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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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86171257342 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dynamic aggregation

We prove a lower bound for feature dimension in linear MDPs and propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework.

problem The limitation of feature dimension in linear MDPs and the need for efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning.
method We propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework based on structural dynamics and design a provably efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Our algorithm achieves a regret of ildeO(dψ3/2H3/2NT) ilde{O} ( d_ψ^{3/2} H^{3/2}\sqrt{ N T} ) and meets the condition dψ3Nd3d_ψ^3 N \ll d^{3} in most real-world environments.

We propose a dynamic neighborhood aggregation (DNA) procedure guided by (multi-head) attention for representation learning on graphs. In contrast to current graph neural networks which follow a simple neighborhood aggregation scheme, our DNA procedure allows for a selective and node-adaptive aggregation of neighboring …

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We formalize how markets aggregate via arbitrage and quantify liquidity loss.

problem How financial markets aggregate and the loss of liquidity.
method Characterize markets via utility functions, use thermodynamics analogy, derive limit order book representation, compute aggregation loss.
result Arbitrage-mediated aggregation leads to market-dynamical entropy quantifying liquidity loss.

MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.

problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.

Learning nonlinear dynamics from diffusion data is a challenging problem since the individuals observed may be different at different time points, generally following an aggregate behaviour. Existing work cannot handle the tasks well since they model such dynamics either directly on observations or enforce the availabi…

2018-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.

problem Estimating structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models using behavioral data.
method Two-stage approach: inverse reinforcement learning for Q-function estimation, state selection via clustering, and maximum likelihood estimation with nested fixed-point algorithm.
result The method mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample bounds on estimation error.

DYMAG uses dynamic waveforms to improve graph neural networks.

problem Improving graph neural networks for better graph understanding.
method DYMAG employs dynamical system-based waveforms for message aggregation in graph neural networks.
result DYMAG outperforms baseline models in graph recovery, property prediction, and random graph generation.

pFedGame uses game theory for decentralized federated learning in dynamic networks.

problem Performance bottlenecks, data bias, model convergence issues, and model poisoning attacks in federated learning.
method pFedGame employs game theory to decentralize federated learning, avoiding a central aggregation server and addressing dynamic network challenges.
result pFedGame achieves higher accuracy (over 70%) in heterogeneous data compared to existing methods.

Algorithm for online decision making with unknown dynamics and aggregate feedback.

problem Online decision making with unknown dynamics and aggregate bandit feedback.
method Developed an algorithm based on online mirror descent with a self-concordant barrier regularization and an increasing learning rate schedule.
result Achieved O(K)O(\sqrt{K}) regret for the online Markov Decision Process with KK episodes.

Study learns optimal bidding strategy in auctions with dynamic values and aggregated feedback.

problem Optimizing bidding in auctions with time-dependent values and limited feedback.
method Combines plug-in estimators with differential-equation characterization of optimal policy.
result Achieves near optimal regret bounds for learning optimal policy.

CT-OT Flow estimates continuous-time dynamics from discrete snapshots.

problem Estimating continuous-time dynamics from temporally aggregated snapshots with noisy or uncertain timestamps.
method Two-stage framework: aligning neighboring intervals via partial optimal transport (POT) and reconstructing a continuous-time distribution through temporal kernel smoothing.
result Reduces distributional and trajectory errors compared with existing methods across synthetic and real datasets.

Enhances survival analysis by separating population behavior from individual dynamics.

problem Improving the training and inference of survival analysis models for sparsely occurring events.
method Decouples survival analysis into an aggregated baseline hazard and independent survival scores.
result Achieves competitive performance and robust results without fine-tuning.

We consider Feller mean-reverting square-root diffusion, which has been applied to model a wide variety of processes with linearly state-dependent diffusion, such as stochastic volatility and interest rates in finance, and neuronal and populations dynamics in natural sciences. We focus on the statistical mixing (or sup…

2009-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

We propose dynamical systems trees (DSTs) as a flexible class of models for describing multiple processes that interact via a hierarchy of aggregating parent chains. DSTs extend Kalman filters, hidden Markov models and nonlinear dynamical systems to an interactive group scenario. Various individual processes interact a…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm for collective Gaussian hidden Markov models inference.

problem Inference of collective Gaussian hidden Markov models from aggregate data.
method Collective Gaussian forward-backward algorithm, extending Sinkhorn belief propagation.
result Convergence guarantee and applicability to single individual Kalman filter.

Research explores how interconnected systems synchronize and how to control their behavior.

problem Understanding and controlling the behavior of interconnected dynamical systems.
method Mean field games approach applied to controlled coupled oscillators.
result Developed methods to predict and influence emergent phenomena in interconnected systems.

In this paper, we explore a general Aggregated Gradient Langevin Dynamics framework (AGLD) for the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. We investigate the nonasymptotic convergence of AGLD with a unified analysis for different data accessing (e.g. random access, cyclic access and random reshuffle) and snapshot upd…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Federated Learning speeds up speech recognition training by 7x and reduces error rate by 6%.

problem Training acoustic models for speech recognition tasks in a federated manner.
method Hierarchical optimization and dynamic gradient aggregation methods.
result Significant improvement in training convergence speed and model performance.

We study the question of how to aggregate controllers for dynamical systems in order to improve their performance. To this end, we propose a framework of boosting for online control. Our main result is an efficient boosting algorithm that combines weak controllers into a provably more accurate one. Empirical evaluation…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles targeted attacks on rank aggregation methods, proving the fixed point of adversarial game.

problem The security issue of rank aggregation methods, especially the vulnerability to targeted attacks.
method Formulated as a game-theoretic framework, the attack behavior is a fixed point of the composition of the adversary and the victim.
result The victims will produce the target ranking list once the adversary has complete information.

Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.

problem Understanding how firm-level emissions change over time in response to environmental regulation, economic conditions, and organizational constraints.
method Used a time-varying mean-group estimator to link emissions data with firm characteristics and macroeconomic indicators over 1992-2023.
result Firm-level characteristics and aggregate conditions have different impacts on emissions growth at different times.

Although deep neural networks generally have fixed network structures, the concept of dynamic mechanism has drawn more and more attention in recent years. Attention mechanisms compute input-dependent dynamic attention weights for aggregating a sequence of hidden states. Dynamic network configuration in convolutional ne…

2019-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

AI agents in experimental markets exhibit behavioral patterns that aggregate into market dynamics.

problem Understanding AI trading behavior and its impact on market dynamics.
method Experimental asset markets populated by AI agents trained on Large Language Models (LLMs).
result AI agents' behavior leads to market dynamics similar to human traders, including bubbles.

The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.

problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.

Model analyzes RFQ markets using stochastic control to optimize dealer performance and inventory.

problem Optimizing market making in aggregator-routed RFQ markets with varying dealer performance scores.
method Two-tier stochastic control model that separates RFQ-level price competition from macro routing.
result Optimal controls can be expressed through derivatives of reduced Hamiltonians, leading to interpretable mappings from optimal win probabilities to optimal offsets.

We introduce a novel algorithm of community detection that maintains dynamically a community structure of a large network that evolves with time. The algorithm maximizes the modularity index thanks to the construction of a randomized hierarchical clustering based on a Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) method. Interesting…

2016-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Copula models for sovereign ratings improved by incorporating climate risk.

problem Modeling nonlinear dependence and clustering in sovereign rating migrations.
method Mixed-difference transformation, MAGMAR(1,1) copula process, consistent and asymptotically normal estimators.
result Gumbel MAGMAR(1,1) specification outperforms other models in empirical performance.

The dual crises of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the global financial crisis has prompted a call for explanations of non-equilibrium market dynamics. Recently a promising approach has been the use of agent based models (ABMs) to simulate aggregate market dynamics. A key aspect of these models is the endogenous emer…

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.

problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.

A model for collaborative learning with principal-agent interaction.

problem Optimizing parameter estimates in a collaborative learning setting.
method Decision-theoretic model with aggregation coefficients and Langevin dynamics.
result Advantages in stability and generalization due to cooperative behavior.