A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A method for converting NIW parameters for better estimation.
Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.
EPD method accurately captures parameter distributions from RCS data.
To keep up with increasing dataset sizes and model complexity, distributed training has become a necessity for large machine learning tasks. Parameter servers ease the implementation of distributed parameter management---a key concern in distributed training---, but can induce severe communication overhead. To reduce c…
Transformer improves parameter estimation without needing closed-form solutions.
The gamma distribution arises frequently in Bayesian models, but there is not an easy-to-use conjugate prior for the shape parameter of a gamma. This inconvenience is usually dealt with by using either Metropolis-Hastings moves, rejection sampling methods, or numerical integration. However, in models with a large numbe…
New Riemannian radial distributions help estimate parameters on symmetric spaces.
Bayesian method estimates LTLL distribution parameters for time-to-event data.
A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be a Dirichlet distribution. With the Bayes rule, searching for the optimal parame…
This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …
Study shows how numerical discretization affects reconstructions and parameter distributions in nano metrology.
Random variables of the generalized Pareto distribution, can be transformed to that of the Pareto distribution. Explicit expressions exist for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the Pareto distribution. The performance of the estimation of the shape parameter of generalized Pareto distributed using …
The paper fits a seven-parameter GTS distribution to financial data.
Paper introduces a new robust loss function for RL.
We solve the mean parametrization of von Mises-Fisher distribution.
A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for long time horizons, however, averages over the time-dependent parameters. To model…
HyperVAE encodes distributions of distributions using variational inference.
This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimator…
Many banks adopt the Loss Distribution Approach to quantify the operational risk capital charge under Basel II requirements. It is common practice to estimate the capital charge using the 0.999 quantile of the annual loss distribution, calculated using point estimators of the frequency and severity distribution paramet…
It has been pointed out by Patriarca et al. (2005) that the power-law tailed equilibrium distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models with a distributed saving parameter can be resolved as a mixture of Gamma distributions corresponding to particular subsets of agents. Here, we propose a new four-parameter stat…
Paper fine-tunes a simulation-driven estimator to reduce out-of-distribution errors.
We present two different approaches for parameter learning in several mixture models in one dimension. Our first approach uses complex-analytic methods and applies to Gaussian mixtures with shared variance, binomial mixtures with shared success probability, and Poisson mixtures, among others. An example result is that …
In the context of the Dragulescu-Yakovenko (2000) model, we show that empirical income distribution with truncated datasets, cannot be properly modeled by the one-parameter exponential distribution. However, a truncated version characterized by an exponential distribution with two parameters gives an accurate fit.
Develops methods for constructing parameter priors in DAG models.
Study decomposes uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for QUS.
New algorithm uses PSO to optimize DNN training parameters in distributed systems.
The modelling of data on a spherical surface requires the consideration of directional probability distributions. To model asymmetrically distributed data on a three-dimensional sphere, Kent distributions are often used. The moment estimates of the parameters are typically used in modelling tasks involving Kent distrib…
A new method distills material models from noisy data without prior selection.
Capital distribution curve is defined as log-log plot of normalized stock capitalizations ranked in descending order. The curve displays remarkable stability over periods of time. Theory of exchangeable distributions on set partitions, developed for purposes of mathematical genetics and recently applied in non-parametr…
A fast method for estimating radar amplitude density parameters.
A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe. Galaxy surveys provide the means to map out cosmic large-scale structure in thr…
Efficiently estimates GEV distribution parameters using neural networks.
This paper describes how to convert a machine learning problem into a series of map-reduce tasks. We study logistic regression algorithm. In logistic regression algorithm, it is assumed that samples are independent and each sample is assigned a probability. Parameters are obtained by maxmizing the product of all sample…
Paper improves parameter estimation of continuous distributions using preference feedback.
Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown parameters and to account for the parameter uncertainty in the decision process. Most oft…
The study reveals a persistent bias in the distribution of holonomy on compact hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
Neural networks improve gravitational-wave parameter estimation.
Integrates estimation and optimization for uncertain parameters.
Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over Dirichlet parameters complicate the joint distribution of model parameters. This paper s…
Machine learning with big data often involves large optimization models. For distributed optimization over a cluster of machines, frequent communication and synchronization of all model parameters (optimization variables) can be very costly. A promising solution is to use parameter servers to store different subsets of…
New method improves neural network robustness by identifying functions rather than parameters.
KOMET identifies Koopman operators from model parameter trajectories to adapt to evolving data distributions.
A probabilistic framework for online test-time adaptation
Due to limited computational power, performing uncertainty quantification analyses with complex computational models can be a challenging task. This is exacerbated in the context of stochastic simulators, the response of which to a given set of input parameters, rather than being a deterministic value, is a random vari…
In many distributed learning problems, the heterogeneous loading of computing machines may harm the overall performance of synchronous strategies. In this paper, we propose an effective asynchronous distributed framework for the minimization of a sum of smooth functions, where each machine performs iterations in parall…
Method detects effects of synthesis parameters on plutonium oxide microstructure.
Method leverages population data to deconvolve unknown noise and model parameters.
Researchers prove NP-hardness of learning parameter-bounded Bayes nets.