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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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171342513684 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for differential treatment effects

The paper introduces a privacy-preserving method for estimating treatment effects that maintains accuracy.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in sensitive data while protecting privacy.
method A general meta-algorithm for CATE estimation with differential privacy guarantees, using sample splitting and parallel composition.
result The meta-algorithm maintains accuracy even with differential privacy, showing that most accuracy loss is due to variance increase.

Study identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in confounded binary treatment outcomes.

problem Average causal effect estimation with a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
method Identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in the presence of a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
result Adjusting for a non-differentially mismeasured binary proxy can improve estimation of the average causal effect.

A new method corrects weight values to improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in high-dimensional data with sample selection bias.
method Differentiable Pareto-Smoothed Weighting (DPSW) framework.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in treatment effect estimation.

New measure captures differences across entire distributions of counterfactual outcomes.

problem Capturing differences across entire distributions of counterfactual outcomes.
method Entropic optimal transport measure, statistical functional, smooth transformation of embeddings.
result Established first-order and second-order pathwise differentiability.

The paper proposes a method to identify subgroups with different treatment effects in time-to-event data.

problem Identifying subgroups with differential treatment effects in time-to-event data.
method A mixture model with structured sparsity regularization and novel inference procedure.
result The method effectively recovers sparse phenotypes across real-world clinical studies.

New method disentangles latent factors for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data when confounders are not the only variables.
method Variational inference to disentangle latent factors into instrumental, confounding, and risk factors.
result The method improves treatment effect estimation accuracy on various datasets.

Estimates individualized treatment effects using shared RBF-net neurons.

problem Identifying differential treatment effects based on covariates.
method Non-parametric radial basis function (RBF)-nets with shared hidden neurons in a Bayesian framework.
result Demonstrated through simulations and real data, the method identifies interesting treatment effects.

New method estimates effects of multiple nutrients on blood glucose.

problem Estimating physiological response to multiple nutrient treatments.
method Convolution-based multi-output Gaussian process model.
result Improved prediction accuracy and better interpretation of individual nutrient effects.

Framework assesses treatment effects by risk groups in observational studies.

problem Evaluating treatment effects in observational studies with risk stratification.
method Five-step framework for risk-based assessment of treatment effect heterogeneity.
result Low-risk patients received negligible absolute benefits, while high-risk patients had pronounced effects.

Framework for discovering treatment benefits in user segments.

problem Discovering differential impacts of treatments across user subgroups.
method Combines causal inference and machine learning for user segment discovery.
result Unified approach for treatment benefit discovery and assignment.

Given two possible treatments, there may exist subgroups who benefit greater from one treatment than the other. This problem is relevant to the field of marketing, where treatments may correspond to different ways of selling a product. It is similarly relevant to the field of public policy, where treatments may corresp…

2016-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Differentially private synthetic control estimates treatment effects while protecting privacy.

problem Estimating treatment effects on sensitive data without revealing individual information.
method Combines non-private synthetic control and differentially private empirical risk minimization.
result Private synthetic control produces accurate predictions with minimal privacy cost.

Proposes a new method to estimate continuous treatment policies and match treatments effectively.

problem Current methods struggle with continuous treatment policies and complex matching.
method Formulates treatment effectiveness as a parametrizable model, using deep learning for optimization.
result Significant improvement in treatment effectiveness and matching efficiency.

Meta-learning improves CATE estimation from limited data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from scarce observational data.
method Meta-learning framework decomposes CATE estimation into sub-problems, using neural networks with shared and specific parameters, and optimizing task-specific parameters in closed form.
result Meta-learning method outperforms existing approaches in few-shot CATE estimation.

XTNet estimates complex cross-treatment effects in multi-category, multi-valued settings.

problem Challenges in estimating causal effects for multi-category, multi-valued treatments.
method Dynamic Neural Masking for capturing treatment interactions without restrictive assumptions.
result XTNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-category, multi-valued treatment effect estimation.

Estimates heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with a new method.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with general treatment patterns.
method Partition observations into clusters with similar treatment effects using a regression tree, then estimate average treatment effects for each cluster.
result Our method achieves superior accuracy compared to alternative approaches.

NICE model estimates causal effects for image treatments.

problem Challenges in causal effect estimation for multi-dimensional treatments.
method Proposes NICE model for image treatments, incorporating rich multidimensional information.
result NICE significantly outperforms existing models in estimating causal effects for image treatments.

ICA accurately estimates treatment effects even with confounders.

problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of confounding variables.
method Uses Independent Component Analysis (ICA) to identify latent sources and estimate mixing coefficients.
result Linear ICA can consistently estimate multiple treatment effects, even with Gaussian confounders, and is more sample-efficient than Orthogonal Machine Learning (OML).

Simulations of infectious disease spread have long been used to understand how epidemics evolve and how to effectively treat them. However, comparatively little attention has been paid to understanding the fairness implications of different treatment strategies -- that is, how might such strategies distribute the expec…

2019-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Method improves treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments.

problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments.
method Distributional regression framework with machine learning for variance reduction.
result The proposed method reduces variance of distributional treatment effect estimators.

The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, has many important applications, from precision medicine to recommender…

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel method to quantify aleatoric uncertainty of treatment effects from observational data.

problem Understanding randomness in treatment effects for medical treatments.
method Partial identification and Neyman-orthogonality to quantify aleatoric uncertainty.
result Developed a novel orthogonal learner (AU-learner) for quantifying aleatoric uncertainty.

GraphITE estimates individual effects of graph-structured treatments.

problem Estimating individual effects of complex treatment structures.
method Graph neural networks and Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion regularization.
result GraphITE outperforms baselines in estimating treatment effects for large numbers of treatments.

Dynamic treatment effects estimated over time using covariate balancing.

problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with dynamic treatments.
method Dynamic covariate balancing with potential local projections.
result Established inferential guarantees for the proposed method.

The paper compares methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using multiple randomized trials.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects reliably and precisely with a single dataset is challenging.
method Non-parametric approaches for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using data from multiple trials.
result Methods that directly allow for heterogeneity of the treatment effect across trials perform better than those that do not.

DONUT improves treatment effect estimation by enforcing orthogonality constraints.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging due to unobserved outcomes.
method DONUT uses a regularization framework that formalizes unconfoundedness as orthogonality, leading to deep orthogonal networks.
result DONUT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in estimating average treatment effects.

Bayesian approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in RDD designs.

problem Heterogeneity in treatment effects in RDD designs can lead to misleading conclusions.
method Direct Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for modeling heterogeneous treatment effects.
result Flexibly captures complicated structures of heterogeneous treatment effects as a function of covariates.

New method estimates treatment effects in network data, accounting for spillover effects.

problem Treatment effect estimation in networks with spillover effects.
method Augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) with cross-fitting and machine learning.
result Semiparametric treatment effect estimator converges at parametric rate and follows Gaussian distribution.

This study quantifies uncertainty in comparing treatments using RCTs with before-and-after measures.

problem Uncertainty in comparing treatments using RCTs with before-and-after measures.
method New statistical modeling principle called ETZ enables counterfactual uncertainty quantification (CUQ) in RCTs with Before-and-After Repeated Measures.
result CUQ typically has lower variability than factual uncertainty quantification and can be achieved in RCTs.

Optimizes treatment allocation in networks considering indirect effects.

problem Finding optimal treatment allocation in network settings with interference.
method OTAPI: Optimizing Treatment Allocation in the Presence of Interference, integrating causal estimators into IM algorithms.
result OTAPI outperforms classic IM and UM approaches on synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets.

New method estimates causal effects of multiple versions of treatment.

problem Ignoring multiple versions of treatment leads to biased causal effect estimates.
method Mixture-of-Experts framework for estimating version-specific causal effects.
result Effective method for estimating causal effects of latent versions.

Develops statistical inference for ML-discovered heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects in practical settings.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework, dividing sample into groups, estimating average treatment effects, constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid methodology for estimating and testing heterogeneous treatment effects without relying on ML algorithm properties.

Proposes a new method to analyze the distributional effects of treatments.

problem Analyzing the full distributional impact of treatments beyond just the mean.
method Uses kernel conditional mean embeddings and U-statistic regression to investigate the CoDiTE.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method through experiments.

Study tackles causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from entangled treatment data.

problem Estimating causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from observational data with entangled treatments.
method NEAT method that models treatment assignment mechanism and mitigates confounding biases.
result NEAT method effectively estimates causal effects from entangled treatment data.

Proposes a novel method to cluster individuals based on treatment effects.

problem Identifying subpopulations with different treatment responses.
method Clusters individuals using a learned kernel derived from causal forests, revealing latent subgroup structures.
result Captures meaningful treatment effect heterogeneity through kernelized clustering.

The paper uses neural networks to estimate treatment effects even with many confounders.

problem Estimating treatment effects with a growing number of confounders.
method General optimization framework using neural networks to approximate nuisance functions.
result Neural networks can handle a diverging number of confounders and alleviate the curse of dimensionality.

New method for robustly estimating treatment effects across different risk levels.

problem Missing risks and tail events in CATE, especially in aggregate analyses.
method Constructing a pseudo-outcome and regressing it on covariates using any regression learner.
result Robust and model-agnostic learning of conditional distributional treatment effects (CDTE).

The paper clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.

problem Confusion between CATE and ITE hinders personalized effect estimation.
method Clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
result CATE and ITE are not necessarily the same under ignorability assumptions.

This work addresses causal inference challenges in networked interference and proposes GNN-based estimators for individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects in randomized experiments with networked interference.
method Uses Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to capture network dependencies and derive causal effect estimators.
result Provides policy regret bounds and heuristic error bounds for GNN-based causal estimators under network interference and treatment capacity constraints.

Study evaluates machine learning for predicting treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Challenges in measuring treatment effects due to confounding bias in observational studies.
method Simulated two scenarios with and without confounding, using linear and non-linear relationships. Used machine learning models (linear regression, lasso regression, random forest) to predict counterfactuals and treatment effects.
result Machine learning models perform well under linearity but poorly under non-linearity, even in the presence of confounding.

New method learns unbiased treatment representations from structured high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured treatments.
method Contrastive learning approach to learn unbiased treatment representations.
result The method identifies causal factors and discards non-causal ones, leading to unbiased causal effect estimates.