfolio management in volatile markets.
method Market segmentation into ten volatility-based states, real-time asset allocation adjustments using Bayesian Markov switching model.
result Dynamic portfolio achieves significantly higher risk-adjusted returns and total returns.
Model for optimal cybersecurity investment considering clustered cyberattacks.
problem Optimal investment in cybersecurity to reduce system vulnerability under clustered cyberattacks.
method Developed a continuous-time stochastic model using a Hawkes process, extended Gordon-Loeb model, solved as a Markovian stochastic optimal control problem.
result Investment policies that account for attack clustering lead to more effective and responsive strategies, improving upon static and Poisson-based approaches.
Enhances thematic investing with stock embeddings from textual data.
problem Challenges in constructing thematic portfolios due to overlapping sector boundaries and evolving market dynamics.
method Introduces THEME, a framework that fine-tunes embeddings using hierarchical contrastive learning, aligning themes and stocks using their hierarchical relationship and incorporating stock returns.
result Theme-aligned portfolios demonstrate compelling performance, significantly outperforming large language models in thematic asset retrieval.
In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process, reflecting an investor's dynamic preference. We show that the market risk premium …
The classical optimal investment and consumption problem with infinite horizon is studied in the presence of transaction costs. Both proportional and fixed costs as well as general utility functions are considered. Weak dynamic programming is proved in the general setting and a comparison result for possibly discontinu…
Derives formula for present value of future consumer goods multiplier.
problem Evaluating the present value of future consumer goods investments.
method Derives a formula based on geometric sequence and investigates macroeconomic implications.
result The present value of the future consumer goods multiplier is close to one.
Study optimal investment strategies for an insurer in two currency markets.
problem Maximizing expected exponential utility of terminal wealth for an insurer in two currency markets.
method Dynamic programming method applied to solve Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations.
result Optimal investment strategies and value functions are derived.
We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This captures the fact that correlations determine the optimal portfolio but are affe…
Optimal healthcare investment timing in a dynamic model with mortality risk.
problem Optimal timing of healthcare investment to reduce mortality risk.
method Dynamic framework, stochastic control, optimal stopping problem, dual transformation.
result Characterization of the optimal investment boundary and numerical solutions.
The paper models insurance market dynamics under uncertainty and financial frictions.
problem Modeling insurer behavior under uncertainty and financial frictions.
method Dynamic equilibrium model of insurance market with competitive insurers maximizing shareholder value.
result Investment can lead to lower insurance prices and negative loadings under certain conditions.
Optimal insurance and investment strategy under exponential preferences in a correlated market model.
problem Optimal investment and reinsurance strategy for an insurance company under exponential preferences.
method Stochastic control techniques to construct a forward dynamic exponential utility and characterize the optimal strategy.
result Characterization of the optimal investment and reinsurance strategy in a correlated market model.
The paper analyzes strategic irreversible investments with novel dynamic strategies.
problem Tradeoff between preemption incentives and option value of waiting in oligopolistic markets.
method Developed novel Markov perfect equilibrium to handle singular control of optimal investment.
result Simpler strategies lead to a 'preemption trap' with zero net present values.
This paper assesses the role of financial performance in explaining firms' investment dynamics in the wine industry from the three European Union (EU) largest producers. The wine sector deserves special attention to investigate firms' investment behavior given the high competition imposed by the latecomers. More precis…
A neural network approach solves dynamic portfolio optimization without dynamic programming.
problem Dynamic portfolio optimization with multiple constraints and high rebalancing frequency.
method Parsimonious neural network without dynamic programming, avoiding high-dimensional expectations.
result Proves convergence to theoretical optimal solution under general conditions.
Investment strategy optimized for ambiguity and interest rate risk.
problem Dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and ambiguity.
method Closed-form solution for optimal investment strategy.
result Ambiguity affects speculative motives, not hedging of interest rate risk.
This paper investigates the relationship between private and public investment in R&D, while taking into account the effect of several instruments policies such as subsidies and taxes. We design a new look of knowledge spillovers and R&D cooperation to explain the contribution of public and private R&D on growth. We pr…
Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.
problem Maximizing expected utility across all capital levels in an insurance company's investment strategy.
method Dynamic Programming Principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of optimal investment strategy proven under certain conditions.
Investor and firm optimize sustainable investment and emission reduction through a dynamic game.
problem Optimal sustainable investment and emission reduction in a dynamic game setting.
method Formulated as a nonzero-sum dynamic game, solved via variational inequalities and verified in a diffusive setup.
result Nash equilibria show moving boundaries increasing with emission abatement, triggered by both investor and firm actions.
AlphaForge mines and dynamically combines alpha factors for better investment performance.
problem Inconsistency and inflexibility of fixed factor weights in alpha factor mining.
method Generative-predictive neural network for factor generation and dynamic weight adjustment.
result Demonstrated superior performance in formulaic alpha factor mining and portfolio returns.
Solves VaR-constrained portfolio optimization in markets with stochastic volatility.
problem Optimizing portfolio in markets with stochastic volatility under VaR constraints.
method Dynamic programming approach to Heston's stochastic volatility model.
result Optimal investment strategy linked to unconstrained problem via a vega-neutral derivative.
This paper defines systematic value investing as an empirical optimization problem. Predictive modeling is introduced as a systematic value investing methodology with dynamic and optimization features. A predictive modeling process is demonstrated using financial metrics from Gray & Carlisle and Buffett & Clark. A 31-y…
New model improves portfolio selection by analyzing tensor data.
problem Improving portfolio selection through better analysis of style returns.
method Introducing a tensor dynamic conditional correlation (TDCC) model with trace-normalization and dimension-normalization.
result The TDCC model enhances portfolio selection across multiple markets.
Study insurance pricing under correlation ambiguity without increasing prices or reducing utility.
problem Understanding the dependence structure between insurance and financial risks.
method Dynamic equilibrium analysis of insurance pricing with worst-case beliefs.
result Correlation ambiguity does not necessarily increase insurance prices or reduce insurers' utility.
MDGNN predicts stock prices by capturing multifaceted relations over time.
problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to dynamic and intricate relations.
method MDGNN uses a discrete dynamic graph and Transformer structure to capture multifaceted relations and temporal evolution.
result MDGNN achieves the best performance in public datasets compared to SOTA methods.
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
problem Designing optimal pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
method Dynamic utility model, stochastic domain, overlapping generations, time-consistent decision criterion.
result Optimal investment/pension policy computed for a general framework.
Investment diversification affects financial stability, depending on network connectivity.
problem Analyzing stability of financial networks with diversified portfolios.
method Random matrix dynamical model with portfolio rebalancing, considering heterogeneity and diversification effects.
result Stability/instability transition depends on the largest eigenvalue of the random matrix.
Investment strategies derived from commodity futures curves exploit dynamics in price movements.
problem Modeling and predicting the term structure of commodity futures prices.
method Employed the Nelson-Siegel framework to model term structure, and developed investment strategies based on changes in slope and curvature parameters.
result Significant profits generated from systematic strategies based on the change in slope, unrelated to risk factors and robust to transaction costs.
In this paper, we propose an innovative investment framework incorporating asset allocation and class diversification oriented specifically for the biotechnology industry. With growing interests and capitalization in multiple biotech markets, investors require a more dynamic method of managing their assets within indiv…
For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming. However, this assumes a known distribution for the parameters of the financial time se…
This study analyzes dynamic connectedness in global supply chain infrastructure portfolios, identifying key risk factors and extreme events.
problem Understanding dynamic connectedness in global supply chain infrastructure portfolios under various risk factors and extreme events.
method Time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model to study spillover and interconnectedness of risk factors.
result Risk shocks influence dynamic connectedness between portfolios and risk factors, and extreme events affect investment outcomes.
Investment and insurance decisions are studied in a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
problem Investment and insurance decisions under a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
method Dynamic programming approach to find optimality conditions.
result Agent can choose to assume, partially assume, or purchase total insurance against adverse jumps in wealth.
Investigates fund separations and stability for long-term optimal investments.
problem Optimizing long-term investments in an incomplete market with risky and safe assets.
method Analyzes three market models with different state variable processes to find optimal portfolios and prove convergence stability.
result Dynamic optimal portfolios converge to static portfolios over time, with vanishing sensitivities in the long run.
We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However, unemployment, investment, consumption, and inflation are interlinked. Understanding dynamic…
Study examines ETFs for Pakistan exposure, highlighting risks and performance.
problem Investment risks and performance in Pakistan-exposed ETFs.
method Historical and dynamic optimization analyses of 30 ETFs.
result Dynamic optimization offers improved performance metrics.
Investors can enhance their portfolios by strategically using LETFs, especially with dynamic strategies.
problem Unsuitability of passive or static approaches to LETFs leads to undesirable risk-return profiles.
method Demonstrated the effectiveness of simple dynamic strategies in exploiting favorable Omega ratio dynamics.
result Dynamic strategies can exploit the compounding effect of LETFs, improving risk-return profiles.
We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes into account (i) the price formation delay between decision and investment by the …
We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small transaction costs, we derive simple formal asymptotics for the optimal policy and welfa…
Investor optimizes stock investments with noisy future price signals.
problem Optimizing stock investments with uncertain future stock prices.
method Dynamic investment strategy with partial observation of Brownian motion.
result Closed-form solution for optimal investment problem.
On a daily investment decision in a security market, the price earnings (PE) ratio is one of the most widely applied methods being used as a firm valuation tool by investment experts. Unfortunately, recent academic developments in financial econometrics and machine learning rarely look at this tool. In practice, fundam…
Dynamic portfolio strategy using generative model with attention mechanism.
problem Dynamic modeling of multivariate stock returns with tail-side properties.
method Dynamic generative factor model using Attention-GRU network for dynamic learning and forecasting.
result The proposed model leads to wiser investments with higher reward-risk ratios and lower tail risks.