Inferring user characteristics such as demographic attributes is of the utmost importance in many user-centric applications. Demographic data is an enabler of personalization, identity security, and other applications. Despite that, this data is sensitive and often hard to obtain. Previous work has shown that purchase …
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48 results for “demographic prediction”
New framework tackles fairness in link prediction beyond demographic parity.
problem Systemic biases in link prediction can exacerbate societal inequalities.
method Formalizes limitations of existing fairness evaluations and proposes a new framework.
result Proposes a lightweight post-processing method combined with decoupled link predictors.
In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting demographics of geographic units given geotagged Tweets that are composed within these units. Traditional survey methods that offer demographics estimates are usually limited in terms of geographic resolution, geographic boundaries, and time intervals. Thus, it would…
Medical imaging models may encode demographic attributes without violating fairness, depending on the approach.
problem Discrimination in medical imaging models due to encoding demographic attributes.
method Examined marginal and class-conditional representation invariance, traditional fairness notions, and counterfactual fairness.
result Demographically invariant models may not necessarily be fair, and encoding demographic attributes can be advantageous.
The study improves crime prediction using Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info.
problem Improving crime prediction models using diverse data sources.
method Combining Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info for crime prediction.
result The proposed model enhances classification performance in crime prediction.
CondMTL improves toxicity detection by learning group-specific representations.
problem Algorithmic bias in toxic language detection across demographic groups.
method Conditional Multi-Task Learning (CondMTL) for demographic-specific tasks.
result CondMTL improves predictive recall for minority demographic groups.
The paper shows how demographic data can lead to biased predictions, proposing 'Affirmative Information' as a solution.
problem Bias in predictions due to demographic data.
method Characterization of error types and conditions leading to disparate impact.
result Demographic variables in data can lead to biased predictions, with higher average outcomes receiving higher false positive rates.
Model predicts human food choices based on demographics.
problem Predicting human food choices from demographic data.
method Non-deterministic model based on NHANES dataset and behavioral studies.
result Generates synthetic data similar to original dataset.
Study predicts U.S. county COVID-19 growth using demographic and social distancing data.
problem Predicting county-level COVID-19 growth during the pandemic.
method Spectral clustering, correlation matrix, demographic features, social distancing scores, LSTM model.
result Effective prediction of future county growth using demographic and social distancing data.
Most companies utilize demographic information to develop their strategy in a market. However, such information is not available to most retail companies. Several studies have been conducted to predict the demographic attributes of users from their transaction histories, but they have some limitations. First, they focu…
A new method for survival analysis models that ensures fairness without using sensitive demographic data.
problem Ensuring fairness in survival analysis models without relying on sensitive demographic information.
method A worst-case error minimization approach using a training loss function that does not know sensitive demographic information.
result The proposed method often scores better on fairness metrics without a significant drop in prediction accuracy compared to baselines.
Extends Demographic Parity for fairer wage predictions with expert knowledge.
problem Inadequate fairness metrics limit user domain knowledge and ignore intersectional fairness.
method Develops a parametric method to incorporate expert knowledge in fair predictions.
result Offers a robust solution for real-life applications with limited data and spending constraints.
New framework enforces demographic parity on distribution tails.
problem Enforcing demographic parity on entire distribution can degrade accuracy.
method Optimal transport theory, focusing on distribution tails.
result More nuanced and context-sensitive fairness interventions.
New methods target conditional demographic parity using optimal transport distances.
problem Auditing and enforcing conditional demographic parity (CDP) in models with complex conditioning variables.
method Developed novel measures of conditional demographic disparity (CDD) based on optimal transport distances and regularization-based approaches.
result Validated methods airbit{} and airlp{} effectively target CDP in real-world datasets with continuous model outputs.
A non-trivial predictor satisfies demographic parity and equalizes group risks in regression.
problem Achieving fairness in regression models while maintaining equal risks across groups.
method Provided an explicit example of a non-constant predictor satisfying Demographic Parity and Equal Group-Wise Risks.
result First explicit construction of a non-constant predictor satisfying both fairness notions.
Algorithm ensures demographic parity in regression without sensitive attribute data.
problem Performing regression with demographic parity constraints.
method Post-processing algorithm using accurate estimates and sensitive attribute predictor.
result Generates predictions meeting demographic parity constraint.
Bias in training data affects diagnostic algorithms' performance.
problem Bias in training data leads to biased predictions in diagnostic algorithms.
method Survey of MICCAI 2018 proceedings, analysis of a skin lesions dataset, adversarial training setup.
result Classifier performance varies significantly between subgroups based on age and sex.
A new method uses model gradients to improve fairness without relying on demographic data.
problem Algorithmic fairness issues due to missing demographic information and complex interactions.
method Learning a graph of gradients to identify and improve group fairness robustly to noise.
result Significantly improves fairness without sacrificing overall accuracy.
The paper tackles fair set-valued classification under demographic parity constraints.
problem Set-valued classification can amplify discriminatory bias, especially in multiclass settings.
method Proposes two strategies: an oracle-based method and a proxy method, both aiming to satisfy demographic parity and expected size constraints.
result Established distribution-free convergence rates and excess-risk bounds for both methods.
Bayesian method improves multivariate periodontal outcome modeling.
problem Modeling periodontal outcomes is challenging and requires consideration of demographic differences.
method Jointly models multivariate outcomes using an online Bayesian transfer learning framework.
result Significant improvement over univariate RECaST method demonstrated.
We relax demographic parity in regression by enforcing parity at quantile levels and score thresholds.
problem Enforcing full distributional fairness in regression can lead to substantial accuracy loss.
method Introduce (, Z)-fair predictor, derive closed-form solutions, and develop post-processing algorithm.
result The risk gap to the continuous optimum vanishes as the grid is refined, and we enable targeted fairness corrections.
Generative model predicts daily activity sequences with duration-aware dynamics.
problem Accurately forecasting granular daily activity sequences for energy demand.
method Hierarchical semi-Markov models with duration-aware dynamics.
result Explicitly modeling activity durations improves predictive performance.
MLHO predicts COVID-19 adverse outcomes using past medical records.
problem Predicting adverse outcomes after COVID-19 infection.
method Iterative feature and algorithm selection, sequential representation mining.
result Mean AUC ROC of 0.91 for mortality prediction.
Decomposes bias in linear models under demographic parity constraints.
problem Understanding and quantifying bias in linear models under fairness constraints.
method Post-processing framework to decompose bias into direct and indirect components.
result Analytical characterization of how demographic parity reshapes model coefficients.
Multi-modal data comprising imaging (MRI, fMRI, PET, etc.) and non-imaging (clinical test, demographics, etc.) data can be collected together and used for disease prediction. Such diverse data gives complementary information about the patientś condition to make an informed diagnosis. A model capable of leveraging the i…
We mathematically compare four competing definitions of group-level nondiscrimination: demographic parity, equalized odds, predictive parity, and calibration. Using the theoretical framework of Friedler et al., we study the properties of each definition under various worldviews, which are assumptions about how, if at a…
This paper presents an example of how demographical characteristics of patients influence their susceptibility to certain medical conditions. In this paper, we investigate the association of health conditions to age of patients in a heterogeneous population. We show that besides the symptoms a patients is having, the a…
Bayesian networks and ML improve COVID-19 symptom classification and severity analysis.
problem Understanding the relationship between COVID-19 symptoms and demographic variables.
method Bayesian network structure learning followed by unsupervised clustering and demographic symptom identification.
result 99.99% testing accuracy compared to 41.15% for a heuristic method.
New algorithm ensures fairness without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning without harming accuracy.
method Demographic-Agnostic Fairness without Harm (DAFH) algorithm.
result DAFH algorithm achieves higher accuracy than existing methods.
Foundational brain dynamics model using stochastic optimal control.
problem Complex and noisy fMRI signals in brain dynamics.
method Continuous-discrete state space model with amortized inference and locally linear approximations.
result State-of-the-art results across various downstream tasks.
Global demographic and economic changes have a critical impact on the total energy consumption, which is why demographic and economic parameters have to be taken into account when making predictions about the energy consumption. This research is based on the application of a multiple linear regression model and a neura…
This research tackles group fairness in predictive process monitoring by ensuring predictions are independent of sensitive group membership.
problem Predictive models using biased historical data can perpetuate unfair behavior in new cases.
method Investigates independence through metrics like ΔDP and a composite loss function balancing predictive performance and fairness.
result Proposes and validates a composite loss function for training models that balance fairness and performance.
Calendar graph neural networks model user behavior with location and time data.
problem Modeling user behavior with location and time information for demographic prediction.
method Graph neural networks with a tripartite network of items, sessions, and locations, and a hierarchical calendar network.
result User embeddings preserve spatial and temporal patterns of various periodicity.
Proposes a method to achieve quantile fairness in predictions.
problem Lack of research on quantile fairness in socially sensitive domains.
method Introduces a framework to learn a real-valued quantile function under Demographic Parity fairness.
result Demonstrates superior empirical performance and uncovering fairness-accuracy trade-offs.
The paper develops a method to achieve fairness in predictions using Wasserstein barycenters.
problem Learning a fair real-valued function independent of sensitive attributes.
method Establishing a connection between fair regression and optimal transport theory, deriving a close form expression for the optimal fair predictor as the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups.
result The optimal fair predictor's distribution is the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups' distributions, offering an intuitive interpretation and a simple post-processing algorithm.
New method optimizes fairness in predictive models for continuous sensitive attributes.
problem Enforcing full statistical independence on continuous sensitive attributes is too restrictive.
method Functional bilevel optimization (FBO) and ITD algorithms.
result Achieves lowest or near-lowest fairness-accuracy regret on synthetic and real datasets.
Counterfactual fairness not equivalent to demographic parity, finds study.
problem Equivalence between causal and probabilistic concepts in fairness metrics.
method Close examination of recent claim about counterfactual fairness.
result Counterfactual fairness is not equivalent to demographic parity.
The paper studies and mitigates accuracy disparity in regression models.
problem Accuracy disparity between different demographic subgroups in high-stakes domains.
method Error decomposition theorem and distribution alignment algorithm.
result The proposed algorithm effectively mitigates accuracy disparity while maintaining predictive power.
In recent years, there have been significant efforts on mitigating unethical demographic biases in machine learning methods. However, very little is done for kernel methods. In this paper, we propose a new fair kernel regression method via fair feature embedding (FKR-FE) in kernel space. Motivated by prior works on…
DeepUnHide uses deep learning to reveal hidden demographic features in recommender systems.
problem Extracting hidden demographic features from recommender systems factors.
method Gradient-based localization in deep learning for feature extraction.
result DeepUnHide outperforms state-of-the-art feature selection methods.
Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.
problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.
We find the optimal error for a constrained regression model under a linear model.
problem Minimizing error while adhering to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposed a minimax optimal error analysis for a demographic parity-constrained regression problem within a linear model.
result The minimax optimal error is characterized by $Θ( rac{dM}{n})$.
Study achieves fairness without demographic info, improving regression tasks.
problem Achieve fairness in models without prior demographic info.
method VFair method to minimize training loss variance, dynamic update approach.
result Regression tasks can achieve significant fairness improvement without prior demographics.
Predicts user age and gender on Tumblr using rich content.
problem Challenges in targeting specific demographic groups on Tumblr.
method Graph based and deep learning models, including network embedding, label propagation, CNN, and MLP.
result Significantly improved accuracy for age and gender predictions.
Proposes a framework to create fair IDRs by enforcing demographic parity constraints.
problem Discrimination in IDRs trained on biased data.
method Incorporates DP and CDP constraints into IDR estimation.
result Theoretically optimal IDRs can be efficiently obtained through perturbations.
Paper develops a model to assess capital requirement for demographic risk using stochastic methods.
problem Quantifying capital requirement for demographic risk in life insurance contracts.
method Stochastic model extending local GAAP to Solvency II framework, proving market consistency.
result Model highlights main drivers of capital requirement evaluation, comparing to GAAP.
In the age of data driven solution, the customer demographic attributes, such as gender and age, play a core role that may enable companies to enhance the offers of their services and target the right customer in the right time and place. In the marketing campaign, the companies want to target the real user of the GSM …
We demonstrate that effortlessly accessible digital records of behavior such as Facebook Likes can be obtained and utilized to automatically distinguish a wide range of highly delicate personal traits including: life satisfaction, cultural ethnicity, political views, age, gender and personality traits. The analysis pre…