We study the relationship between national culture and the disposition effect by investigating international differences in the degree of investors' disposition effect. We utilize brokerage data of 387,993 traders from 83 countries and find great variation in the degree of the disposition effect across the world. We fi…
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48 results for “disposition effect”
Investors in Bitcoin exhibit the disposition effect, selling winners and holding losers.
problem The disposition effect in cryptoassets, specifically Bitcoin.
method Using transaction data from cryptoasset exchanges, the study investigated Bitcoin investors' behavior.
result Bitcoin investors exhibit the disposition effect, with intensity varying over time.
Does social media information affect individual investor disposition effect? Evidence from Xueqiuq-fin.GN
Social media reduces individual investors' disposition effect through negative information.
problem The disposition effect in individual investors selling profitable assets too early and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Analysis of post data and trading data from Xueqiu.com.
result Social media information significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Corporate transparency reduces investors' disposition effect by increasing confidence in holding profitable and losing stocks.
problem Irrational disposition effect in investors selling profitable assets too soon and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Examined the impact of corporate transparency on individual investors' disposition effect.
result Increased corporate transparency significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Study shows short exposure and systematic risk exposure affect disposition effect asymmetries.
problem Understanding disposition effect in short vs long exposure positions and systematic risk.
method Generalized Odean measures, introduced Value metric, implemented dispositionEffect R package.
result Short positions exhibit weaker disposition effect than long positions under narrow framing, reversing in integrated framing.
AI agents in experimental markets exhibit behavioral patterns that aggregate into market dynamics.
problem Understanding AI trading behavior and its impact on market dynamics.
method Experimental asset markets populated by AI agents trained on Large Language Models (LLMs).
result AI agents' behavior leads to market dynamics similar to human traders, including bubbles.
This paper establishes the existence of observable footprints that reveal the "causal dispositions" of the object categories appearing in collections of images. We achieve this goal in two steps. First, we take a learning approach to observational causal discovery, and build a classifier that achieves state-of-the-art …
PerCDL learns personalized dictionaries for physiological signals combining global and local structures.
problem Representing datasets with both global and local structures in human physiological signals.
method Personalized Convolutional Dictionary Learning (PerCDL) that combines a global and personalized local dictionary.
result PerCDL effectively learns interpretable representations for human locomotion data.
We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It makes specific predictions about the volume of gains and losses, the holding periods…
Deleting refusal directions from models leads to systematically more optimistic decisions.
problem The impact of removing refusal directions from models on decision-making outcomes.
method Ablation study using a frozen pipeline of 21,600 weekly equity decisions.
result Ablation of refusal directions makes models more optimistic and justifies themselves more, but also reduces confidence.
Option Pricing with Mixed Levy Subordinated Price Process and Implied Probability Weighting Functionq-fin.MF
It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. To include the views of investors, we employ the method…
We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use transaction volume probability to describe price volatility uncertainty and intens…
Study on smoothness of 4D Willmore-type hypersurfaces.
problem Investigating smoothness of critical points of a 4D Willmore-type energy.
method Computed first variation, applied Noether's theorem, investigated other generalizations.
result Critical points of the energy are smooth.
Investigates a new four-dimensional energy related to Willmore energy.
problem Exploring a new conformally invariant energy in four dimensions.
method Computed first variation, applied Noether's theorem, investigated other generalizations.
result Critical points of the new energy are smooth and do not include minimal hypersurfaces.
Scaling Laws And Statistical Properties of The Transaction Flows And Holding Times of Bitcoinq-fin.TR
Study on Bitcoin transaction flows and holding times, revealing multifractal and power-law distributions.
problem Characterizing the temporal behavior and variability of Bitcoin transactions and holding times.
method Analysis of Bitcoin transaction data, including holding-time distributions, multiscaling, and multifractality.
result Found multifractal and power-law distributions in Bitcoin transaction flows and holding times, with significant variations in holding times.
Paper argues the bear case for Bitcoin is bounded and terminal states are neutral to positive.
problem The identity of Bitcoin's creator and the associated overhang risk.
method Quantitative analysis of Satoshi's 1.148 million BTC position, considering various preference sets.
result The terminal states most consistent with observed behavior are neutral to slightly positive for Bitcoin's effective supply.
Research has proven that stress reduces quality of life and causes many diseases. For this reason, several researchers devised stress detection systems based on physiological parameters. However, these systems require that obtrusive sensors are continuously carried by the user. In our paper, we propose an alternative a…
Urban transformations within large and growing metropolitan areas often generate critical dynamics affecting social interactions, transport connectivity and income flow distribution. We develop a statistical-mechanical model of urban transformations, exemplified for Greater Sydney, and derive a thermodynamic descriptio…
Emergency Department (ED) crowding is a worldwide issue that affects the efficiency of hospital management and the quality of patient care. This occurs when the request for an admit ward-bed to receive a patient is delayed until an admission decision is made by a doctor. To reduce the overcrowding and waiting time of E…
Visual summarization of clinical data collected on patients contained within the electronic health record (EHR) may enable precise and rapid triage at the time of patient presentation to an emergency department (ED). The triage process is critical in the appropriate allocation of resources and in anticipating eventual …
Let S be an arbitrary real surface, with or without boundary, contained in a hypersurface M of the complex euclidean space \C^2, with S and M of class C^{2, a}, where 0 < a < 1. If M is globally minimal, if S is totally real except at finitely many complex tangencies which are hyperbolic in the sense of E. Bishop and i…
Proposes proactive bed requests to reduce ED boarding and patient wait times.
problem Reduces ED boarding and patient wait times by proactively requesting inpatient beds.
method Formulates as a Markov decision process, uses predictions of admission probability and time to disposition to guide bed requests.
result Proactive aggregate bed requests can reduce boarding times by 30-70% and length of stay by 6-15%.
The leverage effect refers to the generally negative correlation between the return of an asset and the changes in its volatility. There is broad agreement in the literature that the effect should be present for theoretical reasons, and it has been consistently found in empirical work. However, a few papers have pointe…
New method for interpreting non-linear models using forward marginal effects.
problem Interpreting non-linear models' feature effects is challenging.
method Introducing forward marginal effects and partitioning feature space for better interpretation.
result Improved interpretation of non-linear prediction functions.
The Kalinin effectivity is studied and applied to compactifications and Hilbert squares.
problem Understanding Kalinin effectivity in compactifications and its applications.
method Definition, construction methods, and analysis of Kalinin effectivity in various compactifications.
result Wonderful compactifications of hyperplane arrangements and configuration spaces are Kalinin effective.
New method estimates treatment effects in network data, accounting for spillover effects.
problem Treatment effect estimation in networks with spillover effects.
method Augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) with cross-fitting and machine learning.
result Semiparametric treatment effect estimator converges at parametric rate and follows Gaussian distribution.
Causalfe estimates treatment effects in panel data with fixed effects.
problem Spurious heterogeneity in treatment effect estimates due to fixed effects in panel data.
method CFFE approach with node-level residualization during tree construction.
result Validates the estimator's performance through simulation studies.
The paper clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
problem Confusion between CATE and ITE hinders personalized effect estimation.
method Clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
result CATE and ITE are not necessarily the same under ignorability assumptions.
GADGET framework decomposes global feature effects using recursive partitioning.
problem Misleading global feature effects when feature interactions are present.
method Generalized additive decomposition of global effects (GADGET) based on recursive partitioning.
result Minimizes interaction-related heterogeneity of local feature effects.
A new RL framework evaluates dynamic mediation effects over time.
problem Dynamic mediation effects in sequentially assigned treatments.
method Reinforcement Learning framework for decomposition and estimation of causal effects.
result Superior performance demonstrated through numerical studies and real data analysis.
New memory effect discovered in gravitational wave behavior.
problem Understanding gravitational wave behavior in spacetimes with angular momentum.
method Mathematical analysis of Minkowski spacetime and Kerr black holes.
result Angular momentum memory effect observed at future null infinity.
Effective Yau-Tian-Donaldson conjecture for spherical varieties.
problem Finding effective K-stability criteria for spherical varieties.
method Formulated an effective variant of the Yau-Tian-Donaldson conjecture and reviewed effective K-stability criteria for spherical varieties.
result Effective K-stability criteria can be computed given combinatorial data.
Consistent Causal Inference of Group Effects in Non-Targeted Trials with Finitely Many Effect Levelscs.LG
A new method estimates treatment effects in mixed groups, improving accuracy.
problem Estimating treatment effects in mixed groups with heterogeneous responses.
method PCM (pre-cluster and merge) approach for nonparametric estimation.
result Asymptotic consistency and significant improvement in accuracy over existing methods.
Study estimates heterogeneous principal causal effects with binary treatments and intermediate variables.
problem Estimating subgroup effects within strata defined by potential values of an intermediate variable.
method Proposes a framework for estimating and forming confidence intervals for heterogeneous principal causal effects under principal ignorability assumption. Develops several estimators with varying robustness properties.
result Established large-sample theory and analyzed bias contributions of each approach.
Estimating the average causal effect of intervention in continuous variables using machine learningstat.ML
Study develops method for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
problem Lack of methods for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
method Develops a method independent of data generating models for continuous variable interventions.
result Preserves identifiability of data and applies to any generating models.
ICA accurately estimates treatment effects even with confounders.
problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of confounding variables.
method Uses Independent Component Analysis (ICA) to identify latent sources and estimate mixing coefficients.
result Linear ICA can consistently estimate multiple treatment effects, even with Gaussian confounders, and is more sample-efficient than Orthogonal Machine Learning (OML).
Method improves treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments.
problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments.
method Distributional regression framework with machine learning for variance reduction.
result The proposed method reduces variance of distributional treatment effect estimators.
New method discovers context effects in choice data.
problem Identifying context effects from choice data is challenging.
method Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
result Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
Dropout introduces both explicit and implicit regularization effects.
problem Understanding the full impact of dropout regularization.
method Disentangled explicit and implicit regularization effects through experiments and analytic simplifications.
result Explicit and implicit regularization effects of dropout are distinct and can be characterized analytically.
New test for binary treatment effects using kernel methods.
problem Testing distributional effects of binary treatments.
method Kernel-based doubly-robust test, avoiding permutations.
result Valid type-I error with computational efficiency.
Scalable Krylov Subspace Methods for Generalized Mixed-Effects Models with Crossed Random Effectsstat.ME
New Krylov subspace methods speed up mixed-effects models with crossed random effects.
problem Slow computations for high-dimensional crossed random effects in mixed-effects models.
method Krylov subspace-based methods for generalized mixed-effects models with cross effects.
result Speedups by factors of up to 10,000 in computations for mixed-effects models.
The use of drug combinations, termed polypharmacy, is common to treat patients with complex diseases and co-existing conditions. However, a major consequence of polypharmacy is a much higher risk of adverse side effects for the patient. Polypharmacy side effects emerge because of drug-drug interactions, in which activi…
Previous literature has identified an effect, dubbed the Zumbach effect, that is nonzero empirically but conjectured to be zero in any conventional stochastic volatility model. Essentially this effect corresponds to the property that past squared returns forecast future volatilities better than past volatilities foreca…
Identifies causal effects in LiNGAM models with latent variables.
problem Identifying causal effects in LiNGAM models with latent confounders.
method Complete graphical characterization and efficient algorithms for certification. RICA adaptation for estimation.
result Efficient algorithms and RICA adaptation for estimating causal effects.
Develops HCQRF for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored data.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects on censored responses with high-dimensional variables.
method Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest (HCQRF) combining random forests and censored quantile regression.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and stability of HCQRF through simulation studies and real-world application.
New methods estimate interventional effects with multiple mediators using machine learning.
problem Estimating interventional effects with multiple mediators.
method Flexible machine learning techniques for estimation, with weak convergence results for confidence intervals.
result Closed-form confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for interventional mediation effects.
Study relaxes identification assumptions for natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
problem Identifying causal direct effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Developed relaxed conditions for identifying natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
result Identified natural direct effect under unmeasured confounding conditions.
The Sagnac effect is re-examined using Finslerian geometry.
problem Understanding the Sagnac effect in general relativity.
method Reviewing the geometry of the Sagnac effect with a focus on Finslerian metrics.
result An asymmetry in Finslerian metrics affects the Sagnac effect for both future-pointing null and timelike geodesics.