We determine the lower central and derived series of the n-string braid groups B_n(RP^2) of the real projective plane. We are motivated in part by the study of Fadell-Neuwirth short exact sequences, but the problem is interesting in its own right. For n=1,2, B_n(RP^2) is finite and its lower central and derived series …
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We give new information about the relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its derived series. This yields information about how the low-dimensional homology of a topological space constrains its fundamental group. Applications are given to detecting when a set of elements of a group generates a…
In 1964, John Stallings established an important relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its lower central series. We establish a similar relationship between the low-dimensional homology of a group and its derived series. We also define a torsion-free-solvable completion of a group that is ana…
The virtual Betti number conjecture states that any hyperbolic three-manifold has a finite cover with positive first Betti number. We show that this would follow if it were known that the derived series of the fundamental group of a hyperbolic three-manifold satisfies a certain stability property. The stability pro…
We prove that groups that are mod-p-homology equivalent are isomorphic modulo any term of their derived p-series, in precise analogy to Stallings' 1963 result for the lower-central p-series. Similarly spaces that are mod-p-homology equivalent have fundamental groups that are isomorphic modulo any term of their p-derive…
Let M be a compact surface, either orientable or non-orientable. We study the lower central and derived series of the braid and pure braid groups of M in order to determine the values of n for which B\_n(M) and P\_n(M) are residually nilpotent or residually soluble. First, we solve this problem for the case where M is …
Discrete commensurators of certain subgroups of PSL2(R) proven.
We derive analytic series representations for European option prices in polynomial stochastic volatility models. This includes the Jacobi, Heston, Stein-Stein, and Hull-White models, for which we provide numerical case studies. We find that our polynomial option price series expansion performs as efficiently and accura…
Derives a series expansion for Asian option pricing with polynomial jump-diffusion moments.
A new clustering method for vector time series using autoregressive dynamics.
New formula and properties of inverted Habiro series derived from GM series.
New kernels boost RNN performance on non-time-series data.
New cobordism invariants derived from BPS q-series.
Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily account for explanatory variables and share statistical strength across groups of rela…
NEMoTS improves time series analysis by deriving efficient, interpretable models.
We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a volatility proxy, based on which we propose new measures of volatility dependence…
We extend existing models in the financial literature by introducing a cluster-derived canonical vine (CDCV) copula model for capturing high dimensional dependence between financial time series. This model utilises a simplified market-sector vine copula framework similar to those introduced by Heinen and Valdesogo (200…
Neural ODEs simplified using Chen-Fliess series for Rademacher complexity analysis.
New Bailey pairs derived for tetrahedron index, linking knot invariants.
In this paper, we consider formal series associated with events, profiles derived from events, and statistical models that make predictions about events. We prove theorems about realizations for these formal series using the language and tools of Hopf algebras.
Unified and simplified signature method for multivariate time series.
In this paper we derive a generating series for the number of cellular complexes known as pavings or three-dimensional maps, on darts, thus solving an analogue of Tutte's problem in dimension three. The generating series we derive also counts free subgroups of index in $Δ^+ = \mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z}_2*\mathbb{Z…
Valid inference method for DTW distance for abnormal time-series detection.
In this short note we prove that the Farrell-Jones Fibered Isomorphism Conjecture in L-theory, after inverting 2, is true for a group whose some derived subgroup is free.
With the -family of cyclic triangulations we introduce a rich class of vertex-transitive triangulations of surfaces. In particular, there are infinite series of cyclic -equivelar triangulations of orientable and non-orientable surfaces for every , , and every , . Series of cy…
The article derives a novel Gram-Charlier A (GCA) Series based Extended Rule-of-Thumb (ExROT) for bandwidth selection in Kernel Density Estimation (KDE). There are existing various bandwidth selection rules achieving minimization of the Asymptotic Mean Integrated Square Error (AMISE) between the estimated probability d…
In this paper, we show that the price of an European call option, whose underlying asset price is driven by the space-time fractional diffusion, can be expressed in terms of rapidly convergent double-series. The series formula can be obtained from the Mellin-Barnes representation of the option price with help of residu…
We derive the exact form of the eigenvalue spectra of correlation matrices derived from a set of time-shifted, finite Brownian random walks (time-series). These matrices can be seen as random, real, asymmetric matrices with a special structure superimposed due to the time-shift. We demonstrate that the associated eigen…
We solve for functions from their truncated Hilbert transforms using Chebyshev series.
This paper extends AD techniques to Monte Carlo processes for efficient derivative calculation.
Aimed at geometric applications, we prove the homology cobordism invariance of the -betti numbers and -signature defects associated to the class of amenable groups lying in Strebel's class , which includes some interesting infinite/finitenon-torsion-free groups. The proofs include the only prior known c…
In this paper we derive a series expansion for the price of a continuously sampled arithmetic Asian option in the Black-Scholes setting. The expansion is based on polynomials that are orthogonal with respect to the log-normal distribution. All terms in the series are fully explicit and no numerical integration nor any …
Paper compares neural networks and time-series models for weather derivative pricing.
Paper analyzes Nyström regularization for time series forecasting with sequential sub-sampling.
In this report, we derive a non-negative series expansion for the Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) between two probability distributions. This series expansion is shown to be useful for numerical calculations of the JSD, when the probability distributions are nearly equal, and for which, consequently, small numerical er…
Researchers derive -series for and groups.
We review statistical properties of models generated by the application of a (positive and negative order) fractional derivative operator to a standard random walk and show that the resulting stochastic walks display slowly-decaying autocorrelation functions. The relation between these correlated walks and the well-kno…
Innovative series invariant for knot complements, linking to existing invariants.
In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our approach is based on a neural network (NN) that is applied to raw financial dat…
We give various estimates of the minimal number of self-intersections of a nontrivial element of the kth term of the lower central series and derived series of the fundamental group of a surface. As an application, we obtain a new topological proof of the fact that free groups and fundamental groups of closed surfaces …
This paper, sixth in a series of eight, uses the geometric calculus on manifolds developed in previous papers of the series to introduce through the concept of a metric extensor field g a metric structure for a smooth manifold M. The associated Christoffel operators, a notable decomposition of that object and the assoc…
Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.
A new SVM method for predicting time series labels.
Paper introduces a new method for classifying interval-valued time series.
The paper modifies asset pricing models using Taylor series expansions and market-based averages.
PAC-Bayes bound for stable RNNs in time-series data.
New method for PKM inverse dynamics second derivatives efficiently.
CausalTime generates realistic time-series for TSCD evaluation.