Two derivations of PCA for distributional data.
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Study h-principles for non-integrable distributions on manifolds.
A new gradient estimator for categorical distributions reduces bias and variance.
Researchers derived formulas for joint moments of elliptical distributions.
New method uses DistRL to estimate entire payoff distribution for financial derivatives.
A strictification result is proved for isotropic distributions on derived schemes equipped with negatively shifted homotopically closed -forms. It is shown that any derived scheme over equipped with a -shifted symplectic structure, and having a Hausdorff space of classical points, admits a globally …
The paper derives risk measures for metalog distributions.
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world high-dimensional count-valued data found in word counts, genomics, and crime statis…
A new operator based on t-distributions improves NN classifiers' robustness to out-of-distribution samples.
Constructs covariant derivatives for Ehresmann connections.
New potentials found for sheaves on Calabi-Yau 4-folds.
We exploit the link between the transport equation and derivatives of expectations to construct efficient pathwise gradient estimators for multivariate distributions. We focus on two main threads. First, we use null solutions of the transport equation to construct adaptive control variates that can be used to construct…
Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown parameters and to account for the parameter uncertainty in the decision process. Most oft…
New theory of distributions on spaces with singular submanifolds.
Paper studies M-estimators with derivatives and residual distribution for robust adaptive tuning.
We present the first treatment of the arc length of the Gaussian Process (GP) with more than a single output dimension. GPs are commonly used for tasks such as trajectory modelling, where path length is a crucial quantity of interest. Previously, only paths in one dimension have been considered, with no theoretical con…
Optimizes material distribution on surfaces using topological derivatives.
A method to estimate high order derivatives of data distributions from samples.
Optimal distributed testing under communication constraints with shared randomness.
Extends curve theory to non-smooth data with finite curvature and torsion.
In this paper we discuss the asymptotic behaviour of random contractions , where , with distribution function , is a positive random variable independent of . Random contractions appear naturally in insurance and finance. Our principal contribution is the derivation of the tail asymptotics of $X…
We derive and approximate the conjugate prior of Dirichlet and beta distributions.
Coupled entropy corrects flaws in Tsallis entropy for complex systems.
New LVMs optimize any exponential family distribution without specific assumptions.
Paper develops a new algorithm for distribution regression with optimal learning rates.
Exponential distribution is ubiquitous in the framework of multi-agent systems. An alternative approach with an economic motivation to derive the exponential distribution in the framework of iterations in the space of distributions is disclosed.
Employing profits data of Japanese companies in 2002 and 2003, we identify the non-Gibrat's law which holds in the middle profits region. From the law of detailed balance in all regions, Gibrat's law in the high region and the non-Gibrat's law in the middle region, we kinematically derive the profits distribution funct…
Paper derives best- and worst-case GlueVaR measures with incomplete data.
In this paper, we derive Hybrid, Bayesian and Marginalized Cramér-Rao lower bounds (HCRB, BCRB and MCRB) for the single and multiple measurement vector Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) problem of estimating compressible vectors and their prior distribution parameters. We assume the unknown vector to be drawn from a compr…
In this expository paper we illustrate the generality of game theoretic probability protocols of Shafer and Vovk (2001) in finite-horizon discrete games. By restricting ourselves to finite-horizon discrete games, we can explicitly describe how discrete distributions with finite support and the discrete pricing formulas…
We analyse derivative securities whose value is NOT a deterministic function of an underlying which means presence of a basis risk at any time. The key object of our analysis is conditional probability distribution at a given underlying value and moment of time. We consider time evolution of this probability distributi…
The problem of categorical data analysis in high dimensions is considered. A discussion of the fundamental difficulties of probability modeling is provided, and a solution to the derivation of high dimensional probability distributions based on Bayesian learning of clique tree decomposition is presented. The main contr…
Analyzes geodesic lengths in sparse networks, deriving a distribution.
We develop a comprehensive geometric framework for defining spaces of nonlinear generalized sections of vector bundles containing spaces of distributional sections . Our theory incorporates classical differential geometric operations (like tensor products, covariant deri…
Employing profits data of Japanese firms in 2003--2005, we kinematically exhibit the static log-normal distribution in the middle scale region. In the derivation, a Non-Gibrat's law under the detailed balance is adopted together with following two approximations. Firstly, the probability density function of profits gro…
Law derived for neural networks with sparse connections.
Derives derivatives of risk measures for various types of portfolio losses.
The paper explores arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under specific conditions.
Moate Simulation improves accuracy and speed of financial derivative pricing.
Forecast stock return distributions using neural networks.
New method for robust learning from batches, even adversarial ones.
We develop a new model for VIX derivatives with closed-form solutions.
The paper extends Bochner's technique to singular distributions on manifolds.
The paper identifies generators of linear SDEs with noise types.
This paper studies nonholonomic constraints in Hamiltonian systems, deriving equations and theorems.
In this paper we propose a generalized numerical scheme for backward stochastic differential equations(BSDEs). The scheme is based on approximation of derivatives via Lagrange interpolation. By changing the distribution of sample points used for interpolation, one can get various numerical schemes with different stabil…
This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed process can match exactly the risk-neutral distributions implied by both spot va…
We study distributed estimation methods under communication constraints in a distributed version of the nonparametric random design regression model. We derive minimax lower bounds and exhibit methods that attain those bounds. Moreover, we show that adaptive estimation is possible in this setting.