A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper introduces non-linear discounting models for default compensation and climate valuation.
Proposes a new framework for discount models.
There is an observed basis between repo discounting, implied from market repo rates, and bond discounting, stripped from the market prices of the underlying bonds. Here, this basis is explained as a convexity effect arising from the decorrelation between the discount rates for derivatives and bonds. Using a Hull-White …
The study uses reproducing kernels to model bond discount curves.
Study improves dividend discount model using VAR process.
Revises derivative pricing post financial crisis by defining a discount rate.
New RL approach handles non-exponential discounting for sequential decisions.
Paper develops a discounted algorithm for online convex optimization that adapts to unknown discount factors.
We show that different rates should be used for borrowing and discount rates, and that the risk-free rate should be used for discounting when assessing and comparing the cost of energy accross diffferent producers and technologies, on the example of photovoltaics. Recent quantitative models using the same rate for borr…
Asset prices contain information about the probability distribution of future states and the stochastic discounting of those states as used by investors. To better understand the challenge in distinguishing investors' beliefs from risk-adjusted discounting, we use Perron-Frobenius Theory to isolate a positive martingal…
In this paper, we study the dividend strategies for a shareholder with non-constant discount rate in a diffusion risk model. We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and restrict ourselves to the Markov strategies. This is a time inconsistent control problem. The extended HJB equation is given an…
Model shows how discount rates affect intergenerational equity in climate mitigation.
UCBVI-γ algorithm minimizes regret in discounted MDPs.
Lower discount factors act as a regularizer in RL, improving performance.
Study analyzes how discounts affect train ticket purchases and rescheduling in Switzerland.
We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears to be rational but cannot be represented with any discounted expected utility. A …
Proves lower discount rates are needed for future losses.
Reinforcement learning (RL) typically defines a discount factor as part of the Markov Decision Process. The discount factor values future rewards by an exponential scheme that leads to theoretical convergence guarantees of the Bellman equation. However, evidence from psychology, economics and neuroscience suggests that…
This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless account. The market coefficients and discount factor switch according to a finite…
This paper shows how forward rate interpolations are equivalent to discount factor interpolations in yield curve construction.
The paper analyzes optimal dividend and capital injection strategies under time-inconsistent preferences.
For environmental problems such as global warming future costs must be balanced against present costs. This is traditionally done using an exponential function with a constant discount rate, which reduces the present value of future costs. The result is highly sensitive to the choice of discount rate and has generated …
In the "positive interest" models of Flesaker-Hughston, the nominal discount bond system is determined by a one-parameter family of positive martingales. In the present paper we extend this analysis to include a variety of distributions for the martingale family, parameterised by a function that determines the behaviou…
Study optimal stopping for group with diverse discount rates using an attitude function.
Proposes a new method for determining LGD discount rates based on cost of capital.
Empirical study on long-term discount rates using historical bond prices.
The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself. Yields vary across different investment opportunities and their interrelations are …
We optimize discounts to maximize influence spread in social networks.
Study optimal portfolio strategies with time-varying discount rates.
We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation of the expression describing the declining long-term tail of a social discount c…
New algorithm learns optimal policies with minimal memory and time.
In the spirit of [Surya07'], we develop an average problem approach to prove the optimality of threshold type strategies for optimal stopping of Lévy models with a continuous additive functional (CAF) discounting. Under spectrally negative models, we specialize this in terms of conditions on the reward function and ran…
Stochastic dividend discount models (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998, Yao, 1997) present expressions for the expected value of stock prices when future dividends evolve according to some random scheme. In this paper we try to offer a more precise view on this issue proposing a closed-form formula for the variance of …
A financial market model where agents trade using realistic combinations of buy-and-hold strategies is considered. Minimal assumptions are made on the discounted asset-price process - in particular, the semimartingale property is not assumed. Via a natural market viability assumption, namely, absence of arbitrages of t…
We consider a discounted reward control problem in continuous time stochastic environment where the discount rate might be an unbounded function of the control process. We provide a set of general assumptions to ensure that there exists a smooth classical solution to the corresponding HJB equation. Moreover, some verif…
We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments, given that the discounting factor is given by an exponential CIR process. In the d…
In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless account. The market coefficients and discount factor switches…
New findings reveal discount regularization can be seen as a strong prior, leading to poor performance in unevenly sampled data.
New RL difficulty shown for discounted settings.
The policy gradient theorem is defined based on an objective with respect to the initial distribution over states. In the discounted case, this results in policies that are optimal for one distribution over initial states, but may not be uniformly optimal for others, no matter where the agent starts from. Furthermore, …
In this paper we study perpetual American call and put options in an exponential Lévy model. We consider a negative effective discount rate which arises in a number of financial applications including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original discount f…
This paper proposes a method for modeling event sequences with ambiguous timestamps, a time-discounting convolution. Unlike in ordinary time series, time intervals are not constant, small time-shifts have no significant effect, and inputting timestamps or time durations into a model is not effective. The criteria that …
Paper proposes a machine learning method to predict sale efficacy.
In this paper we extend the existing literature on xVA along three directions. First, we enhance current BSDE-based xVA frameworks to include initial margin in presence of defaults. Next, we solve the consistency problem that arises when the front-office desk of the bank uses trade-specific discount curves (CSA discoun…
This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by Lévy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original d…
The objective of the present paper is to analyse various features of the Smith-Wilson method used for discounting under the EU regulation Solvency II, with special attention to hedging. In particular, we show that all key rate duration hedges of liabilities beyond the Last Liquid Point will be peculiar. Moreover, we sh…
By analysing the restrictions that ensure the existence of capital market equilibrium, we show that the coefficient of relative risk aversion and the subjective discount factor cannot be high simultaneously as they are supposed to be to make the standard asset pricing consistent with financial stylised facts.
Study optimal stopping times for multi-dimensional processes with non-exponential discounting.