Introduces flat discrete signatures for financial data analysis.
problem Representing financial data for machine learning without continuous transformation.
method Introduced flat discrete signatures and discrete signatures, generalizing flat discrete signatures.
result Flat discrete signatures can represent quadratic variation relevant in finance.
Study of 4D symmetric spaces with (2,2) signature.
problem Existence and non-existence of compact quotients.
method Analysis of pseudo-Riemannian symmetric spaces with signature (2,2).
result Solved the problem of compact quotients existence.
Our purpose is to explore, in the context of loop ensembles on finite graphs, the relations between combinatorial group theory, loops topology, loop measures, and signatures of discrete paths. We determine the distributions of the loop homotopy class, and of the first and second homologies, defined by the lower central…
The paper examines the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data.
problem Consistency of Lasso regression in signature analysis of time series data.
method The paper studies the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data, both theoretically and numerically.
result The Lasso regression is consistent both asymptotically and in finite sample for certain types of time series and processes.
Completeness theorem for flat pseudo-Riemannian manifolds of signature (2,2).
problem Completeness of closed flat pseudo-Riemannian manifolds of signature (2,2).
method Geometric reduction and semidirect product constructions.
result Only the entire space R2,2 is divisible by a discrete subgroup of isometries. We estimate prices of exotic options in a discrete-time model-free setting when the trader has access to market prices of a rich enough class of exotic and vanilla options. This is achieved by estimating an unobservable quantity called "implied expected signature" from such market prices, which are used to price other …
Novel time series forecasting method using sliding window signatures.
problem Challenges in forecasting nonlinear and delayed time series data.
method Ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows.
result Signature features effectively encode temporal and nonlinear dependencies, leading to accurate forecasts.
Global approximation for piecewise linear paths via signatures.
problem Global approximation theorems for piecewise linear paths.
method Using signatures of piecewise linear paths and their density in Lp-norms. result Linear functionals of signatures are dense in Lp-norms under an integrability condition. Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, improving ML performance.
problem Leveraging model-free embeddings for domain-agnostic machine learning.
method Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, with convergence results bridging empirical and theoretical estimators.
result A modified expected signature estimator with lower mean squared error for martingale processes.
New method uses randomised signatures for generating financial time series data.
problem Generating synthetic financial time series data accurately.
method Introduced a Wasserstein-type distance based on discrete-time randomised signatures.
result Demonstrated universal approximation for randomised signatures on continuous functions.
We give a parametrix construction for the signature operator on any compact, oriented, stratified pseudomanifold X which satisfies the Witt condition. This construction is inductive. It is then used to show that the signature operator is essentially self-adjoint and has discrete spectrum of finite multiplicity, so that…
Sig-Splines model uses signatures and splines for time series data, achieving universality and convexity.
problem Creating a generative model for multivariate time series data.
method Combines linear transformations and signature transforms into a neural spline flow.
result Achieves universality and introduces convexity in model parameters.
Study identifies numerical signs of blow-up in hydrodynamic equations.
problem Determining if numerical results of blow-up are genuine or artifacts.
method Geometrically consistent spatiotemporal discretization of complexified Euler equations.
result Identification of a signature based on supremum norm growth rates of vorticity.
A novel signature method improves sequential data prediction accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy for sequential and temporal data.
method Signature method based on rough path theory, with a specific embedding called lead-lag.
result Lead-lag embedding consistently outperforms other embeddings across various datasets and algorithms.
Geodesic completeness proven for certain symmetric spaces.
problem Geodesic completeness of compact locally symmetric pseudo-Riemannian manifolds of signature (2,2).
method Analysis of unique parallel lightlike vector fields and group actions.
result Geodesic completeness established for compact locally symmetric spaces modeled on specific spaces.
New imputation strategies improve signature models for irregular time series.
problem Applying signature models to irregular time series requires continuous path construction.
method Characterized imputation as a problem, evaluated various strategies, proposed GP-PoM.
result Gaussian process adapters improve predictive performance and robustness.
In this paper we prove a variety of results about the signature operator on Witt spaces. First, we give a parametrix construction for the signature operator on any compact, oriented, stratified pseudomanifold X which satisfies the Witt condition. This construction, which is inductive over the `depth' of the singularity…
Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.
problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.
Framework combines random features with CDEs for efficient time-series learning.
problem Efficient training of time-series models with strong inductive bias.
method Random Fourier CDEs and Random Rough DEs using continuous-time reservoirs and log-ODE discretization.
result Unified perspective on random-feature reservoirs and path-signature theory.
A new method compares unaligned datasets using log-Euclidean signatures of SPD matrices.
problem Efficiently comparing datasets with unknown alignment.
method Diffusion operators, Riemannian geometry, log-Euclidean metric.
result LES distance recovers meaningful structural differences, outperforming existing methods.
Sig-DEG speeds up diffusion models by distilling them into faster approximations.
problem Computational intensity of diffusion models at inference time.
method Signature-based differential equation generation to summarize Brownian motion.
result Sig-DEG reduces inference steps by an order of magnitude while maintaining generation quality.
We study differential operators, whose coefficients define noncommutative algebras. As algebra of coefficients, we consider crossed products, corresponding to action of a discrete group on a smooth manifold. We give index formulas for Euler, signature and Dirac operators twisted by projections over the crossed product.…
Neural networks learn discrete tasks on continuous data via emergent geometry.
problem Understanding how neural networks perform discrete computations on continuous data.
method Analysis of Riemannian pullback metric across neural network layers.
result Neural networks learn to discretize continuous inputs and perform logical operations on these discretized variables.
Novel framework synthesizes stochastic trajectories with anticipated structural breaks.
problem Synthesizing forward-looking, time-evolving stochastic trajectories with anticipated structural breaks.
method Anticipatory Neural Jump-Diffusion (ANJD) flow, AVNSG for dynamic spectral whitening.
result The framework effectively captures non-commutative moments and high-order stochastic texture.
Paper introduces FDM for efficient training of Neural SDEs.
problem Training Neural SDEs using existing methods is computationally expensive and unstable.
method Developed a novel scoring rule called Finite Dimensional Matching (FDM) to bypass signature kernels and reduce training complexity.
result FDM achieves superior performance in terms of computational efficiency and generative quality.
The more important difference between Riemann and pseudo-Riemann manifolds is the metric signature and its theoretical consequences. The practical application for Physics Theories becomes often impossible due to the signature consequences. Eg., some of the rich results in Riemann Geometry and Topology become invalid fo…
New compact Weyl-parallel manifolds discovered in all dimensions n≥5.
problem Finding compact Weyl-parallel manifolds in all metric signatures and dimensions.
method Diffeomorphic to torus bundles over the circle, constructed from quotient-manifolds of model manifolds with discrete isometry groups.
result Existence of compact Weyl-parallel manifolds in all indefinite metric signatures in dimensions n≥5.
We investigate the "compass rose" (Crack, T.F. and Ledoit, O. (1996), Journal of Finance, 51(2), pg. 751-762) patterns revealed in phase portraits (delay plots) of stock returns. The structures observed in these diagrams have been attributed mainly to price clustering and discreteness. Using wavelet based denoising, we…
This note demonstrates how both the concept of distance and the concept of holonomy can be constructed from a suitable network with directed edges (and no lengths). The number of different edge types depends on the signature of the metric and the dimension of the holonomy group. If the holonomy group is of dimension on…
We show that for each discrete group G, the rational assembly map K_*(BG) \otimes Q \to K_*(C*_{max} G) \otimes \Q is injective on classes dual to the subring generated by cohomology classes of degree at most 2 (identifying rational K-homology and homology via the Chern character). Our result implies homotopy invarianc…
We present a novel framework for kernel learning with sequential data of any kind, such as time series, sequences of graphs, or strings. Our approach is based on signature features which can be seen as an ordered variant of sample (cross-)moments; it allows to obtain a "sequentialized" version of any static kernel. The…
Chaos and nonlinear economic dynamics are addressed for a quantum coupled map lattice model of an artificial economy, with quantized supply and demand equilibrium conditions. The measure theoretic properties and the patterns that emerge in both the economic business volume dynamics' diagrams as well as in the quantum m…
The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.
problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.
We present several formulas for the traces of elements in complex hyperbolic triangle groups generated by complex reflections. The space of such groups of fixed signature is of real dimension one. We parameterise this space by a real invariant alpha of triangles in the complex hyperbolic plane. The main result of the p…
The paper values variable annuities using complex stochastic models and deep learning.
problem Valuation of variable annuities with early surrender options under non-Markovian models.
method Developed a deep signature Least Squares Monte Carlo approach to handle path-dependent continuation values.
result Fair fees increase with Hurst parameters of stock volatility and mortality force.
Defines knot signature invariant using G-signature theorem.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on knot theory.
method Uses G-signature theorem to define knot invariant.
result Defines an invariant for strongly invertible knots.
Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…
Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots follows a reduction formula.
problem Determining the maximum Levine-Tristram signature for torus knots.
method Proved a reduction formula analogous to Gordon-Litherland-Murasugi's classical signature result.
result Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots satisfies a reduction formula.
New findings on mesh group-planes validate Signature-inverse Theorem under specific conditions.
problem Invalidity of existing inverse theorems for mesh group-planes.
method Classification of three and five point meshes, analysis of joint invariant signatures.
result Valid conditions for the Signature-inverse Theorem in mesh group-planes.
This is a sequel to the paper "The signature package on Witt spaces, I. Index classes" by the same authors. In the first part we investigated, via a parametrix construction, the regularity properties of the signature operator on a stratified Witt pseudomanifold, proving, in particular, that one can define a K-homology …
We define the Analytical signature, the Hodge signature and the de Rham signature for a foliated manifold with boundary with foliation transverse to the boundary. We show that all these signatures coincide and a Hirzebruch formula is valid.
To a special type of grope embedded in 4-space, that we call an admissible grope, we associate a length function for each real number q at least 1. This gives rise to a family of pseudo-metrics d^q, refining the slice genus metric, on the set of concordance classes of knots, as the infimum of the length function taken …
New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
Study signatures of torus links and their cores using Neumann's equivariant signatures and Hirzebruch's formula.
problem Computing signatures of torus links and their cores.
method Use Neumann's equivariant signatures and rewrite Hirzebruch's formula for torus links (without cores) in terms of integral points in a parallelogram.
result Rewritten Hirzebruch's formula for torus links with cores using integral points in a parallelogram.
This paper extends the C*-signature to non-Witt spaces using noncommutative geometric methods.
problem Extending the signature to non-Witt spaces with noncommutative geometric methods.
method Noncommutative geometric methods, combinatorial framework, and comparison with analytical signature.
result Constructing the C*-signature on non-Witt spaces.
Paper generalizes path signature using fractional calculus for improved machine learning.
problem Improving path signature for machine learning applications.
method Introduces two new signatures inspired by fractional calculus and machine learning considerations.
result Significant accuracy improvements in handwritten digit recognition.
We present a novel method for extracting cancer signatures by applying statistical risk models (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2732453) from quantitative finance to cancer genome data. Using 1389 whole genome sequenced samples from 14 cancers, we identify an "overall" mode of somatic mutational noise. We give a prescription …