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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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105209314418 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for detection guarantees

Paper develops an algorithm with PAC guarantees for detecting alien categories.

problem Detecting alien categories not seen in training data reliably.
method Develops an algorithm with PAC-style guarantees for alien detection under known upper bounds on alien fraction.
result Empirical results show the algorithm's effectiveness in detecting aliens.

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

SONAR improves outlier detection for streaming data with strong theoretical guarantees.

problem Outlier detection for non-stationary streaming data with high Type I/II errors.
method SONAR is an efficient SGD-based OCSVM solver with strong convex regularization and lifelong learning guarantees.
result SONAR outperforms traditional OCSVM in Type I/II error rates under non-stationary data.

The paper provides theoretical guarantees for neural network-based anomaly detection.

problem Theoretical guarantees for unsupervised neural network-based anomaly detection.
method Casting anomaly detection as a binary classification problem, establishing non-asymptotic upper bounds and convergence rates.
result The convergence rate on the excess risk matches the minimax optimal rate.

Paper introduces detect-then-impute conformal prediction for cellwise outliers.

problem Uncertainty in prediction intervals for models with cellwise outliers.
method Detects outliers, imputes them, and constructs exchangeable features for conformal prediction.
result JDI-CP achieves a finite sample 12α1-2\alpha coverage guarantee.

Paper tackles outlier detection in signals modeled by generative models with theoretical guarantees.

problem Recovering signals from linear measurements with sparse outliers.
method Proposes an iterative ADMM algorithm and gradient descent algorithm for outlier detection using 1\ell_1 and squared 1\ell_1 norm minimization.
result Establishes theoretical recovery guarantees for signal reconstruction under sparse outliers.

This paper offers a distribution-free method for post-detection changepoint localization.

problem Locating the exact time of a change in distribution after a sequential detection procedure.
method A distribution-free framework using conformal test martingales for sequential change detection and post-detection inference.
result Valid post-detection coverage guarantees and non-asymptotic bounds on confidence set size.

MEMGAN uses memory to improve anomaly detection by isolating abnormal data.

problem Weak guarantees for detecting anomalous data in classical algorithms.
method Memory-augmented Generative Adversarial Networks (MEMGAN) with a memory module.
result MEMGAN provides strong guarantees for anomaly detection with improved reconstruction.

Reduces change detection to estimation using confidence sequences.

problem Detecting changes in data streams with minimal delay and false alarms.
method Reduction from sequential change detection to sequential estimation using confidence sequences.
result Change detection scheme with minimal structural assumptions and strong guarantees.

Unified framework improves spectral graph clustering with generative community models.

problem Combining model-based and model-free approaches for robust community detection.
method SGC-GEN: Combines SGC with GENerative community models for theoretical and practical improvements.
result SGC-GEN provides theoretical guarantees and superior performance in community detection.

RCGAN improves anomaly detection by better recognizing anomalous samples.

problem Previous methods fail to correctly detect anomalous data.
method RCGAN uses adversarial training with a new loss function and penalty distribution.
result RCGAN outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various datasets.

Paper proposes a generative model approach for outlier detection in signals.

problem Recovering signals from compressed measurements with sparse outliers.
method Iterative ADMM and gradient descent algorithms for 1\ell_1 and squared 1\ell_1 norm minimization.
result Established recovery guarantees for generative models in the presence of outliers.

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

AdaDetectGPT improves text authorship detection with statistical guarantees.

problem Determining if text is authored by a human or an LLM.
method Adaptive learning of a witness function from training data to enhance logits-based detectors.
result AdaDetectGPT nearly uniformly improves text authorship detection, with up to 37% improvement.

Improves community detection in directed networks with theoretical guarantees.

problem Degree heterogeneity affects community detection in directed networks.
method Introduced D-SCORE algorithm and established theoretical guarantees for Directed-DCBM.
result Established theoretical guarantees and provided improvements for D-SCORE.

Algorithm speeds up search for stationary targets with guaranteed accuracy.

problem Minimize search time while ensuring high detection accuracy of stationary targets.
method Multi-fidelity Gaussian process model and EMTS algorithm.
result Guaranteed performance in target detection accuracy and search time.

A new principle and method improve out-of-distribution detection in generative models.

problem Out-of-distribution detection in deep generative models often fails due to poor likelihood estimates.
method Introducing the Likelihood Path (LPath) principle and new theoretical tools for OOD detection.
result Non-asymptotic provable OOD detection guarantees for variational autoencoders (VAEs).

Community detection is the task of detecting hidden communities from observed interactions. Guaranteed community detection has so far been mostly limited to models with non-overlapping communities such as the stochastic block model. In this paper, we remove this restriction, and provide guaranteed community detection f…

2013-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

PAD offers a principled approach to malware detection against evasion attacks.

problem Machine Learning techniques for malware detection are vulnerable to evasion attacks.
method PAD proposes a new adversarial training framework with convergence guarantees for robust optimization.
result PAD significantly outperforms state-of-the-art defenses and can harden ML-based malware detection against 27 evasion attacks.

C-PP-COAD detects anomalies with limited real data, reducing dependency on real calibration data.

problem Limited real calibration data for online anomaly detection.
method Context-aware prediction-powered conformal online anomaly detection (C-PP-COAD).
result Significantly reduces dependency on real calibration data without compromising FDR control.

TADA detects anomalies in time series using topological data analysis.

problem Detecting global changes in dependency structure between channels in multivariate time series.
method Topological Data Analysis for detecting anomalies in multivariate time series.
result The approach is more suitable for detecting global changes of correlation structures than existing methods.

New method reduces inventory inaccuracies by 10x, saving retailers 4% annually.

problem Inaccurate inventory records cost retailers 4% annually, and manual detection is impractical.
method Proposes a new anomaly detection method for low-rank Poisson matrices using cross-sectional data.
result Our approach reduces anomaly detection costs by up to 10x compared to existing methods.

Paper aims to ensure reliable detection of out-of-distribution data with certifiable worst-case guarantees.

problem Deep neural networks are overconfident with OOD inputs, posing safety risks.
method Enforces low confidence and bounds in an ll_\infty-ball around OOD points using interval bound propagation (IBP).
result Certifiable worst-case guarantees for OOD detection are possible without significant loss in accuracy.

This work proposes using Conformal Prediction to improve OOD detection scores and vice versa.

problem Improper evaluation of OOD detection scores due to finite sample size.
method Defining new conformal AUROC and FRP@TPR95 metrics and using OOD scores as non-conformity scores.
result Improved evaluation metrics and better interpretation of OOD scores.

The paper develops robust tests for detecting independence in synchronous stochastic systems with finite sample guarantees.

problem Detecting independence in synchronous stochastic systems with finite sample guarantees.
method Combines confidence region estimates with permutation tests and dependence measures to detect nonlinear dependence.
result Consistent hypothesis tests for detecting independence under mild assumptions.

Optimal alarms detect vehicle collisions with theoretical and empirical validation.

problem Detecting dangerous vehicle collisions in real-time.
method Surveyed and compared three classes of collision detection techniques: Monte Carlo, deterministic approximations, and machine learning.
result Monte Carlo sampling is a robust solution for real-time collision detection despite its simplicity.

Two-step conformal prediction method for adaptive bounding box uncertainties in multi-object detection.

problem Quantifying predictive uncertainty for multi-object detection in safety-critical applications.
method Developed a two-step conformal prediction approach to propagate uncertainty in predicted class labels into bounding box uncertainties, ensuring coverage for incorrectly classified objects.
result Desired coverage levels are satisfied with practically tight predictive uncertainty intervals on real-world datasets.

ZDP detects drift in large language models without labels, proving key theorems and metrics.

problem Detecting drift in large language models without task labels or output evaluations.
method Zero-Direction Probing (ZDP) framework based on null directions of transformer activations, proving theoretical guarantees.
result Proves the Variance--Leak Theorem, Fisher Null-Conservation, Rank--Leak bound, and logarithmic-regret guarantee.

PITMonitor monitors model calibration over time with formal error guarantees.

problem Fixed-sample tests applied to models over time can lead to false alarms.
method PITMonitor uses mixture e-processes to detect distributional shifts in probability integral transforms.
result PITMonitor achieves competitive detection rates on river's FriedmanDrift benchmark.

Post-detection analysis identifies responsible coordinates for multivariate change-points.

problem Identifying which coordinates in multivariate time series change after a detected change-point.
method Two-sample testing procedures with nonparametric tests for Type I error control.
result Strong performance of proposed post hoc statistical procedures.

Research shows deep generative models' likelihoods are unreliable for anomaly detection.

problem Anomaly detection using deep generative models' likelihoods is unreliable.
method Examined the behavior of distribution densities through reparametrization.
result The likelihoods used for anomaly detection rely on strong and implicit hypotheses.

Conformal prediction improves signal detection accuracy in railway images.

problem Improving the reliability of machine learning models for railway signal detection.
method Applying conformal prediction to a novel dataset of train operator perspective images.
result The approach enhances the reliability of machine learning models for detecting railway signals.

Decentralized detection avoids sharing data, controls false discoveries.

problem Global false discovery rate control in decentralized novelty detection.
method Quantized surrogate models for low-precision sharing, preserving exchangeability.
result Quantized composite scores maintain competitive statistical power with reduced communication.

seMCD computes depth functions with statistical guarantees using sequential Monte Carlo.

problem Computing depth functions is computationally challenging, especially in high dimensions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo methodology with theoretical and empirical guarantees.
result The seMCD method provides accurate depth approximations with fewer samples than traditional methods.