Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance (in a Wasserstein sense) from the underlying empirical measure. While motivated by…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “distributionally-robust models”
A general duality proof for Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization.
problem Optimizing under uncertainty with Wasserstein distance.
method One-dimensional convex analysis and interchangeability principle.
result General duality result holds for various distributions and costs.
New approach improves model generalization through distributionally robust learning.
problem Improving model generalization in machine learning.
method Stochastic gradient descent applied to the outer minimization problem, with gradient estimation through multi-level Monte Carlo randomization.
result Our approach yields significant benefits over previous work in numerical experiments.
Develops robust learning framework under distributional perturbations.
problem Learning robust to data distributional changes.
method Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) under Wasserstein metric.
result Establishes performance guarantees and tractable formulations.
Improved estimator reduces bias in statistical learning models.
problem Asymptotic bias in classic WDRO estimator.
method Adjusted Wasserstein distributionally robust estimator.
result Asymptotic unbiased estimator with smaller MSE.
New regularizer for machine learning using private data.
problem Machine learning with private data.
method Distributionally-robust optimization with locally-differentially-private datasets.
result New regularizer for training linear regression models.
A new framework for performative prediction robust to distributional misspecification.
problem Performative prediction models can be influenced by their own predictions, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Introduces distributionally robust performative prediction (DRPO) to approximate the true performative optimum (PO) robustly.
result DRPO provides provable guarantees as a robust approximation to the true PO when the nominal distribution map is misspecified.
New scalable methods for robust model learning from large datasets.
problem Training robust models resistant to data distribution shifts.
method Composite optimization for distributionally robust optimization (DRO).
result Scalable methods for learning robust models from large datasets.
End-to-end portfolio system accounts for model risk.
problem Model risk in portfolio selection.
method Distributionally robust optimization with convex duality.
result Explicitly accounts for model risk in portfolio selection.
Paper proves robust estimators' generalization guarantees without dimensionality issues.
problem Generalization guarantees for Wasserstein distributionally robust models.
method Analyzes and extends existing guarantees to broader classes of models and regularized versions.
result Generalization guarantees hold without dimensionality issues and cover distribution shifts.
Study improves adversarial classification using distributionally robust models.
problem Improving robustness against adversarial attacks in classification models.
method Distributionally robust chance constraints with Wasserstein ambiguity, reformulated as a regularized ramp loss minimization problem.
result Standard descent methods can converge to the global minimizer for the distributionally robust adversarial classification model.
Extends ML fairness to handle minority groups over time.
problem Limitations of existing fairness criteria.
method Performative Distributionally Robust Optimization.
result Improves fairness for minority groups over time.
New algorithm improves RL performance across different environments.
problem Improving reinforcement learning performance across various environments.
method Designing a fully model-free DRRL algorithm that learns from a single trajectory.
result Demonstrates superior robustness and sample efficiency compared to existing methods.
The paper connects three machine learning methods to reduce generalization errors.
problem Reducing generalization errors in machine learning models.
method Distributionally robust optimization, Bayesian methods, and regularization.
result Machine learning models can be characterized using distributional uncertainty and robustness measures.
A method for robust reinforcement learning in large state spaces.
problem Challenges in RL with large state spaces, costly data, and real-world dynamics deviation.
method Distributionally robust Markov decision processes with Gaussian Processes and maximum variance reduction.
result Efficient learning of multi-output nominal transition dynamics with statistical sample complexity bounds.
We study a distributionally robust mean square error estimation problem over a nonconvex Wasserstein ambiguity set containing only normal distributions. We show that the optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution form a Nash equilibrium. Despite the non-convex nature of the ambiguity set, we prove that the …
Investigates model risk and semi-static hedging for martingale constrained models.
problem Model risk distributionally robust sensitivities for functionals on the Wasserstein space.
method Introduces distributionally robust problem with semi-static hedging strategies.
result Explicit characterizations of model risk optimal semi-static hedging strategies.
Tikhonov regularization is robust under specific martingale constraints in distributionally robust optimization.
problem Distributionally robust optimization and regularization of learning models.
method Optimal transport approach with martingale constraints.
result Tikhonov regularization is optimal transport robust under specified martingale constraints.
DRSSS method reduces model training costs by eliminating unsafe samples.
problem Reducing storage and training costs for customized models across different environments.
method Combines DR optimization and SSS for covariate shift.
result Models trained on reduced dataset perform similarly to those on full dataset.
Proposes using Wasserstein barycenters for robust optimization with multiple data sources.
problem Distributionally robust optimization with multiple heterogeneous data sources.
method Construct nominal distribution through Wasserstein barycenter of multiple data samples, reformulates as a finite convex program.
result Proposed scheme outperforms other estimators in sparse inverse covariance matrix estimation.
CreDRO learns credal ensembles via distributionally robust optimization, improving EU quantification.
problem Quantifying predictive epistemic uncertainty in credal models.
method Distributionally robust optimization to capture EU from training randomness and potential distribution shifts.
result Empirically, CreDRO outperforms existing credal methods on various tasks.
Study shows convergence of stochastic gradient method for unregularized Wasserstein optimization.
problem Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization under potential distribution shifts.
method Regularized approximation with stochastic gradient methods, convergence analysis.
result Stochastic gradient method converges to subgradients of unregularized objective as regularization vanishes.
Expands newsvendor model with moment constraints using Wasserstein distance.
problem Optimizing order quantity under distributional ambiguity.
method Formulates infinite dimensional primal problem, derives finite dimensional dual problem using problem of moments duality.
result Distributional ambiguity affects optimal order quantity and profits/costs.
Proposes a fair classification model using robust optimization.
problem Preventing discrimination in classification models.
method Distributionally robust logistic regression with Wasserstein ball and convex unfairness measure.
result Improves fairness with minimal loss in predictive accuracy.
Novel causal effect estimators and distributionally robust prediction methods.
problem Estimating causal effects and distributional robustness in statistical models.
method Developed novel estimators and proposed a general framework for distributional robustness.
result Mean squared error improvements in causal effect estimation compared to existing methods.
DRDA robustly adapts models across domains with mismatched distributions.
problem Vulnerability of DA methods to noise and inability to generalize to unseen samples.
method DRDA uses distributionally robust optimization (DRO) with MMD metric to learn robust decision functions.
result DRDA outperforms existing robust learning approaches in experiments.
This paper tackles cost-sensitive portfolio optimization under ambiguous return distributions.
problem Tackles cost-sensitive distributionally robust log-optimal portfolio problem with ambiguous return distributions.
method Uses Wasserstein metric for distributional ambiguity, incorporates convex transaction costs, and approximates infinite-dimensional problem with finite convex program.
result Establishes conditions for robustly survivable trades and validates theoretical framework with empirical studies.
This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If the radius of this ball is chosen judiciously, we can guarantee that it contains t…
New method optimises worst-case risk under model uncertainty.
problem Minimizing expected risk under posterior beliefs leads to sub-optimal decisions due to model uncertainty.
method Distributionally Robust Optimisation with Bayesian Ambiguity Sets (DRO-BAS)
result Improved out-of-sample robustness in the Newsvendor problem.
New method reduces over-pessimism in Bayesian control under parameter uncertainty.
problem Over-pessimism in Bayesian control due to misspecified priors.
method Distributionally robust Bayesian control (DRBC) with strong duality and optimization.
result Validated algorithm on synthetic and real data, reducing over-pessimism.
A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and analyze a distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRO) framework that lea…
Exact generalization guarantees for robust models using Wasserstein distance are established.
problem Capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts in machine learning models.
method Establishes exact generalization guarantees for robust models based on the Wasserstein distance, covering various cases and transport costs.
result Exact generalization guarantees are provided for a wide range of cases, including deep learning objectives with nonsmooth activations.
Safe-DRFS selects features robust to covariate shifts for reliable performance.
problem Feature selection fails in diverse deployment environments.
method Safe-DRFS extends safe screening to distributionally robust settings under covariate shift.
result Safe-DRFS identifies a feature subset encompassing optimal subsets across distribution shifts.
Robust risk minimisation has several advantages: it has been studied with regards to improving the generalisation properties of models and robustness to adversarial perturbation. We bound the distributionally robust risk for a model class rich enough to include deep neural networks by a regularised empirical risk invol…
We use distributionally-robust optimization for machine learning to mitigate the effect of data poisoning attacks. We provide performance guarantees for the trained model on the original data (not including the poison records) by training the model for the worst-case distribution on a neighbourhood around the empirical…
New method improves model explainability and accuracy with low computational cost.
problem Improving model explainability and accuracy in classification models.
method Distributionally robust optimization to learn sparse ensembles of rule sets.
result Improves model performance on various metrics compared to competing methods.
A robust machine learning approach forecasts U.S. Treasury yields, reducing risk for investors.
problem Noisy and uncertain U.S. Treasury yields pose risk to forecast users.
method Formulates yield curve forecasting as a distributionally robust problem, combining factor models and machine learning.
result Robust forecast combinations improve out-of-sample performance across different maturity periods.
Distributionally Robust Chance Constrained Programming with Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)math.OC
A new method uses GANs for robust optimization under uncertain data.
problem Optimizing supply chains under demand uncertainty with ambiguous distributions.
method Generative adversarial networks (GANs) for data-driven distributionally robust chance constrained programming.
result The approach effectively handles uncertain data distributions and improves supply chain optimization.
Improves domain adaptation by combining multiple source domains and target domain data.
problem Poor performance of empirical risk minimization in distributionally shifted target domains.
method Distributionally robust model optimizing adversarial reward based on explained variance across multiple source domains.
result The robust model is a weighted average of conditional outcome models from source domains.
Optimizes distributions robustly with Sinkhorn distance.
problem Distributionally robust optimization with Wasserstein distance.
method Convex programming dual reformulation, stochastic mirror descent algorithm.
result Demonstrates superior performance in synthetic and real data.
Enhances survival analysis predictions with a robust learning approach.
problem Improving robustness and accuracy in survival analysis predictions.
method Integrates Distributionally Robust Learning (DRL) into Cox regression using Wasserstein distance-based ambiguity set.
result Demonstrates superior performance in prediction accuracy and robustness compared to traditional methods.
Paper develops a robust Bayesian optimization method for noisy zeroth-order settings.
problem Achieving robustness to distributional shift in machine learning.
method Distributionally robust Bayesian optimization (DRBO) algorithm for noisy zeroth-order optimization.
result DRBO algorithm provably obtains sub-linear robust regret in various settings.
Flexible framework integrates machine learning and DRO for uncertain parameter prediction.
problem Limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets.
result Validation of theoretical and practical benefits in limited data scenarios.
We propose a novel data-driven method to learn a mixture of multiple kernels with random features that is certifiabaly robust against adverserial inputs. Specifically, we consider a distributionally robust optimization of the kernel-target alignment with respect to the distribution of training samples over a distributi…
Distributionally robust risk evaluation with a causality constraint and structural informationq-fin.MF
This work evaluates risks over time using robust measures and neural networks.
problem Distributionally robust risk evaluation over temporal data.
method Characterizes alternative measures using causal optimal transport, approximates test functions by neural networks, and proves sample complexity.
result Framework outperforms classic counterparts in portfolio selection problems.
Unified framework for DRO using OT with constraints.
problem Handling ambiguity in likelihood ratios and outcomes.
method Unified framework leveraging optimal transport with conditional moment constraints.
result Unified approach enables adversarial perturbation of likelihood ratios and outcomes.
Risk-averse model uncertainty framework for safe reinforcement learning.
problem Safe decision making in uncertain environments.
method Risk-averse perspective towards model uncertainty using coherent distortion risk measures; equivalent to distributionally robust safe reinforcement learning problems; efficient, model-free implementation.
result Demonstrates robust performance and safety across perturbed test environments.
New models improve classification model performance, especially robust to small training sets.
problem Improving classification model performance, especially robust to small training sets.
method Distributionally robust AUC maximization models using Kantorovich metric and hinge loss function.
result The proposed DR-AUC models outperform standard models in general and worst-case out-of-sample performance.