Paper develops a model to assess capital requirement for demographic risk using stochastic methods.
problem Quantifying capital requirement for demographic risk in life insurance contracts.
method Stochastic model extending local GAAP to Solvency II framework, proving market consistency.
result Model highlights main drivers of capital requirement evaluation, comparing to GAAP.
Unified framework for fair regression under demographic parity.
problem Ensuring fairness in regression tasks subject to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposes a unified framework applicable to various regression tasks with a broad spectrum of loss functions, derived a novel characterization of the fair risk minimizer, and established theoretical consistency and convergence rates.
result Effective minimization of risk while satisfying fairness constraints across various regression settings.
This research presents an analysis of the demographic risk related to future membership patterns in pension funds with restricted entrance, financed under a pay-as-you-go scheme. The paper, therefore, proposes a stochastic model for investigating the behaviour of the demographic variable "new entrants" and the influenc…
Compact formulas for evaluating insurance policies' risks.
problem Quantifying demographic risk in insurance portfolios.
method Cohort-based approach with market-consistent valuation.
result Formal closed formula for idiosyncratic risk (accidental mortality).
A non-trivial predictor satisfies demographic parity and equalizes group risks in regression.
problem Achieving fairness in regression models while maintaining equal risks across groups.
method Provided an explicit example of a non-constant predictor satisfying Demographic Parity and Equal Group-Wise Risks.
result First explicit construction of a non-constant predictor satisfying both fairness notions.
The paper tackles fair set-valued classification under demographic parity constraints.
problem Set-valued classification can amplify discriminatory bias, especially in multiclass settings.
method Proposes two strategies: an oracle-based method and a proxy method, both aiming to satisfy demographic parity and expected size constraints.
result Established distribution-free convergence rates and excess-risk bounds for both methods.
Medical imaging models may encode demographic attributes without violating fairness, depending on the approach.
problem Discrimination in medical imaging models due to encoding demographic attributes.
method Examined marginal and class-conditional representation invariance, traditional fairness notions, and counterfactual fairness.
result Demographically invariant models may not necessarily be fair, and encoding demographic attributes can be advantageous.
New framework enforces demographic parity on distribution tails.
problem Enforcing demographic parity on entire distribution can degrade accuracy.
method Optimal transport theory, focusing on distribution tails.
result More nuanced and context-sensitive fairness interventions.
Bias in training data affects diagnostic algorithms' performance.
problem Bias in training data leads to biased predictions in diagnostic algorithms.
method Survey of MICCAI 2018 proceedings, analysis of a skin lesions dataset, adversarial training setup.
result Classifier performance varies significantly between subgroups based on age and sex.
We relax demographic parity in regression by enforcing parity at quantile levels and score thresholds.
problem Enforcing full distributional fairness in regression can lead to substantial accuracy loss.
method Introduce (ℓ, Z)-fair predictor, derive closed-form solutions, and develop post-processing algorithm. result The risk gap to the continuous optimum vanishes as the grid is refined, and we enable targeted fairness corrections.
Synthetic data mimics real-world demographics for fairness testing.
problem Lack of complete, representative datasets for fairness testing.
method Construct synthetic datasets using overlapping real and separate datasets.
result Synthetic data yields consistent fairness metrics with real data.
Study uses synthetic data to estimate credit risk for underbanked consumers in Istanbul.
problem Estimating credit risk for underbanked consumers lacking formal credit records.
method Created synthetic dataset, used retrieval augmented generation, trained CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost models.
result Alternative financial data improves credit risk estimation, raising AUC by 13%.
Paper explores fair classification with bounded disparity using finite datasets.
problem Ensuring fairness in binary classification with protected groups.
method Minimax optimal approach with fairness constraints and demographic disparity control.
result Proposes FairBayes-DDP+ method that achieves minimax lower bound on fairness-aware excess risk.
Study identifies key health behaviors linked to adolescent suicide attempts.
problem Understanding health behaviors associated with increased risk of adolescent suicide attempts.
method Cross-sectional data analysis using machine learning algorithms and logistic regression.
result Non-parametric Bayesian tree ensemble model outperforms other models, achieving 80.0% accuracy in goodness-of-fit and 78.2% in predictive accuracy.
New method corrects bias in recommendation systems for diverse user groups.
problem Bias in recommendation systems due to MNAR data.
method Counterfactual Robust Risk Minimization (CRRM) framework.
result Empirical validation of CRRM's superiority in fairness and generalization.
Proposes a mixed pension system combining PAYG and funded contributions to address sustainability.
problem Sustainability of public pension systems due to declining birth rates and increasing life expectancy.
method Combines a classical PAYG scheme with a funded investment scheme to ensure financial sustainability.
result Individuals contribute to a funded part, making them active participants in addressing demographic risks.
New method for fair regression using optimal transport.
problem Learning fair regression models under counterfactual fairness constraints.
method Causal uncertainty view, optimal transport, post-processing method.
result High-probability fairness guarantees with O(n−1/3) decay. In this paper, we propose a new deep feature selection method based on deep architecture. Our method uses stacked auto-encoders for feature representation in higher-level abstraction. We developed and applied a novel feature learning approach to a specific precision medicine problem, which focuses on assessing and prio…
New benchmark predicts cardiometabolic risk from accelerometer data, with varying accuracy.
problem Lack of accurate tabular benchmarks for cardiometabolic risk from accelerometer data.
method Tabular learning methods (ridge regression, XGBoost, TabPFN v2) applied to NHANES data.
result TabPFN v2 achieves best performance, but triglycerides remain largely unpredictable.
Inferring user characteristics such as demographic attributes is of the utmost importance in many user-centric applications. Demographic data is an enabler of personalization, identity security, and other applications. Despite that, this data is sensitive and often hard to obtain. Previous work has shown that purchase …
The study infers risk preferences from portfolio choices and measures portfolio efficiency.
problem Measuring the efficiency of household investment portfolios based on risk preferences.
method Statistical analysis of portfolio choices and demographic information over six years.
result Implied risk aversion increases with wealth and financial literacy, impacting portfolio efficiency.
This paper studies fairness and privacy in federated learning, proposing algorithms to balance both.
problem Joint impact of differential privacy and fairness in federated classification.
method Proposes FDP-Fair and CDP-Fair algorithms for demographic disparity constrained classification under federated differential privacy.
result Established theoretical guarantees on privacy, fairness, and excess risk control.
Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.
problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.
Counterfactual fairness not equivalent to demographic parity, finds study.
problem Equivalence between causal and probabilistic concepts in fairness metrics.
method Close examination of recent claim about counterfactual fairness.
result Counterfactual fairness is not equivalent to demographic parity.
New methods target conditional demographic parity using optimal transport distances.
problem Auditing and enforcing conditional demographic parity (CDP) in models with complex conditioning variables.
method Developed novel measures of conditional demographic disparity (CDD) based on optimal transport distances and regularization-based approaches.
result Validated methods airbit{} and airlp{} effectively target CDP in real-world datasets with continuous model outputs.
Research quantifies financial exclusion risks in UK, focusing on cash infrastructure and socio-economic factors.
problem Localised financial exclusion in the UK as cash infrastructure declines.
method Developed a composite indicator using various input variables.
result Financial exclusion is more prevalent in deprived communities and affluent areas.
DeepUnHide uses deep learning to reveal hidden demographic features in recommender systems.
problem Extracting hidden demographic features from recommender systems factors.
method Gradient-based localization in deep learning for feature extraction.
result DeepUnHide outperforms state-of-the-art feature selection methods.
A new method for survival analysis models that ensures fairness without using sensitive demographic data.
problem Ensuring fairness in survival analysis models without relying on sensitive demographic information.
method A worst-case error minimization approach using a training loss function that does not know sensitive demographic information.
result The proposed method often scores better on fairness metrics without a significant drop in prediction accuracy compared to baselines.
We find the optimal error for a constrained regression model under a linear model.
problem Minimizing error while adhering to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposed a minimax optimal error analysis for a demographic parity-constrained regression problem within a linear model.
result The minimax optimal error is characterized by $Θ( rac{dM}{n})$.
Study achieves fairness without demographic info, improving regression tasks.
problem Achieve fairness in models without prior demographic info.
method VFair method to minimize training loss variance, dynamic update approach.
result Regression tasks can achieve significant fairness improvement without prior demographics.
Proposes a framework to create fair IDRs by enforcing demographic parity constraints.
problem Discrimination in IDRs trained on biased data.
method Incorporates DP and CDP constraints into IDR estimation.
result Theoretically optimal IDRs can be efficiently obtained through perturbations.
We consider a large, homogeneous portfolio of life or disability annuity policies. The policies are assumed to be independent conditional on an external stochastic process representing the economic-demographic environment. Using a conditional law of large numbers, we establish the connection between claims reserving an…
A new method uses model gradients to improve fairness without relying on demographic data.
problem Algorithmic fairness issues due to missing demographic information and complex interactions.
method Learning a graph of gradients to identify and improve group fairness robustly to noise.
result Significantly improves fairness without sacrificing overall accuracy.
CondMTL improves toxicity detection by learning group-specific representations.
problem Algorithmic bias in toxic language detection across demographic groups.
method Conditional Multi-Task Learning (CondMTL) for demographic-specific tasks.
result CondMTL improves predictive recall for minority demographic groups.
In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting demographics of geographic units given geotagged Tweets that are composed within these units. Traditional survey methods that offer demographics estimates are usually limited in terms of geographic resolution, geographic boundaries, and time intervals. Thus, it would…
Paper proposes robust method to detect risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups.
problem Detecting risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups in ICU studies.
method Proposes a robust framework using Neyman orthogonality for inference.
result Demonstrates improved inferential stability and reduced bias compared to standard methods.
Algorithm ensures demographic parity in regression without sensitive attribute data.
problem Performing regression with demographic parity constraints.
method Post-processing algorithm using accurate estimates and sensitive attribute predictor.
result Generates predictions meeting demographic parity constraint.
Recent advances in Representation Learning and Adversarial Training seem to succeed in removing unwanted features from the learned representation. We show that demographic information of authors is encoded in -- and can be recovered from -- the intermediate representations learned by text-based neural classifiers. The …
New framework tackles fairness in link prediction beyond demographic parity.
problem Systemic biases in link prediction can exacerbate societal inequalities.
method Formalizes limitations of existing fairness evaluations and proposes a new framework.
result Proposes a lightweight post-processing method combined with decoupled link predictors.
The paper develops a method to achieve fairness in predictions using Wasserstein barycenters.
problem Learning a fair real-valued function independent of sensitive attributes.
method Establishing a connection between fair regression and optimal transport theory, deriving a close form expression for the optimal fair predictor as the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups.
result The optimal fair predictor's distribution is the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups' distributions, offering an intuitive interpretation and a simple post-processing algorithm.
New method generates diverse EHR data types while maintaining privacy.
problem Privacy risks in sharing EHRs across large scales.
method Refined GAN model, feature constraints, and utility measures.
result New model preserves EHR statistics, correlations, and constraints.
Meta-theorems validate fair regression algorithms under demographic parity constraints.
problem Regression under demographic parity constraints.
method Meta-theorems and post-processing methods.
result Fair minimax optimal regression can be achieved through post-processing.
Paper proposes a method to detect fair communities in graphs considering demographic attributes.
problem Inconsistent community detection violates fairness constraints for nodes with demographic attributes.
method Develops an ℓ1-regularized pseudo-likelihood approach for fair graphical model selection. result The method ensures demographic groups are fairly represented within detected communities.
Study predicts U.S. county COVID-19 growth using demographic and social distancing data.
problem Predicting county-level COVID-19 growth during the pandemic.
method Spectral clustering, correlation matrix, demographic features, social distancing scores, LSTM model.
result Effective prediction of future county growth using demographic and social distancing data.
Integrates differential privacy and demographic parity in multi-class classification.
problem Ensuring fairness and privacy in sensitive applications.
method Designs DP2DP algorithm that enforces both demographic parity and differential privacy.
result DP2DP converges towards demographic parity at nearly the same rate as non-private methods, achieving state-of-the-art trade-offs.
New dataset for evaluating speech recognition fairness across demographics.
problem Lack of fairness metrics in speech recognition datasets.
method Developed Fair-Speech dataset with diverse demographic information.
result Helps evaluate ASR models for fairness across demographics.
Classifiers that achieve demographic balance by explicitly using protected attributes such as race or gender are often politically or culturally controversial due to their lack of individual fairness, i.e. individuals with similar qualifications will receive different outcomes. Individually and group fair decision crit…
Multiple fairness constraints have been proposed in the literature, motivated by a range of concerns about how demographic groups might be treated unfairly by machine learning classifiers. In this work we consider a different motivation; learning from biased training data. We posit several ways in which training data m…