A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.
The paper connects discrete choice models to multi-armed bandit algorithms with sublinear regret bounds.
A new model uses neural networks for consistent discrete choice analysis.
Classification, the process of assigning a label (or class) to an observation given its features, is a common task in many applications. Nonetheless in most real-life applications, the labels can not be fully explained by the observed features. Indeed there can be many factors hidden to the modellers. The unexplained v…
Graph neural nets improve discrete choice modeling with network effects.
New model combines neural networks and embeddings for better choice modeling interpretability.
Graph neural networks improve residential location choice predictions.
We present a mixed multinomial logit (MNL) model, which leverages the truncated stick-breaking process representation of the Dirichlet process as a flexible nonparametric mixing distribution. The proposed model is a Dirichlet process mixture model and accommodates discrete representations of heterogeneity, like a laten…
A new method reduces high-dimensional state space for dynamic choice models.
We introduce a semi-supervised discrete choice model to calibrate discrete choice models when relatively few requests have both choice sets and stated preferences but the majority only have the choice sets. Two classic semi-supervised learning algorithms, the expectation maximization algorithm and the cluster-and-label…
Neural networks approximate random utility models for choice prediction.
The paper tackles interpreting DCM with image data by addressing data isomorphism.
A new RL method improves revenue management with delayed feedback.
Alt-GNNs improve travel mode choice modeling by integrating graph neural networks with GEV models.
Unified framework for discrete diffusion modeling with flexible noising processes.
Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact inference is often intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques make approximat…
Bayesian DL model improves DCMs for better predictive and inferential performance.
Problem definition. In retailing, discrete choice models (DCMs) are commonly used to capture the choice behavior of customers when offered an assortment of products. When estimating DCMs using transaction data, flexible models (such as machine learning models or nonparametric models) are typically not interpretable and…
The way that people make choices or exhibit preferences can be strongly affected by the set of available alternatives, often called the choice set. Furthermore, there are usually heterogeneous preferences, either at an individual level within small groups or within sub-populations of large groups. Given the availabilit…
New method discovers context effects in choice data.
We introduce sparse random projection, an important dimension-reduction tool from machine learning, for the estimation of discrete-choice models with high-dimensional choice sets. Initially, high-dimensional data are compressed into a lower-dimensional Euclidean space using random projections. Subsequently, estimation …
LADD models improve discrete diffusion for faster language generation.
The problem at the heart of this tutorial consists in modeling the path choice behavior of network users. This problem has been extensively studied in transportation science, where it is known as the route choice problem. In this literature, individuals' choice of paths are typically predicted using discrete choice mod…
A new framework for controllable generation of discrete masked models.
A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.
Specifying utility functions is a key step towards applying the discrete choice framework for understanding the behaviour processes that govern user choices. However, identifying the utility function specifications that best model and explain the observed choices can be a very challenging and time-consuming task. This …
Paper develops Bayesian inference for discrete-choice mnp models with Gaussian priors.
The Multinomial Logit (MNL) model and the axiom it satisfies, the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA), are together the most widely used tools of discrete choice. The MNL model serves as the workhorse model for a variety of fields, but is also widely criticized, with a large body of experimental literature cl…
Many real-world control problems involve both discrete decision variables - such as the choice of control modes, gear switching or digital outputs - as well as continuous decision variables - such as velocity setpoints, control gains or analogue outputs. However, when defining the corresponding optimal control or reinf…
This paper solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem. Using an explicit solution with a power utility, we construct a bridge between a continuous and discrete VAR model to assess portfolio sensitivities. We find, from a well analyzed example that the optimal allocation to stocks is particularly sensitive to Sharpe ra…
We present an integer programming framework to build accurate and interpretable discrete linear classification models. Unlike existing approaches, our framework is designed to provide practitioners with the control and flexibility they need to tailor accurate and interpretable models for a domain of choice. To this end…
As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity, and Luce's choice axiom. In this work we introduce the Pairwise Choice Markov Cha…
The paper models market dynamics using a limit order book system to explain slippage and inefficiency.
The paper proposes a new method to learn choice functions using Pareto-embeddings.
In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…
A method for dynamic portfolio choice with uncertain parameters using Pontryagin projection.
Proves hardness of semi-discrete optimal transport and proposes regularization methods.
In this paper, we consider the discrete deformation of the discrete space curves with constant torsion described by the discrete mKdV or the discrete sine-Gordon equations, and show that it is formulated as the torsion-preserving equidistant deformation on the osculating plane which satisfies the isoperimetric conditio…
Connections on principal bundles play a fundamental role in expressing the equations of motion for mechanical systems with symmetry in an intrinsic fashion. A discrete theory of connections on principal bundles is constructed by introducing the discrete analogue of the Atiyah sequence, with a connection corresponding t…
Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice of a random number generator. The aim of this paper is to provide the tools for…
Revisits PPO design choices, exposing failure modes and proposing alternatives.
New RL algorithm reduces deployment cost for linear function approximations.
The paper models network formation using mixed logit models.
Study shows financial value of weak information converges in discrete vs continuous markets.
Discrete conformal maps on surfaces with vertex decorations are studied.
Ranking data arises in a wide variety of application areas but remains difficult to model, learn from, and predict. Datasets often exhibit multimodality, intransitivity, or incomplete rankings---particularly when generated by humans---yet popular probabilistic models are often too rigid to capture such complexities. In…
Mixed finite element methods solve a PDE using two or more variables. The theory of Discrete Exterior Calculus explains why the degrees of freedom associated to the different variables should be stored on both primal and dual domain meshes with a discrete Hodge star used to transfer information between the meshes. We s…
When optimizing over-parameterized models, such as deep neural networks, a large set of parameters can achieve zero training error. In such cases, the choice of the optimization algorithm and its respective hyper-parameters introduces biases that will lead to convergence to specific minimizers of the objective. Consequ…