Paper establishes a formula linking model performance to insurance loss ratio.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Pretraining models improves text classification accuracy, but diminishing returns are observed with large datasets.
We explore how to improve machine translation systems by adding more translation data in situations where we already have substantial resources. The main challenge is how to buck the trend of diminishing returns that is commonly encountered. We present an active learning-style data solicitation algorithm to meet this c…
Algorithm allocates budgets to tasks with semi-bandit feedback, achieving near-optimal regret bounds.
In this paper, we study a certain class of online optimization problems, where the goal is to maximize a function that is not necessarily concave and satisfies the Diminishing Returns (DR) property under budget constraints. We analyze a primal-dual algorithm, called the Generalized Sequential algorithm, and we obtain t…
Using a time-varying approach, this paper examines the dynamics of volatility in the REIT sector. The results highlight the attractiveness and suitability of using GARCH based approaches in the modeling of daily REIT volatility. The paper examines the influencing factors on REIT volatility, documenting the return and v…
New algorithms improve performance guarantees for multi-armed bandits problems.
We consider the classical problem of sequential resource allocation where a decision maker must repeatedly divide a budget between several resources, each with diminishing returns. This can be recast as a specific stochastic optimization problem where the objective is to maximize the cumulative reward, or equivalently …
ReD improves LLM inference efficiency at fixed budget, reducing attempts and cost.
New method attacks GNNs with limited node access, increasing misclassification rate.
Algorithm improves recommendation subset selection in the presence of biases.
It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. To include the views of investors, we employ the method…
Study replicates reference-dependent preferences impact on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
Enhanced ROOT-SGD optimizes stochastic optimization with diminishing stepsizes.
Databases in domains such as healthcare are routinely released to the public in aggregated form. Unfortunately, naive modeling with aggregated data may significantly diminish the accuracy of inferences at the individual level. This paper addresses the scenario where features are provided at the individual level, but th…
We study the long-term memory in diverse stock market indices and foreign exchange rates using the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). For all daily and high-frequency market data studied, no significant long-term memory property is detected in the return series, while a strong long-term memory property is found in th…
The dissertation establishes a contexture theory to mathematically characterize representation learning.
This paper shows how we can build a model for transactions when goods are given away in the expectation of a later settlement. In settings where people keep track of their social accounts we are able to redefine concepts like account balance, yield curve and the law of diminishing returns. The model provides us with a …
In [1] we presented a model for transactions when goods are given away in the expectation of a later settlement. In settings where people keep track of their social accounts we were able to redefine concepts like account balance, yield curve and the law of diminishing returns. In this paper we establish a general equil…
In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be predicted effectively until 2009. We demonstrate this using two different profita…
The sheer scale of modern datasets has resulted in a dire need for summarization techniques that identify representative elements in a dataset. Fortunately, the vast majority of data summarization tasks satisfy an intuitive diminishing returns condition known as submodularity, which allows us to find nearly-optimal sol…
New method tackles online DR-submodular maximization with improved regret guarantees.
LIM enhances investment performance and efficiency at scale.
Study tests financial market efficiency using random number generator tests.
Increasing the batch size is a popular way to speed up neural network training, but beyond some critical batch size, larger batch sizes yield diminishing returns. In this work, we study how the critical batch size changes based on properties of the optimization algorithm, including acceleration and preconditioning, thr…
Diminishing-returns (DR) submodular optimization is an important field with many real-world applications in machine learning, economics and communication systems. It captures a subclass of non-convex optimization that provides both practical and theoretical guarantees. In this paper, we study the fundamental problem of…
A method to produce personalized classification models to automatically review online dating profiles on Tinder is proposed, based on the user's historical preference. The method takes advantage of a FaceNet facial classification model to extract features which may be related to facial attractiveness. The embeddings fr…
Gradient-based temporal difference (GTD) algorithms are widely used in off-policy learning scenarios. Among them, the two time-scale TD with gradient correction (TDC) algorithm has been shown to have superior performance. In contrast to previous studies that characterized the non-asymptotic convergence rate of TDC only…
DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.
Investigates optimal parameter allocation in Transformers for efficiency and expressivity.
BMM algorithm improves convergence for nonconvex optimization problems.
Imputation for prediction often offers limited benefits, especially with powerful models.
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely and successfully used for medical image segmentation. However, CNNs are typically considered to require large numbers of dedicated expert-segmented training volumes, which may be limiting in practice. This work investigates whether clinically obtained segmentations …
We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix onto a non-random vector. The scaling index models prices of the individual financial asse…
A new method speeds up deep neural network training.
Wealth redistribution through Fokker-Planck equation controls preserves Gini coefficient.
New algorithm offers costless model selection in contextual bandits.
LLMs can fail to maximize aligned values even after training, due to irrational reasoning.
A novel approach for safe offline RL using latent safety constraints.
Study shows optimal spectral gaps diminish in large genus surfaces.
A novel graphical matching approach improves pairs trading by reducing portfolio variance and risk-adjusted returns.
Study optimizes health incentives to balance efficiency and fairness.
This research improves DeFi interest rates using a PID control system.
We determine the critical batch size for large language models and find it scales with data size, not model size.
Nesterov SGD is widely used for training modern neural networks and other machine learning models. Yet, its advantages over SGD have not been theoretically clarified. Indeed, as we show in our paper, both theoretically and empirically, Nesterov SGD with any parameter selection does not in general provide acceleration o…
Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …
Progress in deep learning is slowed by the days or weeks it takes to train large models. The natural solution of using more hardware is limited by diminishing returns, and leads to inefficient use of additional resources. In this paper, we present a large batch, stochastic optimization algorithm that is both faster tha…
We propose methods for distributed graph-based multi-task learning that are based on weighted averaging of messages from other machines. Uniform averaging or diminishing stepsize in these methods would yield consensus (single task) learning. We show how simply skewing the averaging weights or controlling the stepsize a…