A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New AI model improves grid planning efficiency and reliability.
New method selects critical DER scenarios for distribution grid investment planning.
Statistical depth metrics help identify risky power grid scenarios.
We designed a grid world task to study human planning and re-planning behavior in an unknown stochastic environment. In our grid world, participants were asked to travel from a random starting point to a random goal position while maximizing their reward. Because they were not familiar with the environment, they needed…
Unified approach to path planning using probabilistic inference on factor graphs.
This paper proposes grid cells encode position via a conformal isometric embedding of 2D physical space.
Future grid scenario analysis requires a major departure from conventional power system planning, where only a handful of most critical conditions is typically analyzed. To capture the inter-seasonal variations in renewable generation of a future grid scenario necessitates the use of computationally intensive time-seri…
Paper proposes a new method for predicting DER adoption with hierarchical guarantees.
Graph neural network executes value iteration for flexible environments.
Paper proposes online learning for estimating AC network admittance matrix.
Bayesian method improves grid admittance matrix estimation from noisy data.
Extends geostatistical simulation method to handle multiple variables and large grids.
Improves RL planning by proposing sub-goals hierarchically.
The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based state estimation models currently used for data filtering, prediction and anoma…
Fast, interpretable electricity consumption scenarios for individual consumers.
2D path planning in static environment is a well-known problem and one of the common ways to solve it is to 1) represent the environment as a grid and 2) perform a heuristic search for a path on it. At the same time 2D grid resembles much a digital image, thus an appealing idea comes to being -- to treat the problem as…
The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources poses numerous reliability issues to the urban distribution grid. The topology estimation is a critical step to ensure the robustness of distribution grid operation. However, the bus connectivity and grid topology estimation are usually hard in distribution gri…
Novel method improves load estimation in power grids using anomaly and change point detection.
New method identifies distribution grid outages using smart meter data.
Distribution grid is the medium and low voltage part of a large power system. Structurally, the majority of distribution networks operate radially, such that energized lines form a collection of trees, i.e. forest, with a substation being at the root of any tree. The operational topology/forest may change from time to …
This paper uses probability tensors for efficient path planning in complex scenarios.
Trading affects grid frequency fluctuations, making them more extreme.
There is an increasing need for monitoring and controlling uncertainties brought by distributed energy resources in distribution grids. For such goal, accurate multi-phase topology is the basis for correlating measurements in unbalanced distribution networks. Unfortunately, such topology knowledge is often unavailable …
The topology of a power grid affects its dynamic operation and settlement in the electricity market. Real-time topology identification can enable faster control action following an emergency scenario like failure of a line. This article discusses a graphical model framework for topology estimation in bulk power grids (…
We investigate the multi-step prediction of the drivable space, represented by Occupancy Grid Maps (OGMs), for autonomous vehicles. Our motivation is that accurate multi-step prediction of the drivable space can efficiently improve path planning and navigation resulting in safe, comfortable and optimum paths in autonom…
Paper compares ML models for fast power system contingency case identification.
Academic research in the field of autonomous vehicles has reached high popularity in recent years related to several topics as sensor technologies, V2X communications, safety, security, decision making, control, and even legal and standardization rules. Besides classic control design approaches, Artificial Intelligence…
The growing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in urban distribution grids raises various reliability issues due to DER's uncertain and complex behaviors. With a large-scale DER penetration, traditional outage detection methods, which rely on customers making phone calls and smart meters' "last gasp" si…
Power system studies require the topological structures of real-world power networks; however, such data is confidential due to important security concerns. Thus, power grid synthesis (PGS), i.e., creating realistic power grids that imitate actual power networks, has gained significant attention. In this letter, we cas…
This paper proposes a representational model for grid cells. In this model, the 2D self-position of the agent is represented by a high-dimensional vector, and the 2D self-motion or displacement of the agent is represented by a matrix that transforms the vector. Each component of the vector is a unit or a cell. The mode…
As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally, observed weather data are applied in the solar PV generation forecasting model w…
Distribution grids currently lack comprehensive real-time metering. Nevertheless, grid operators require precise knowledge of loads and renewable generation to accomplish any feeder optimization task. At the same time, new grid technologies, such as solar photovoltaics and energy storage units are interfaced via invert…
Distribution and sample models are two popular model choices in model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL). However, learning these models can be intractable, particularly when the state and action spaces are large. Expectation models, on the other hand, are relatively easier to learn due to their compactness and have a…
Graph neural networks improve topology control of power grids.
Knowledge-based planning (KBP) is an automated approach to radiation therapy treatment planning that involves predicting desirable treatment plans before they are then corrected to deliverable ones. We propose a generative adversarial network (GAN) approach for predicting desirable 3D dose distributions that eschews th…
The paper examines linking numbers in grid models and finds polynomial moments.
The paper proposes a new method for probabilistic load forecasting using Bernstein-Polynomial Normalizing Flows.
GraPhyR uses GNNs to optimize power grid reconfiguration in real-time.
We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented as a data set of three-dimensional points, each point is defined by three varia…
Study on typical knots and links using grid diagrams, focusing on size, components, and writhe.
New framework guides resource usage to achieve sublinear regret in adversarial settings.
Semi-analytical approach for optimal wealth management contributions.
Paper proposes methods to help autonomous vehicles adapt to unexpected driving scenarios.
Proposes a framework for automated radiation therapy treatment planning with uncertainty quantification.
Due to limited metering infrastructure, distribution grids are currently challenged by observability issues. On the other hand, smart meter data, including local voltage magnitudes and power injections, are communicated to the utility operator from grid buses with renewable generation and demand-response programs. This…
New method reduces memory usage for Bayesian inverse problems on large grids.
New algorithm for planning in observable POMDPs in quasi-polynomial time.
CESAR improves wind speed and power forecasting for high-resolution simulations.