A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
ADVISOR dynamically balances imitation and reinforcement learning to overcome the imitation gap.
PEAR dynamically reconfigures agent roles to prevent persistent biases in multi-agent debates.
Study examines if LLMs' trading styles match real market behavior.
Dynamic sentiment analysis improves stock trading strategies.
Breaks down complex nonlinear dynamics into simpler components.
Algorithm learns to switch control among agents in a team.
A new policy switching technique improves offline RL performance.
New RL algorithms reduce costs for single-agent and federated learning.
A network of agents attempt to learn some unknown state of the world drawn by nature from a finite set. Agents observe private signals conditioned on the true state, and form beliefs about the unknown state accordingly. Each agent may face an identification problem in the sense that she cannot distinguish the truth in …
We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information about the fundamental value, the agents form different evaluations about heteroge…
This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.
Meta-causal states group equivalent qualitative causal dynamics, useful for analyzing system changes.
In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian agents who process information from the market with different time delays. Each …
Quasi-equilibrium models for aggregate variables are widely-used throughout finance and economics. The validity of such models depends crucially upon assuming that the systems' participants behave both independently and in a Markovian fashion. We present a simplified market model to demonstrate that herding effects bet…
Paper tackles utility maximization with job-switching and retirement constraints.
To make efficient use of limited spectral resources, we in this work propose a deep actor-critic reinforcement learning based framework for dynamic multichannel access. We consider both a single-user case and a scenario in which multiple users attempt to access channels simultaneously. We employ the proposed framework …
New algorithm learns switching dynamics from multiple neural signals.
This paper presents a methodology that aims at the incremental representation of areas inside environments in terms of attractive forces. It is proposed a parametric representation of velocity fields ruling the dynamics of moving agents. It is assumed that attractive spots in the environment are responsible for modifyi…
Novel approach models opponent learning dynamics in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
Code-switching, the alternation of languages within a conversation or utterance, is a common communicative phenomenon that occurs in multilingual communities across the world. This survey reviews computational approaches for code-switched Speech and Natural Language Processing. We motivate why processing code-switched …
As a metric to measure the performance of an online method, dynamic regret with switching cost has drawn much attention for online decision making problems. Although the sublinear regret has been provided in many previous researches, we still have little knowledge about the relation between the dynamic regret and the s…
Model learns collective and individual dynamics in time series data.
Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (VAR) process. Our Bayesian nonparametric approach utilizes a hiera…
Framework models multiscale dynamics with Bayesian learning for regime changes.
A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour suggested by the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). By introducing different propensitie…
Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments that are each explained by simpler dynamic units. Building on switching linear dy…
New algorithms improve sampling from complex distributions.
This work addresses identifiability in sequential data with switching dynamics, introducing a new estimator.
The stochastic knapsack has been used as a model in wide ranging applications from dynamic resource allocation to admission control in telecommunication. In recent years, a variation of the model has become a basic tool in studying problems that arise in revenue management and dynamic/flexible pricing; and it is in thi…
Collective motion of animal groups often undergoes changes due to perturbations. In a topological sense, we describe these changes as switching between low-dimensional embedding manifolds underlying a group of evolving agents. To characterize such manifolds, first we introduce a simple mapping of agents between time-st…
SCaLE tackles dynamic regret in noisy bandit feedback with switching costs.
Researchers calibrate an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model to recover stylized facts in financial markets.
We propose an analytically tractable variation of the minority game in which rational agents use probabilistic strategies. In our model, agents choose between two alternatives repeatedly, and those who are in the minority get a pay-off 1, others zero. The agents optimize the expectation value of their discounted fu…
Statistical physics method analyzes minority game dynamics in financial markets.
Using movement primitive libraries is an effective means to enable robots to solve more complex tasks. In order to build these movement libraries, current algorithms require a prior segmentation of the demonstration trajectories. A promising approach is to model the trajectory as being generated by a set of Switching L…
Proposes a new model for better speech segmentation.
We introduce a machine learning approach for extracting fine-grained representations of protein evolution from molecular dynamics datasets. Metastable switching linear dynamical systems extend standard switching models with a physically-inspired stability constraint. This constraint enables the learning of nuanced repr…
This work models market regimes using CTMSTOU and simulates trading policies.
PCGS-TF uses a Transformer to adaptively control expert switching in non-stationary environments.
We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional Lévy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the discovery of relevant new information sources to jumps in conditional expectation mart…
Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.
The paper improves competitive and dynamic regret bounds for smoothed online learning.
We study the problem of dynamically trading futures in a regime-switching market. Modeling the underlying asset price as a Markov-modulated diffusion process, we present a utility maximization approach to determine the optimal futures trading strategy. This leads to the analysis of the associated system of Hamilton-Jac…
We study the problem of utility maximization from terminal wealth in which an agent optimally builds her portfolio by investing in a bond and a risky asset. The asset price dynamics follow a diffusion process with regime-switching coefficients modeled by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. We consider an inves…
Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for modelling stochastic interactions between agents, based on a herding process corrected b…
ITF improves DSR but inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood reduces it, affecting QoIs.
Paper presents an efficient algorithm for linear MDP with low switching cost.
Paper proposes variational inference for piecewise-linear systems.