Introduces info intervention to handle causal questions and check counterfactual variables.
problem Controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables and lack of power to check counterfactual variables.
method Intervenes input/output information of causal mechanisms, providing causal diagrams for communication and theoretical focus.
result Causal diagrams based on info intervention provide a new perspective on information transfer as causality.
Paper characterizes causal graphs from hard interventions and proposes a learning algorithm.
problem Discovering causal structure from hard interventions and observational data.
method Proposes graphical constraints and a learning algorithm based on do-calculus.
result Characterizes interventional equivalence classes of causal graphs with latent variables.
Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.
problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.
New approach to counterfactual reasoning avoids demographic interventions.
problem Limitations of traditional counterfactual reasoning in AI systems.
method Backtracking counterfactual approach instead of interventional.
result Allows addressing social concerns without demographic interventions.
Resolves spurious correlations in causal models via intervention design.
problem Spurious correlations lead to incorrect causal models in reinforcement learning environments.
method Proposes a method to design interventions that improve causal models by incentivizing agents to find errors.
result Experimental results show improved causal models compared to baselines.
In this paper, we discuss structure learning of causal networks from multiple data sets obtained by external intervention experiments where we do not know what variables are manipulated. For example, the conditions in these experiments are changed by changing temperature or using drugs, but we do not know what target v…
A new diffusion model encodes causal structures for better interventional sampling and edge inference.
problem Lack of causal analysis in standard diffusion models.
method Causality-encoded diffusion framework that trains conditional models consistent with a directed acyclic graph.
result The method enables accurate interventional sampling and edge inference, with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.
Paper axiomatizes interventional probability distributions.
problem Causal inference and intervention.
method Axiomatization of interventional families.
result Markovian property of intervened distributions.
Bayesian method optimizes interventions for causal discovery.
problem Active interventions are needed for causal discovery when observational data is insufficient.
method Bayesian optimization-based approach using observational data and pre-experimental evaluation of interventions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness through various experiments.
New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.
problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.
Evaluation metrics for prediction models don't fully reflect intervention impact.
problem Standard metrics don't accurately reflect reduction in patient outcomes from model use.
method Synthesized and discussed various evaluation methods, analyzed with simulated and real data.
result Evaluations without interventional data are limited or require strong assumptions.
New method verifies formulas for causal interventional distributions.
problem Deciding if a given formula correctly identifies an interventional distribution.
method Proposed a falsifier to check if a formula is identifying.
result Falsifier can induce an almost-surely correct verifier for certain models.
COTA learns abstraction maps from data without complete SCM knowledge.
problem Learning causally consistent representations at different resolutions.
method Multi-marginal Optimal Transport (OT) with do-calculus constraints and interventional cost.
result COTA outperforms non-causal and independent formulations on synthetic and real-world problems.
New method uses neural networks to learn causal graphs from interventional data.
problem Challenges in learning causal directed acyclic graphs from data.
method Reformulates as continuous constrained optimization, uses neural networks, leverages interventional data.
result Method compares favorably to state of the art in various settings.
New algorithms for efficient causal interventions with budget constraints and without constraints.
problem Efficiently learning best interventions in causal graphs with budget constraints.
method Developed algorithms for both budgeted and non-budgeted causal bandits, optimizing regret and side-information usage.
result Proposed algorithms minimize cumulative regret and perform better than standard methods.
New method identifies latent causal graphs without parametric assumptions.
problem Identifying latent causal graphs without parametric assumptions.
method Constructive proofs with new graphical concepts.
result Conditions for nonparametric identification of latent causal graphs.
VACA models graph data for causal inference without hidden confounders.
problem Causal inference in observational data with hidden confounders.
method Variational graph autoencoders for structural causal models.
result Accurately approximates interventional and counterfactual distributions.
Study suggests using information flow measures to target interventions in neural networks.
problem Identifying neural network edges that can be pruned to reduce bias.
method Used M-information flow framework to measure and compare information flows about true labels and protected attributes, and evaluated pruning effects on bias reduction. result Pruning edges with larger information flows about protected attributes reduces bias at the output.
Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.
problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.
Study finds real-world datasets contain natural experiments that can improve model performance.
problem Detecting natural experiments in real-world datasets for causal inference.
method Synthetic graph simulation and feature selection based on causal links.
result Real-world datasets contain natural experiments that can be exploited for improved model performance.
We propose a simple method to learn linear causal cyclic models in the presence of latent variables. The method relies on equilibrium data of the model recorded under a specific kind of interventions ("shift interventions"). The location and strength of these interventions do not have to be known and can be estimated f…
Paper improves feature selection for predicting outcomes from observational data.
problem Feature selection for post-intervention outcome prediction from pre-intervention variables in healthcare settings.
method Extends Markov boundary concept to treatment-outcome pairs, uses observational and experimental data.
result Combining observational and experimental data improves feature selection and effect estimation.
We study the problem of using causal models to improve the rate at which good interventions can be learned online in a stochastic environment. Our formalism combines multi-arm bandits and causal inference to model a novel type of bandit feedback that is not exploited by existing approaches. We propose a new algorithm t…
This paper tackles unknown causal graphs and soft interventions, establishing regret bounds and an efficient algorithm.
problem Designing causal bandit algorithms with unknown causal graphs and stochastic intervention models.
method Establishes novel regret bounds and presents a computationally efficient algorithm for unknown graph and soft interventions.
result Regret bounds for unknown graph and soft interventions, with a universal minimax lower bound.
Novel approach to learn CTBNs from data with minimal interventions.
problem Learning CTBNs from time-course data with limited resources.
method Variational approximation of expected information gain for experimental design.
result Semi-analytical expression for structure and parameter learning.
GAMBITTS uses GenAI for adaptive interventions, improving decision-making.
problem Adaptive interventions with GenAI-generated content.
method Generator-mediated bandit-Thompson sampling (GAMBITTS).
result GAMBITTS outperforms standard bandit methods in mobile health interventions.
New approach to meaningful and robust algorithmic recourse.
problem Ineffective and unmeaningful algorithmic recourse explanations.
method Meaningful Algorithmic Recourse (MAR) and Effective Algorithmic Recourse (EAR).
result Proposes new constraints for algorithmic recourse that improve both prediction and target.
Synthetic Combinations learns unit-specific causal outcomes for combinatorial interventions.
problem Estimating unit-specific causal outcomes for all combinations of p interventions in a heterogeneous setting. method Latent factor model with Fourier expansion sparsity, imposing structure across units and interventions.
result Synthetic Combinations provides consistent estimation with poly(r) * (N + s^2p) observations, outperforming previous methods.
The study quantifies the information needed for causal queries at different levels of Pearl's hierarchy.
problem How much additional information is needed for interventional and counterfactual queries compared to observational queries?
method Formalized via query-class description length, using Kolmogorov complexity of answer oracles induced by SCMs.
result Binary acyclic SCMs show a quadratic gap between observational and interventional descriptions, and a logarithmic gap between interventional and counterfactual descriptions.
Causal Bayesian Optimization improves global optimization with causal information.
problem Optimizing a system with causal relationships among variables.
method Combines causal inference, uncertainty quantification, and sequential decision making.
result Causal information significantly improves optimization strategies and reduces costs.
High-capacity neural network ensembles often benefit more from high-capacity models than from increased diversity.
problem The performance of high-capacity neural network ensembles is often harmed by interventions that promote predictive diversity.
method A large-scale study of nearly 600 neural network classification ensembles, examining various interventions and architectures.
result Discouraging predictive diversity can be benign in large-network ensembles, and higher-capacity models often yield better performance than diverse architectures.
This work explains RL policies using causal models, revealing important patterns and failures.
problem Understanding why RL policies succeed or fail in complex, high-dimensional systems.
method Developed a nonlinear Causal Model Reduction framework to learn simplified causal models from RL policy actions and rewards.
result The approach can uncover important behavioral patterns and failure modes in trained RL policies.
FairPrep aims to improve fairness in machine learning by providing best practices.
problem Lack of best practices in fairness-enhancing interventions.
method Developer-centered design and evaluation framework for fairness-enhancing interventions.
result Hyperparameter tuning and data cleaning methods impact fairness outcomes.
New algorithms reduce regret in bandit problems with causal information.
problem Optimal intervention learning with causal background knowledge.
method Proposed C-UCB, C-TS, CL-UCB, and CL-TS algorithms.
result Improved cumulative regret bounds with causal information.
We establish causal semantics for SDEs and develop methods to reason about them.
problem Understanding causal relationships in systems modeled by stochastic differential equations.
method We introduce a causal graph framework, Markov properties, and do-calculus for SDEs.
result We prove the σ-separation Markov property and do-calculus for causal SDEs. Novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using SCMs and backdoor adjustment.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data using hazard ratios.
method Backdoor adjustment through structural causal models (SCMs) and do-calculus.
result Novel approach for computing hazard ratios from observational studies.
NCoRE learns counterfactual representations for combined treatments.
problem Estimating individual response to multiple simultaneous interventions.
method Neural conditional representation with modulators for cross-treatment interactions.
result NCoRE significantly outperforms existing methods in counterfactual treatment effect estimation.
A model learns causal representations from high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in learning causal representations from high-dimensional data.
method Formulated a latent variable decoder model, Decoder BCD, for Bayesian causal discovery.
result Shows that using known intervention targets as labels helps in unsupervised Bayesian inference over structure and parameters.
Adaptive PCR improves panel data analysis with uniform guarantees.
problem Adaptive data collection in panel data settings.
method Adapting PCR to online settings using martingale concentration.
result Time-uniform guarantees for adaptive PCR in panel data.
Computers are increasingly used to make decisions that have significant impact in people's lives. Often, these predictions can affect different population subgroups disproportionately. As a result, the issue of fairness has received much recent interest, and a number of fairness-enhanced classifiers and predictors have…
AI needs causal inference to avoid being just a correlation machine.
problem AI's inability to distinguish correlation from causation.
method Develops a unified framework connecting various causal statistical estimators and proves a Statistical Necessity Theorem for causal generalization.
result AI systems without causal grounding are brittle and biased, highlighting the need for causal statistics.
In this paper, we accomplish two objectives: First, we provide a new mathematical characterization of the value function for impulse control problems with implementation delay and present a direct solution method that differs from its counterparts that use quasi-variational inequalities. Our method is direct, in the se…
The paper tackles generalization in machine learning by finding invariant representations of data.
problem Obtaining robust models that generalize well across different training environments.
method The paper introduces the concept of ε-approximate invariance to study the robustness of models to unseen SEMs. result The paper provides finite-sample out-of-distribution generalization guarantees for approximate invariance in linear SEMs.
Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
Framework integrates Markov and causal models for accurate counterfactual inference.
problem Lack of counterfactual inference in Markov models and identification in causal models.
method Defines structural causal models in terms of Markov process parameters and equilibrium dynamics, enabling consistent counterfactual inference.
result Proposed framework alleviates identifiability issues and improves accuracy of counterfactual inference.
New method samples from any causal effect given conditional generative models.
problem Sampling from un/conditional interventional distributions in high-dimensional data.
method Sequence of push-forward computations of conditional generative models.
result Algorithm enables sampling from any identifiable interventional distribution.
This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.
problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.
Study examines robustness of NPI effectiveness models against COVID-19.
problem How do NPI effectiveness estimates vary with model assumptions and data?
method Investigated 2 NPI effectiveness models and 6 variants, evaluated robustness to unseen countries, parameters, and data.
result NPI effectiveness estimates are remarkably robust to different variables.