A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
This study analyzes how weather impacts bike sharing usage in Washington D.C.
One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …
Proposes AtCoR for predicting bike station usage, improving station network reconfiguration.
In recent years, dock-less shared bikes have been widely spread across many cities in China and facilitate people's lives. However, at the same time, it also raises many problems about dock-less shared bike management due to the mismatching between demands and real distribution of bikes. Before deploying dock-less shar…
Paper improves bike-sharing demand prediction by adapting to changing patterns.
This study proposes a novel Graph Convolutional Neural Network with Data-driven Graph Filter (GCNN-DDGF) model that can learn hidden heterogeneous pairwise correlations between stations to predict station-level hourly demand in a large-scale bike-sharing network. Two architectures of the GCNN-DDGF model are explored; G…
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
Bike usage in Smart Cities becomes paramount for sustainable urban development. Cycling provides tremendous opportunities for a more healthy lifestyle, lower energy consumption and carbon emissions as well as reduction of traffic jams. While the number of cyclists increase along with the expansion of bike sharing initi…
Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.
The paper optimizes sensor selection for network time series data.
Sub-Riemannian geometry connects bike paths to mathematical curves.
Dataset of 4500 bicycle designs aids in design analysis and synthesis.
The design of personalized incentives or recommendations to improve user engagement is gaining prominence as digital platform providers continually emerge. We propose a multi-armed bandit framework for matching incentives to users, whose preferences are unknown a priori and evolving dynamically in time, in a resource c…
Paper presents LSTMMDN for hourly bike flow estimation in Copenhagen.
Estimator improves prediction with missing data in multi-environment settings.
MCD automates counterfactual design searches for multi-modal tasks.
The paper proposes a new model to better estimate demand from censored data.
Tree ensembles, such as random forests and AdaBoost, are ubiquitous machine learning models known for achieving strong predictive performance across a wide variety of domains. However, this strong performance comes at the cost of interpretability (i.e. users are unable to understand the relationships a trained random f…
Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
We utilize Wi-Fi communications from smartphones to predict their mobility mode, i.e. walking, biking and driving. Wi-Fi sensors were deployed at four strategic locations in a closed loop on streets in downtown Toronto. Deep neural network (Multilayer Perceptron) along with three decision tree based classifiers (Decisi…
In urban environments, supply resources have to be constantly matched to the "right" locations (where customer demand is present) so as to improve quality of life. For instance, ambulances have to be matched to base stations regularly so as to reduce response time for emergency incidents in EMS (Emergency Management Sy…
The paper proposes a new auto-regressive model for multivariate distributional time series.
Meta-learning improves event prediction from short sequences.
CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.
We study a simple model of bicycle motion: a segment of fixed length in multi-dimensional Euclidean space, moving so that the velocity of the rear end is always aligned with the segment. If the front track is prescribed, the trajectory of the rear wheel is uniquely determined via a certain first order differential equa…
This master thesis focuses on practical application of Convolutional Neural Network models on the task of road labeling with bike attractivity score. We start with an abstraction of real world locations into nodes and scored edges in partially annotated dataset. We enhance information available about each edge with pho…
A new model clusters network nodes based on relative edge weights.
Due to their ubiquitous and pervasive nature, Wi-Fi networks have the potential to collect large-scale, low-cost, and disaggregate data on multimodal transportation. In this study, we develop a semi-supervised deep residual network (ResNet) framework to utilize Wi-Fi communications obtained from smartphones for the pur…
A spiral unibike track emerges from a mathematical construction.
A framework for anonymized risk sharing without revealing identities or preferences.
The paper optimizes risk-sharing in decentralized networks.
Boosts share routing for multi-task learning with flexible sparse connections.
Paper finds a method to compute fair risk-sharing rules.
New risk-sharing rules induced by capital allocation principles.
The paper defines fair profit sharing ratios in Islamic PL contracts.
We statistically investigate the distribution of share price and the distributions of three common financial indicators using data from approximately 8,000 companies publicly listed worldwide for the period 2004-2013. We find that the distribution of share price follows Zipf's law; that is, it can be approximated by a …
A new algorithm learns from failures to optimize under constraints efficiently.
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
Through a short sale, a person borrows a share of stock from a lender, sells the borrowed share to a third person at the current price, and purchases an identical share in the market at a future date and at a future price to replace the borrowed share of stock. This only makes sense if the short seller anticipates a do…
This paper aims to explore the mechanical effect of a company's share repurchase on earnings per share (EPS). In particular, while a share repurchase scheme will reduce the overall number of shares, suggesting that the EPS may increase, clearly the expenditure will reduce the net earnings of a company, introducing a tr…
This paper analyzes stock market data to predict share prices using regression models.
Algorithm learns which weights to share in deep multi-task learning.
There is a growing interest in joint multi-subject fMRI analysis. The challenge of such analysis comes from inherent anatomical and functional variability across subjects. One approach to resolving this is a shared response factor model. This assumes a shared and time synchronized stimulus across subjects. Such a model…
Model improves covariance estimation from shared and distinct datasets.
The large majority of risk-sharing transactions involve few agents, each of whom can heavily influence the structure and the prices of securities. This paper proposes a game where agents' strategic sets consist of all possible sharing securities and pricing kernels that are consistent with Arrow-Debreu sharing rules. F…
Gaussian process model for vector-valued function has been shown to be useful for multi-output prediction. The existing method for this model is to re-formulate the matrix-variate Gaussian distribution as a multivariate normal distribution. Although it is effective in many cases, re-formulation is not always workable a…
Developed a new algorithm to improve dynamic treatment regimens.