The paper proposes a machine learning method to detect drivers' affective states using physiological signals.
problem Detecting and assessing drivers' affective states to improve driving safety and well-being.
method Multiview multi-task machine learning approach using physiological signals.
result Accounting for drive-specific differences significantly improves model performance.
Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…
Paper proposes personalized climate control for driver comfort.
problem Limited research on in-vehicle climate control and driver preferences.
method IoT platform for data collection, machine learning for driver behavior recognition, and personalized preference recommendation.
result Prototype demonstrates effective and accurate climate control for driver comfort.
In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives and changes the behaviour of the underlying volatility in a nonlinear way. We mod…
In this work, we propose a method for learning driver models that account for variables that cannot be observed directly. When trained on a synthetic dataset, our models are able to learn encodings for vehicle trajectories that distinguish between four distinct classes of driver behavior. Such encodings are learned wit…
Field canals improvement projects (FCIPs) are one of the ambitious projects constructed to save fresh water. To finance this project, Conceptual cost models are important to accurately predict preliminary costs at the early stages of the project. The first step is to develop a conceptual cost model to identify key cost…
Study dynamic portfolio choice under rotating drivers, revealing a new geometric structure.
problem Investment under changing drivers with mutual independence.
method Analyzes geometric structure of portfolio choice, focusing on drivers and their rotation.
result Optimal policy separates into static and hedging components, reflecting the dynamic nature of drivers.
Study uses LCRN to detect driver distraction from EEG signals.
problem Improving road safety by detecting driver distraction.
method Used a Long-term Recurrent Convolutional Network (LCRN) for EEG-based driver distraction detection.
result LCRN model outperformed state-of-the-art TSC models in detecting driver distraction.
Crowded trades cluster investors, affecting stock price stability.
problem Crowded trades lead to price instability and systemic risk.
method Market clustering measure using granular trading data.
result Market clustering has a causal effect on stock return distribution tails, especially positive tail.
Study predicts individual treatment effects in ride-sharing competitions.
problem Understanding how team competitions affect individual drivers' outcomes.
method Analyzed data from 500 competitions, built machine learning models.
result Reduced out-sample prediction error by over 24%.
Graph neural networks help assess how global changes affect plant-pollinator networks.
problem Interpreting GNN results to understand how global changes impact plant-pollinator networks.
method Simulation study and application on Spipoll dataset to assess effects of global changes on pollination networks.
result GNNs can detect interactive effects between covariates and plant genera on pollination network connectivity.
Study uses BSDEs to price European options in markets with multiple defaults.
problem Pricing European options in markets with multiple defaultable assets.
method Non-linear Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) with multiple default jumps.
result Derives explicit formulas for option pricing in markets with multiple defaultable assets.
Study identifies key drivers and spatio-temporal trends of extreme Mediterranean wildfires.
problem Understanding and predicting the impacts of climate change on wildfire activity.
method Statistical deep-learning model combining meteorological, land cover, and orographic data.
result Vapour-pressure deficit significantly affects wildfire occurrence, while air temperature and drought affect spread.
Modern vehicles are equipped with increasingly complex sensors. These sensors generate large volumes of data that provide opportunities for modeling and analysis. Here, we are interested in exploiting this data to learn aspects of behaviors and the road network associated with individual drivers. Our dataset is collect…
Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) can be significantly improved with effective driver action prediction (DAP). Predicting driver actions early and accurately can help mitigate the effects of potentially unsafe driving behaviors and avoid possible accidents. In this paper, we formulate driver action prediction a…
Modeling driver trajectories using inverse reinforcement learning and random utility.
problem Modeling rational driver behavior in road networks from sparse sensor data.
method Apply random utility theory to model unknown reward function, introduce extended state, and use Markov decision process.
result Maximum entropy inverse reinforcement learning is a special case of the proposed approach.
Paper proposes a capsule attention mechanism for EEG-EOG vigilance estimation.
problem Driver vigilance estimation for safer transportation.
method Capsule attention mechanism following LSTM network for multimodal EEG-EOG analysis.
result Capsule attention improves vigilance estimation robustness and accuracy.
Investor-driven information diffusion affects excess comovement in China and the U.S. markets.
problem Investor-driven information diffusion and its impact on excess comovement.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 4,533 Chinese and 4,517 U.S. stocks from 2010 to 2022.
result Retail-driven information diffusion significantly drives excess comovement in China, while institution-driven diffusion is the primary driver in the U.S.
New method identifies drivers from car logs without reverse-engineering CAN protocol.
problem Identifying drivers from in-vehicle network logs without access to exact signal semantics.
method Machine learning techniques applied to off-the-shelf data.
result Driver re-identification accuracy of 75-85% on a dataset of 33 drivers.
Vacant taxi drivers' passenger seeking process in a road network generates additional vehicle miles traveled, adding congestion and pollution into the road network and the environment. This paper aims to employ a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to model idle e-hailing drivers' optimal sequential decisions in passenger-se…
Method identifies causal drivers from background features.
problem Distinguishing causal influence from hidden confounding.
method Stability of regression coefficients measured by statistic V.
result V converges to zero if and only if no causal drivers exist.
The potential positive impact of autonomous driving and driver assistance technolo- gies have been a major impetus over the last decade. On the flip side, it has been a challenging problem to analyze the performance of human drivers or autonomous driving agents quantitatively. In this work, we propose a generic method …
Improved driver identification accuracy using steering wheel data.
problem Accurately identifying drivers based on naturalistic driving behavior.
method Novel approach for window length parameter design, leveraging GRUs neural network.
result Increased driver identification accuracy from under 15% to over 65%.
Robust fuzzy clustering for EEG driver alertness with outlier detection.
problem Ambiguous state boundaries in multivariate time series data.
method RFCPCA, a robust fuzzy subspace-clustering method for MTS.
result RFCPCA improves clustering accuracy and characterizes uncertainty and outliers in MTS.
In order to drive safely and efficiently under merging scenarios, autonomous vehicles should be aware of their surroundings and make decisions by interacting with other road participants. Moreover, different strategies should be made when the autonomous vehicle is interacting with drivers having different level of coop…
CPCMs integrate causal drivers for robust portfolio optimization.
problem Degradation of classical portfolio models under structural breaks and lack of arbitrage consistency in machine learning.
method Causal PDE-Control Models integrating structural causal drivers, nonlinear filtering, and forward-backward PDE control.
result CPCM solvers achieve higher Sharpe ratios and lower turnover than benchmarks.
Optimizes portfolios using neural network approximations of asset sensitivities to common drivers.
problem Optimizing portfolios with complex asset dynamics and common drivers.
method Model asset dynamics with PDEs, approximate sensitivities with neural networks, and use hierarchical clustering on sensitivity matrix for optimization.
result Achieves over-performance in portfolio optimization across various markets and datasets.
TNDE quantifies dynamic gene drivers from single-cell snapshots.
problem Reconstructing time-resolved regulatory effects in biological processes.
method Time-varying Network Driver Estimation (TNDE) using shared graph attention encoder and partial optimal transport.
result TNDE identifies stage-specific driver genes in mouse erythropoiesis.
ProMoD models human race drivers with probabilistic movement primitives and neural networks.
problem Challenging task of modeling human driver behavior due to variability and complexity.
method Modular framework with Probabilistic Movement Primitives, clothoids, and neural networks.
result Significant advantages in imitation accuracy and robustness compared to other algorithms.
Study improves vehicle motion prediction by incorporating traffic density.
problem Lack of contextual knowledge in predicting driving behavior.
method Categorize and define external conditions, evaluate motion prediction approach.
result Traffic density significantly improves motion prediction accuracy.
The development of real-time affect detection models often depends upon obtaining annotated data for supervised learning by employing human experts to label the student data. One open question in annotating affective data for affect detection is whether the labelers (i.e., human experts) need to be socio-culturally sim…
Paper classifies economic states and optimizes portfolios for stagflationary environments.
problem Economic uncertainty and stagflationary conditions.
method Mathematical techniques for analyzing multivariate time series, economic driver analysis, self-similarity identification, and portfolio optimization.
result Constructs economic state classifications and computes economic state integrals.
Deep RL tackles fleet management and dispatching for ride-sharing platforms.
problem Optimizing dispatching and repositioning of drivers in ride-sharing platforms.
method Deep reinforcement learning approach treating drivers as a central system agent.
result Centralized decision-making improves overall fleet efficiency.
This paper optimizes driver repositioning using MARL and reward design for better service and traffic management.
problem Unserved passenger requests due to drivers' cruising behavior during passenger seeking.
method Mean field multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with a reward design scheme and Bayesian optimization (BO) to solve bilevel optimization problems.
result Optimal toll charges and service charges can improve platform and city planner objectives by significant margins, leading to better traffic conditions.
Paper tackles drowsy driving by learning from weakly labeled car acceleration data.
problem Lack of labeled data for estimating driver drowsiness.
method Weakly supervised learning, scalable stochastic optimization.
result Algorithm learns from weakly labeled data, outperforming baseline methods.
We consider the problem of numerical approximation for forward-backward stochastic differential equations with drivers of quadratic growth (qgFBSDE). To illustrate the significance of qgFBSDE, we discuss a problem of cross hedging of an insurance related financial derivative using correlated assets. For the convergence…
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
Paper develops a model to assess capital requirement for demographic risk using stochastic methods.
problem Quantifying capital requirement for demographic risk in life insurance contracts.
method Stochastic model extending local GAAP to Solvency II framework, proving market consistency.
result Model highlights main drivers of capital requirement evaluation, comparing to GAAP.
Route Choice Models predict the route choices of travelers traversing an urban area. Most of the route choice models link route characteristics of alternative routes to those chosen by the drivers. The models play an important role in prediction of traffic levels on different routes and thus assist in development of ef…
As automotive electronics continue to advance, cars are becoming more and more reliant on sensors to perform everyday driving operations. These sensors are omnipresent and help the car navigate, reduce accidents, and provide comfortable rides. However, they can also be used to learn about the drivers themselves. In thi…
MIDAS learns to adaptively control other cars in urban driving scenarios.
problem Autonomous vehicles need to interact with other agents on the road.
method Reinforcement learning with attention mechanism to handle multiple agents.
result MIDAS policies are adaptive and robust to external changes.
A key step to driver safety is to observe the driver's activities with the face being a key step in this process to extracting information such as head pose, blink rate, yawns, talking to passenger which can then help derive higher level information such as distraction, drowsiness, intent, and where they are looking. I…
Paper proposes a risk index combining frequency and severity of abnormal driving patterns.
problem Assessing driver risk based on telematics data.
method Combines frequency of abnormal driving patterns with severity quantified through tail rarity.
result Developed a risk index that enables reliable discrimination and ranking of drivers.
Through deep learning and computer vision techniques, driving manoeuvres can be predicted accurately a few seconds in advance. Even though adapting a learned model to new drivers and different vehicles is key for robust driver-assistance systems, this problem has received little attention so far. This work proposes to …
We formalize causal separation in portfolio theory, deriving a closed-form projected Markowitz solution.
problem Portfolio optimization under causal separation conditions.
method Derive a closed-form solution for portfolio optimization using causal separation conditions.
result A closed-form projected Markowitz solution is derived under causal separation conditions.
Develops geometric BSDEs for modeling dynamic return risk measures.
problem Modeling continuous-time dynamic return risk measures.
method Introduces and develops Geometric Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (GBSDEs) and two-driver BSDEs.
result Establishes existence, regularity, uniqueness, and stability of solutions to GBSDEs.
We analyze linear McKean-Vlasov forward-backward SDEs arising in leader-follower games with mean-field type control and terminal state constraints on the state process. We establish an existence and uniqueness of solutions result for such systems in time-weighted spaces as well as a {convergence} result of the solution…
Bitcoin's price direction is better predicted without additional drivers during high volatility.
problem Predicting Bitcoin's price direction using various determinants.
method Continuous local transfer entropy for feature selection and deep learning classification model.
result Bitcoin's price direction can be better predicted without additional drivers during high volatility.