FADO detects adversarial scenarios without stochastic methods.
problem Adversarial scenarios where stochastic methods are not applicable.
method Machine learning and online learning theory-based deterministic detection.
result FADO provides theoretical guarantees for detection performance.
Single deep model detects out-of-distribution data with single forward pass.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution data points in neural networks.
method Deterministic uncertainty quantification (DUQ) using gradient penalty for reliable detection.
result Single model outperforms or matches ensemble methods in out-of-distribution detection.
Bayesian Neural Networks improve OOD detection with limited data.
problem Limited training data hinders reliable OOD detection.
method Bayesian Neural Networks with expected logit vectors.
result Bayesian methods outperform deterministic methods in small data settings.
The paper presents a method for detecting jump sizes in crude oil prices.
problem Detecting jump sizes in crude oil price data.
method Sequential hypothesis testing using infinitesimal generators and super-solutions.
result The method improves the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model for derivative and commodity market analysis.
Combines machine learning and TDA for chatter detection in turning.
problem Chatter detection in machining processes using nonlinear delay differential equations.
method Supervised machine learning with Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to derive features from time series.
result 97% successful classification rate on deterministic turning models.
We present five methods to the problem of network anomaly detection. These methods cover most of the common techniques in the anomaly detection field, including Statistical Hypothesis Tests (SHT), Support Vector Machines (SVM) and clustering analysis. We evaluate all methods in a simulated network that consists of nomi…
Optimal alarms detect vehicle collisions with theoretical and empirical validation.
problem Detecting dangerous vehicle collisions in real-time.
method Surveyed and compared three classes of collision detection techniques: Monte Carlo, deterministic approximations, and machine learning.
result Monte Carlo sampling is a robust solution for real-time collision detection despite its simplicity.
This paper considers the problem of high dimensional signal detection in a large distributed network whose nodes can collaborate with their one-hop neighboring nodes (spatial collaboration). We assume that only a small subset of nodes communicate with the Fusion Center (FC). We design optimal collaboration strategies w…
SCNN improves video object detection speed by 178%.
problem Limited throughput in existing CNNs for video object detection.
method Proposes SCNN, a statistical CNN that processes correlated distributions.
result Achieves 178% speedup over existing CNNs for video object detection.
We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear relationship between the rate and the observed number of trades, the noise can either enha…
Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are extensively used for time-series modeling and prediction. We propose an approach for automatic construction of a binary classifier based on Long Short-Term Memory RNNs (LSTM-RNNs) for detection of a vehicle passage through a checkpoint. As an input to the classifier we use multidime…
Bayesian MoE framework improves LLMs' uncertainty detection.
problem Brittleness and overconfidence in deterministic routing of LLMs.
method Structured Bayesian routing in weight-space, logit-space, and selection-space.
result Significant improvements in routing stability, calibration, and OoD detection.
Bayesian layer improves image segmentation and out-of-distribution detection.
problem Outlier detection in image segmentation.
method Parameter-efficient hierarchical convolutional Gaussian Processes in Wasserstein-2 space.
result Uncertainty estimates improve out-of-distribution detection.
Meta learns low-rank covariance factors for better uncertainty estimation.
problem Sub-optimal covariance matrices in multi-task settings.
method Meta learns diagonal or diagonal plus low-rank factors using an attentive set encoder.
result Efficiently constructed task-specific covariance matrices improve uncertainty estimation.
Machine learning detects classical noise in quantum RNGs.
problem Classical noise compromises the randomness of quantum RNGs.
method Developed a machine learning model to analyze and detect correlations in QRNGs.
result Machine learning can identify and mitigate classical noise in QRNGs.
BayPrAnoMeta tackles few-shot industrial image anomaly detection with Bayesian methods.
problem Challenges in industrial image anomaly detection, especially class imbalance and scarcity of labeled samples.
method Bayesian Proto-MAML approach with probabilistic normality models and Bayesian posterior predictive likelihood.
result Consistent and significant AUROC improvements over existing methods in few-shot anomaly detection.
In this paper, we attack the anomaly detection problem by directly modeling the data distribution with deep architectures. We propose deep structured energy based models (DSEBMs), where the energy function is the output of a deterministic deep neural network with structure. We develop novel model architectures to integ…
The Infinite Relational Model (IRM) is a probabilistic model for relational data clustering that partitions objects into clusters based on observed relationships. This paper presents Averaged CVB (ACVB) solutions for IRM, convergence-guaranteed and practically useful fast Collapsed Variational Bayes (CVB) inferences. W…
Bayesian Gaussian Processes layer detects out-of-distribution data in medical imaging.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution data in medical imaging tasks.
method Parameter-efficient hierarchical convolutional Gaussian Processes in Wasserstein-2 space.
result Uncertainty estimates enable superior out-of-distribution detection compared to previous methods.
Plain vanilla K-means clustering has proven to be successful in practice, yet it suffers from outlier sensitivity and may produce highly unbalanced clusters. To mitigate both shortcomings, we formulate a joint outlier detection and clustering problem, which assigns a prescribed number of datapoints to an auxiliary outl…
This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior expectation as the optimal fusion rule under a deterministic constraint and a quad…
Categorical d-separation criterion simplifies probability graph analysis.
problem Detecting causal relationships in probability distributions.
method Introducing categorical definitions for causal models and d-separation.
result Abstract version of d-separation criterion applies to various probability theories.
Bayesian framework detects symmetries in chaotic dynamical systems.
problem Detecting symmetries in chaotic attractors for insights into dynamical system structure.
method Bayesian framework using Gibbs posterior constructed from Wasserstein distances.
result Bayesian framework accurately recovers symmetries under high noise and small sample sizes.
Proposes PSCs for UQ in deep nets without retraining.
problem Estimating uncertainty in deep nets with a single pass.
method Identifies sensitive, smooth intermediate layer, fits probabilistic model.
result PSCs achieve UQ and OOD detection performance matching existing methods.
Paper introduces a simple method to assign uncertainty in contrastive learning models.
problem Contrastive learning models lack uncertainty measures.
method Trains a deep network to assign uncertainty based on representation variance.
result Deep uncertainty model improves anomaly detection and out-of-distribution classification.
Proposes a new method for ensembling neural subnetworks.
problem Computational expense and limited flexibility of traditional deep ensembles.
method Sequential Bayesian neural subnetwork ensembling.
result Outperforms traditional ensembles in various metrics.
New method distinguishes stochastic from deterministic signals using excursion counts.
problem Distinguishing between stochastic and deterministic signals in discrete time series.
method Excursion and crossing theorems for continuous semimartingales, comparing empirical excursion counts to theoretical expectation.
result A robust data-driven diffusion test that classifies signals based on log-log slope deviation.
EagleEye detects localized density anomalies in multivariate data.
problem Identifying signal events, regime changes, or model mismatch in scientific data.
method EagleEye pinpoints local over- and under-densities by assigning anomaly scores based on binary membership sequences and binomial null models.
result EagleEye can detect genuine local anomalies and estimate background purity.
An Ensemble Anomaly Detection Framework for Risk Calculation Integrity
problem Detecting errors in risk valuation outputs
method Ensemble Quality Assessment Framework (EQAF)
result Achieves F1 scores of 61-79% across four datasets
PFP-BNNs offer a fast, deterministic approach to Bayesian neural networks.
problem Limited uncertainty handling in traditional neural networks restricts their use in safety-critical settings.
method Probabilistic Forward Pass (PFP) approximates Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) for efficient BNNs.
result PFP-BNNs achieve up to 4200x speedup over SVI-BNNs while maintaining similar accuracy and uncertainty.
New algorithms reduce query and round complexity for learning graphs with edge-detecting queries.
problem Learning a general graph using edge-detecting queries with reduced complexity.
method Two new algorithms: one for unknown m m m (O(1) rounds, O ( m log n + m log 2 n ) O(m\log n+\sqrt{m}\log^2 n) O ( m log n + m log 2 n ) queries) and another for O ( m log n ) O(m\log n) O ( m log n ) queries (O(log* n) rounds). For known m m m , two Monte Carlo algorithms with O ( m 4 / 3 log n ) O(m^{4/3}\log n) O ( m 4/3 log n ) and O ( m log n ) O(m\log n) O ( m log n ) queries, and a 3 3 3 -round Monte Carlo algorithm with O ( m log n ) O(m\log n) O ( m log n ) queries. result Reduced query and round complexity for graph learning.
BoC probe assesses neural network confidence coherence, revealing architecture-specific uncertainty.
problem Poor calibration and OOD detection in neural networks.
method Bag-of-Coins (BoC) probe compares softmax confidence to pairwise dominance probabilities.
result BoC reveals clear ID/OOD separation for some architectures but not others.
New method detects changes in high-dimensional data from small samples.
problem Detecting changes in high-dimensional data with limited samples.
method Angular kernel scan framework for detecting marginal distributional shifts.
result Exact population mean factorization and asymptotically distribution-free test.
Proposes a new method to quantify uncertainty in neural network predictions.
problem Uncertainty in neural network predictions, especially in classification tasks.
method Explicit modeling of prediction uncertainty using subjective logic and Dirichlet distributions.
result Improved uncertainty estimation, leading to better performance on out-of-distribution queries and adversarial perturbations.
Developed mlf-core for deterministic machine learning.
problem Ensuring machine learning models are deterministic for verification.
method Formulated requirements, developed mlf-core ecosystem, tested various models.
result Demonstrated deterministic models in biomedical fields.
Self-supervised VAEs improve data compression and generation.
problem Efficient data compression and generation.
method Introducing self-supervised Variational Auto-Encoders with deterministic and discrete variational posteriors.
result Self-supervised VAEs simplify the objective function and improve data reconstruction.
Study on regret minimization in deterministic MDPs.
problem Minimizing regret in deterministic reinforcement learning.
method Logarithmic regret lower bounds, leveraging graph theory and cycles.
result Explicitly quantifies the fundamental limit of performance achievable by any learning algorithm.
mmFall detects falls using mmWave radar and a hybrid VRAE, achieving high accuracy.
problem Detecting falls accurately and privately using mmWave radar.
method Uses mmWave radar for body point cloud and centroid, combined with a hybrid VRAE for anomaly detection.
result Achieves 98% fall detection with 2 false alarms out of 50 falls.
Approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) offers the promise of more rapid sampling at the cost of more biased inference. Since standard MCMC diagnostics fail to detect these biases, researchers have developed computable Stein discrepancy measures that provably determine the convergence of a sample to its target dist…
Optimal search for change point anomaly in multiple processes.
problem Detecting a change point in an anomalous process among multiple normal processes.
method Deterministic search algorithm balancing sample complexity and detection accuracy.
result Asymptotically optimal in minimizing Bayes risk.
Framework classifies urban congestion into recurrent and non-recurrent types.
problem Classifying urban congestion into recurrent and non-recurrent types.
method Real-time distributed classification using VANET on a heterogeneous urban road network.
result Predictive accuracy of 89.17% for the boosting technique.
CLSVAE repairs systematic errors in images with minimal labeled data.
problem Repairing systematic errors in data, especially in images.
method CLSVAE models inliers as a smaller latent space representation, separating inlier and outlier patterns.
result CLSVAE achieves superior repairs with less than 2% labeled data, outperforming other methods.
Paper improves reinforcement learning efficiency with deterministic value gradients.
problem High sample complexity in model-free DDPG algorithms for continuous control tasks.
method Proposes DVG and DVPG algorithms with infinite horizon value gradients to improve sample efficiency.
result DVPG algorithm substantially outperforms state-of-the-art methods on continuous control benchmarks.
PDMP samplers improve Bayesian PDE coefficient inference.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference in non-linear inverse problems with expensive likelihoods.
method Piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) with surrogate-assisted thinning.
result PDMP samplers achieve higher accuracy and efficiency than traditional methods.
CGAN fails to improve deterministic sequence predictions, revealing a theoretical limitation.
problem Improving deterministic sequence predictions with CGAN.
method Developed an adversarial content loss approach.
result CGAN does not improve deterministic sequence predictions.
Improved uncertainty estimation in neural networks with VBLL.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
method Deterministic variational formulation for training Bayesian last layer neural networks.
result Improves predictive accuracy, calibration, and out-of-distribution detection.
Counterfactual learning improves SMT by smoothing out deterministic logs.
problem Deterministic logging limits exploration in SMT systems.
method Additive and multiplicative control variates to smooth out deterministic components.
result Improvements of up to 2 BLEU points achieved through counterfactual learning.
Paper combines deterministic and stochastic inference methods for PGMs.
problem Combining biases from deterministic methods and high costs from Monte Carlo.
method Sequential Monte Carlo algorithm that uses output from deterministic approximations.
result Improves upon deterministic methods and Monte Carlo by reducing biases and computational costs.