New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
A new method uses Gaussian processes and deep kernel learning to price high-dimensional American options efficiently.
problem Challenges in pricing high-dimensional American options, especially with excessive computational costs.
method Modified Gaussian process regression with deep kernel learning and sparse variational Gaussian processes.
result The method outperforms least squares Monte Carlo in high-dimensional scenarios, especially with Merton's jump diffusion model.
Data-driven method for option pricing using historical asset prices.
problem Tackling the gap between historical asset prices and risk-neutral option pricing.
method Identifying a pricing kernel process, solving utility maximization and functional optimization problems using deep learning.
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the data-driven option pricing methodology.
The paper optimizes investment strategies with constraints for life-cycle models.
problem Maximizing consumption, death benefit, and wealth under trading constraints.
method Deep pricing kernel approach to solve constrained portfolio optimization.
result Individuals reduce consumption, insurance demand, and wealth due to constraints.
Paper uses DDPG to learn optimal execution strategies in dynamic markets.
problem Learning non-Markovian optimal execution strategies in dynamic financial markets.
method Introduces a novel actor-critic algorithm based on DDPG for transient price impact modeling.
result Successfully approximates optimal execution strategy through numerical experiments.
Deep neural networks decompose SDF into linear and nonlinear components.
problem Constructing accurate stochastic discount factors (SDFs) for pricing.
method Additive decomposition of a deep neural network trained to construct SDFs.
result The PTK representation delivers significant performance gains in equity data.
If pricing kernels are assumed non-negative then the inverse problem of finding the pricing kernel is well-posed. The constrained least squares method provides a consistent estimate of the pricing kernel. When the data are limited, a new method is suggested: relaxed maximization of the relative entropy. This estimator …
Investigates cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
problem Understanding and parameterizing cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
method Examined martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels, determined their overlap, and provided calibration formulas.
result Identified the overlap between martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels and provided formulas for their calibration.
When investors have heterogeneous attitudes towards risk, it is reasonable to assume that each investor has a pricing kernel, and that these individual pricing kernels are aggregated to form a market pricing kernel. The various investors are then buyers or sellers depending on how their individual pricing kernels compa…
We consider a heat kernel approach for the development of stochastic pricing kernels. The kernels are constructed by positive propagators, which are driven by time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. We multiply such a propagator with a positive, time-dependent and decreasing weight function, and integrate the product over…
Study uses multi-kernel Hawkes models to analyze high-frequency price dynamics.
problem Understanding responsive speeds of market participants in high-frequency trading.
method Multi-kernel Hawkes models with conditional Hessian analysis for optimization.
result Existence of multi-kernels (UHF, VHF, HF) in high-frequency price dynamics.
Study uses G-BSDEs to decompose pricing kernels under robust G-expectation.
problem Long-term decomposition of robust pricing kernels under G-expectation.
method Proposes and analyzes three types of quadratic G-BSDEs to decompose pricing kernels.
result Pricing kernels decomposed into four components: discounting, transitory, symmetric martingale, and volatility uncertainty.
We construct models for the pricing and risk management of inflation-linked derivatives. The models are rational in the sense that linear payoffs written on the consumer price index have prices that are rational functions of the state variables. The nominal pricing kernel is constructed in a multiplicative manner that …
A heat kernel approach is proposed for the development of a general, flexible, and mathematically tractable asset pricing framework in finite time. The pricing kernel, giving rise to the price system in an incomplete market, is modelled by weighted heat kernels which are driven by multivariate Markov processes and whic…
Optimal hedging strategy found in markets with incomplete pricing kernels.
problem Finding optimal hedging in markets with incomplete pricing kernels.
method Demonstrated existence of an optimal hedge portfolio using an expected least squared-error criterion.
result Existence of an optimal hedge portfolio in Lévy-Ito markets.
Numerous kinds of uncertainties may affect an economy, e.g. economic, political, and environmental ones. We model the aggregate impact by the uncertainties on an economy and its associated financial market by randomised mixtures of Lévy processes. We assume that market participants observe the randomised mixtures only …
We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks listed on the JSE. Under the assumption of general no-arbitrage conditions, we arg…
The paper explores arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under specific conditions.
problem Arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under different conditions.
method Analyzes the relationship between pricing kernel monotonicity and stochastic arbitrage opportunities.
result Pricing kernel nonmonotonicity is equivalent to stochastic arbitrage opportunities under adequacy.
This paper constructs and studies the long-term factorization of affine pricing kernels into discounting at the rate of return on the long bond and the martingale component that accomplishes the change of probability measure to the long forward measure. The principal eigenfunction of the affine pricing kernel germane t…
Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) is used to replicate the signal combination process that trading rules embody when they aggregate multiple sources of financial information when predicting an asset's price movements. A set of financially motivated kernels is constructed for the EURUSD currency pair and is used to predict…
New model explains option pricing with time-varying volatility risk aversion.
problem Time variations in the shape of the pricing kernel.
method Introduced a pricing kernel with time-varying volatility risk aversion combined with Heston-Nandi GARCH model.
result Variance risk ratio (VRR) emerges as a key variable in option pricing.
New volatility model for option pricing with time-varying risk premium.
problem Volatility risk premium is time-varying and not well captured by existing models.
method Combines Markov switching with Realized GARCH framework to derive a state-dependent pricing kernel.
result The model reduces option pricing errors by 15% or more compared to competing models.
This paper explains why ResNets generalize better than FFNets using neural tangent kernels.
problem Understanding why deep ResNets generalize better than deep FFNets.
method Using neural tangent kernels to compare the learnability of functions induced by the kernels of ResNets and FFNets.
result The kernel of ResNets does not exhibit degeneracy as depth increases, unlike FFNets.
Deep neural kernels and Laplace kernel have equivalent RKHS on spheres.
problem Comparing RKHS of deep neural tangent and Laplace kernels.
method Proof of RKHS equivalence using sphere restrictions and kernel properties.
result RKHS of deep neural tangent kernel and Laplace kernel are the same on Sd−1. Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which generalizes deep kernel learning approaches to enable classification, multi-task lea…
Algorithm maximizes revenue-risk by estimating price impact kernel and optimizing control problems.
problem Maximizing revenue-risk in a risky asset liquidation with unknown price impact.
method Alternates exploration and exploitation phases, uses novel kernel estimation and stability results.
result Sublinear regret achieved with high probability.
Deep kernel processes unify various models using Gram matrices and kernel functions.
problem Unified representation of various deep learning models.
method Defining deep kernel processes with progressively transformed Gram matrices and sampling from inverse Wishart distributions.
result Deep Gaussian processes, BNNs, infinite BNNs, and infinite BNNs with bottlenecks can all be written as deep kernel processes.
The paper introduces new methods for Asian option pricing using Laguerre quadrature.
problem Developing accurate pricing models for Asian options.
method Utilizes Laguerre quadrature and diffusion kernel approach.
result Demonstrates new techniques to solve complex Asian option pricing equations.
Axial-LOB predicts stock prices from LOB data using attention layers.
problem Predicting stock price from LOB data with long-range dependencies.
method Axial-LOB uses gated position-sensitive axial attention layers to incorporate global interactions.
result Axial-LOB achieves state-of-the-art performance in stock price prediction.
Deep ReLU networks approximate as well as shallow ones in kernel regimes.
problem Understanding the limitations of kernel methods for deep ReLU networks.
method Characterizing eigenvalue decays of kernels derived from deep ReLU networks.
result Deep ReLU networks and shallow two-layer networks have equivalent approximation properties in kernel regimes.
Researchers develop a generalised geometric Brownian motion for better asset pricing.
problem Irregularities in simple geometric Brownian motion for asset dynamics.
method Introduce a memory kernel to generalise GBM, derive moments and probability density functions.
result The performance of kernels in pricing options depends on option maturity and moneyness.
Lossless compression of deep neural networks using NTK and RMT.
problem Compressing large-scale deep neural networks for low-power devices.
method High-dimensional neural tangent kernel approach.
result Asymptotic spectral equivalence between NTK matrices of wide DNNs enables lossless compression.
A computational technique borrowed from the physical sciences is introduced to obtain accurate closed-form approximations for the transition probability of arbitrary diffusion processes. Within the path integral framework the same technique allows one to obtain remarkably good approximations of the pricing kernels of f…
We introduce scalable deep kernels, which combine the structural properties of deep learning architectures with the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods. Specifically, we transform the inputs of a spectral mixture base kernel with a deep architecture, using local kernel interpolation, inducing points, and struc…
Deep neural nets optimize kernel parameters for non-parametric two-sample tests.
problem Determining if two samples come from the same distribution.
method Deep kernels trained to maximize test power, adapting to distribution smoothness and shape.
result Deep kernels outperform simpler kernels in high dimensions and complex data.
The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the Lévy-Vasicek case, avoiding issues of market incompleteness. In the Lévy-Vasicek mo…
Improved deep kernel machine achieves 94.5% test accuracy on CIFAR-10.
problem Achieving high accuracy on complex tasks like image classification.
method Stochastic kernel regularisation to add noise to learned Gram matrices.
result 94.5% test accuracy on CIFAR-10.
The Volterra Heston model is used to price American options.
problem Pricing American options in the Volterra Heston model.
method Kernel-based approximations and simulation techniques.
result Convergence of American option prices in approximating models to the Volterra Heston model.
Deep kernel learning provides an elegant and principled framework for combining the structural properties of deep learning algorithms with the flexibility of kernel methods. By means of a deep neural network, we learn a parametrized kernel operator that can be combined with a differentiable kernel algorithm during infe…
Study small-time CLTs for stochastic Volterra equations with various kernels.
problem Understanding the behavior of stochastic Volterra equations with different kernels.
method Proved convergence of finite-dimensional distributions, functional CLT, and limit theorems for smooth transformations.
result Derived asymptotic pricing formulae for digital calls in rough volatility models.
Optimizes insurance pricing by accounting for policyholders' price sensitivity.
problem Traditional insurance pricing does not consider policyholders' price sensitivity.
method Formulates insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and uses off-policy evaluation and stochastic control.
result Neural networks outperform existing techniques for policy optimization.
A new method for deep Wishart processes improves kernel-based models.
problem Inference in deep Wishart processes is challenging due to the need for flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices.
method Developed a novel approach to flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices using the Bartlett decomposition of the Wishart probability density. Used this to create an approximate posterior for the DWP.
result Improved performance of inference in the DWP compared to DGP with equivalent prior.
The general problem of asset pricing when the discount rate differs from the rate at which an asset's cash flows accrue is considered. A pricing kernel framework is used to model an economy that is segmented into distinct markets, each identified by a yield curve having its own market, credit and liquidity risk charact…
Deep learning framework for kernel methods using RKHM and Perron-Frobenius operators.
problem Kernel methods in deep learning with potential overfitting issues.
method Combining RKHM and Perron-Frobenius operator to derive a new Rademacher bound and analyze deep kernel methods.
result Theoretical interpretation of benign overfitting and milder dependency on output dimension.
Study deep maxout networks and their equivalence to Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding neural networks with infinite width.
method Derive equivalence between deep maxout networks and Gaussian processes, characterize maxout kernel, and provide efficient numerical implementation.
result Bayesian inference based on deep maxout network kernel leads to competitive results compared to finite-width counterparts and deep neural network kernels.
A new model DKMPP integrates covariates and uses an integration-free method for spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Training intractable deep spatio-temporal point processes with multimodal covariates.
method DKMPP uses a deep kernel to model complex relationships and an integration-free score matching method.
result DKMPP and score-based estimators outperform baseline models in spatio-temporal point processes.
In this paper, we propose a novel supervised learning method that is called Deep Embedding Kernel (DEK). DEK combines the advantages of deep learning and kernel methods in a unified framework. More specifically, DEK is a learnable kernel represented by a newly designed deep architecture. Compared with pre-defined kerne…
We construct default-free interest rate models in the spirit of the well-known Markov funcional models: our focus is analytic tractability of the models and generality of the approach. We work in the setting of state price densities and construct models by means of the so called propagation property. The propagation pr…