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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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96191287382 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dropout variational inference

This paper calibrates uncertainty in dropout variational inference models.

problem Uncertainty in variational inference with dropout is poorly calibrated.
method Temperature scaling is extended to dropout variational inference.
result Temperature scaling reduces miscalibration of uncertainty.

We investigate the use of alternative divergences to Kullback-Leibler (KL) in variational inference(VI), based on the Variational Dropout \cite{kingma2015}. Stochastic gradient variational Bayes (SGVB) \cite{aevb} is a general framework for estimating the evidence lower bound (ELBO) in Variational Bayes. In this work, …

2017-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian inference using stochastic neural networks ensembles.

problem Approximating Bayesian posterior distributions.
method Formulate stochastic ensembles of neural networks, train with variational inference, and evaluate using Monte Carlo dropout.
result Stochastic ensembles provide more accurate posterior estimates than other methods.

We investigate a local reparameterizaton technique for greatly reducing the variance of stochastic gradients for variational Bayesian inference (SGVB) of a posterior over model parameters, while retaining parallelizability. This local reparameterization translates uncertainty about global parameters into local noise th…

2015-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational dropout (VD) is a generalization of Gaussian dropout, which aims at inferring the posterior of network weights based on a log-uniform prior on them to learn these weights as well as dropout rate simultaneously. The log-uniform prior not only interprets the regularization capacity of Gaussian dropout in netw…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Batch normalisation doesn't affect variational inference but fails for larger batch sizes.

problem Failure of Monte Carlo Batch Normalisation (MCBN) for capturing epistemic uncertainty in larger batch sizes.
method Investigated MCBN as an approximate inference technique for Bayesian neural networks, showing its limitations and providing insights for improvement.
result For larger batch sizes, MCBN fails to capture epistemic uncertainty, requiring the batch size to be a variational parameter.

Dropout, a stochastic regularisation technique for training of neural networks, has recently been reinterpreted as a specific type of approximate inference algorithm for Bayesian neural networks. The main contribution of the reinterpretation is in providing a theoretical framework useful for analysing and extending the…

2018-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

To obtain uncertainty estimates with real-world Bayesian deep learning models, practical inference approximations are needed. Dropout variational inference (VI) for example has been used for machine vision and medical applications, but VI can severely underestimates model uncertainty. Alpha-divergences are alternative …

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout has recently emerged as a powerful and simple method for training neural networks preventing co-adaptation by stochastically omitting neurons. Dropout is currently not grounded in explicit modelling assumptions which so far has precluded its adoption in Bayesian modelling. Using Bayesian entropic reasoning we s…

2015-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.

problem Frequency-related noise in medical imaging leads to biased uncertainty estimates.
method Extends MC-Dropout to the frequency domain for better uncertainty estimation.
result MC-Frequency Dropout improves calibration and uncertainty in semantic segmentation.

We study the Automatic Relevance Determination procedure applied to deep neural networks. We show that ARD applied to Bayesian DNNs with Gaussian approximate posterior distributions leads to a variational bound similar to that of variational dropout, and in the case of a fixed dropout rate, objectives are exactly the s…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore a recently proposed Variational Dropout technique that provided an elegant Bayesian interpretation to Gaussian Dropout. We extend Variational Dropout to the case when dropout rates are unbounded, propose a way to reduce the variance of the gradient estimator and report first experimental results with individ…

2017-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates during inference to improve uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

problem Static dropout rates lead to suboptimal uncertainty estimates in neural networks.
method Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates using information-theoretic principles.
result Rate-In improves calibration and sharpens uncertainty estimates compared to fixed or heuristic dropout rates.

The paper analyzes SGD with dropout regularization in linear models, proving asymptotic properties and providing inference tools.

problem Analyzing the behavior of SGD with dropout regularization in linear models.
method Establishing geometric-moment contraction (GMC) and proving quenched central limit theorems (CLT).
result The existence of a unique stationary distribution and asymptotic normality results for SGD with dropout.

Deep neural networks with their large number of parameters are highly flexible learning systems. The high flexibility in such networks brings with some serious problems such as overfitting, and regularization is used to address this problem. A currently popular and effective regularization technique for controlling the…

2017-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This work investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood for improved uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving uncertainty quantification in neural networks.
method Investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood instead of variational inference.
result The proposed method leads to stochastic networks with increased predictive variance, improved robustness, and higher entropy on out-of-distribution data.

Dropout, a simple and effective way to train deep neural networks, has led to a number of impressive empirical successes and spawned many recent theoretical investigations. However, the gap between dropout's training and inference phases, introduced due to tractability considerations, has largely remained under-appreci…

2016-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Favour speeds up variance estimation in BNNs, making them practical for performance-critical tasks.

problem Slow inference in Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) hinders their adoption.
method A fast algorithm for updating a diagonal-plus-low-rank matrix approximation under various operations.
result Favour is as fast as 2-3 inference samples but matches the performance of 10-100 samples.

Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of thinned networks with extensive weight sharing. Recent studies that dropout can b…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

MHVAE learns cross-modality inference inspired by human cognition.

problem Cross-modality inference in multimodal data.
method Hierarchical multimodal generative model with modality-specific and joint-modality distributions.
result MHVAE performs on par with state-of-the-art models on multimodal datasets.

Compression of Neural Networks (NN) has become a highly studied topic in recent years. The main reason for this is the demand for industrial scale usage of NNs such as deploying them on mobile devices, storing them efficiently, transmitting them via band-limited channels and most importantly doing inference at scale. I…

2017-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper addresses state estimation in sensor networks with intermittent data.

problem State estimation in sensor networks with packet dropouts and corrupted observations.
method Bayesian variational inference with a dual-mask generative model.
result The method effectively identifies system states and noise parameters.

ProBoost boosts probabilistic classifiers by focusing on uncertain samples.

problem Improving probabilistic classifiers through targeted learning.
method ProBoost uses epistemic uncertainty to select challenging samples, increasing their weight for subsequent learners.
result ProBoost significantly improves classifier performance, especially with few weak learners.

Successful application processing sequential data, such as text and speech, requires an improved generalization performance of recurrent neural networks (RNNs). Dropout techniques for RNNs were introduced to respond to these demands, but we conjecture that the dropout on RNNs could have been improved by adopting the ad…

2019-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for statistical inference in gradient boosting regression.

problem Challenges in statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting.
method Integrates dropout or parallel training with regularization for CLT in boosting.
result Increasing dropout rate and parallel trees enhances signal recovery and performance.

We study Bayesian hypernetworks: a framework for approximate Bayesian inference in neural networks. A Bayesian hypernetwork $\h$ is a neural network which learns to transform a simple noise distribution, $p(\vecε) = \N(\vec 0,\mat I)$, to a distribution $q(\pp) := q(h(\vecε))$ over the parameters $\pp$ of another neura…

2017-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

VINNAS uses variational inference to avoid mode collapse in neural architecture search.

problem Mode collapse in gradient-based NAS methods, leading to suboptimal architectures.
method Differentiable variational inference with variational dropout and automatic relevance determination.
result State-of-the-art accuracy with up to twice fewer non-zero parameters.

Study on MC dropout in wide neural networks and its convergence to Gaussian processes.

problem Understanding the behavior of Monte Carlo dropout in wide neural networks.
method Rigorously studied the limiting distribution of wide untrained NNs under dropout, proving convergence to Gaussian processes. Investigated correlations and non-Gaussian behavior in finite width NNs.
result Wide untrained neural networks under dropout converge to Gaussian processes for fixed sets of weights and biases.