Analyzes how economic policies affect wealth distribution in Bitcoin token economy.
problem Impact of economic policies on wealth distribution in token economies.
method Eliminated noise in wealth distribution data using macroeconomic and microeconomic time series. Causality analysis between BIPs and wealth distribution data.
result Proposed a structure for economic policy taxonomy in token economies.
The attack intensity of distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks is increasing every year. Botnets based on internet of things (IOT) devices are now being used to conduct DDoS attacks. The estimation of direct and indirect economic damages caused by these attacks is a complex problem. One of the indirect damage of …
Paper analyzes impact of PRM on binary random variables and distribution shifts.
problem Impact of performative risk minimization on binary random variables and distribution shifts.
method Formulated two measures of impact, derived explicit formulas for full information, and provided estimators for partial information.
result PRM can have amplified side effects compared to methods that do not model data shift.
The paper addresses fairness in machine learning by adjusting input distributions.
problem Reducing disparate impact in machine learning models over different groups.
method The approach involves learning a counterfactual distribution to adjust input variables for disadvantaged groups.
result The method can reduce disparate impact without training a new model.
We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of metaorder size, i.e., the impact per share of large metaorders is smaller than that…
In the context of machine learning, disparate impact refers to a form of systematic discrimination whereby the output distribution of a model depends on the value of a sensitive attribute (e.g., race or gender). In this paper, we propose an information-theoretic framework to analyze the disparate impact of a binary cla…
This paper identifies critical cases for evaluating PV investment impacts on MV networks efficiently.
problem Challenges in maintaining and controlling voltages in MV distribution networks due to increasing PV generation.
method Clustering MV nodes based on electrical adjacency and time blocks, identifying critical cases for further study.
result A scalable method to time efficiently identify critical cases for PV investment evaluation.
IMPACT improves RL training speed without sacrificing sample efficiency.
problem Limited sample efficiency in scalable RL architectures.
method Proposes IMPACT, extending IMPALA with target networks, circular buffers, and truncated importance sampling.
result IMPACT achieves higher rewards and significantly reduces training time compared to IMPALA.
This paper improves credit line impact analysis by considering spending as a distribution.
problem Previous studies on credit lines' impact on spending have overlooked the distributional nature of spending.
method Developed a distribution-valued estimator framework to extend existing real-valued estimators.
result Credit lines positively influence spending across all quantiles, but more towards luxuries as they increase.
The price impact for a single trade is estimated by the immediate response on an event time scale, i.e., the immediate change of midpoint prices before and after a trade. We work out the price impacts across a correlated financial market. We quantify the asymmetries of the distributions and of the market structures of …
Proposes a method to infer the distributional impacts of predictive models on stakeholders.
problem The influence of predictive models on target variable distribution, leading to performative prediction.
method Modeling agents' responses as a cost-adjusted utility maximization problem and using optimal transport to align pre- and post-model distributions.
result Provides estimates for the cost associated with these responses and demonstrates the quality of these estimates.
The paper offers methods for testing disparate impact using confidence intervals.
problem Testing for disparate impact in machine learning.
method Asymptotic distribution of indexes and use of confidence intervals.
result The importance of using confidence intervals over single values in testing disparate impact.
The leverage effect weakly impacts return distributions, especially for small firms.
problem The leverage effect's impact on return distributions is inconsistent and puzzling.
method Analyzed the determinants of return distributions and proposed an indirect method to measure the interaction effect.
result The interaction effect between leverage and mean-reversion is weak and impacts return distributions mainly for small firms.
Paper develops an attention mechanism for long-term scientific impact prediction.
problem Predicting the long-term impact of scientific papers based on citation records.
method Develops an attention mechanism to predict long-term scientific impact.
result Emphasizing the limited attention can better stand on the shoulders of giants.
New framework converts fairness criteria to social welfare maximization.
problem Interpreting fairness criteria in terms of societal welfare and distribution.
method Converts constrained loss minimization to social welfare maximization problem.
result Predictions and fairness constraints shape societal welfare and distribution.
This paper is a continuation of Ishitani and Kato (2015), in which we derived a continuous-time value function corresponding to an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact as the limit of a discrete-time value function. Here, we investigate some properties of the derived value function. In particular, we …
Study a market with uncertain informed traders, finding price impact depends on both asset value and informed trader count distribution.
problem Uncertain participation of informed traders in a market with limit orders.
method Characterized equilibrium by a fixed point integral equation, analyzed large order asymptotics, solved numerically.
result Equilibrium price impact depends on both asset value and distribution of informed traders, not just expected number of informed traders.
Study shows how numerical discretization affects reconstructions and parameter distributions in nano metrology.
problem Impact of numerical discretization on parameter reconstructions and model parameter distributions.
method Bayesian target vector optimization, finite element model, Gaussian process, stochastic machine learning surrogate models, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler.
result Numerical discretization parameters impact the accuracy and distribution of reconstructed model parameters.
A new variable importance measure for DRFs detects broader impacts on output distributions.
problem Estimating full conditional distributions of multivariate outputs given inputs.
method Based on the drop and relearn principle and MMD distance.
result Consistent and high-performing variable importance measure for DRFs.
Optimal pre-processing reduces disparate impact by minimizing total variation distance.
problem Achieving fairness in data outputs based on protected attributes.
method Using pre-processing to enforce fairness, minimizing total variation distance between pre-processed and original data distributions.
result The problem of fairness can be formulated as a linear program, efficiently solvable.
Study evaluates scalability and real-world impact of disentangled representations.
problem Scalability and real-world impact of disentangled representations.
method New high-resolution dataset and architectures for disentangled representation learning.
result Disentanglement predicts out-of-distribution task performance.
New insights show Medicaid impacts on ED use vary widely, with some groups seeing significant increases.
problem Understanding the varied impacts of Medicaid on emergency department use.
method Causal machine learning methods to identify heterogeneous impacts.
result Meaningful heterogeneity in the effect of Medicaid on ED use, with a small group driving the overall effect.
Study reveals how manifold geometry impacts linear regression solutions.
problem Impact of manifold geometry on linear regression solutions.
method Linear regression applied to manifold-structured data, focusing on extrinsic geometry.
result Linear regression does not have a unique solution on flat manifolds.
Unified framework for word embedding models using noise examples.
problem Improving word embedding models with negative sampling.
method Formulated a Word-Context Classification (WCC) framework that generalizes SkipGram word embedding models.
result The best noise distribution is the data distribution, improving both performance and training speed.
In this paper, a geometric function is introduced to reflect the attenuation speed of impact of one firm's default to its partner. If two firms are competitions (copartners), the default intensity of one firm will decrease (increase) abruptly when the other firm defaults. As time goes on, the impact will decrease gradu…
Some research institutions demand researchers to distribute the incomes they earn from publishing papers to their researchers and/or co-authors. In this study, we deal with the Impact Factor-based ranking journal as a criteria for the correct distribution of these incomes. We also include the Authorship Credit factor f…
Trading affects grid frequency fluctuations, making them more extreme.
problem Impact of trading on grid frequency stability.
method Analysis of frequency time series from 2011 and 2017.
result Trading modifies frequency fluctuation statistics, making large deviations more likely.
Develops a new model to optimize trading in markets.
problem Optimal execution of market securities with transaction costs.
method Introduces a utility function balancing market impact and transaction costs, incorporating existing optimal trading strategies.
result Demonstrates a new approach to balancing market impact and transaction costs.
DBPA assesses LLM perturbations using frequentist hypothesis testing.
problem Quantifying input perturbation impacts on LLM outputs.
method DBPA reformulates perturbation analysis as frequentist hypothesis testing, using Monte Carlo sampling for empirical null and alternative distributions.
result DBPA provides interpretable p-values and scalar effect sizes for LLM perturbations.
Estimates financial market impacts of COVID-19 using time-varying kernel density.
problem Estimating the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets over time.
method Time-varying kernel density estimation with Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.
result Determines the chronology and regional disparities of financial market impacts.
Study on Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity impacts asset volatility.
problem Impact of stochastic volatility of noise trading on asset volatility.
method Construct equilibrium for continuous-time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity.
result In equilibrium, Kyle's Lambda and its inverse are submartingales.
Compression affects deep networks differently, impacting underrepresented data points.
problem Disparate impact of compression on different classes and images.
method Analysis of deep neural network pruning and quantization effects.
result Compression disproportionately impacts model performance on underrepresented data points.
We extend the Vasiček loan portfolio model to a setting where liabilities fluctuate randomly and asset values may be subject to systemic jump risk. We derive the probability distribution of the percentage loss of a uniform portfolio and analyze its properties. We find that the impact of liability risk is ambiguous and …
This work investigates the impact of staleness in distributed ML systems and offers insights into convergence.
problem The effects of staleness on the convergence of distributed machine learning algorithms are inconclusive and challenging to monitor.
method Extensive experiments with various ML models and algorithms under delayed updates.
result The empirical findings reveal the diverse effects of staleness on ML algorithm convergence and match the best-known convergence rate.
Generative models emulate climate model outputs for impact assessment.
problem Outdated climate model projections hinder adaptation and mitigation planning.
method Score-based diffusion on a spherical mesh, trained on monthly ESM fields.
result Generative models produce distributions closely matching ESM outputs.
We study the relaxation dynamics of the bid-ask spread and of the midprice after a sudden, large variation of the spread, corresponding to a temporary crisis of liquidity in a double auction financial market. We find that the spread decays very slowly to its normal value as a consequence of the strategic limit order pl…
The study explains stock return distributions using reaction functions.
problem Stock return distributions often deviate from normal distributions.
method Assumes normal event/information effects, financial over/underreaction, proposes reaction function model.
result Financial markets often underreact to minor events, overreact to significant ones, and react stronger to positive events.
This paper explores Bayesian Neural Network posteriors, uncovering symmetries and their impact.
problem Understanding the complex posterior distribution of deep Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Investigates optimal approaches for approximating posteriors, analyzes modes, and explores visualizations.
result Uncovered weight-space symmetries and their impact on the posterior, particularly scaling symmetries.
The paper extends explainability methods to uncertainty-aware models, revealing feature impacts on predictive entropy and likelihood.
problem Understanding the factors contributing to uncertainty in probabilistic models.
method Adapting permutation feature importance, partial dependence plots, and individual conditional expectation plots to measure feature impacts on predictive entropy and likelihood.
result Novel insights into model behaviour and feature impacts on uncertainty are obtained.
Study investigates impact of labeler socio-cultural background on affect detection model performance.
problem Impact of labeler socio-cultural background on affect detection model performance.
method Investigates the impact of labeler socio-cultural background on affect detection model performance.
result Differences in labeler background impact the performance of affect detection models.
We confirm the square-root law of market impact on Apple Inc. using a large dataset.
problem Testing the square-root law of market impact on a single U.S. large-cap equity.
method Using a full market-by-order feed, we reconstruct metaorders and calibrate impact using the square-root formula.
result The square-root law is confirmed with a prefactor of 0.34, consistent with worldwide data.
Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.
problem Analyzing the impact of information signals on trading behavior and market equilibrium in limit order books.
method Static equilibrium model with profit-maximizing investors and competitive dealers, using iterative algorithms and asymptotic analysis.
result The market impact of large trades follows a power law with fat tails and a logarithmic law with lighter tails, and the order book flattens as noise trading increases.
Chain-ladder reserving is sensitive to outliers, leading to unreliable estimates.
problem Sensitivity of loss reserving techniques to outliers.
method Derivation of impact functions for reserves and mean squared errors of prediction under Mack's Model.
result Impact of outliers varies widely in a loss triangle and depends on other cells.
Typically, operational risk losses are reported above some threshold. This paper studies the impact of ignoring data truncation on the 0.999 quantile of the annual loss distribution for operational risk for a broad range of distribution parameters and truncation levels. Loss frequency and severity are modelled by the P…
It is known that the impact of transactions on stock price (market impact) is a concave function of the size of the order, but there exists little quantitative theory that suggests why this is so. I develop a quantitative theory for the market impact of hidden orders (orders that reflect the true intention of buying an…
We investigate and compare the fundamental performance of several distributed learning methods that have been proposed recently. We do this in the context of a distributed version of the classical signal-in-Gaussian-white-noise model, which serves as a benchmark model for studying performance in this setting. The resul…
New method addresses class imbalance in federated learning.
problem Class imbalance in federated learning training data.
method Proposes a monitoring scheme to infer training data composition and a new loss function, Ratio Loss, to mitigate imbalance.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in mitigating class imbalance in federated learning, outperforming previous methods.
Study shows big winner stocks significantly impact passive and active investment strategies.
problem Impact of big winner stocks on passive and active investment strategies.
method Numerical and analytical techniques applied to historical stock price data.
result Concentrated portfolios underperform equally weighted indexes due to missing big winner stocks.