A universal learner achieves best rates for all distributions.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
MPE framework proves universal approximation for quantum data distribution.
Exact distribution of split conformal prediction coverage found.
Universal tester-learner for halfspaces over structured distributions.
New method for reducing dimensions of distributional data.
Universal inequalities for Laplacian eigenvalues on convex domains.
Stochastic gradient descent converges to universal limits in high dimensions.
New findings show Gaussian universality breaks down in high-dimensional linear factor mixtures.
This paper studies universal rates of ERM for binary classification under agnostic learning.
New framework explains normalizing flows' power and limitations.
We study the spherical cap packing problem with a probabilistic approach. Such probabilistic considerations result in an asymptotic sharp universal uniform bound on the maximal inner product between any set of unit vectors and a stochastically independent uniformly distributed unit vector. When the set of unit vectors …
Comment on ``Tests of scaling and universality of the distributions of trade size and share volume: Evidence from three distinct markets" by Plerou and Stanley, Phys. Rev. E 76, 046109 (2007)
The problem of universal outlying sequence detection is studied, where the goal is to detect outlying sequences among sequences of samples. A sequence is considered as outlying if the observations therein are generated by a distribution different from those generating the observations in the majority of the sequenc…
The K-sample testing problem involves determining whether K groups of data points are each drawn from the same distribution. Analysis of variance is arguably the most classical method to test mean differences, along with several recent methods to test distributional differences. In this paper, we demonstrate the existe…
Geometric Gaussian approximations capture any distribution.
Deep learning models converge to Gaussian dynamics with mixed structured inputs.
A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe. Galaxy surveys provide the means to map out cosmic large-scale structure in thr…
Estimating symmetric properties of a distribution, e.g. support size, coverage, entropy, distance to uniformity, are among the most fundamental problems in algorithmic statistics. While each of these properties have been studied extensively and separate optimal estimators are known for each, in striking recent work, Ac…
WWe define the notion of a random metric space and prove that with probability one such a space is isometricto the Urysohn universal metric space. The main technique is the study of universal and random distance matrices; we relate the properties of metric (in particulary universal) space to the properties of distance …
Unified plug-in approach for estimating symmetric properties of distributions efficiently.
We present a relatively detailed analysis of the persistence probability distributions in financial dynamics. Compared with the auto-correlation function, the persistence probability distributions describe dynamic correlations non-local in time. Universal and non-universal behaviors of the German DAX and Shanghai Index…
We analyze the constituents stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA30) and the Standard & Poor's 100 index (S&P100) of the NYSE stock exchange market. Surprisingly, we discover the data collapse of the histograms of the DJIA30 price fluctuations and of the S&P100 price fluctuations to the universal non-paramet…
Paper establishes universal lower bounds and optimal rates for clustering sub-exponential mixture models.
Signatures of universality are detected by comparing individual eigenvalue distributions and level spacings from financial covariance matrices to random matrix predictions. A chopping procedure is devised in order to produce a statistical ensemble of asset-price covariances from a single instance of financial data sets…
New flows model distributions on Riemannian manifolds without domain knowledge.
The goal of this paper is to characterize function distributions that deep learning can or cannot learn in poly-time. A universality result is proved for SGD-based deep learning and a non-universality result is proved for GD-based deep learning; this also gives a separation between SGD-based deep learning and statistic…
Transformer pretraining yields strong EB performance without explicit adaptation.
CF-INNs can approximate any invertible function, resolving a long-standing problem.
Theory extends optimal learning rates without realizability assumption.
We show that deep narrow Boltzmann machines are universal approximators of probability distributions on the activities of their visible units, provided they have sufficiently many hidden layers, each containing the same number of units as the visible layer. We show that, within certain parameter domains, deep Boltzmann…
In this work we show that, using the eigen-decomposition of the adjacency matrix, we can consistently estimate feature maps for latent position graphs with positive definite link function , provided that the latent positions are i.i.d. from some distribution F. We then consider the exploitation task of vertex classi…
We investigate the statistics of records in a random sequence of time steps. The sequence 's represents the position at step of a random walk `bridge' of steps that starts and ends at the origin. At each step, the increment of the position is a random ju…
LLMs learn peaked distributions slowly due to power-law losses.
Unified theorem for deep and shallow joint-equivariant machines.
OptFormer learns universal HPO from diverse datasets.
Using detailed statistical analyses of the size distribution of a universe of equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs), we discover a discrete hierarchy of sizes, which imprints a log-periodic structure on the probability distribution of ETF sizes that dominates the details of the asymptotic tail. This allows us to propose …
Following findings by Ormerod and Mounfield, Wright rises the problem whether a power or an exponential law describes the distribution of occurrences of economic recession periods. In order to clarify the controversy a different set of GDP data is hereby examined. The conclusion about a power law distribution of recess…
We consider the group of sense-preserving diffeomorphisms $\Diff S^1$ of the unit circle and its central extension, the Virasoro-Bott group, with their respective horizontal distributions chosen to be Ehresmann connections with respect to a projection to the smooth universal Teichmüller space and the universal Teichmül…
New model suggests universe emerges from single particle quantum mechanics.
Data augmentation affects estimates' uncertainty and distribution in complex ways.
Unified method for CNNs to approximate equivariant maps across various groups.
Study characterizes learning from heavy-tailed data in high dimensions using superstatistical methods.
A plethora of natural, artificial and social systems exist which do not belong to the Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical-mechanical world, based on the standard additive entropy and its associated exponential BG factor. Frequent behaviors in such complex systems have been shown to be closely related to -stati…
We report empirical studies on the personal income distribution, and clarify that the distribution pattern of the lognormal with power law tail is the universal structure. We analyze the temporal change of Pareto index and Gibrat index to investigate the change of the inequality of the income distribution. In addition …
Let G be a connected Lie group with Lie algebra g. The Duflo map is a vector space isomorphism between the symmetric algebra S(g) and the universal enveloping algebra U(g) which, as proved by Duflo, restricts to a ring isomorphism from invariant polynomials onto the center of the universal enveloping algebra. The Duflo…
A new risk budgeting scheme derived from universal portfolio theory.
SURF simplifies distribution estimation with simple, robust, and fast algorithms.
New model analyzes dynamic correlations in stock returns.