arXiv research

Develops a multilevel Monte Carlo framework with dropout for efficient uncertainty quantification.

Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.

Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates during inference to improve uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

Dropout is one of the key techniques to prevent the learning from overfitting. It is explained that dropout works as a kind of modified L2 regularization. Here, we shed light on the dropout from Bayesian standpoint. Bayesian interpretation enables us to optimize the dropout rate, which is beneficial for learning of wei…

While the use of deep learning in drug discovery is gaining increasing attention, the lack of methods to compute reliable errors in prediction for Neural Networks prevents their application to guide decision making in domains where identifying unreliable predictions is essential, e.g. precision medicine. Here, we prese…

Framework uses dropout to efficiently explore Rashomon set for multiplicity estimation.

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand, Dropout regularization has been proposed as an approximate model averaging techn…

The high level of attrition and low rate of certification in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has prompted a great deal of research. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout based upon behavioral features such as student confusion, click-stream patterns, and social interactions. However, few studies have…

MC-CP combines adaptive MC dropout with conformal prediction for robust uncertainty quantification.

MC Dropout is re-evaluated as not Bayesian, affecting predictive posterior and multimodality.

A fast single-shot MC dropout method for neural networks.

Successful application processing sequential data, such as text and speech, requires an improved generalization performance of recurrent neural networks (RNNs). Dropout techniques for RNNs were introduced to respond to these demands, but we conjecture that the dropout on RNNs could have been improved by adopting the ad…

Model predicts higher education dropout risk with interpretable parameters.

A fast method for neural networks that provides uncertainty measures.

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are important class of architectures among neural networks useful for language modeling and sequential prediction. However, optimizing RNNs is known to be harder compared to feed-forward neural networks. A number of techniques have been proposed in literature to address this problem. In…

In classification applications, we often want probabilistic predictions to reflect confidence or uncertainty. Dropout, a commonly used training technique, has recently been linked to Bayesian inference, yielding an efficient way to quantify uncertainty in neural network models. However, as previously demonstrated, conf…

Training deep belief networks (DBNs) requires optimizing a non-convex function with an extremely large number of parameters. Naturally, existing gradient descent (GD) based methods are prone to arbitrarily poor local minima. In this paper, we rigorously show that such local minima can be avoided (upto an approximation …

Dropout has been witnessed with great success in training deep neural networks by independently zeroing out the outputs of neurons at random. It has also received a surge of interest for shallow learning, e.g., logistic regression. However, the independent sampling for dropout could be suboptimal for the sake of conver…

In this work, we propose learnable Bernoulli dropout (LBD), a new model-agnostic dropout scheme that considers the dropout rates as parameters jointly optimized with other model parameters. By probabilistic modeling of Bernoulli dropout, our method enables more robust prediction and uncertainty quantification in deep m…

The paper calibrates uncertainty in dropout variational inference models.

Continuum Dropout improves neural differential equations by preventing overfitting.

Study on dropout in neural networks using percolation theory.

Improved neural network predicts tropical storm trajectories and Bayesian intervals.

Each year, roughly 30% of first-year students at US baccalaureate institutions do not return for their second year and over $9 billion is spent educating these students. Yet, little quantitative research has analyzed the causes and possible remedies for student attrition. Here, we describe initial efforts to model stud…

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

Improves Bayesian neural networks inference efficiency and accuracy.

Dropout schedules can be optimized to significantly reduce model test loss.

Develops a neural surrogate for proton dose calculation using Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty.

Regularization is an important component of predictive model building. The hybrid bootstrap is a regularization technique that functions similarly to dropout except that features are resampled from other training points rather than replaced with zeros. We show that the hybrid bootstrap offers superior performance to dr…

This paper examines the assumptions of the derived equivalence between dropout noise injection and $L_2$ regularisation for logistic regression with negative log loss. We show that the approximation method is based on a divergent Taylor expansion, making, subsequent work using this approximation to compare the dropout …

A cubing strategy identifies stable hyperparameter regions for uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning.

This paper first answers the question "why do the two most powerful techniques Dropout and Batch Normalization (BN) often lead to a worse performance when they are combined together?" in both theoretical and statistical aspects. Theoretically, we find that Dropout would shift the variance of a specific neural unit when…

Neuron-specific dropout reduces overfitting and data needs for neural networks.

Enhances uncertainty estimation in neural networks using Dirichlet-based MC Dropout.

Multi-layer neural networks have lead to remarkable performance on many kinds of benchmark tasks in text, speech and image processing. Nonlinear parameter estimation in hierarchical models is known to be subject to overfitting and misspecification. One approach to these estimation and related problems (local minima, co…

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about model uncertainty, but usually come with a prohibitive computa…

This paper proposes a hardware-oriented dropout algorithm, which is efficient for field programmable gate array (FPGA) implementation. In deep neural networks (DNNs), overfitting occurs when networks are overtrained and adapt too well to training data. Consequently, they fail in predicting unseen data used as test data…

This study is motivated by the magnitude of the problem of Louisiana high school dropout and its negative impacts on individual and public well-being. Our goal is to predict students who are at risk of high school dropout, by examining Louisiana administrative dataset. Due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset, imbal…

Unified framework for statistical inference in gradient boosting regression.

The uncertainty measurement of classifiers' predictions is especially important in applications such as medical diagnoses that need to ensure limited human resources can focus on the most uncertain predictions returned by machine learning models. However, few existing uncertainty models attempt to improve overall predi…

As neural networks have begun performing increasingly critical tasks for society, ranging from driving cars to identifying candidates for drug development, the value of their ability to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) in their predictions has risen commensurately. Permanent dropout, a popular method for neural …

Real-time uncertainty estimation for computer vision tasks.

Model uncertainty obtained by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout is prone to miscalibration. The uncertainty does not represent the model error well. In this paper, temperature scaling is extended to dropout variational inference to calibrate model uncertainty. Expected uncertainty calibration erro…

The paper introduces a method to decompose variance in twin networks for better treatment effect estimation.

Improved uncertainty estimation through diverse sampling in neural networks.

Advanced Dropout improves DNN performance without requiring model-specific dropout techniques.

Dropout is a simple but efficient regularization technique for achieving better generalization of deep neural networks (DNNs); hence it is widely used in tasks based on DNNs. During training, dropout randomly discards a portion of the neurons to avoid overfitting. This paper presents an enhanced dropout technique, whic…

Dropout is often used in deep neural networks to prevent over-fitting. Conventionally, dropout training invokes \textit{random drop} of nodes from the hidden layers of a Neural Network. It is our hypothesis that a guided selection of nodes for intelligent dropout can lead to better generalization as compared to the tra…