New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.
problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.
This paper examines how voter concentration affects election outcomes in district-based systems.
problem How does the spatial concentration of electors impact election results?
method The authors frame the spatial distribution of electors in a probabilistic setting and explore models to capture intra-district polarization. They use Likelihood-free Inference under the Approximate Bayesian Computation framework and supervised regression methods to estimate parameters.
result The models can capture statistical properties of real elections and show how voter distributions can change election results.
STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.
problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.
Deep RL agent secures 2nd place in CityLearn Challenge for district demand management.
problem Optimizing electrical demand of diverse buildings in a district.
method Centralised 'Soft Actor Critic' deep reinforcement learning agent.
result Achieved an averaged score of 0.967 on challenge dataset.
In political redistricting, the compactness of a district is used as a quantitative proxy for its fairness. Several well-established, yet competing, notions of geographic compactness are commonly used to evaluate the shapes of regions, including the Polsby-Popper score, the convex hull score, and the Reock score, and t…
We have analyzed the risks of possible development of bubbles in the Swiss residential real estate market. The data employed in this work has been collected by comparis.ch, and carefully cleaned from duplicate records through a procedure based on supervised machine learning methods. The study uses the log periodic powe…
Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters. In order to further improve the model accuracy, it is of great importance to und…
Understanding the heat usage of customers is crucial for effective district heating operations and management. Unfortunately, existing knowledge about customers and their heat load behaviors is quite scarce. Most previous studies are limited to small-scale analyses that are not representative enough to understand the b…
The study uses neural networks to classify and predict coronavirus data.
problem Classifying and predicting coronavirus data from input variables.
method Artificial neural networks with logcosh loss function to classify branches of set-valued mappings.
result Successfully classified and predicted coronavirus data for each German district.
The automatic digitizing of paper maps is a significant and challenging task for both academia and industry. As an important procedure of map digitizing, the semantic segmentation section mainly relies on manual visual interpretation with low efficiency. In this study, we select urban planning maps as a representative …
Traditional centralized energy systems have the disadvantages of difficult management and insufficient incentives. Blockchain is an emerging technology, which can be utilized in energy systems to enhance their management and control. Integrating token economy and blockchain technology, token economic systems in energy …
Federated learning predicts financial distress across U.S. states without centralizing data.
problem Predicting financial distress across U.S. states using sensitive data without centralization.
method Cross-silo federated learning, interpretable AI techniques, machine learning model for categorical data.
result Identifies both global and state-specific predictors of financial hardship.
Study quantizes energy for a specific fourth-order system in 4D.
problem Energy quantization for a fourth-order inhomogeneous system in 4D.
method Establishes angular energy quantization for the given system.
result Angular energy quantization proven for the system.
New method assesses energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
problem Improving energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
method Market potential method to evaluate and compare energy storage technologies.
result High-cost hydrogen storage can be more valuable than low-cost hydrogen storage.
Paper models uncertainty in electricity and gas markets to assess its impact.
problem Addressing uncertainties in coupled electricity and gas markets.
method Integrated and stochastic optimisation approaches for large-scale energy systems.
result Quantifies the value of encoding uncertainty in models.
Predictive policing models can be biased by differential crime reporting rates.
problem Bias in predictive policing models due to differential crime reporting.
method Simulation based on Bogotá, Colombia's victimization and crime reporting data.
result Differential crime reporting rates can lead to misallocation of police patrols.
Physics-informed learning framework for pH systems and EB-PBC control.
problem Control of port-Hamiltonian systems from trajectory data.
method Co-learning of pH system model and EB-PBC through alternating optimization.
result Proven stability and robustness of the learned controller.
This paper optimizes a power-to-heat system using reinforcement learning for cost minimization under uncertain conditions.
problem Optimizing a power-to-heat system with fluctuating renewable energy sources.
method Stochastic optimal control, reinforcement learning (Q-learning).
result Reinforcement learning provides an efficient solution to the optimization problem.
Minimal energy local systems on curves are compact components of character varieties.
problem Characterizing local systems on surfaces with minimal energy.
method Study of minimal energy local systems on surfaces of genus g with d punctures.
result Minimal energy local systems form compact components of real relative character varieties.
Quantum vacuum energy (Casimir energy) is reviewed for a mathematical audience as a topic in spectral theory. Then some one-dimensional systems are solved exactly, in terms of closed classical paths and periodic orbits. The relations among local spectral densities, energy densities, global eigenvalue densities, and tot…
Generalizes energy-momentum method for non-autonomous Hamiltonian systems.
problem Stability analysis of non-autonomous Hamiltonian systems with symmetries.
method Develops a new approach to relative equilibrium points and stability conditions for non-autonomous systems.
result Conditions ensuring stability of relative equilibrium points in non-autonomous Hamiltonian systems.
Develops control and observer methods for complex systems.
problem Controlling and observing infinite-dimensional systems with boundary actuation.
method Energy-Casimir method and port-Hamiltonian system representation.
result Control law and observer designed for Kirchhoff-Love plate example.
We introduce the super-Toda system on Riemann surfaces and study the blow-up analysis for a sequence of solutions to the super-Toda system on a closed Riemann surface with uniformly bounded energy. In particular, we show the energy identities for the spinor parts of a blow-up sequence of solutions for which there are p…
This study prioritizes temporal resolution over spatial in energy systems models due to higher influence.
problem The impact of spatial and temporal resolution on energy system models.
method Global sensitivity analysis to compare structural aspects, spatial, and temporal resolution.
result Temporal resolution has a higher influence on all results parameters compared to spatial resolution.
Gradient boosting algorithm for spatial panel models improves estimation in high-dimensional settings.
problem Estimation failure in high-dimensional spatial panel models.
method Model-based gradient boosting algorithm for spatial panel models with random and fixed effects.
result Feasibility and interpretability in both low- and high-dimensional settings.
This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…
Paper introduces normalizing flows for accurate probabilistic energy forecasting.
problem Uncertainty in renewable energy forecasting for power systems.
method Normalizing flows for direct learning of multivariate stochastic distributions.
result Normalizing flows outperform other deep learning models in probabilistic forecasting.
Generalizes Newmark methods for nonholonomic systems.
problem Energy behavior in nonholonomic systems.
method Nonholonomic exponential map to generalize Newmark methods.
result Composition of two Newmark methods can improve energy behavior.
New energy measure for isolated systems in general relativity.
problem Quantifying energy in isolated systems in general relativity.
method Optimal isometric embedding and conformal Killing fields.
result Finite quasi-local energies for asymptotically flat spacetimes.
This paper presents a case study of a recommender system that can be used to save energy in smart homes without lowering the comfort of the inhabitants. We present an algorithm that uses consumer behavior data only and uses machine learning to suggest actions for inhabitants to reduce the energy consumption of their ho…
Distributed, controllable energy storage devices offer several benefits to electric power system operation. Three such benefits include reducing peak load, providing standby power, and enhancing power quality. These benefits, however, are only realized during peak load or during an outage, events that are infrequent. T…
Paper designs energy-based controllers and observers for complex systems.
problem Controlling and observing infinite-dimensional systems with in-domain actuation.
method Uses Stokes-Dirac structures and jet-bundle structures to derive controllers and observers.
result Control schemes derived in both frameworks are equivalent.
Optimizes BESS for cross-market energy arbitrage to boost revenues.
problem Charging and discharging BESS at optimal times to maximize profits.
method Developed a generic framework, backtest engine, and optimization strategy.
result Boosted revenues by 10% through strategic BESS operation.
Paper adapts causal analysis for time-dependent systems, especially energy management.
problem Challenges in root-cause analysis for systems with lagged time-dependencies, particularly in energy management.
method Adapts causal root-cause analysis method to time-dependent systems, discusses two truncation approaches.
result Extension effectively localizes root-causes in feature and time domain with enough lags.
Unified framework for sampling and approximating high-dimensional energy landscapes.
problem Sampling and approximating complex energy landscapes in physical systems with constraints and energy barriers.
method Formulates a minimax optimization problem that jointly adapts surrogate approximation and adaptive sampling.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in biomolecular systems with up to 30 collective variables.
New system assigns vehicles to routes for cost and energy efficiency.
problem Optimizing vehicle route assignment for cost and energy efficiency.
method Machine learning-based neural network algorithm to estimate energy consumption and provide real-time recommendations.
result Demonstrated efficient vehicle assignment for medium and heavy duty trucks.
Paper proposes a new model to assess risks in energy storage systems considering both exogenous and endogenous uncertainties.
problem Current risk assessment ignores the stochastic nature of energy storage availability.
method Data-driven unified model with exogenous and endogenous uncertainty description for four types of generic energy storage.
result Comparative results show more severe risks for endogenous uncertainty, suggesting new strategies for system operators.
New algorithm reduces costs in wind energy systems by minimizing decision changes.
problem Costs associated with decision changes in wind energy systems.
method Episodic CBO with movement costs using Gaussian Process and mirror descent.
result Our algorithm consistently outperforms standard CBO in altitude optimization.
We present an equivariant Liapunov stability criterion for dynamical systems with symmetry. This result yields a simple proof of the energy-momentum-Casimir stability analysis of relative equilibria of equivariant Hamiltonian systems.
In this paper, we consider nonlinear PDEs in a port-Hamiltonian setting based on an underlying jet-bundle structure. We restrict ourselves to systems with 1-dimensional spatial domain and 2nd-order Hamiltonian including certain dissipation models that can be incorporated in the port- Hamiltonian framework by means of a…
Tree ensemble method tackles multi-objective constrained optimization in energy systems.
problem Complex, multi-objective, and constrained optimization problems in energy systems.
method Data-driven tree ensemble approach for black-box problems with heterogeneous variable spaces.
result Competitive performance and sampling efficiency compared to state-of-the-art tools.
Study examines barriers to grid-connected battery systems in Spain, finding high cycle cost remains main obstacle.
problem Barriers to grid-connected battery systems in Spain's deregulated electricity market.
method Utilization analysis and concept of 'potentially profitable utilization time' introduced.
result High cycle cost remains the main barrier for grid-connected battery systems in Spain.
When a spacetime takes Bondi radiating metric, and is vacuum and asymptotically flat at spatial infinity which ensures the positive mass theorem, we prove that the standard ADM energy-momentum is the past limit of the Bondi energy-momentum. We also derive a formula relating the ADM energy-momentum of any asymptotically…
A uniqueness result in the inverse problem for an inhomogeneous hyperbolic system on a real vector bundle over a smooth compact manifold, based on energy measurements for improperly known sources, is established.
Controller seeks informative system observations to predict nonlinear dynamics.
problem Predicting nonlinear dynamics with uncertain parameters.
method Expected free energy minimization for balancing goal state and informative observations.
result Controller improves performance in uncertain parameter scenarios.
We prove that for a uniformly convex Lagrangian system L on a compact manifold M, almost all energy levels contain a periodic orbit. We also prove that below Ma ne's critical value of the lift of the Lagrangian to the universal cover, almost all energy levels have conjugate points. We prove that if the energy level [E=…
Study on energy storage's impact on electricity prices and profitability.
problem Analyzing the profitability of energy storage in electricity markets.
method Characterized optimal operating strategy for storage systems, determined equilibrium price in a market with storage, renewables, and conventional producers, and characterized price process using stochastic differential equations.
result Increased average revenues and interquantile ranges for storage assets in energy transition scenarios.
Study chaotic dynamics in social stratification models leading to thermalization and turbulence.
problem Understanding social stratification dynamics through chaotic nonlinear systems.
method Modeling social network links with oscillators and energies, studying Hamiltonian evolution and nonlinear interactions.
result Chaotic dynamics leads to dynamical thermalization and Kolmogorov-Zakharov turbulence, with implications for wealth inequality.