Online learning improves dengue fever detection with minimal training data.
problem Improving dengue fever detection accuracy with limited training data.
method Online learning approach for incremental learning from patient symptoms and diagnostic investigations.
result The proposed model effectively identifies patients with high likelihood of dengue disease.
Identification of the influential clinical symptoms and laboratory features that help in the diagnosis of dengue fever in early phase of the illness would aid in designing effective public health management and virological surveillance strategies. Keeping this as our main objective we develop in this paper, a new compu…
Climate models predict dengue risk in Costa Rican municipalities.
problem Predicting dengue incidence in diverse micro-climates of Costa Rica.
method Used GAM and RF approaches on climate and dengue data.
result Retrospectively predicted dengue risk in five municipalities.
Study describes severe dengue ICU patients in Brazil, 2012-2024.
problem Characterize severe dengue ICU patients and identify risk factors.
method Prospective study, descriptive statistics, logistic regression, machine learning.
result Advanced age, comorbidities, leukocytes, and platelets are significant risk factors for complications.
Study reveals how dengue spread patterns vary across different years in Recife, Brazil.
problem Understanding spatial organization of dengue transmission in urban areas.
method Spatial analysis of dengue cases using topological data analysis and Vietoris-Rips filtrations.
result Critical percolation thresholds define distinct geometric regimes of dengue spread.
New method combines long-memory reservoirs for accurate dengue forecasting from short data.
problem Accurate dengue forecasting from short, noisy, non-stationary, and nonlinear data.
method Fractional ESN and Wavelet ESN frameworks integrating long-term memory.
result fESN and wESN outperform baselines in multiple dengue datasets and forecasting horizons.
Graphical estimation of count time series dependencies.
problem Estimating dependencies between multivariate count time series.
method Parameter-driven generalized linear model with l1-type regularization and MCEM algorithm.
result Characterization of disease spread interdependence and sources/sinks in Greater Mumbai.
Differentiable Greedy Networks improve sentence selection for claim verification.
problem Optimal selection of sentences for claim verification in FEVER task.
method Proposes a trainable subset selection algorithm based on submodular optimization and unfolds a greedy algorithm into a computational graph.
result Differentiable Greedy Network (DGN) outperforms other methods in precision and recall.
GEAR uses graphs to integrate and reason over multiple evidence for fact verification.
problem Fact verification requires integrating and reasoning over multiple pieces of evidence.
method GEAR employs a graph-based framework to transfer information among evidence and uses BERT for improved performance.
result GEAR achieves a promising test FEVER score of 67.10% on a large-scale benchmark dataset.
Exploiting the large amount of available data for addressing relevant social problems has been one of the key challenges in data mining. Such efforts have been recently named "data science for social good" and attracted the attention of several researchers and institutions. We give a contribution in this objective in t…
Mosquitoes are vectors of many human diseases. In particular, Aedes ægypti (Linnaeus) is the main vector for Chikungunya, Dengue, and Zika viruses in Latin America and it represents a global threat. Public health policies that aim at combating this vector require dependable and timely information, which is usually expe…
Proposes a new approach to improve disease prediction by considering who generates the data.
problem Improving disease prediction across different datasets considering who generates the data.
method Formulates domain adaptation as a multi-source hierarchical Bayesian framework.
result Improves prediction accuracy in target datasets with largely unlabelled data.
The study quantifies Brexit risk using SABR dynamics and Bayesian methods.
problem Measuring tail risk in EUR-GBP options related to Brexit.
method Data-driven statistical indicator, lognormal SABR dynamics, Bayesian estimation, inverse calibration problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result A closed-form expression for the martingale defect quantifying tail risk.
SFAVEL distills features from language models for fact verification without annotations.
problem Fact verification with semantically meaningful and compact features.
method Self-supervised pretraining using contrastive loss with language models.
result Achieved state-of-the-art results on FB15k-237 and FEVER.
In retrospective assessments, internet news reports have been shown to capture early reports of unknown infectious disease transmission prior to official laboratory confirmation. In general, media interest and reporting peaks and wanes during the course of an outbreak. In this study, we quantify the extent to which med…
We introduce a dynamic mechanism for the solution of analytically-tractable substructure in probabilistic programs, using conjugate priors and affine transformations to reduce variance in Monte Carlo estimators. For inference with Sequential Monte Carlo, this automatically yields improvements such as locally-optimal pr…
Transformers for binary decisions are sensitive to evidence order, leading to unreliable outcomes.
problem Order sensitivity in Transformers for binary decisions leads to unreliable outcomes.
method Formalized an expectation-realization gap and developed QMV and EDFL bounds.
result Uniform permutation mixtures reduce dispersion and improve reliability.
Machine learning model diagnoses COVID-19 from routine blood tests.
problem Difficulty in diagnosing COVID-19 due to inconsistent blood parameter changes.
method Constructed a machine learning model using 5,333 patients with various infections and 160 COVID-19-positive patients.
result Cross-validated AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 81.9%, specificity of 97.9%.
Deep learning models learn chaotic system dynamics from real and simulated data.
problem Training deep learning models for chaotic systems requires big data.
method Jointly train deep neural networks on real and simulated data, enforcing physical laws.
result Proposes knowledge-based deep learning (KDL) for accurate forecasting of chaotic systems.
Improves flu prediction by blending environment and population info.
problem Challenges in using data from one environment in another due to feature variability and population subgroup differences.
method Population-aware hierarchical Bayesian domain adaptation framework with multiple invariant components.
result Model improves flu prediction in new environments with unlabelled data.
New method detects RNA modifications without prior training, revealing novel sites.
problem Detecting RNA modifications with high accuracy and sensitivity.
method Anomaly detection using nanopore raw ionic current signals and nearest neighbor comparison.
result Detects diverse RNA modifications without prior training, including a novel 2'-O-methylated site in DENV.