Transformer improves parameter estimation without needing closed-form solutions.
problem Parameter estimation in statistics, especially for complex distributions.
method Transformer-based approach for parameter estimation without closed-form solutions or derivations.
result Transformer-based approach achieves similar or better accuracy than maximum likelihood estimation.
A method for converting NIW parameters for better estimation.
problem Estimating parameters of multivariate normal distribution.
method Convergent procedure for converting mean parameters to natural parameters in NIW family.
result Maximum likelihood estimation of natural parameters from observed statistics.
This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …
New Riemannian radial distributions help estimate parameters on symmetric spaces.
problem Challenges in manifold data analysis due to lack of parametric distributions.
method Introduced Riemannian radial distributions on symmetric spaces, utilized symmetry, and developed M-estimators.
result MLE achieves root-n convergence rate up to logarithmic terms, demonstrating optimality.
This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimator…
Random variables of the generalized Pareto distribution, can be transformed to that of the Pareto distribution. Explicit expressions exist for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the Pareto distribution. The performance of the estimation of the shape parameter of generalized Pareto distributed using …
Bayesian method estimates LTLL distribution parameters for time-to-event data.
problem Parameter estimation for time-to-event data with left truncation.
method Bayesian inference using Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
result Bayesian estimation provides more stable and reliable parameter estimates.
EPD method accurately captures parameter distributions from RCS data.
problem Limitations of traditional methods in estimating parameter distributions from RCS data.
method EPD method generates synthetic trajectories, estimates parameters, and selects parameters based on discrepancy.
result EPD provides accurate distribution of parameters without data loss.
Paper fine-tunes a simulation-driven estimator to reduce out-of-distribution errors.
problem Out-of-distribution errors in simulation-driven parameter estimators.
method Fine-tuning a Two-Stage estimator to improve accuracy for true parameters outside the sampled range.
result The fine-tuning approach reduces out-of-distribution errors and improves accuracy.
The paper fits a seven-parameter GTS distribution to financial data.
problem Nonexistence of GTS probability density function makes MLE inadequate.
method Used fractional Fourier transform to circumvent MLE and provide good parameter estimation.
result The GTS distribution fits financial data significantly better than other models.
Many banks adopt the Loss Distribution Approach to quantify the operational risk capital charge under Basel II requirements. It is common practice to estimate the capital charge using the 0.999 quantile of the annual loss distribution, calculated using point estimators of the frequency and severity distribution paramet…
Paper improves parameter estimation of continuous distributions using preference feedback.
problem Improving parameter estimation of continuous distributions.
method Preference-based M-estimators and deterministic preferences.
result Preference-based estimators achieve an estimation error scaling of O(1/n), significantly faster than sample-only methods.
Integrates estimation and optimization for uncertain parameters.
problem Optimizing with uncertain parameters whose distributions can be estimated.
method Integrated Conditional Estimation-Optimization (ICEO) framework.
result Asymptotically consistent and provides finite performance guarantees.
A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe. Galaxy surveys provide the means to map out cosmic large-scale structure in thr…
Efficiently estimates GEV distribution parameters using neural networks.
problem Computational intensity of maximum likelihood estimation for GEV distribution.
method Neural network-based likelihood-free estimation method.
result Comparable accuracy to maximum likelihood method with significant speedup.
A fast method for estimating radar amplitude density parameters.
problem Accurate estimation of amplitude density function parameters in radar applications.
method Projecting amplitude data onto horizontal and vertical axes, then using MLE for α-stale distribution parameters. result The average of computed MLEs based on two projections is a fast and accurate estimator for amplitude distribution parameters.
The modelling of data on a spherical surface requires the consideration of directional probability distributions. To model asymmetrically distributed data on a three-dimensional sphere, Kent distributions are often used. The moment estimates of the parameters are typically used in modelling tasks involving Kent distrib…
Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood estimator and standard Bayesian procedures do not admit the root-n parametric rate…
We treat the problem of estimation of orientation parameters whose values are invariant to transformations from a spherical symmetry group. Previous work has shown that any such group-invariant distribution must satisfy a restricted finite mixture representation, which allows the orientation parameter to be estimated u…
Study decomposes uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for QUS.
problem Uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for quantitative ultrasound.
method Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for parameter estimation and uncertainty decomposition.
result Decomposes total predictive uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components.
Autoencoder estimates parameters of noisy, multi-component damped signals.
problem Parameter estimation of damped sinusoidal signals under rapid decay and noise.
method Autoencoder-based approach using latent space for frequency, phase, decay, and amplitude estimation.
result High accuracy in parameter estimation, robustness to subdominant components and phase differences.
Paired estimation of change in parameters of interest over a population plays a central role in several application domains including those in the social sciences, epidemiology, medicine and biology. In these domains, the size of the population under study is often very large, however, the number of observations availa…
A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be a Dirichlet distribution. With the Bayes rule, searching for the optimal parame…
Optimizes resource allocation for distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks.
problem Maximizing accuracy in parameter estimation with limited resources.
method Formulates a data collection and collaboration policy design problem as a Fisher information maximization problem. Proposes multi-armed bandit algorithms for learning the optimal policy.
result Identifies optimal data collection and collaboration policies that balance resource use and estimation accuracy.
Develops a novel stochastic algorithm for diagonal estimation of large matrices.
problem Efficient diagonal estimation for large or implicit matrices.
method Adaptive parameter selection in a stochastic algorithm.
result Lower bound on random query vectors needed for estimation.
Study optimizes sensor placement for accurate parameter estimation in complex systems.
problem Challenges in parameter estimation with limited or noisy data.
method Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) for optimal sensor placement and parameter estimation.
result PINNs-based framework achieves higher accuracy in parameter estimation compared to random sensor placements.
A method for estimating parameters from entangled single-sample distributions, robust to high-noise data.
problem Estimating common parameters from entangled single-sample distributions.
method Iterative trimming of samples to estimate the parameter.
result The method can tolerate a constant fraction of high-noise data points.
Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown parameters and to account for the parameter uncertainty in the decision process. Most oft…
This paper considers statistical estimation problems where the probability distribution of the observed random variable is invariant with respect to actions of a finite topological group. It is shown that any such distribution must satisfy a restricted finite mixture representation. When specialized to the case of dist…
Efficiently estimate Boolean product distribution parameters from truncated samples.
problem Estimating parameters of Boolean product distributions from truncated samples.
method Introducing fatness of truncation set, using membership queries, and adapting Stochastic Gradient Descent.
result Efficiently learn Boolean product distributions from truncated samples with small sample complexity.
AdaCat improves density estimation and planning in autoregressive models.
problem Efficiently modeling sharp density changes in continuous data.
method Adaptive Categorical Discretization (AdaCat) for autoregressive models.
result Improves density estimation and planning in various data types.
Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.
problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.
The paper proposes a neural network model for estimating conditional mixture Weibull distributions with right-censored data.
problem Survival analysis with right-censored data in predictive maintenance and health fields.
method A neural network architecture is developed to estimate two-parameter Weibull distributions conditionally to features, extending to a finite mixture of Weibull distributions.
result The model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world datasets and can consider any survival time horizon.
We solve the mean parametrization of von Mises-Fisher distribution.
problem No closed-form normalization function for mean parameters exists.
method Derived a second-order ODE for mean normalizer and provided approximations.
result Rapid evaluation of densities and natural parameters in terms of mean parameters.
In this paper we develop an Expectation Maximization(EM) algorithm to estimate the parameter of a Yule-Simon distribution. The Yule-Simon distribution exhibits the "rich get richer" effect whereby an 80-20 type of rule tends to dominate. These distributions are ubiquitous in industrial settings. The EM algorithm presen…
Federated learning on graphs tackles heterogeneity with efficient parameter estimation.
problem Parameter estimation in federated learning with data distribution and communication heterogeneity.
method Joint estimation of parameters using M-estimation framework with fused Lasso regularization, considering graph structure. result Our estimator achieves optimal rate under certain graph fidelity conditions, similar to centralized aggregation.
Paper bridges score estimation to parameter and density estimation in DDPMs.
problem Efficiently estimating scores for generative models.
method Introduces a framework linking score estimation to parameter and density estimation.
result Denoising score-matching in DDPMs is asymptotically efficient for parameter estimation.
The paper provides bounds on estimation error in a distributed online learning setting.
problem Estimating an unknown parameter in a distributed and online manner with finite sample guarantees.
method Proposes a distributed online estimation algorithm that improves accuracy through communication, providing non-asymptotic bounds on estimation error.
result Demonstrates a trade-off between estimation error and communication costs, and determines a stopping time for communication based on desired accuracy.
Adaptive estimation of alpha-Stable distribution and Hurst exponent for nonstationary time series.
problem Nonstationary time series require adaptive models to avoid bias.
method Moving estimator with exponentially weakening weights of old values, optimized using EMA of absolute central moments.
result Continuous adaptive estimation of alpha-Stable distribution and Hurst exponent for market stability evaluation.
Neural networks improve gravitational-wave parameter estimation.
problem Estimating parameters of binary black hole systems from gravitational-wave data.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows for likelihood-free inference.
result Performance comparable to current best deep-learning approaches, with fast sampling.
ALFI improves likelihood-free inference for black-box generators.
problem Limitations of likelihood-free inference on black-box generators.
method Adversarial Likelihood-Free Inference (ALFI) to estimate posterior distributions.
result ALFI achieves best parameter estimation accuracy with limited simulation.
RODE-Net learns ODEs from data with random parameters using neural networks and GANs.
problem Learning ODEs from data with unknown and random parameters.
method RODE-Net combines symbolic networks and GANs to estimate both the ODE and its parameters.
result RODE-Net can accurately estimate the distribution of model parameters and make reliable predictions.
We define and study the statistical models in exponential family form whose sufficient statistics are the degree distributions and the bi-degree distributions of undirected labelled simple graphs. Graphs that are constrained by the joint degree distributions are called dK-graphs in the computer science literature and…
In many signal processing problems, it may be fruitful to represent the signal under study in a frame. If a probabilistic approach is adopted, it becomes then necessary to estimate the hyper-parameters characterizing the probability distribution of the frame coefficients. This problem is difficult since in general the …
Efficiently learns exponential family distributions with i.i.d. samples.
problem Learning natural parameters of truncated exponential families efficiently.
method Proposes a novel loss function and computationally efficient estimator.
result Achieves optimal sample complexity and asymptotic normality.
We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a d-dimensional rectified Gaussian distribution from i.i.d. samples. A rectified Gaussian distribution is defined by passing a standard Gaussian distribution through a one-layer ReLU neural network. We give a simple algorithm to estimate the parameters (i.e., th…
The thesis models financial returns using mixtures of generalized normal distributions.
problem Estimation issues in financial return analysis.
method Mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND), ECM/GEM algorithms, constrained mixture models (CMGND), GND-HMMs.
result Enhanced accuracy and interpretability in financial return modeling.
This paper solves the convergence problem for estimating MGGD parameters with a convex formulation.
problem Establishing convergence properties for estimating MGGD parameters with unknown mean and precision matrix.
method Proposes a convex formulation with well-established convergence properties for robust estimation in noisy scenarios.
result Demonstrates improved accuracy in precision and covariance matrix estimation compared to existing methods.