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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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72145217289 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dynamic inconsistency

Aux-Net model handles dynamic systems with inconsistent inputs.

problem Inconsistent or unreliable input data in real-world scenarios.
method Aux-Net uses a weighted ensemble of classifiers and online gradient descent.
result Aux-Net provides scalable and agile online learning for dynamic systems.

We analyse a period spanning 35 years of activity in the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOVESPA) and show that the Heston model with stochastic volatility is capable of explaining price fluctuations for time scales ranging from 5 minutes to 100 days with a single set of parameters. We also show that the Heston model …

2004-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper solves TIC LQ control problems using stochastic differential games.

problem Time-inconsistent linear-quadratic stochastic control problems.
method Stochastic differential games, spike variation approach.
result Achieves Nash equilibrium for TIC problems, demonstrating impact of ambiguity aversion.

Unified approach to time-inconsistent problems with distribution-dependent rewards.

problem Time-inconsistent problems with distribution-dependent rewards in behavioral finance and economics.
method Equilibrium master equation on Wasserstein space, refined derivatives, Itô's formula.
result Unified approach to find equilibrium solutions for time-inconsistent problems.

The paper studies optimal investment using acceptability indices to maximize portfolio performance.

problem Optimal investment problem using coherent acceptability indices.
method Numerical algorithm approximating the original problem, dynamic coherent risk measures, set-valued Bellman's principle.
result Acceptability maximization problem reduces to a one-period problem under certain conditions.

We solve a continuous-time game-theoretic problem for Kihlstrom-Mirman preferences.

problem Dynamic inconsistency in preferences due to multiattribute utility theory.
method Formalized an equilibrium control theory for continuous-time Markov processes.
result Equilibrium strategy and value function as solution to extended HJB system.

The literature postulates that the dynamic time warping (dtw) distance can cope with temporal variations but stores and processes time series in a form as if the dtw-distance cannot cope with such variations. To address this inconsistency, we first show that the dtw-distance is not warping-invariant. The lack of warpin…

2019-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new notion of conditional nonlinear expectation under probability distortion. Such a distorted nonlinear expectation is not sub-additive in general, so it is beyond the scope of Peng's framework of nonlinear expectations. A more fundamental problem when extending the distorted expectation to a dynamic se…

2018-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper solves stochastic control problems with implicit objectives, finding equilibrium strategies.

problem Stochastic control problems with implicitly defined objectives leading to time-inconsistency.
method Closed-loop equilibrium solutions in a controlled diffusion framework, providing sufficient and necessary conditions.
result Explicit characterization of equilibrium portfolio strategies in terms of ordinary differential equations.

Proposes a robust equilibrium strategy for mean-variance portfolio selection.

problem Time-inconsistency in mean-variance portfolio selection.
method Introduces a novel definition of robust equilibrium strategy and solves the corresponding PDE system.
result A classical solution to the PDE system implies a robust equilibrium strategy.

We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent surrogates. Our key technical contribution consists in a new lower bound on the ca…

2018-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper solves a portfolio selection problem in incomplete markets by balancing utility and risk.

problem Time-inconsistent portfolio selection in incomplete markets.
method Characterizes equilibrium via a coupled quadratic BSDE system, introduces approximate equilibrium for general cases.
result Established existence theory for equilibrium strategies in special and general cases.

We consider portfolio selection when decisions based on a dynamic risk measure are affected by the use of a moving horizon, and the possible inconsistencies that this creates. By giving a formal treatment of time consistency which is independent of Bellman's equations, we show that there is a new sense in which these d…

2009-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study solves HJB equations for time-inconsistent control problems.

problem Time-inconsistent deterministic linear quadratic control problems.
method Characterized solutions using Riccati equations with integral terms, proving uniqueness.
result Uniqueness of solutions to equilibrium HJB equations proved.

This paper tackles objective inconsistency in federated optimization with heterogeneous clients.

problem Objective inconsistency due to heterogeneity in clients' datasets and computation speeds.
method General framework for analyzing federated heterogeneous optimization algorithms, including FedAvg and FedProx, and proposing FedNova.
result FedNova eliminates objective inconsistency while preserving fast error convergence.

Study time-inconsistent portfolio optimization for competitive agents with relative performance criteria.

problem Time-inconsistent mean field and n-agent games under relative performance criteria.
method Construct open-loop equilibrium strategies for n-agent games and mean field games.
result Explicit solutions for n-agent games and mean field games, unique in a special class of equilibria.

Develops a reinforcement learning algorithm for learning deterministic equilibrium policies in time-inconsistent control problems.

problem Learning equilibrium policies in time-inconsistent control problems.
method Continuous-time model-free reinforcement learning algorithm using deterministic policy gradient approach.
result Learned equilibrium policies in general time-inconsistent control problems.

Inspired by recent work of P.-L. Lions on conditional optimal control, we introduce a problem of optimal stopping under bounded rationality: the objective is the expected payoff at the time of stopping, conditioned on another event. For instance, an agent may care only about states where she is still alive at the time …

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper solves a complex portfolio selection problem with time-inconsistent preferences.

problem Time-inconsistent preferences in portfolio selection.
method Unified framework with minimal assumptions, proving existence and uniqueness of solution.
result Existence and uniqueness of square-integrable solution for the integral equation.

We consider continuous-time stochastic optimal control problems featuring Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in the objective. The major difficulty in these problems arises from time-inconsistency, which prevents us from directly using dynamic programming. To resolve this challenge, we convert to an equivalent bilevel op…

2015-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new multi-view graph learning framework to model consistency and inconsistency.

problem Graph learning methods often neglect inconsistency across multiple views, making them vulnerable to noisy datasets.
method Proposes a unified objective function to simultaneously model consistency and inconsistency, iteratively learning consistent and unified graphs.
result Demonstrates robustness and efficiency of the proposed approach on twelve multi-view datasets.

Separable losses are inconsistent for structured prediction models.

problem Inconsistency of separable losses in structured prediction models.
method Analysis of separable negative log-likelihood losses for structured prediction.
result Separable losses are not Bayes consistent and may not predict the most probable structure.

Paper proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal systems, generalizing stochastic game theory.

problem Time inconsistency in stochastic differential games.
method Proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal fully-nonlinear parabolic systems.
result Generalizes stochastic game theory to include time-inconsistent preferences.

Parallel neural network training yields better long-term prediction accuracy.

problem Choosing the right training strategy for neural networks in dynamical systems.
method Comparison of parallel and series-parallel training strategies on five neural network architectures and two examples.
result Parallel training consistently outperforms series-parallel training in long-term prediction accuracy.

The paper tackles inconsistency in removal-based explanations and proposes methods to reduce it.

problem Inconsistency in removal-based explanations.
method Established the Impossible Trinity Theorem and proposed two novel algorithms to minimize interpretation error.
result The proposed methods achieve a substantial reduction in interpretation error, up to 31.8 times lower.

The paper solves portfolio selection for complex preferences in continuous time.

problem Dynamic portfolio selection for nonlinear preferences with time inconsistency.
method Stochastic maximum principle and verification theorems for equilibrium strategies.
result Equilibrium strategies derived in closed form for CRRA and CARA preferences.

We consider a general time-inconsistent stochastic linear-quadratic differential game. The time-inconsistency arises from the presence of quadratic terms of the expected state as well as state-dependent term in the objective functionals. We define an equilibrium strategy, which is different from the classical one, and …

2016-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New method detects inconsistencies in AHP matrices using triadic preference reversals.

problem Challenges in assessing consistency in AHP pairwise comparison matrices.
method Triadic preference reversals to detect inconsistencies between pairs of elements.
result 97% accuracy in detecting inconsistencies, significantly surpassing traditional methods.

Improved robust latent variable estimation for neural dynamics.

problem Inconsistent results due to noise and nonlinearity in existing models.
method Probabilistic approach to latent variable estimation in decomposed models.
result More accurate latent variable inference in nonlinear systems with diverse noise conditions.

The paper analyzes optimal dividend and capital injection strategies under time-inconsistent preferences.

problem Optimal dividend and capital injection strategies under time-inconsistent preferences.
method Diffusion risk model with general discount functions, weak equilibrium definition, HJB equation system.
result Explicit solutions and threshold types of optimal strategies derived under different discount functions.

This survey clarifies dynamic network terminology and reviews GNN models for dynamic networks.

problem Ambiguity in dynamic network terminology and lack of GNN models for dynamic networks.
method Established consistent terminology and notation for dynamic networks, reviewed GNN models.
result Comprehensive survey of dynamic graph neural network models.

Paper addresses inconsistency between offline and online LTR performance.

problem Inconsistency between offline and online LTR performance in E-commerce.
method Proposes an evaluator-generator framework to maximize evaluator score using reinforcement learning.
result Significant improvement in Conversion Rate (CR) over existing models.

New framework uses simplicial and categorical methods to detect market inconsistencies.

problem Detecting inconsistencies in financial markets using non-measure-preserving transitions.
method Simplicial and categorical formulation of AB type arbitrage in filtered market systems.
result Holonomy along loops reveals global inconsistencies invisible at local levels.

Investigates time-inconsistent portfolio selection under MMV preferences.

problem Time-inconsistent optimal strategies for MMV preferences.
method Nash equilibrium controls for MMV and MV preferences, solving FBSDE and HJB equations.
result MMV optimal strategies lead to higher investment amounts than MV strategies, narrowing over time.

Study on cryptocurrency market dynamics and correlations over time.

problem Understanding the dynamics and correlations of cryptocurrency market over time.
method Evolutionary correlation analysis, turning point algorithm, inverse relationship between market size and collective dynamics, time-varying consistency of relationships, examination of volatility structure.
result Increased uniformity in volatility during market crashes, termed 'volatility dispersion'.