Estimation of density derivatives is a versatile tool in statistical data analysis. A naive approach is to first estimate the density and then compute its derivative. However, such a two-step approach does not work well because a good density estimator does not necessarily mean a good density-derivative estimator. In t…
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Modes and ridges of the probability density function behind observed data are useful geometric features. Mode-seeking clustering assigns cluster labels by associating data samples with the nearest modes, and estimation of density ridges enables us to find lower-dimensional structures hidden in data. A key technical cha…
Survey on smooth function and form density in Riemannian Sobolev spaces.
Study recovers Riemannian quantities from noisy data densities.
Kernel Density Machines learn probability densities without structural assumptions.
Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives of the density functions have received only relatively scant attention. Kernel …
The article derives a novel Gram-Charlier A (GCA) Series based Extended Rule-of-Thumb (ExROT) for bandwidth selection in Kernel Density Estimation (KDE). There are existing various bandwidth selection rules achieving minimization of the Asymptotic Mean Integrated Square Error (AMISE) between the estimated probability d…
Study exact minimax rates for density estimation over convex classes, extending previous work.
Machine learning is used to approximate density functionals. For the model problem of the kinetic energy of non-interacting fermions in 1d, mean absolute errors below 1 kcal/mol on test densities similar to the training set are reached with fewer than 100 training densities. A predictor identifies if a test density is …
The paper improves boundary detection and density estimation on noisy data.
Modal regression is aimed at estimating the global mode (i.e., global maximum) of the conditional density function of the output variable given input variables, and has led to regression methods robust against heavy-tailed or skewed noises. The conditional mode is often estimated through maximization of the modal regre…
Optimizes kernel density ratios for better predictions and information measures.
Chia and Nakano (2009) introduced the concept of M-decomposability of probability densities in one-dimension. In this paper, we generalize M-decomposability to any dimension. We prove that all elliptical unimodal densities are M-undecomposable. We also derive an inequality to show that it is better to represent an M-de…
We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price process is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master equation" for the dynam…
We study the isoperimetric problem for Euclidean space endowed with a continuous density. In dimension one, we characterize isoperimetric regions for a unimodal density. In higher dimensions, we prove existence results and we derive stability conditions, which lead to the conjecture that for a radial log-convex density…
Derives stability for curvature measure near constant density, proving dual Minkowski problem solutions.
The probability density function for the visible sector of a Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine can be taken conditional on a subset of the visible units. We derive that the corresponding conditional density function is given by a reparameterization of the Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine modelling the original probability…
We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it receives level set estimates from a kernel density estimator. In particular, we derive…
Paper formulates particle flow using variational inference and Fisher-Rao gradient flow.
We apply the maximum entropy principle to economic systems in equilibrium and find the density function for the market's wealth. This is the same as price density which is used for insurance pricing. The risk aversion parameter of the agent then it's utility function with respect to this density is derived.
We consider a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) where the integrated continuous-time Markov chain can be observed at discrete time points perturbed by a Brownian motion. The aim is to derive a filter for the underlying continuous-time Markov chain. The recursion formula for the discrete-time filter is easy to derive, however i…
Study proves NN matching is equivalent to Riesz regression for debiased machine learning.
Lie PCA improves density estimation on symmetric manifolds.
We introduce a novel conditional density estimation model termed the conditional density operator (CDO). It naturally captures multivariate, multimodal output densities and shows performance that is competitive with recent neural conditional density models and Gaussian processes. The proposed model is based on a novel …
Upper bound on Jones polynomials density modulo primes.
Conditional density estimation is a general framework for solving various problems in machine learning. Among existing methods, non-parametric and/or kernel-based methods are often difficult to use on large datasets, while methods based on neural networks usually make restrictive parametric assumptions on the probabili…
In this paper we introduce efficient Monte Carlo estimators for the valuation of high-dimensional derivatives and their sensitivities (''Greeks''). These estimators are based on an analytical, usually approximative representation of the underlying density. We study approximative densities obtained by the WKB method. Th…
Derives formulae linking SABR model parameters to ATM and option prices.
We prove a novel result wherein the density function of the gradients---corresponding to density function of the derivatives in one dimension---of a thrice differentiable function S (obtained via a random variable transformation of a uniformly distributed random variable) defined on a closed, bounded interval Ω\subset …
New method minimizes robust density power-based divergences for general parametric densities.
New bounds on generalization error using information density moments.
A density ratio is defined by the ratio of two probability densities. We study the inference problem of density ratios and apply a semi-parametric density-ratio estimator to the two-sample homogeneity test. In the proposed test procedure, the f-divergence between two probability densities is estimated using a density-r…
Kernel ridge regression is used to approximate the kinetic energy of non-interacting fermions in a one-dimensional box as a functional of their density. The properties of different kernels and methods of cross-validation are explored, and highly accurate energies are achieved. Accurate {\em constrained optimal densitie…
Adapts RKHS methods to estimate density ratios with optimal error.
The paper analyzes heat trace asymptotics for de Rham and Dolbeault complexes in both real and complex settings.
A new copula estimation method using classification.
TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.
Kernel smoothing on unknown manifolds with bounds and asymptotic normality.
A method to estimate high order derivatives of data distributions from samples.
Derives continuum model from discrete -graphs with connectivity functional.
Properties of steady compressible flow for which geometric constraints have been placed on the potential function are derived, under hypotheses on the flow density and the singular set. Some related unconstrained problems are also considered, including the estimation of a class of fields having nonzero vorticity.
We formulate and analyze an inverse problem using derivatives prices to obtain an implied filtering density on volatility's hidden state. Stochastic volatility is the unobserved state in a hidden Markov model (HMM) and can be tracked using Bayesian filtering. However, derivative data can be considered as conditional ex…
We address the problem of estimating the difference between two probability densities. A naive approach is a two-step procedure of first estimating two densities separately and then computing their difference. However, such a two-step procedure does not necessarily work well because the first step is performed without …
Optimizes noisy IS with better proposal densities.
The algebra of densities $\Den(M)$ is a commutative algebra canonically associated with a given manifold or supermanifold . We introduced this algebra earlier in connection with our studies of Batalin--Vilkovisky geometry. The algebra $\Den(M)$ is graded by real numbers and possesses a natural invariant scalar produ…
Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are successful deep generative models. GANs are based on a two-player minimax game. However, the objective function derived in the original motivation is changed to obtain stronger gradients when learning the generator. We propose a novel algorithm that repeats the density ratio e…
Paper improves speech separation by using deep neural networks for more accurate density priors.
We consider the renormalized Bochner Laplacian acting on tensor powers of a positive line bundle on a compact symplectic manifold. We derive an explicit local formula for the spectral density function in terms of coefficients of the Riemannian metric and symplectic form.