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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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119238357476 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dispersive estimates

Geometric focusing affects dispersive estimates for Schrödinger and wave equations.

problem Long-time decay rate in dispersive estimates for Schrödinger and wave equations on non-trapping asymptotically conic manifolds and exact metric cones.
method Classifying the long-time decay rate in dispersive estimates for the Schrödinger and wave equations on non-trapping asymptotically conic manifolds and exact metric cones in terms of the intensity of geometric focusing.
result Each multiplicity of conjugate points within distance π on Y = ∂X0 leads to a |t|1/2-loss in the long-time decay order and a half-order shift in the regularity index in the dispersive estimate for the Schrödinger equation.

Skewness dispersion predicts future stock market returns, especially in months with monetary policy announcements.

problem Predicting future stock market returns using skewness dispersion.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firm-level realized skewness and stock market returns.
result Skewness dispersion is a significant predictor of future stock market returns, robust to various estimation methods.

Study dispersive estimates for Schrödinger and wave equations on a cone with specific metric.

problem Pointwise decay estimates for Schrödinger and wave equations on a product cone.
method Modified Hadamard parametrix on YY with ε>πε > π to prove dispersive estimates.
result Threshold of conjugate radius ε>πε > π for pointwise dispersive estimates.

Study proves well-posedness and scattering for wave equations on hyperbolic spaces with singular data.

problem Proving well-posedness and scattering for wave equations on hyperbolic spaces with singular initial data.
method Using weak-LpL^{p} spaces and dispersive estimates on Lorentz spaces, the study establishes global well-posedness and exponential asymptotic stability.
result Developed a scattering theory and constructed wave operators in a singular framework.

New dispersion indices based on inaccuracy and divergence introduced for information measures.

problem Measuring variability in uncertainty measures.
method Introducing new dispersion indices based on Kerridge inaccuracy and Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Properties, bounds, and examples of new dispersion indices presented.

New calibration bands for various distributions improve testing for auto-calibration.

problem Testing for auto-calibration in finite samples is challenging.
method Construct calibration bands for the exponential dispersion family using finite sample properties.
result Calibration bands allow for various tests for calibration and auto-calibration.

Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models assume spike counts to be Poisson-distributed, which ignores the fact that many neur…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on stock market volatility and return dispersion during COVID-19.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on stock market volatility and return dispersion.
method Used Google index to proxy epidemic impact, modeled volatility, and analyzed influencing factors of log-return.
result Volatility significantly affected by epidemic and cross-sectional return dispersion, with positive coefficients.

We introduce negative binomial matrix factorization (NBMF), a matrix factorization technique specially designed for analyzing over-dispersed count data. It can be viewed as an extension of Poisson matrix factorization (PF) perturbed by a multiplicative term which models exposure. This term brings a degree of freedom fo…

2018-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back correlation. Two ways have been proposed for such a strategy : either pure correl…

2010-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines Hawkes processes and their long-term behavior.

problem Understanding the long-term behavior of Hawkes processes.
method Proving functional limit theorems under various conditions on the dispersion of child events.
result Functional limit theorems hold for Hawkes processes with different levels of child event dispersion.

Study fourth order Schrödinger equation on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds, proving existence, scattering, and blow-up results.

problem Fourth order Schrödinger equation with mixed dispersion on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds.
method Fourier transform for hyperbolic space, weighted Strichartz estimates for rotationally symmetric manifolds, localized virial argument.
result Existence, scattering, and blow-up results for the equation.

The study analyzes the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.

problem Analyzing the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
method Assumed equicorrelation, reduced dimensionality, approximated ICS from implied volatilities, analyzed dynamics using dynamic semiparametric factor model.
result Proposed profitability improvement schemes based on implied correlation forecasts.

A new filter design improves system identification accuracy.

problem Improving system identification accuracy for various system types.
method Generalized proportionate-type normalized subband adaptive filter (GPtNSAF) using least squares on subband errors with a sparsity penalty.
result GPtNSAF benefits from increasing subbands more than sparsity for quasi-sparse or dispersive systems, and both aspects are complementary for sparse systems.

New framework controls statistical dispersion for high-stakes applications.

problem Understanding and controlling the dispersion of loss distributions in high-stakes applications.
method Simple yet flexible framework for distribution-free control of statistical dispersion measures.
result Proposed methods control statistical dispersion measures with societal implications.

A framework connects VAEs to GLMs for better model initialization and performance.

problem Understanding and optimizing loss function critical points in VAEs.
method Introducing a theoretical framework based on GLM and EDFs.
result Maximum likelihood initialization improves VAE performance.

Bayesian model tackles spatial count data issues with flexible non-parametric techniques.

problem Challenges in traditional parametric models for spatial count data with unbalanced distributions and complex dependencies.
method Bayesian semi-parametric spatial dispersed count model combining non-parametric techniques and adapted count models.
result Demonstrates superior performance in managing dispersion and capturing intricate spatial patterns.

Study global solutions for Boussinesq systems on curved manifolds.

problem Global existence and uniqueness of solutions to Boussinesq systems on non-compact Riemannian manifolds with gravitational fields.
method Used dispersive and smoothing estimates of a vectorial matrix semigroup to establish global existence and uniqueness of mild solutions for linear systems. Then, applied fixed point arguments to semilinear systems. Proved exponential stability using Gronwall's inequality.
result Established global existence, uniqueness, and exponential stability of mild solutions to the Boussinesq systems on non-compact Riemannian manifolds with gravitational fields.

In this article we prove a family of local (in time) weighted Strichartz estimates with derivative losses for the Klein-Gordon equation on asymptotically de Sitter spaces and provide a heuristic argument for the non-existence of a global dispersive estimate on these spaces. The weights in the estimates depend on the ma…

2010-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Quadrature improves ensembling for neural networks with dispersed likelihood peaks.

problem Ensembling neural networks struggles with dispersed, narrow peaks in likelihood surfaces.
method Uses Bayesian Quadrature to construct weighted ensembles of architectures.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in test likelihood, accuracy, and expected calibration error.

Paper transforms a complex equation into simpler forms for analysis.

problem Analyzing a fourth-order dispersive flow equation on Kähler manifolds.
method Developed the generalized Hasimoto transformation to simplify the equation.
result Explicit expressions derived for three examples of compact Kähler manifolds.

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive accuracy prevails. Yet, predictive accuracy does not tell the whole story. We propose…

2016-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous semimartingale price representations, and is thus consistent with virtually any ass…

2018-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper critiques existing uncertainty concepts and proposes a new decision-theoretic approach.

problem Incoherence in existing discussions of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
method Decision-theoretic perspective that relates uncertainty, predictive performance, and statistical dispersion.
result Popular information-theoretic quantities can be poor estimators but still useful for guiding data acquisition.

Study on periodic solutions for Keller-Segel system in various spaces.

problem Existence and uniqueness of periodic solutions for Keller-Segel system.
method Dispersion and smoothing estimates of heat semigroup, fixed point arguments.
result Existence and uniqueness of periodic solutions for Keller-Segel system on Rn\mathbb{R}^n and Hn\mathbb{H}^n.

Language models allocate information storage, not collapsing into uniform representations.

problem Incomplete neural collapse in language model representations.
method Analyzing variance and information sharing across 14 models, proving an information floor.
result Within-class variance is allocated information storage, not collapsed into uniform representations.

Dropout improves regularization in flexible models for rare features.

problem Understanding theoretical properties of dropout in generalized linear models.
method Theoretical analysis and application to adaptive smoothing with B-splines.
result Dropout prefers rare features in mean and dispersion parameters.

The standard deviation and Gini mean difference order based on tail behavior.

problem Ordering between standard deviation and Gini mean difference for real-valued risks.
method Analysis of the mean excess function of the pairwise difference XX|X - X'|.
result Dominance regimes of SD and GMD are determined by tail behavior of the distribution.

Proposes a new portfolio optimization method considering reward, dispersion, and asymmetry.

problem Capturing fat-tails and asymmetry in asset return distributions.
method Market model with tempered stable distribution; extended mean-variance optimization.
result Closed-form solutions for VaR and CVaR; efficient frontier extended to three dimensions.

Modified EAT method improves Poisson gradient estimation.

problem Challenging differentiation through Poisson-distributed latent variables.
method Exponential Arrival Time (EAT) simulation with modifications and Gumbel-SoftMax relaxation.
result Modified EAT method provides unbiased first moment and reduced second-moment bias.

The trimming scheme with a prefixed cutoff portion is known as a method of improving the robustness of statistical models such as multivariate Gaussian mixture models (MG- MMs) in small scale tests by alleviating the impacts of outliers. However, when this method is applied to real- world data, such as noisy speech pro…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We study productivity dispersions across workers, firms and industrial sectors. Empirical study of the Japanese data shows that they all obey the Pareto law, and also that the Pareto index decreases with the level of aggregation. In order to explain these two stylized facts, we propose a theoretical framework built upo…

2008-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗