Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

101202303404 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for derived series

We give new information about the relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its derived series. This yields information about how the low-dimensional homology of a topological space constrains its fundamental group. Applications are given to detecting when a set of elements of a group generates a…

2006-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In 1964, John Stallings established an important relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its lower central series. We establish a similar relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its derived series. We also define a torsion-free-solvable completion of a group that is ana…

2004-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The virtual Betti number conjecture states that any hyperbolic three-manifold has a finite cover with positive first Betti number. We show that this would follow if it were known that the derived series of the fundamental group GG of a hyperbolic three-manifold satisfies a certain stability property. The stability pro…

2003-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove that groups that are mod-p-homology equivalent are isomorphic modulo any term of their derived p-series, in precise analogy to Stallings' 1963 result for the lower-central p-series. Similarly spaces that are mod-p-homology equivalent have fundamental groups that are isomorphic modulo any term of their p-derive…

2007-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Discrete commensurators of certain subgroups of PSL2(R) proven.

problem Proving discreteness of commensurators of specific subgroups of PSL2(R).
method Analyzing commensurators of terms of the lower central series or derived series of finite index normal subgroups of PSL2(Z).
result The commensurator of a specific term of the lower central series or derived series of a subgroup is discrete.

We derive analytic series representations for European option prices in polynomial stochastic volatility models. This includes the Jacobi, Heston, Stein-Stein, and Hull-White models, for which we provide numerical case studies. We find that our polynomial option price series expansion performs as efficiently and accura…

2017-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A new clustering method for vector time series using autoregressive dynamics.

problem Clustering of vector time series based on their dynamics is challenging.
method System identification approach using mixture autoregressive models.
result Developed a computationally manageable algorithm k-LMVAR for clustering vector time series.

New formula and properties of inverted Habiro series derived from GM series.

problem Understanding and manipulating knot invariants using series expansions.
method Developed a new formula for the inverted Habiro series (IHS) in terms of GM series and theta functions. Proved a multiplication formula for IHS.
result Established a natural ring structure for IHS and studied its residues, applying them to Dehn surgery formulas.

Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily account for explanatory variables and share statistical strength across groups of rela…

2014-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

NEMoTS improves time series analysis by deriving efficient, interpretable models.

problem Lack of comprehensive understanding and insightful explanations in time series analysis.
method Neural-enhanced Monte-Carlo Tree Search (NEMoTS) for symbolic regression.
result NEMoTS provides efficient and interpretable models for time series analysis.

We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a volatility proxy, based on which we propose new measures of volatility dependence…

2017-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural ODEs simplified using Chen-Fliess series for Rademacher complexity analysis.

problem Analyzing the complexity of neural ODE models.
method Using Chen-Fliess series to frame neural ODEs as infinite-width nets, where weights are signature of control input and features are Lie derivatives.
result Derived compact expressions for the Rademacher complexity of ODE models.

In this paper, we consider formal series associated with events, profiles derived from events, and statistical models that make predictions about events. We prove theorems about realizations for these formal series using the language and tools of Hopf algebras.

2009-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified and simplified signature method for multivariate time series.

problem Challenging application of signature method due to its flexibility.
method Generalised signature method unifying various techniques.
result Competitive performance against benchmarks for multivariate time series classification.

In this paper we derive a generating series for the number of cellular complexes known as pavings or three-dimensional maps, on nn darts, thus solving an analogue of Tutte's problem in dimension three. The generating series we derive also counts free subgroups of index nn in $Δ^+ = \mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z…

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Valid inference method for DTW distance for abnormal time-series detection.

problem Statistical inference on DTW distance under uncertain conditions.
method Conditional selective inference framework to derive valid p-values.
result First method to provide valid p-values for DTW distance.

We solve for functions from their truncated Hilbert transforms using Chebyshev series.

problem Finding functions from their truncated Hilbert transforms.
method Express functions in Chebyshev series and numerically estimate coefficients.
result Numerical methods work well for extrapolating functions from truncated Hilbert transforms.

This paper extends AD techniques to Monte Carlo processes for efficient derivative calculation.

problem Obtaining derivatives of expectation values in Monte Carlo processes.
method Two approaches: reweighting and Hamiltonian extension of HMC.
result Hamiltonian approach as a change of variables simplifies variance reduction.

Aimed at geometric applications, we prove the homology cobordism invariance of the L2L^2-betti numbers and L2L^2-signature defects associated to the class of amenable groups lying in Strebel's class D(R)D(R), which includes some interesting infinite/finitenon-torsion-free groups. The proofs include the only prior known c…

2009-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we derive a series expansion for the price of a continuously sampled arithmetic Asian option in the Black-Scholes setting. The expansion is based on polynomials that are orthogonal with respect to the log-normal distribution. All terms in the series are fully explicit and no numerical integration nor any …

2018-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper compares neural networks and time-series models for weather derivative pricing.

problem Pricing accuracy and regime adaptation for temperature and precipitation weather derivatives.
method Benchmarked harmonic-regression/ARMA vs. feed-forward neural network for temperature. Used CNN for precipitation, adapting to seasonal heterogeneity.
result CNN yields more accurate pricing, especially for regime-adapted seasonal data.

Paper analyzes Nyström regularization for time series forecasting with sequential sub-sampling.

problem Learning rate analysis of Nyström regularization for ττ-mixing time series.
method Banach-valued Bernstein inequality and integral operator approach for ττ-mixing sequences.
result Almost optimal learning rates for Nyström regularization with sequential sub-sampling.

In this report, we derive a non-negative series expansion for the Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) between two probability distributions. This series expansion is shown to be useful for numerical calculations of the JSD, when the probability distributions are nearly equal, and for which, consequently, small numerical er…

2008-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers derive qq-series for SO(3)SO(3) and OSp(12)OSp(1|2) groups.

problem Deriving qq-series for SO(3)SO(3) and OSp(12)OSp(1|2) groups.
method Change of variable relating SU(2)SU(2) link invariants to SO(3)SO(3) and OSp(12)OSp(1|2) link invariants.
result Explicit qq-series for SO(3)SO(3) and OSp(12)OSp(1|2) groups.

We review statistical properties of models generated by the application of a (positive and negative order) fractional derivative operator to a standard random walk and show that the resulting stochastic walks display slowly-decaying autocorrelation functions. The relation between these correlated walks and the well-kno…

2008-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Innovative series invariant for knot complements, linking to existing invariants.

problem Developing a new series invariant for knot complements.
method Introducing a three-variable series FK(y,z,q)F_K(y,z,q) for plumbed knot complements.
result Deriving a surgery formula relating FK(y,z,q)F_K(y,z,q) to Z^(q)\hat{Z}(q) invariant.

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our approach is based on a neural network (NN) that is applied to raw financial dat…

2017-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper, sixth in a series of eight, uses the geometric calculus on manifolds developed in previous papers of the series to introduce through the concept of a metric extensor field g a metric structure for a smooth manifold M. The associated Christoffel operators, a notable decomposition of that object and the assoc…

2005-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.

problem Early prediction of disk drive failure using multivariate time series sensor data.
method Enriched features derived from sensor data through transformations, combined with ensemble learning and deep neural network architecture.
result Significantly improved classification accuracy in predicting disk drive failure.

A new SVM method for predicting time series labels.

problem Learning to predict labels from high-dimensional time series data.
method Extended SVM concept to continuous time series data, formulated as a convex optimization problem.
result Empirical results show the algorithm's effectiveness for analyzing long-term multivariate data.

Paper introduces a new method for classifying interval-valued time series.

problem Classification of interval-valued time series.
method Extends point-valued time series imaging methods to interval-valued scenarios using DKD_K-distance and employs deep learning for classification.
result Proposed method achieves superior classification performance compared to existing methods.

New method for PKM inverse dynamics second derivatives efficiently.

problem Efficient computation of PKM inverse dynamics second derivatives.
method Recursive Lie-group formulation for serial robots adapted to PKM topology.
result Efficient computation of second time derivatives for PKM.

CausalTime generates realistic time-series for TSCD evaluation.

problem Lack of realistic synthetic datasets for TSCD performance evaluation.
method Harnessing deep neural networks and normalizing flow for dynamics, extracting causal graphs, and deriving ground truth causal graphs.
result Generated datasets accurately reflect real data and ground truth causal graphs.