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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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3527041,0561,408 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for demographic modeling

Medical imaging models may encode demographic attributes without violating fairness, depending on the approach.

problem Discrimination in medical imaging models due to encoding demographic attributes.
method Examined marginal and class-conditional representation invariance, traditional fairness notions, and counterfactual fairness.
result Demographically invariant models may not necessarily be fair, and encoding demographic attributes can be advantageous.

We find the optimal error for a constrained regression model under a linear model.

problem Minimizing error while adhering to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposed a minimax optimal error analysis for a demographic parity-constrained regression problem within a linear model.
result The minimax optimal error is characterized by $Θ( rac{dM}{n})$.

New methods target conditional demographic parity using optimal transport distances.

problem Auditing and enforcing conditional demographic parity (CDP) in models with complex conditioning variables.
method Developed novel measures of conditional demographic disparity (CDD) based on optimal transport distances and regularization-based approaches.
result Validated methods airbit{} and airlp{} effectively target CDP in real-world datasets with continuous model outputs.

Paper develops a model to assess capital requirement for demographic risk using stochastic methods.

problem Quantifying capital requirement for demographic risk in life insurance contracts.
method Stochastic model extending local GAAP to Solvency II framework, proving market consistency.
result Model highlights main drivers of capital requirement evaluation, comparing to GAAP.

A new method for survival analysis models that ensures fairness without using sensitive demographic data.

problem Ensuring fairness in survival analysis models without relying on sensitive demographic information.
method A worst-case error minimization approach using a training loss function that does not know sensitive demographic information.
result The proposed method often scores better on fairness metrics without a significant drop in prediction accuracy compared to baselines.

A new method uses model gradients to improve fairness without relying on demographic data.

problem Algorithmic fairness issues due to missing demographic information and complex interactions.
method Learning a graph of gradients to identify and improve group fairness robustly to noise.
result Significantly improves fairness without sacrificing overall accuracy.

DeepUnHide uses deep learning to reveal hidden demographic features in recommender systems.

problem Extracting hidden demographic features from recommender systems factors.
method Gradient-based localization in deep learning for feature extraction.
result DeepUnHide outperforms state-of-the-art feature selection methods.

ETNA model predicts demographic attributes from transactions.

problem Predicting demographic attributes from transaction histories with limited data.
method Embedding Transformation Network with Attention (ETNA) model.
result ETNA model outperforms previous models on all tasks.

CondMTL improves toxicity detection by learning group-specific representations.

problem Algorithmic bias in toxic language detection across demographic groups.
method Conditional Multi-Task Learning (CondMTL) for demographic-specific tasks.
result CondMTL improves predictive recall for minority demographic groups.

Paper proposes a method to detect fair communities in graphs considering demographic attributes.

problem Inconsistent community detection violates fairness constraints for nodes with demographic attributes.
method Develops an 1\ell_1-regularized pseudo-likelihood approach for fair graphical model selection.
result The method ensures demographic groups are fairly represented within detected communities.

A distributed framework protects privacy while maintaining fairness in machine learning.

problem Protecting personal demographic data while ensuring fair machine learning outcomes.
method A distributed framework with private third-party data communication, ensuring privacy and fairness.
result Four fair learning methods consistently outperform existing ones in fairness and accuracy across three real-world datasets.

The study improves crime prediction using Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info.

problem Improving crime prediction models using diverse data sources.
method Combining Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info for crime prediction.
result The proposed model enhances classification performance in crime prediction.

Decomposes bias in linear models under demographic parity constraints.

problem Understanding and quantifying bias in linear models under fairness constraints.
method Post-processing framework to decompose bias into direct and indirect components.
result Analytical characterization of how demographic parity reshapes model coefficients.

The paper uses SVAR modeling to analyze how demographic changes affect the current account and economic growth.

problem The impacts of demographic changes on the current account and economic growth.
method SVAR modeling to track dynamic impacts between population growth, current account, and economic growth.
result The long-run net impact on economic growth of the domestic working population growth and demand labor for emigrants is positive.

Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.

problem Generating accurate synthetic populations without personal data.
method Constraint-programming framework encoding aggregated statistics and structural relations.
result Exact control of demographic profiles without requiring microdata.

Mitigates bias in text classification by weighting instances.

problem Unintended biases in text classification datasets based on demographic terms.
method Instance weighting to recover non-discrimination distribution.
result Effective mitigation of unintended biases without sacrificing generalization.

Bayesian method improves multivariate periodontal outcome modeling.

problem Modeling periodontal outcomes is challenging and requires consideration of demographic differences.
method Jointly models multivariate outcomes using an online Bayesian transfer learning framework.
result Significant improvement over univariate RECaST method demonstrated.

New framework tackles fairness in link prediction beyond demographic parity.

problem Systemic biases in link prediction can exacerbate societal inequalities.
method Formalizes limitations of existing fairness evaluations and proposes a new framework.
result Proposes a lightweight post-processing method combined with decoupled link predictors.

Extends Demographic Parity for fairer wage predictions with expert knowledge.

problem Inadequate fairness metrics limit user domain knowledge and ignore intersectional fairness.
method Develops a parametric method to incorporate expert knowledge in fair predictions.
result Offers a robust solution for real-life applications with limited data and spending constraints.

Study predicts U.S. county COVID-19 growth using demographic and social distancing data.

problem Predicting county-level COVID-19 growth during the pandemic.
method Spectral clustering, correlation matrix, demographic features, social distancing scores, LSTM model.
result Effective prediction of future county growth using demographic and social distancing data.

Integrates differential privacy and demographic parity in multi-class classification.

problem Ensuring fairness and privacy in sensitive applications.
method Designs DP2DP algorithm that enforces both demographic parity and differential privacy.
result DP2DP converges towards demographic parity at nearly the same rate as non-private methods, achieving state-of-the-art trade-offs.

The article presents a new non-parametric approach for forecasting mortality and fertility using Gaussian process regression.

problem Precise forecasting of demographic movements in developed countries.
method Gaussian process regression with natural cubic spline and spectral mixture covariance functions.
result The approach shows significant improvements in forecasting precision and robustness.

The paper shows how demographic data can lead to biased predictions, proposing 'Affirmative Information' as a solution.

problem Bias in predictions due to demographic data.
method Characterization of error types and conditions leading to disparate impact.
result Demographic variables in data can lead to biased predictions, with higher average outcomes receiving higher false positive rates.

Bayesian networks and ML improve COVID-19 symptom classification and severity analysis.

problem Understanding the relationship between COVID-19 symptoms and demographic variables.
method Bayesian network structure learning followed by unsupervised clustering and demographic symptom identification.
result 99.99% testing accuracy compared to 41.15% for a heuristic method.

Bias in training data affects diagnostic algorithms' performance.

problem Bias in training data leads to biased predictions in diagnostic algorithms.
method Survey of MICCAI 2018 proceedings, analysis of a skin lesions dataset, adversarial training setup.
result Classifier performance varies significantly between subgroups based on age and sex.

Study federates measurement of demographic disparities from quantile sketches.

problem Misalignment of fairness goals with siloed data collection and privacy regulations.
method Federated auditing of demographic parity through score distributions, using Wasserstein--Frechet variance and quantile summaries.
result Proposes a one-shot, communication-efficient protocol to estimate global disparity and its decomposition.

Unified framework for fair regression under demographic parity.

problem Ensuring fairness in regression tasks subject to demographic parity constraints.
method Proposes a unified framework applicable to various regression tasks with a broad spectrum of loss functions, derived a novel characterization of the fair risk minimizer, and established theoretical consistency and convergence rates.
result Effective minimization of risk while satisfying fairness constraints across various regression settings.