A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper introduces VDE, a variance-reduced determinant estimator.
Estimates for polynomial operators using determinant majorization and subharmonics.
The scalable calculation of matrix determinants has been a bottleneck to the widespread application of many machine learning methods such as determinantal point processes, Gaussian processes, generalised Markov random fields, graph models and many others. In this work, we estimate log determinants under the framework o…
Novel algorithm speeds up log-determinant estimation for large matrices.
The log-determinant of a kernel matrix appears in a variety of machine learning problems, ranging from determinantal point processes and generalized Markov random fields, through to the training of Gaussian processes. Exact calculation of this term is often intractable when the size of the kernel matrix exceeds a few t…
We present a new trace estimator of the matrix whose explicit form is not given but its matrix multiplication to a vector is available. The form of the estimator is similar to the Hutchison stochastic trace estimator, but instead of the random noise vectors in Hutchison estimator, we use small number of probing vectors…
Nanowire field-effect sensors have recently been developed for label-free detection of biomolecules. In this work, we introduce a computational technique based on Bayesian estimation to determine the physical parameters of the sensor and, more importantly, the properties of the analyte molecules. To that end, we first …
We survey some tools and techniques for determining geometric properties of a link complement from a link diagram. In particular, we survey the tools used to estimate geometric invariants in terms of basic diagrammatic link invariants. We focus on determining when a link is hyperbolic, estimating its volume, and boundi…
Paper improves efficiency in matrix computations for Gaussian processes.
Study recovers spike order in noisy tensor estimation without SNR assumptions.
Study shows stability of Schrödinger operator spectral data on a manifold.
Two methods estimate effect size for online experiments, improving accuracy and efficiency.
One challenge impeding the analysis of terabyte scale x-ray scattering data from the Linac Coherent Light Source LCLS, is determining the number of clusters required for the execution of traditional clustering algorithms. Here we demonstrate that previous work using bi-cross validation (BCV) to determine the number of …
Profile entropy measures learnability and compressibility of discrete distributions.
The method of covariate adjustment is often used for estimation of population average treatment effects in observational studies. Graphical rules for determining all valid covariate adjustment sets from an assumed causal graphical model are well known. Restricting attention to causal linear models, a recent article der…
New method estimates log-determinant using trace powers, avoiding classical limitations.
New proofs confirm travel time data determine simple metrics on a disc.
A probabilistic query may not be estimable from observed data corrupted by missing values if the data are not missing at random (MAR). It is therefore of theoretical interest and practical importance to determine in principle whether a probabilistic query is estimable from missing data or not when the data are not MAR.…
A spin model is used for simulations of financial markets. To determine return volatility in the spin financial market we use the GARCH model often used for volatility estimation in empirical finance. We apply the Bayesian inference performed by the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to the parameter estimation of the GAR…
A new clustering method uses nonparametric smoothing to estimate cluster membership functions.
We consider a discrete-time approximation of paths of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as a mean for estimation of a price of European call option in the model of financial market with stochastic volatility. The Euler--Maruyama approximation scheme is implemented. We determine the estimates for the option price for prede…
Selective imputation improves treatment effect estimation from missing data.
The contour map of estimation error of Expected Shortfall (ES) is constructed. It allows one to quantitatively determine the sample size (the length of the time series) required by the optimization under ES of large institutional portfolios for a given size of the portfolio, at a given confidence level and a given esti…
This work concerns estimation of multidimensional nonlinear regression models using multilayer perceptron (MLP). The main problem with such model is that we have to know the covariance matrix of the noise to get optimal estimator. however we show that, if we choose as cost function the logarithm of the determinant of t…
A common strategy for sparse linear regression is to introduce regularization, which eliminates irrelevant features by letting the corresponding weights be zeros. However, regularization often shrinks the estimator for relevant features, which leads to incorrect feature selection. Motivated by the above-mentioned issue…
In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is unknown, the database is sparse, and therefore special tail models are used. Very often…
This article addresses the modeling of reverberant recording environments in the context of under-determined convolutive blind source separation. We model the contribution of each source to all mixture channels in the time-frequency domain as a zero-mean Gaussian random variable whose covariance encodes the spatial cha…
Study shows continuity of non-orientable surface determination from Dirichlet-to-Neumann map.
We define barycentric coordinates on a Riemannian manifold using Karcher's center of mass technique applied to point masses for n+1 sufficiently close points, determining an n-dimensional Riemannian simplex defined as a "Karcher simplex." Specifically, a set of weights is mapped to the Riemannian center of mass for the…
Paper calculates loan loss after default using Bayesian model.
A novel dose-finding design for cancer clinical trials using level set estimation.
This paper presents approaches to determine a network based pricing for 3D printing services in the context of a two-sided manufacturing-as-a-service marketplace. The intent is to provide cost analytics to enable service bureaus to better compete in the market by moving away from setting ad-hoc and subjective prices. A…
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to automatically determine the batch size in stochastic gradient descent methods. The choice of the batch size induces a trade-off between the accuracy of the gradient estimate and the cost in terms of samples of each update. We propose to determine the batch size by optimizin…
Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown parameters and to account for the parameter uncertainty in the decision process. Most oft…
Improved volume estimates for right-angled polyhedra in hyperbolic space.
In this paper, we study the curvature estimate of the Hermitian-Yang-Mills flow on holomorphic vector bundles. In one simple case, we show that the curvature of the evolved Hermitian metric is uniformly bounded away from the analytic subvariety determined by the Harder-Narasimhan-Seshadri filtration of the holomorphic …
KMRCD detects outliers in non-elliptical data using kernel trick.
The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate description of price trends as being clearly positive, negative or ranging while acc…
Optimizes dimension estimate for holomorphic functions on Kähler manifolds.
This paper presents a novel formulation and solution of orbit determination over finite time horizons as a learning problem. We present an approach to orbit determination under very broad conditions that are satisfied for n-body problems. These weak conditions allow us to perform orbit determination with noisy and high…
EASE estimator improves probabilistic value estimation efficiency.
Paper tackles measure estimation in barycentric coding model.
Independent component analysis (ICA) decomposes multivariate data into mutually independent components (ICs). The ICA model is subject to a constraint that at most one of these components is Gaussian, which is required for model identifiability. Linear non-Gaussian component analysis (LNGCA) generalizes the ICA model t…
The paper introduces Shapley curves for measuring variable importance in nonparametric settings.
Optimal Poincaré constant estimates on manifolds with ends.
Paper reveals how minimal surfaces' volumes can deduce their Riemannian structure.
We test whether the futures prices of some commodity and energy markets are determined by stochastic rules or exhibit nonlinear deterministic endogenous fluctuations. As for the methodologies, we use the maximal Lyapunov exponents (MLE) and a determinism test, both based on the reconstruction of the phase space. In par…
We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research considered the problem of determining if two finite samples come from similar distributio…