A method to estimate high order derivatives of data distributions from samples.
problem Estimating high order derivatives of data distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Generalizing denoising score matching via Tweedie's formula to estimate higher order derivatives.
result Models trained with the proposed method can approximate second order derivatives more efficiently and accurately than via automatic differentiation.
Improved price bounds for multi-asset derivatives using market option data.
problem Creating robust price bounds for multi-asset derivatives under market-implied dependence.
method Extracting inter-asset dependence information from market option prices and applying modified martingale optimal transport.
result Improved price bounds for multi-asset derivatives, demonstrating relevance and tractability.
Paper presents a data-driven method for option pricing.
problem Option pricing accuracy under market volatility.
method Data-driven ensemble approach based on no-arbitrage theory.
result Model performance validated with real data.
Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives of the density functions have received only relatively scant attention. Kernel …
Study recovers Riemannian quantities from noisy data densities.
problem Recovering geometric structure from noisy data on submanifolds.
method Derive uniform small-noise expansions of noisy density and its derivatives; construct estimators for tangent spaces, intrinsic dimension, and second fundamental form.
result Fundamental Riemannian quantities identifiable from density derivatives.
Extends curve theory to non-smooth data with finite curvature and torsion.
problem Applying classical curve theory to non-smooth data.
method Using distributional derivative measures of functions of bounded variation.
result Essentially unique non-smooth curve solution with finite total curvature and torsion.
Estimates smooth functions and their derivatives from noisy data.
problem Estimating smooth functions and their derivatives from noisy data.
method Least squares estimators and minimizers of smoothness subject to error bounds.
result Consistent estimators with convergence rates as n increases.
Improved aircraft structure prediction using derivative-enhanced sparse Cholesky GP method.
problem Accurate real-time prediction of aircraft structure performance.
method Combining derivative data with a modified dynamic sparse Cholesky linear system solver.
result Improved prediction accuracy of aircraft structure performance.
Deep learning for financial derivatives pricing and hedging.
problem Model-free pricing and optimal hedging of financial derivatives.
method Neural networks for offline training and online application.
result Accurate model-free price bounds and optimal hedging strategies.
Modes and ridges of the probability density function behind observed data are useful geometric features. Mode-seeking clustering assigns cluster labels by associating data samples with the nearest modes, and estimation of density ridges enables us to find lower-dimensional structures hidden in data. A key technical cha…
Data-driven control of robotic systems using Koopman operators with error bounds.
problem Real-time control of nonlinear robotic systems with unknown dynamics.
method Constructing a Koopman operator-based linear representation using higher-order derivatives of nonlinear dynamics, with error bounds derived from Taylor series accuracy analysis.
result The Koopman model provides marginally better performance than competing nonlinear modeling methods and can be efficiently controlled using linear control design tools.
Kernel methods can learn hierarchical polynomials efficiently.
problem Learning hierarchical structure from data.
method Iteratively reweighting kernel machines using derivatives.
result Efficient learning of hierarchical polynomials.
In the spirit of Arrow-Debreu, we introduce a family of financial derivatives that act as primitive securities in that exotic derivatives can be approximated by their linear combinations. We call these financial derivatives signature payoffs. We show that signature payoffs can be used to nonparametrically price and hed…
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world high-dimensional count-valued data found in word counts, genomics, and crime statis…
We develop methods to approximate derivatives for causal inference problems using data.
problem Estimating causal effects from data when distributions are not known.
method Constructive algorithm approximating Gateaux derivatives via finite differencing.
result Derives conditions for finite-difference approximations to preserve statistical benefits.
Batch Active Learning uses derivative information for Gaussian Process regression.
problem Efficiently selecting data batches in Gaussian Process regression models.
method Proposes using the predictive covariance matrix to select data batches, exploiting full correlation.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating derivative information across diverse applications.
We develop a new model for VIX derivatives with closed-form solutions.
problem VIX derivatives pricing and risk management.
method Data-driven Legendre polynomial model for VIX volatility, deriving analytical series solutions.
result Equal or superior accuracy compared to existing models, offering an efficient alternative.
Generalizes moment-matching for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.
problem Generalizing moment-matching conditions for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.
method First-principles explanation and self-contained derivation of generalized moment-matching conditions.
result Derives generalized moment-matching conditions for conditional exponential families and hidden data.
Neural network models of early sensory processing typically reduce the dimensionality of streaming input data. Such networks learn the principal subspace, in the sense of principal component analysis (PCA), by adjusting synaptic weights according to activity-dependent learning rules. When derived from a principled cost…
New framework discovers PDEs from sparse, noisy data.
problem Discovering PDEs with high-order derivatives and heterogeneous parameters.
method Combines deep-learning and integral form to handle sparse and noisy data.
result More robust and accurate compared to existing methods.
Efficiently calibrates Bergomi models to VIX derivatives using vector quantization.
problem Calibrating Bergomi models to VIX derivatives for accurate pricing.
method Applied vector quantization in mixed Bergomi models for fast and efficient option pricing.
result Calibration of Bergomi models to VIX derivatives is feasible and accurate over daily data.
Financial derivatives based on road travel times for hedging and pricing.
problem Market risk in crypto and banking sectors.
method Modeling travel time data with CARMA models and applying risk-neutral pricing.
result Derivatives pricing based on travel time and its volatility.
The paper studies kernel smoothing and mean shift for directional data, deriving convergence rates and mode estimation.
problem Statistical and computational problems of kernel smoothing for directional data.
method Generalization of mean shift to directional data, derivation of convergence rates, and investigation of mode estimation.
result Statistical convergence rates of directional KDE and its derivatives, ascending property of directional mean shift, and mode estimation.
Consistent estimator derived for confounding strength in observational data.
problem Estimating confounding strength in observational data is challenging due to unobserved confounders.
method Derived and adapted a consistent estimator using tools from random matrix theory.
result The original estimator is not consistent, but an adapted one is.
Two derivations of PCA for distributional data.
problem PCA for datasets of distributions.
method Two derivations: variance maximization and reconstruction error minimization.
result Closed-form solution for distributional PCA.
Paper derives formulas for static Einstein spaces, linking Neumann data to stability.
problem Stability of conformally compact static spaces.
method First and second variation formulas for renormalized area.
result Negativity of Neumann data implies instability.
In this study, we tested the interaction effect of multimodal datasets using a novel method called the kernel method for detecting higher order interactions among biologically relevant mulit-view data. Using a semiparametric method on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), we used a standard mixed-effects linear mo…
Derives equations for deep learning biases and weights, showing data complexity reduction.
problem Understanding interpretability in supervised learning.
method Gradient flow equations and dynamical truncation of training data.
result Data complexity reduction at an exponential rate with training.
Optimal classifiers derived from GMMs are approximated by deep neural networks.
problem Binary classification of high-dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixtures.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes optimal decision boundaries derived from GMMs' eigenstructure. Empirical validation through synthetic and real-world data.
result Deep neural networks approximate optimal classifiers for GMMs, with decision thresholds related to covariance eigenvectors.
Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure and uniform error bounds have been derived, which allow safe control based on thes…
We develop a trinomial tree model for pricing perpetual derivatives and European options.
problem Pricing perpetual derivatives and European options in a market with two risky assets and a perpetual derivative of one of them.
method We introduce a recombining trinomial tree model, consider a market with two risky assets and a perpetual derivative, and use a replicating portfolio to price options and generate relationships between risk-neutral and real-world parameters.
result We develop implied parameter surfaces for real-world parameters in the model using historical data.
Estimation of density derivatives is a versatile tool in statistical data analysis. A naive approach is to first estimate the density and then compute its derivative. However, such a two-step approach does not work well because a good density estimator does not necessarily mean a good density-derivative estimator. In t…
We derive a variational model to fit a composite Bézier curve to a set of data points on a Riemannian manifold. The resulting curve is obtained in such a way that its mean squared acceleration is minimal in addition to remaining close the data points. We approximate the acceleration by discretizing the squared second o…
Unified framework connects deformation theory and derived categories for multiparameter persistence.
problem Algebraic complexity of multiparameter persistence modules hinders classification, stability, and interpretability.
method Combines deformation theory and derived categories to study multiparameter persistence geometrically.
result Unified conjecture relating interleaving distance to derived convolution metrics established.
NetRCA algorithm locates network faults by analyzing derived features and leveraging unlabeled data.
problem Locating the true root cause of network faults is challenging due to complex architectures and limited labeled data.
method NetRCA algorithm extracts derived features, generates new training data, and combines multiple models to enhance performance.
result NetRCA outperforms existing methods in fault cause localization on real-world data.
Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.
problem Early prediction of disk drive failure using multivariate time series sensor data.
method Enriched features derived from sensor data through transformations, combined with ensemble learning and deep neural network architecture.
result Significantly improved classification accuracy in predicting disk drive failure.
Study uniquely determines Riemannian metric derivatives from boundary data.
problem Determining Riemannian metric derivatives from boundary data.
method Computing the full symbol of the elastic Dirichlet-to-Neumann map.
result The elastic Dirichlet-to-Neumann map uniquely determines all partial derivatives of the Riemannian metric on the boundary.
This thesis proposes a derivatives hedging framework using deep learning and reinforcement learning.
problem Traditional hedging models fail in complex, uncertain markets due to assumptions like continuous trading and zero transaction costs.
method Integrates deep learning and reinforcement learning, using a spatiotemporal attention-based Transformer for probabilistic forecasting and hedging.
result The proposed method significantly outperforms traditional approaches in U.S. and Chinese financial markets.
This paper discusses online algorithms for inverse dynamics modelling in robotics. Several model classes including rigid body dynamics (RBD) models, data-driven models and semiparametric models (which are a combination of the previous two classes) are placed in a common framework. While model classes used in the litera…
The Heston model is validated for option pricing using theoretical derivations and empirical market data.
problem Validating the Heston model for accurate option pricing.
method Theoretical derivations and empirical validations using Monte Carlo simulations and machine learning.
result The Heston model is robust and relevant for current financial markets.
Develops a new stochastic volatility model for temperature derivatives.
problem Assessing risk related to temperature volatility.
method Conditional Least Squares and Fourier transform techniques.
result Better assessment of temperature volatility risk.
This paper develops a pricing model for data assets from the buyer's perspective.
problem Insufficient research on pricing data assets from the buyer's perspective.
method Develops a pricing model based on the informational value of data assets from the buyer's perspective, using an implicit function derived from value functions in investment-consumption problems under ambiguity markets.
result Derives general expressions and explicit pricing formulas for data assets under various conditions.
We derive a new Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) by formulating the problem of estimating the number of clusters in an observed data set as maximization of the posterior probability of the candidate models. Given that some mild assumptions are satisfied, we provide a general BIC expression for a broad class of data…
This thesis builds a real-time VaR calculation workflow for crypto derivatives.
problem Managing risk in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Applied EMWA, GARCH, and HAR models to forecast volatility; used delta-gamma-theta approach and Cornish-Fisher expansion.
result Real-time VaR estimates with millisecond calculation latencies.
We reduce boundary determination of an unknown function and its normal derivatives from the (possibly weighted and attenuated) broken ray data to the injectivity of certain geodesic ray transforms on the boundary. For determination of the values of the function itself we obtain the usual geodesic ray transform, but for…
This paper uses deep learning to value derivatives. The approach is broadly applicable, and we use a call option on a basket of stocks as an example. We show that the deep learning model is accurate and very fast, capable of producing valuations a million times faster than traditional models. We develop a methodology t…
Employing profits data of Japanese companies in 2002 and 2003, we identify the non-Gibrat's law which holds in the middle profits region. From the law of detailed balance in all regions, Gibrat's law in the high region and the non-Gibrat's law in the middle region, we kinematically derive the profits distribution funct…
Theory for deep neural network approximation of score function and its derivatives.
problem Handling data distributions with low-dimensional structure and unbounded support.
method Simultaneous approximation of the score function and its derivatives using deep neural networks.
result Approximation error bounds match literature but relax bounded support requirement.