CIT and CIF improve feature selection for downstream prediction.
problem Feature selection bias in machine learning models.
method Conditional inference trees and forests with Bonferroni correction.
result CIF ranks top 3 among 18 regression methods and top 4 among 17 classification methods.
New method uses imperfect LLM annotations for valid statistical inference in social science.
problem Inaccurate large language model annotations in social science research.
method Design-based supervised learning (DSL) combining imperfect LLM surrogates with gold-standard labels.
result DSL provides valid statistical inference with comparable predictive accuracy to existing methods.
Paper proposes learnable topological features for efficient phylogenetic inference.
problem Finding appropriate topological structures for phylogenetic inference tasks requires significant design effort and domain expertise.
method Combines raw node features with graph neural networks to automatically adapt to different tasks.
result Demonstrates effectiveness and efficiency on simulated and real data phylogenetic inference tasks.
Researchers create benchmarks to compare graph inference methods.
problem Comparing graph inference methods is difficult due to varying downstream tasks.
method Developed benchmarks for various graph tasks.
result Contrasted prominent graph inference techniques.
New method optimizes experimental design for specific applications.
problem Inability to adapt causal inference methods to specific downstream applications.
method Task-specific experimental design and sampling strategies.
result Significantly reduces data requirements for achieving RCT performance.
New method optimizes treatment policies to avoid winner's curse.
problem Winner's curse in treatment policy optimization.
method Inference-aware policy optimization.
result Optimizes for both estimated performance and downstream evaluation.
A benchmark evaluates ioUS-to-MR synthesis methods for brain tumor surgery.
problem Difficult interpretation of ioUS images for brain tumor surgery.
method Six generators trained under four inference regimes and two targets on public data.
result SynDiff-2.5D best preserved downstream segmentation (U_Dice=0.55).
This work improves neural likelihood surrogates for stochastic models with a score-augmented loss.
problem Efficient parameter inference for stochastic models with computationally expensive likelihood functions.
method Score-augmented loss function for neural network likelihood surrogates.
result Improves surrogate quality at a lower computational cost compared to generating more data.
A new framework designs experiments for better decision-making.
problem Suboptimal experimental designs for downstream decision-making.
method Amortized decision-aware Bayesian Experimental Design (BED) with Transformer Neural Decision Process (TNDP).
result TNDP effectively designs experiments and facilitates accurate decision-making.
DECAF generates fair synthetic data by embedding causal relationships.
problem Generating fair synthetic data from biased training data.
method DECAF uses a GAN with a structural causal model to embed causal relationships and debias synthetic data.
result DECAF successfully removes bias and generates high-quality synthetic data.
Generative models often fail to preserve joint structure despite matching marginals.
problem Generative models fail to capture complex dependencies beyond univariate marginals.
method Introduced D_Sigma(P,Q) = ||Sigma_P - Sigma_Q||_F to measure covariance-level dependence fidelity.
result Covariance-level divergence can lead to structural instability in downstream inference.
ASCEND discovers causal relationships in multi-omics data by leveraging known hierarchical structure.
problem Causal inference in high-dimensional multi-omics data, especially when ignoring the hierarchical structure.
method Two-tiered divide-and-conquer strategy with ancestral conditioning sets.
result Achieves polynomial-time complexity and accurately recovers ancestral relationships.
BLISS detects and separates astronomical sources quickly and accurately.
problem Detecting and separating overlapping astronomical sources in large images.
method Bayesian Light Source Separator (BLISS) using deep generative models and variational inference.
result BLISS can process megapixel images in seconds and produce highly accurate catalogs.
The study examines when to trust confidence thresholding in pseudo-labelling regression.
problem Calibrated probabilities from classifiers used for pseudo-labelling need careful handling to avoid bias in downstream regression.
method Developed a diagnostic apparatus to predict and bound the bias induced by confidence thresholding, derived a closed-form expression for the attenuation bias.
result The bias can be predicted from the residual score variance V∗, motivating a structural separation between classifier features and downstream controls. New scaling laws optimize model size, training, and inference for better performance.
problem Trade-off between model size and inference cost in modern LLMs.
method Train-to-Test (T2) scaling laws that jointly optimize model size, training tokens, and inference samples. result Optimal pretraining decisions shift into overtraining regime, leading to stronger performance.
This paper generalizes BO uncertainty measures using decision-theoretic entropies.
problem Efficiently inferring optima of expensive black-box functions.
method Introduces a generalized entropy measure from statistical decision theory to optimize Bayesian optimization.
result Demonstrates strong empirical performance across various sequential decision-making tasks.
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have made releasing of synthetic images a viable approach to share data without releasing the original dataset. It has been shown that such synthetic data can be used for a variety of downstream tasks such as training classifiers that would otherwise require the original dataset t…
SMAI framework tests and integrates single-cell data alignability.
problem Lack of a rigorous statistical test for alignability and distortion during alignment.
method Spectral manifold alignment and inference (SMAI) framework.
result SMAI outperforms existing methods in alignability testing and integration.
Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to incorrect posterior predictive distributions. We present a novel approach that corr…
Unified framework for hybrid learning and optimization via active inference.
problem Sequential decisions in black-box evaluations requiring both task improvement and uncertainty reduction.
method Pragmatic Curiosity (PraC) framework that evaluates queries by balancing information gain and pragmatic value.
result Unified approach reduces decision risk and improves coverage of critical regions without task-specific rules.
Noise-aware DP inference improves accuracy for complex models.
problem Inaccurate results and biases in DP inference for complex models.
method Noise-aware stochastic gradient variational inference.
result Accurate coverages and predictive probabilities for complex models.
New methods reduce bias in synthetic data for machine learning.
problem Statistical bias in synthetic data generated for privacy.
method Re-weighting strategies using privatised likelihood ratios.
result Private importance weighting enhances synthetic data utility.
New method learns physical meanings in learned representations for better downstream tasks.
problem Lack of explicit physical meanings in learned representations from self-supervised learning.
method Analysis-by-synthesis approach with coordinated sampling and training.
result Trained models can control articulatory synthesizers to speak like humans and generalize well.
A novel framework refines diffusion models iteratively for better downstream reward optimization.
problem Optimizing reward functions during inference of diffusion models.
method Iterative refinement process with noising and reward-guided denoising steps.
result Superior empirical performance in protein and DNA design.
Contrastive Code Representation Learning improves code summarization and type inference.
problem Code representations are sensitive to edits, hindering downstream semantic understanding tasks.
method ContraCode: a contrastive pre-training task that learns code functionality.
result Contrastive pre-training improves code summarization and type inference accuracy.
Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.
problem Generating accurate synthetic populations without personal data.
method Constraint-programming framework encoding aggregated statistics and structural relations.
result Exact control of demographic profiles without requiring microdata.
Bayesian method infers transition matrices from incomplete graph data with topological constraints.
problem Inference of transition matrices from incomplete graph data with topological constraints.
method Bayesian approach using repeated interactions and a topological prior.
result Higher accuracy in inferring transition probabilities, improving downstream tasks.
Bayesian graph contrastive learning improves uncertainty quantification for graph analytics.
problem Uncertainty quantification for node representations in graph contrastive learning.
method Proposes a Bayesian framework to learn stochastic encoders representing nodes as distributions, providing uncertainty estimates.
result Significant improvement in performance on benchmark datasets compared to existing methods.
New framework for variational coresets simplifies Bayesian inference for complex models.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference for complex models like neural networks.
method Black-box variational inference for coresets that handle intractable posterior distributions.
result Principled application of variational coresets to Bayesian neural networks.
Extends post-prediction inference method for more accurate AI/ML data analysis.
problem Naively using AI/ML predictions as true observations leads to biased results.
method Extends Wang et al. method to relax assumptions and incorporate a scaling factor.
result Yields unbiased point estimates and proper coverage in simulations.
New insights into optimizing latent representations in hierarchical VAEs.
problem Optimizing latent representations in hierarchical VAEs for various applications.
method Identifying a general class of inference models and deriving theoretical bounds on performance.
result Guidance for practitioners on optimal regions in rate-space for different applications.
Probabilistic Autoencoder learns latent space weights' distribution.
problem Nonlinear model reconstruction error and sample quality.
method Normalizing flow for latent space weights' probability distribution.
result PAE achieves small reconstruction errors, high sample quality, and good performance.
Introduces Motion Programs for better video analysis of human motion.
problem Current video analysis focuses on raw pixels or keypoints, missing higher-level motion primitives.
method Introduces Motion Programs as a neuro-symbolic representation of motions as a composition of high-level primitives.
result Motion Programs accurately describe diverse human motions and improve downstream tasks.
Paper tackles self-supervised learning for non-homophilous graphs.
problem Existing self-supervised learning methods assume homophilous graphs, but real-world graphs often lack this assumption.
method Develops a decoupled self-supervised learning (DSSL) framework that decouples different semantics between neighborhoods.
result DSSL framework achieves better performance on various graph benchmarks compared to competitive baselines.
New methods reduce bias in machine learning predictions for causal inference without extra data.
problem Machine learning predictions from satellite data shrink toward the mean, leading to biased causal estimates.
method Two post-hoc correction methods: Linear Calibration Correction (LCC) and Tweedie's approach, reduce shrinkage-induced bias.
result Tweedie's method yields nearly unbiased treatment-effect estimates, enabling multiple trials with a single map.
EFI automates statistical inference for big data.
problem Statistical inference for model parameters based on observations.
method EFI uses stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and sparse deep neural networks.
result EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation and automates the inference process.
Theoretical analysis shows pretext-based self-supervised learning can be boosted by downstream data under certain conditions.
problem Theoretical analysis of pretext-based self-supervised learning and downstream data refinement.
method Theoretical analysis and experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets.
result Theoretical lower bounds and experiments show that downstream data refinement can boost or hurt performance depending on conditions.
LARP filters data to protect model performance across various learners.
problem Protecting model accuracy in public datasets with diverse learners.
method Formalizes and analyzes LARP, a robust data prefiltering method.
result LARP provides guarantees on worst-case loss over a set of learners, with some performance trade-off.
This study examines how the size and alignment of pretraining data affect the performance of large language models on downstream tasks.
problem Understanding how the size and alignment of pretraining data impact the performance of large language models on downstream tasks.
method Investigated the scaling behavior of large language models in a transfer learning setting, focusing on machine translation tasks.
result The size of the finetuning dataset and the distribution alignment between pretraining and downstream data significantly influence the scaling behavior of downstream performance.
NeVI-Cut uses neural networks to efficiently propagate uncertainty without feedback.
problem Efficiently propagating uncertainty in downstream Bayesian analysis without feedback.
method NeVI-Cut combines neural networks and normalizing flows for variational inference.
result NeVI-Cut achieves significant computational gains and higher accuracy than traditional methods.
Ensemble pre-trained models for low data transfer learning.
problem Training good models from scratch in low data regime.
method Fine-tune nearest-neighbour ranked pre-trained models to create ensembles.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance with lower inference budget.
Despite the recent success in probabilistic modeling and their applications, generative models trained using traditional inference techniques struggle to adapt to new distributions, even when the target distribution may be closely related to the ones seen during training. In this work, we present a doubly-amortized var…
This work characterizes reward function partial identifiability and its impact on policy optimization.
problem Reward function partial identifiability in complex tasks.
method Formal characterisation of partial identifiability using various reward learning data sources.
result Unified framework for comparing data sources and downstream tasks by their invariances.
Kernel embeddings help estimate causal effects from observational data.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with confounding variables.
method Kernel embeddings in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS).
result Robust nonparametric framework for causal inference.
Paper defines and solves a problem in representation learning to ensure fairness with high confidence.
problem Learning fair representations with high confidence guarantees for all downstream tasks.
method Formally defines the problem, introduces FRG framework, proves high probability fairness, and demonstrates effectiveness empirically.
result FRG framework provides high-confidence guarantees for limiting unfairness across all downstream models and tasks.
Neuroimaging studies produce gigabytes of spatio-temporal data for a small number of participants and stimuli. Rarely do researchers attempt to model and examine how individual participants vary from each other -- a question that should be addressable even in small samples given the right statistical tools. We propose …
Study shows how pretraining robustness transfers to downstream tasks.
problem Understanding how robustness is transferred from pretraining to downstream tasks.
method Theoretical analysis and practical validation of robustness constraints.
result Robustness of a linear predictor on downstream tasks can be constrained by the robustness of its underlying representation.
A new framework decouples SSL tasks into VDA and VLC, revealing VDA's importance.
problem Designing effective self-supervised learning tasks without manual annotation.
method Borrowing a multi-view perspective, the paper decouples popular pretext tasks into VDA and VLC, focusing on VDA's role in feature learning.
result VDA tasks dominate SSL performance, and integrating predictions from augmented views improves overall performance.