Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

114229343457 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dissolved gas analysis

A method uses ITD and XGBoost for precise power transformer fault diagnosis.

problem Fault diagnosis of power transformers using DGA data.
method Ranking DGA parameters by skewness, extracting ITD features, and using an XGBoost classifier.
result The method achieves over 95% accuracy in classification.

The study analyzes river water quality using statistical and machine learning methods.

problem Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen in the River Thames.
method Superstatistical methods and machine learning (e.g., Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Informer model).
result The Informer model outperforms others in long-term dissolved oxygen concentration forecasting.

We prove that many simply connected symplectic four-manifolds dissolve after connected sum with only one copy of S2×S2S^{2}\times S^{2}. For any finite group G that acts freely on the three-sphere we construct closed smooth four-manifolds with fundamental group G which do not admit metrics of positive scalar curvature, bu…

2003-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents the R package GAS for the analysis of time series under the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) framework of Creal et al. (2013) and Harvey (2013). The distinctive feature of the GAS approach is the use of the score function as the driver of time-variation in the parameters of nonlinear models. T…

2016-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes Ethereum's gas fees and their derivatives, providing a comprehensive model.

problem Understanding and predicting gas fees on the Ethereum blockchain.
method Analyzed Ethereum's gas fee structure and used a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model gas prices.
result A model for pricing and trading gas fee derivatives to hedge against volatility.

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.

problem Modeling price and storage dynamics in natural gas markets with path-dependent volatility.
method Developed a novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model and used deep learning for swing option pricing.
result Proposed a deep learning method for numerical approximations of swing option pricing.

Modeling gas fee competition in decentralized exchanges to optimize arbitrage profits.

problem Gas fees and transaction ordering in decentralized exchanges create arbitrage opportunities.
method Developed a first equilibrium model of gas fee competition between two arbitrageurs under three transaction reversion settings.
result Mixed equilibria exist, and their characteristics depend on inventory risk and transaction settings.

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new growth adjusted price-earnings measure (GA-P/E) and assess its efficacy as measure of value and predictor of future stock returns. Taking inspiration from the interpretation of the traditional price-earnings ratio as a period of time, the new measure computes the requisit…

2020-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The study models and forecasts natural gas prices using skewed, heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Modeling and forecasting natural gas prices with heavy tails and conditional heteroscedasticity.
method State-space time series models under skewed, heavy-tailed distributions.
result The proposed model reduces out-of-sample CRPS by 13% for Day-Ahead and 9% for Month-Ahead forecasts.

In this paper, the equations governing the unsteady flow of a perfect polytropic gas in three space dimensions are considered. The basic similarity reductions for this system are performed. Reduced equations and exact solutions associated with the symmetries are obtained. This results is used to give the invariance of …

2009-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

GAS models have been recently proposed in time-series econometrics as valuable tools for signal extraction and prediction. This paper details how financial risk managers can use GAS models for Value-at-Risk (VaR) prediction using the novel GAS package for R. Details and code snippets for prediction, comparison and back…

2016-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

For a given real generic curve $\ga: S^1\to \Bbb {RP}^n$ let $D_\ga$ denote the ruled hypersurface in RPn\Bbb {RP}^n consisting of all osculating subspaces to $\ga$ of codimension 2. A curve $\ga: S^1\to \Bbb {RP}^n$ is called convex if the total number of its intersection points (counted with multiplicities) with any h…

1996-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper models uncertainty in electricity and gas markets to assess its impact.

problem Addressing uncertainties in coupled electricity and gas markets.
method Integrated and stochastic optimisation approaches for large-scale energy systems.
result Quantifies the value of encoding uncertainty in models.

Study compares Bitcoin, gold, and gas price complexity using multifractal and multiscale entropy methods.

problem Quantifying complexity of financial time series for market analysis.
method Employed MF-DFA and RCMSE to analyze Bitcoin, GBP/USD, gold, and natural gas price log-return time series.
result Bitcoin shows higher complexity compared to other markets, linked to higher nonlinear correlations.

Essential principal components simplify spectral analysis with minimal training data.

problem Accurate spectral quantification from complex mixtures.
method Identifying essential principal components and using molar extinction coefficients.
result Near one-to-one projection from principal components to mixture constituents.

Study the Hessian geometry of an ideal gas in a centrifuge.

problem Understanding the Hessian geometry of an ideal gas in a centrifuge.
method Investigate the Hessian geometry associated with an ideal gas in a spherical centrifuge, using the action of the Euclidean rotation group.
result The Hessian geometry of a spherical rigid body is isometric to a hyperbolic space in the high angular velocity limit.

Study reveals dynamic causal relationships between Ethereum transaction fees and economic subsystems.

problem Historical gas fee volatility caused economic disequilibria and stakeholder challenges.
method Time-varying Granger causality analysis using data on active wallets and transaction volume.
result Dynamic bidirectional causal relationships between transaction fees and economic subsystems across Ethereum.

The purpose of this note is to show that classical cobordism arguments, which go back to the pioneering works of Mandelbaum and Moishezon, provide quick and unified proofs of any knot surgered compact simply-connected 4-manifold X_K becoming diffeomorphic to X after a single stabilization by connected summing with S^2 …

2017-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares GNNs and GA-MLPs, finding GA-MLPs can distinguish graphs but not count walks.

problem Comparing expressive power and graph isomorphism testing capabilities of GNNs and GA-MLPs.
method GA-MLPs augment node features with multi-hop operators and apply MLPs node-wise; GNNs are compared as a baseline.
result GA-MLPs can distinguish almost all non-isomorphic graphs but cannot count attributed walks, unlike GNNs.

For any given CC^\infty immersion r:S1R2{\bf r}: S^1\to \mathbb{R}^2 such that the set NSr=R2sS1(r(s)+drs(Ts(S1)))\mathcal{NS}_{\bf r}=\mathbb{R}^2-\cup_{s\in S^1}\left({\bf r}(s)+d{\bf r}_{s}(T_s(S^1))\right) is not empty, a simple geometric model of crystal growth is constructed. It is shown that our geometric model of crystal growth never form…

2014-04-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We calculate the free energy of Coulomb gas systems on Riemann surfaces.

problem Analyzing the free energy of Coulomb gas systems on Riemann surfaces.
method Using bosonization formula and analytic torsion, we derive the asymptotic expansion of the partition function.
result We prove the geometric version of the Zabrodin-Wiegmann conjecture in the determinantal case.

GAS-Norm improves deep learning time series forecasting in non-stationary settings.

problem Deep learning models struggle with non-stationary time series data.
method Combines GAS model for adaptive normalization with deep neural networks.
result Improves deep learning performance in 21 out of 25 settings.

The study finds a long-term relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.

problem Examining the relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
method Used unit root and cointegration tests, ARDL cointegration technique, and Toda-Yamamoto causality test.
result There is a long-run relationship with unidirectional causality from Dubai crude oil to US natural gas.

In terms of transfer entropy, we investigated the strength and the direction of information transfer in the US stock market. Through the directionality of the information transfer, the more influential company between the correlated ones can be found and also the market leading companies are selected. Our entropy analy…

2005-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The objective of this paper is to introduce the notion of generalized almost statistical (briefly, GAS) convergence of bounded real sequences, which generalizes the notion of almost convergence as well as statistical convergence of bounded real sequences. As a special kind of Banach limit functional, we also introduce …

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Blockchain scaling reduces gas fees, allowing more frequent liquidity updates and concentration.

problem Adverse selection risk and high gas fees on decentralized exchanges.
method Instrumental variables analysis using blockchain scaling solutions (Arbitrum, Polygon) as instruments.
result Higher repositioning intensity and precision lead to greater liquidity concentration, benefiting small trades.

How does dynamic price information flow among Northern European electricity spot prices and prices of major electricity generation fuel sources? We use time series models combined with new advances in causal inference to answer these questions. Applying our methods to weekly Nordic and German electricity prices, and oi…

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗