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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for discrete survival data

Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time distribution, and, for smaller data sets, it is found to be preferable over the …

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.

problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.

DNAMite creates interpretable, calibrated survival analysis models.

problem Limited interpretability in survival analysis models, especially for healthcare applications.
method Feature discretization and kernel smoothing in embedding module for flexible shape functions.
result DNAMite produces calibrated shape functions interpretable as contributions to cumulative incidence function.

New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.

problem Discrete failure time data in survival analysis.
method Proposes a new estimation procedure for discrete-time survival analysis with competing events.
result Offers advantages over existing procedures and integrates regularized regression methods.

MOB-dS uses permutation to correct for dependency in discrete survival data.

problem Identifying subgroups in discrete event time data with potential spurious results.
method Model-based recursive partitioning (MOB) with modified data matrix and permutation test.
result MOB-dS controls type I error rate better than standard MOB for discrete survival data.

SDPM models survival analysis without parametric assumptions, achieving competitive performance.

problem Estimating survival distributions from censored data with flexibility and accuracy.
method Generative model using denoising diffusion, avoiding parametric assumptions and discretization.
result SDPM achieves competitive predictive performance across various metrics.

There is currently great interest in applying neural networks to prediction tasks in medicine. It is important for predictive models to be able to use survival data, where each patient has a known follow-up time and event/censoring indicator. This avoids information loss when training the model and enables generation o…

2018-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The electronic health record (EHR) provides an unprecedented opportunity to build actionable tools to support physicians at the point of care. In this paper, we investigate survival analysis in the context of EHR data. We introduce deep survival analysis, a hierarchical generative approach to survival analysis. It depa…

2016-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

QSurv models survival data without discretization, achieving high accuracy.

problem Intractable likelihood estimation for continuous-time survival models.
method QSurv uses numerical quadrature for cumulative hazard approximation and time-conditioned low-rank adaptation.
result QSurv achieves competitive predictive performance and interpretable hazard patterns.

Study improves survival analysis for credit risk by accounting for data drift.

problem Survival analysis in credit risk assumes a stationary data-generating process, but real-world data drift affects model performance.
method Proposes a dynamic joint modelling framework integrating longitudinal behavioural markers and hazard formulations, combined with drift-adaptive techniques.
result Proposed model outperforms classical survival models and drift-adaptive learners in various data drift scenarios.

Survival strategies in a market with self-determined prices are closely tied to log-optimal investment.

problem Survival of wealth in a market with endogenous prices.
method Assume only one's actions affect prices, use log-optimal strategy, disregard actual prices.
result Survival strategies are asymptotically close to log-optimal strategies.

Developed a flexible Bayesian g-formula for causal survival analysis with time-dependent confounding.

problem Estimating causal survival curves in longitudinal observational studies with time-varying treatments and confounding.
method Incorporated Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into the g-formula to model time-evolving generative components and mitigate bias due to model misspecification.
result Demonstrated improved empirical performance and practical utility of the proposed method through simulations and real-world data analysis.

New approach makes survival analysis fairer without specifying sensitive features.

problem Ensuring fairness in survival analysis models across different subpopulations.
method Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) with sample splitting strategy.
result Converted existing survival analysis models into fair versions without specifying sensitive features.

Survival analysis models predict loan write-off risk under IFRS 9.

problem Estimating loan write-off probabilities in credit risk modeling.
method Discrete-time hazard model and conditional inference survival tree compared to cross-sectional logistic regression.
result Discrete-time hazard model outperforms other two-stage LGD-models.

Paper proposes inference method for high-dimensional censored quantile regression.

problem Identifying heterogeneous effects of high-dimensional genetic biomarkers on survival outcomes.
method Combines low-dimensional model estimates based on multi-sample splittings and variable selection.
result Proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically follows a Gaussian process.

SurvSurf predicts first hitting times for intermittent events without monotonic violations.

problem Predicting first hitting times for intermittent events with monotonicity guarantees.
method Partially monotonic neural network for sequential events, incorporating unobserved events.
result SurvSurf outperforms existing models in MSE and IBS metrics.

Extends Kyle model to multiple traders with different time-preference coefficients.

problem Existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple insiders.
method Extends Basak and Cuoco's model to include traders with different time-preference coefficients.
result Parameter restrictions ensure the existence of a Radner equilibrium and long-term survival of traders.

CAST models time-varying treatment effects in cancer patients.

problem Estimating treatment effects at fixed time points limits understanding of dynamic changes over time.
method CAST combines parametric and non-parametric methods to model continuous time-varying treatment effects.
result CAST reveals how treatment effects rise, peak, and decline over the follow-up period.

A new method prices time-to-event cash flows using survival analysis.

problem Pricing insurance investment portfolios with time-to-event cash flows.
method Discrete-time survival analysis framework, hazard rate estimators, asymptotic multivariate normality.
result Pricing model yields estimates closer to actual cash flows than non-random models.

auton-survival simplifies survival analysis for healthcare data.

problem Handling censored time-to-event data in healthcare.
method Open-source package for survival regression, adjustment, counterfactual estimation, phenotyping, and treatment effects.
result Demonstrates auton-survival's ability to support complex health and epidemiological questions.

SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.

problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.

Improves survival analysis across multiple domains with machine learning.

problem Adapting survival analysis to new or rare illness types with limited labeled data.
method Introduces a new survival metric and discrepancy measure for censored data, enabling domain adaptation.
result Superb performance on target domains, better treatment recommendations, and interpretable weight matrix.

Survival kernets scale deep kernel survival analysis to large datasets with interpretability and theoretical guarantees.

problem Scalable and interpretable deep kernel survival analysis for large datasets.
method Survival kernets use kernel netting for training set compression and XGBoost for warm-starting neural architecture search.
result Survival kernets achieve optimal time-dependent concordance index on various survival analysis datasets.

SurvITE learns treatment effects from time-to-event data, addressing unique challenges.

problem Inferring heterogeneous treatment effects from time-to-event data.
method Proposes a novel deep learning method for treatment-specific hazard estimation.
result Method outperforms baselines by addressing covariate shifts from various sources.

A framework combining HSMM and survival analysis for lifecycle-oriented mobility analysis.

problem Understanding individual metro usage dynamics over multi-year horizons.
method A state-based lifecycle modeling framework integrating HSMM and discrete-time survival analysis.
result Identification of interpretable mobility states, transition dynamics, and state-dependent exit and re-entry processes.

Research uses deep learning and copulas to predict multivariate survival data.

problem Handling right-censored and correlated multivariate survival data.
method Integrates deep learning, copula functions, and survival analysis. Uses copula-based activation functions to model nonlinear dependencies.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy for multivariate survival responses.

Paper proposes robust methods for estimating optimal treatment rules with censored survival data.

problem Estimating optimal treatment rules for censored survival data.
method Developed two robust criteria and a sampling-based difference-of-convex algorithm for learning optimal treatment rules.
result Proposed methods show improved performance compared to existing methods in simulations and real data.

Extremal length is a conformal invariant that transfers naturally to the discrete setting, giving square tilings as a natural combinatorial analog of conformal mappings. Recent work by S. Hersonsky has explored generalizing these ideas to three-dimensional cube tilings. The connections between discrete extremal length …

2013-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The method integrates survival constraints into NMF for identifying survival-associated gene clusters.

problem Understanding and interpreting high-dimensional biological data for disease markers.
method Cox proportional hazards regression integrated with NMF via proportional hazards non-negative matrix factorization.
result The method can uncover survival-associated gene clusters in cancer gene expression data.

SurvHTE-Bench benchmarks HTE estimation in survival analysis with diverse datasets.

problem Challenges in estimating HTEs from right-censored survival data.
method Modular synthetic datasets, semi-synthetic datasets, and real-world datasets.
result First rigorous comparison of survival HTE methods under diverse conditions.

There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different method with two steps. In the first step, we transform each subject's survival …

2019-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

FinSurvival provides a large-scale financial survival modeling benchmark.

problem Lack of large-scale, realistic, and freely available datasets for benchmarking AI survival models.
method Derived 16 survival modeling tasks from cryptocurrency lending data using an automated pipeline.
result Demonstrated that existing AI survival models are not well-suited for these challenging tasks.

SurvivalPFN simplifies survival analysis through amortized Bayesian inference.

problem Selecting appropriate survival analysis methods requires expertise and can be time-consuming.
method SurvivalPFN uses a prior-data fitted network for in-context Bayesian inference.
result SurvivalPFN achieves strong predictive performance across diverse datasets.

New survival learners estimate heterogeneous treatment effects from time-to-event data.

problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with censoring outcomes.
method Orthogonal survival learners with theoretical guarantees and custom weighting functions.
result Orthogonal survival learners provide robust and model-agnostic HTE estimation.

SurvBESA predicts survival times using ensemble methods with self-attention.

problem Challenges in survival analysis due to censored data and unstable predictions.
method SurvBESA combines Beran estimators with a self-attention mechanism to predict survival times.
result SurvBESA outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting survival times.