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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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7152229 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dropout hazard

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

problem Challenges in integrating longitudinal tumor measurements, dropout information, and genetic covariates.
method Extended EB-VAE framework to jointly model longitudinal and time-to-event data, incorporating dropout hazard and genetic covariates.
result Hybrid decoder formulation yields consistent treatment-effect parameters and prior predictive performance comparable to neural decoder.

Develops a method to estimate average hazard under non-proportional hazards without relying on proportional hazards assumption.

problem Estimation of treatment effects when hazards are non-proportional, leading to unstable hazard ratios.
method Semiparametric, doubly robust framework for covariate-adjusted average hazard estimation.
result Valid sqrt{n} inference with small bias and near-nominal confidence-interval coverage across proportional and non-proportional hazards settings.

New method estimates hazard ratios without bias in observational studies.

problem Uninterpretable hazard ratios due to unspecified baseline hazard.
method Kernel-based machine learning to model risk set changes.
result Debiased maximum-likelihood estimators identify true hazard ratios.

The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.

problem Clustering survival data based on instantaneous risk dynamics.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis applied to B-spline smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
result The proposed method provides an interpretable representation of relative temporal risk dynamics.

Novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using SCMs and backdoor adjustment.

problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data using hazard ratios.
method Backdoor adjustment through structural causal models (SCMs) and do-calculus.
result Novel approach for computing hazard ratios from observational studies.

Unified model estimates landslide hazard combining susceptibility, intensity, and frequency.

problem Lack of unified statistical models for landslide hazard estimation.
method Deep learning combined with extreme-value theory.
result Model performs excellently and can estimate hazard for multiple return periods.

Dropout is often used in deep neural networks to prevent over-fitting. Conventionally, dropout training invokes \textit{random drop} of nodes from the hidden layers of a Neural Network. It is our hypothesis that a guided selection of nodes for intelligent dropout can lead to better generalization as compared to the tra…

2018-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout regularizes against high-order interactions by canceling interaction rates.

problem Overfitting to high-order interactions in neural networks.
method Analyzes Dropout through the lens of interaction effects, showing how it effectively cancels out the probability of surviving interactions of different orders.
result Dropout regularizes against high-order interactions by effectively canceling out the probability of surviving interactions of different orders.

Dropout has been proven to be an effective algorithm for training robust deep networks because of its ability to prevent overfitting by avoiding the co-adaptation of feature detectors. Current explanations of dropout include bagging, naive Bayes, regularization, and sex in evolution. According to the activation pattern…

2019-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze dropout in deep networks with rectified linear units and the quadratic loss. Our results expose surprising differences between the behavior of dropout and more traditional regularizers like weight decay. For example, on some simple data sets dropout training produces negative weights even though the output i…

2016-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout is one of the key techniques to prevent the learning from overfitting. It is explained that dropout works as a kind of modified L2 regularization. Here, we shed light on the dropout from Bayesian standpoint. Bayesian interpretation enables us to optimize the dropout rate, which is beneficial for learning of wei…

2014-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout is a simple but effective technique for learning in neural networks and other settings. A sound theoretical understanding of dropout is needed to determine when dropout should be applied and how to use it most effectively. In this paper we continue the exploration of dropout as a regularizer pioneered by Wager,…

2014-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout has been witnessed with great success in training deep neural networks by independently zeroing out the outputs of neurons at random. It has also received a surge of interest for shallow learning, e.g., logistic regression. However, the independent sampling for dropout could be suboptimal for the sake of conver…

2016-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates during inference to improve uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

problem Static dropout rates lead to suboptimal uncertainty estimates in neural networks.
method Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates using information-theoretic principles.
result Rate-In improves calibration and sharpens uncertainty estimates compared to fixed or heuristic dropout rates.

Spatially-aware model improves earthquake hazard assessment accuracy.

problem Misrepresentation of seismic effects across diverse landscapes.
method Causal Bayesian network with Gaussian Processes and normalizing flows.
result Achieves up to 35.2% AUC improvement over existing methods.

Develops a multilevel Monte Carlo framework with dropout for efficient uncertainty quantification.

problem Efficiently quantify uncertainty in complex models using dropout.
method Integrates multilevel Monte Carlo with Monte Carlo dropout, creating coupled estimators to reduce variance.
result Demonstrates significant variance reduction and efficiency gains over single-level Monte Carlo dropout.

Successful application processing sequential data, such as text and speech, requires an improved generalization performance of recurrent neural networks (RNNs). Dropout techniques for RNNs were introduced to respond to these demands, but we conjecture that the dropout on RNNs could have been improved by adopting the ad…

2019-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

QSurv models survival data without discretization, achieving high accuracy.

problem Intractable likelihood estimation for continuous-time survival models.
method QSurv uses numerical quadrature for cumulative hazard approximation and time-conditioned low-rank adaptation.
result QSurv achieves competitive predictive performance and interpretable hazard patterns.

Dropout introduces both explicit and implicit regularization effects.

problem Understanding the full impact of dropout regularization.
method Disentangled explicit and implicit regularization effects through experiments and analytic simplifications.
result Explicit and implicit regularization effects of dropout are distinct and can be characterized analytically.

The paper analyzes SGD with dropout regularization in linear models, proving asymptotic properties and providing inference tools.

problem Analyzing the behavior of SGD with dropout regularization in linear models.
method Establishing geometric-moment contraction (GMC) and proving quenched central limit theorems (CLT).
result The existence of a unique stationary distribution and asymptotic normality results for SGD with dropout.

Deep learning is the state-of-the-art in fields such as visual object recognition and speech recognition. This learning uses a large number of layers and a huge number of units and connections. Therefore, overfitting is a serious problem with it, and the dropout which is a kind of regularization tool is used. However, …

2017-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Dropout has proven to be an effective technique for regularization and preventing the co-adaptation of neurons in deep neural networks (DNN). It randomly drops units with a probability pp during the training stage of DNN. Dropout also provides a way of approximately combining exponentially many different neural networ…

2018-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal reinsurance contracts to prevent moral hazard under non-concave premium principles.

problem Preventing moral hazard in reinsurance contracts under non-concave premium principles.
method Develops optimal reinsurance contracts under a diffusion risk model with incentive compatibility constraints and extended distortion premium principles.
result An optimal reinsurance contract exists and is characterized by solving a double obstacle problem.

Study compares dropout and l2 regularization in linear models.

problem Understanding the statistical behavior of dropout and l2 regularization in linear models.
method Derives non-asymptotic bounds for gradient descent iterates with dropout and compares them to l2 regularization.
result Indicates a more subtle relationship between dropout and l2 regularization, highlighting interactions between dynamics and randomness.

Dropout is typically interpreted as bagging a large number of models sharing parameters. We show that using dropout in a network can also be interpreted as a kind of data augmentation in the input space without domain knowledge. We present an approach to projecting the dropout noise within a network back into the input…

2015-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.

problem Analyzing time-varying health vitals for disease onset prediction.
method Gradient boosting for nonparametric hazard function estimation with time-dependent covariates.
result Novel interaction effects among risk factors identified in cardiovascular disease onset data.

Flexible DNN for survival data, avoiding proportional hazards assumption.

problem Survival analysis with complex interactions and non-proportional hazards.
method Partially linear DNN model with a flexible nonparametric component.
result FLEXI-Haz achieves optimal convergence rates and asymptotic efficiency.

In this paper, we provide a solution to two problems which have been open in default time modeling in credit risk. We first show that if ττ is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Azéma's supermartingale $Z_t^τ=¶(τ>t|\F_t)$ is continuous, then ττ avoids stopping times. We then disprove a conjecture about …

2008-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Continuum Dropout improves neural differential equations by preventing overfitting.

problem Overfitting in Neural Differential Equations (NDEs).
method Introduces Continuum Dropout, a regularization technique based on alternating renewal processes.
result Continuum Dropout outperforms existing methods in various tasks, improving generalization and uncertainty quantification.

Dropout and other feature noising schemes control overfitting by artificially corrupting the training data. For generalized linear models, dropout performs a form of adaptive regularization. Using this viewpoint, we show that the dropout regularizer is first-order equivalent to an L2 regularizer applied after scaling t…

2013-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Marine buoys aid in the battle against Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) fishing by detecting fishing vessels in their vicinity. Marine buoys, however, may be disrupted by natural causes and buoy vandalism. In this paper, we formulate marine buoy placement as a clustering problem, and propose dropout k-means an…

2020-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗